病态分析体系有偏估计的研究

运用广义岭估计和Ｌｉｕｋｅｊｉａｎ提出的有偏估计，对病态分析体系进行了数值模拟和实际光度测定，结果表明，广义岭估计显优于最小二乘估计，Ｌｉｕｋｅｊｉａｎ法有功效，可和为解析病态分析体系的化学计量学方法。     

Parameter identification of thermophilic anaerobic degradation of valerate

The considered mathematical model of the decomposition of valerate presents three unknown kinetic parameters, two unknown stoichiometric coefficients, and three unknown initial concentrations for biomass. Applying a structural identifiability study, we concluded that it is necessary to perform simultaneous batch experiments with differenitial conditions for estimating these parameters. Four simultaneous batch experiments were conducted at 55°C, characterized by four different initial acetate concentrations. Product inhibition of valerate degradation by acetate was considered. Practical identification was done optimizing the sum of the multiple determination coefficients for all measured state viariables and for all experiments simultaneously. The estimated values of kinetic parameters and stoichiometric coefficients were characterized by the parameter correlation matrix, the confidence interval, and the student's t-test at 9% significance level with positive results except for the saturation constant, for which more eperiments for improving its identifiability should be conducted. In this article, we discussekinetic parameter estimation methods.     

排序集抽样下Inverse Rayleigh分布的Fisher信息量及其在参数估计中的应用

文章分别在简单随机抽样和排序集抽样下研究了Inverse Rayleigh分布中对应样本所含刻度参数θ的Fisher信息量.数值结果表示,同等样本容量的排序集样本比简单随机样本提供更多关于θ的信息.接着分别基于简单随机样本和排序集样本构造了θ的一些优良估计,并对估计结果进行了数值比较.     

Data loci in algebraic optimization

We consider parametric optimization problems from an algebraic viewpoint. The idea is to find all of the critical points of an objective function thereby determining a global optimum. For generic parameters (data) in the objective function the number of critical points remains constant. This number is known as the algebraic degree of an optimization problem. In this article, we go further by considering the inverse problem of finding parameters of the objective function so it gives rise to critical points exhibiting a special structure. For example if the critical point is in the singular locus, has some symmetry, or satisfies some other algebraic property. Our main result is a theorem describing such parameters.     

曲率流的参数化有限元逼近

许多物理现象可以在数学上描述为受曲率驱动的自由界面运动,例如薄膜和泡沫的演变、晶体生长,等等.这些薄膜和界面的运动常依赖于其表面曲率,从而可以用相应的曲率流来描述,其相关自由界面问题的数值计算和误差分析一直是计算数学领域中的难点.参数化有限元法是曲率流的一类有效计算方法,已经能够成功模拟一些曲面在几类基本的曲率流下的演化过程.本文重点讨论曲率流的参数化有限元逼近,它的产生、发展和当前的一些挑战.     

高维稳健主成分聚类方法及其应用研究

随着信息技术的高速发展,每条数据所包含的信息越来越丰富,使得数据不可避免地含有异常值,且随着维数的增加,异常值出现的可能性更大。传统的主成分聚类分析对异常值特別敏感,基于MCD估计的主成分聚类方法虽然对异常值具有防御作用,但是在高维数据下MCD估计的偏差过大,其稳健性显著降低,而且当维数大于观测值个数时MCD估计失效。为此本文提出了基于MRCD估计的稳健主成分聚类方法,数值模拟和实证分析表明,基于MRCD估计的主成分聚类分析的效果优于传统的主成分聚类分析和基于MCD估计的主成分聚类分析,尤其是在维数大于样本观测值的情况下,MRCD估计更为有效。     

Weighted local polynomial estimations of a non-parametric function with censoring indicators missing at random and their applications

In this paper, we consider the weighted local polynomial calibration estimation and imputation estimation of a non-parametric function when the data are right censored and the censoring indicators are missing at random, and establish the asymptotic normality of these estimators. As their applications, we derive the weighted local linear calibration estimators and imputation estimations of the conditional distribution function, the conditional density function and the conditional quantile function, and investigate the asymptotic normality of these estimators. Finally, the simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the estimators.     

LOWLAD: a locally weightedL 1 smoothing spline algorithm with cross validated choice of smoothing parameters

The computation ofL ₁ smoothing splines on large data sets is often desirable, but computationally infeasible. A locally weighted, LAD smoothing spline based smoother is suggested, and preliminary results will be discussed. Specifically, one can seek smoothing splines in the spacesW _m (D), with [0, 1] ⁿ D. We assume data of the formy _i =f(t _i )+ _i ,i=1,..., N with {t _i } _i=1 ^N D, the _i are errors withE( _i )=0, andf is assumed to be inW _m . An LAD smoothing spline is the solution,s , of the following optimization problem

The distribution of the likelihood ratio for mixtures of densities from the one-parameter exponential family

We here consider testing the hypothesis ofhomogeneity against the alternative of a two-component mixture of densities. The paper focuses on the asymptotic null distribution of 2 log _n , where _n is the likelihood ratio statistic. The main result, obtained by simulation, is that its limiting distribution appears pivotal (in the sense of constant percentiles over the unknown parameter), but model specific (differs if the model is changed from Poisson to normal, say), and is not at all well approximated by the conventional ₍₂₎ ² -distribution obtained by counting parameters. In Section 3, the binomial with sample size parameter 2 is considered. Via a simple geometric characterization the case for which the likelihood ratio is 1 can easily be identified and the corresponding probability is found. Closed form expressions for the likelihood ratio _n are possible and the asymptotic distribution of 2 log _n is shown to be the mixture giving equal weights to the one point distribution with all its mass equal to zero and the ²-distribution with 1 degree of freedom. A similar result is reached in Section 4 for the Poisson with a small parameter value (0.1), although the geometric characterization is different. In Section 5 we consider the Poisson case in full generality. There is still a positive asymptotic probability that the likelihood ratio is 1. The upper precentiles of the null distribution of 2 log _n are found by simulation for various populations and shown to be nearly independent of the population parameter, and approximately equal to the (1–2)100 percentiles of ₍₁₎ ² . In Sections 6 and 7, we close with a study of two continuous densities, theexponential and thenormal with known variance. In these models the asymptotic distribution of 2 log _n is pivotal. Selected (1–) 100 percentiles are presented and shown to differ between the two models.     

Perturbation analysis of theGI/GI/1 queue

We examine a family ofGI/GI/1 queueing processes generated by a parametric family of service time distributions,F(x,), and we show that under suitable conditions the corresponding customer stationary expectation of the system time is twice continuously differentiable with respect to. Expressions for the derivatives are given which are suitable for single run derivative estimation. These results are extended to parameters of the interarrival time distribution and expressions for the corresponding second derivatives (as well as partial second derivatives involving both interarrivai and service time parameters) are also obtained. Finally, we present perturbation analysis algorithms based on these expressions along with simulation results demonstrating their performance.