估计死亡率分布的一个最大熵模型

本文提出了一种估计死亡率分布的新模型一最大熵模型。该模型直接从样本信息出发，不需要对待估分布的概率密度函数或先验分布作任何假定，从而克服了极大似然估计和贝叶斯估计的不足。而且通过两个例子的计算结果，表明该方法与样本数据的拟合效果要好于其它两种方法。     

时滞种群模型的正周期解对所有正解的吸引性

建立了对数种群模型Ｎ′（ｔ）＝Ｎ（ｔ）｛ｒ（ｔ）－ａ１（ｔ）ｌｎ［Ｎ（ｔ）］－ａ２（ｔ）ｌｎ［Ｎ（ｔ－τ（ｔ））］｝的周期正解的存在性，并得到了正周期解对所有正解的吸引性．     

无偏的岭回归迭代算法

本文探讨线性模型的无偏的岭回归迭代算法,这种算法保持最小二乘法的性质,当存在较为严重的共线性时,它能给出较为精确的参数及其协差阵的估计值;当存在严格的共线性时,给出参数及其协差阵的无穷多解中的一个,这个解由初值决定。文章还给出了算法的收敛性及一些其它性质的证明。     

Identification of nonlinear elliptic equations

An optimization theoretic approach and algorithm for the estimation of state-dependent coefficients in nonlinear elliptic equation is presented. It is based on a splitting method combined with convex analysis techniques. Convergence of the algorithm is established and numerical examples are included.The research of K. Kunisch was supported in part by a grant from the Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft und Forschung, Austria.     

具有平行平均曲率向量子流形的曲率估计与稳定性

本文估计空间形式中具有平行平均曲率向量子流形上共形度量的数量曲率上界,并利用其研究了具有常平均曲率超曲面的稳定性．     

Locally Adaptive Wavelet Empirical Bayes Estimation of a Location Parameter

The traditional empirical Bayes (EB) model is considered with the parameter being a location parameter, in the situation when the Bayes estimator has a finite degree of smoothness and, possibly, jump discontinuities at several points. A nonlinear wavelet EB estimator based on wavelets with bounded supports is constructed, and it is shown that a finite number of jump discontinuities in the Bayes estimator do not affect the rate of convergence of the prior risk of the EB estimator to zero. It is also demonstrated that the estimator adjusts to the degree of smoothness of the Bayes estimator, locally, so that outside the neighborhoods of the points of discontinuities, the posterior risk has a high rate of convergence to zero. Hence, the technique suggested in the paper provides estimators which are significantly superior in several respects to those constructed earlier.     

阵列幅相误差条件下的目标方位估计

本文研究了一种改进的MUSIC法，可在一定阵列幅相误差条件下对多目标实现高分辨方位估计，有效地改善了原算法的参数估计性能，具有稳健性高、适用范围广以及工程实现简单等特点，通过大量的计算机仿真和水池实验表明，该方法具有较好的多目标分辨能力和方位估计精度，工程应用前景良好。     

上海基础房价相关指标及走势的分析与研究

基础房价的相关指标及其走势一直是大众关心的热门话题．本文通过对上海基础房价相关指标的分析，建立了市场房价走势的两个数学模型．模型一：在相关性分析的基础上利用主成分分析消除指标间的共线性，再用回归拟合房价模型并进行预测；模型二：在相关性分析的基础上利用核估计方法预测出房价．继呵对2005年下半年的房价走势进行了预测，得出的结果与实际情况相吻合．     

Parametric and Non Homogeneous Semi-Markov Process for HIV Control

In AIDS control, physicians have a growing need to use pragmatically useful and interpretable tools in their daily medical taking care of patients. Semi-Markov process seems to be well adapted to model the evolution of HIV-1 infected patients. In this study, we introduce and define a non homogeneous semi-Markov (NHSM) model in continuous time. Then the problem of finding the equations that describe the biological evolution of patient is studied and the interval transition probabilities are computed. A parametric approach is used and the maximum likelihood estimators of the process are given. A Monte Carlo algorithm is presented for realizing non homogeneous semi-Markov trajectories. As results, interval transition probabilities are computed for distinct times and follow-up has an impact on the evolution of patients.      

Eigenvalue and stability of singular differential delay systems

The eigenvalue and the stability of singular differential systems with delay are considered. Firstly we investigate some properties of the eigenvalue, then give the exact exponential estimation for the fundamental solution, and finally discuss the necessary and sufficient condition of uniform asymptotic stability.