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1.
离散的SI和SIS传染病模型的研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为了描述个体的死亡、染病者的恢复以及疾病的传染,引入了相应的概率.基于总种群中个体数量为常数的假设,根据染病者能否恢复分别建立了具有生命动力学的离散SI和SIS传染病模型.所得到的结果显示:它们具有与相应连续模型相同的动力学性态,并确定了各自的阈值.在它们的阈值之下,传染病最终将灭绝;在它们的阈值之上,传染病将会发展成为地方病,染病者的数量将趋向于一确定的正常数.  相似文献   

2.
一、专题的背景与分析   1. 背景   闵行区的沪闵路─春申路口是交通特别拥挤的交叉路口之一.家住莘庄地区的同学有一个共同的感受,在他们到校或回家路上必经的沪闵路─春申路口时常遇到塞车现象.……  相似文献   

3.
报童模型及ARMA预测在航空配餐问题中的应用   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
航班承载人数的不确定性,造成航空公司在配餐中利润的流失,现存的配餐模式存在较多的浪费.本文利用基于损失厌恶的报童模型和ARMA时间序列分析模型对深圳航空公司某航班的配餐份数进行了建模分析和预测,并通过对两种模型输出的比较,得出了长期预测与短期预测的模型应用理论.将实际的历史数据代人到模型中验证,其结果优于经验模式下的配餐盈利情况.本文所采用的研究方法和研究结果对航空公司的精益发展有建设性的意义.  相似文献   

4.
"牛吃草"问题又称为消长问题,是17世纪英国伟大的科学家牛顿提出来的.典型牛吃草问题的条件是假设草的生长速度固定不变,不同头数的牛吃光同一片草地所需的天数各不相同,求若干头牛吃这片草地可以吃多少天.由于吃的天数不同,草又是天天在生长的,所以草的存量随吃的天数不断地变化.……  相似文献   

5.
胖瓜 《数学大王》2013,(10):28-31
福尔摩西接到电话的时候正在翻看一本关于城中富翁艾伦王的传奇故事。艾伦王年少时靠贩卖廉价的小闹钟起家,经过几十年的辛勤努力,把自己的事业拓展成了最有名的钟表公司,是本市最有名的富翁。艾伦王年纪已经很大了,身体也不好。他的儿女众多,但是他们和艾伦王的关系并不融洽。大家都猜测他们对艾伦王的财富虎视眈眈。"喂,福尔摩西吗?"约翰焦急的声音从电话那头传过来。"是我。"福尔摩西回应道。  相似文献   

6.
视岩体强度参数为正态分布随机变量,以可靠度理论为基础,推导了Drucker-Prager准则可靠度判别的解析表达式,并通过Monte-Carlo法和一次可靠度方法验证了其正确性.应用所得到的公式分析了岩体强度参数的变异性对屈服准则判别结果的影响.结果表明,强度参数的变异性对Drucker-Prager准则可靠概率的影响程度不尽相同,在变异系数较大的情况下,它们对可靠概率的影响显著,不可忽略.为岩体屈服的可靠度判别提供了一条新思路.  相似文献   

7.
负数的自述     
我是负数,你以前虽然见过我,但我们还不很熟悉.下面就听听我的自述,我们会成为好朋友的.一、我的出现是实际生活的需要.数的扩充都是由于实际的需要而产生的,负数的引入也不例外,它是由于表示具有相反意义的量的需要而产生的.小学学过的自然数和分数只能表示相反意义的量中的一个量,不能满足实际需要,为了更好的记数而引入一种  相似文献   

8.
一道以群的定义为背景的高考试题赏析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
每一年的高考数学试卷中都有一些以高等数学背景立意的好题目,如2006年四川卷理科第16题,是一道以近世代数中群的定义为背景立意的填空题,这样的试题能够有效考查学生的学习能力、思维能力和数学创新意识,这为高校选拔学习潜质好的学生创造了条件.……  相似文献   

9.
“1”的自述     
我是数字1,大家对我似乎很熟悉,其实却不然,为了以后我们能够成为好朋友,也为了同学们能学好数学,下面请听我的自我介绍:一、我是最小的正整数,我的绝对值还是我;我的相反数是-1,-1的绝对值也是我;我的任何次幂都是我1n=1;我的算术根还是我n1=1;一个数与它倒数的积也等于我,怎么样,牛吧?其实这也不算什么,下面还有更牛的呢.  相似文献   

10.
导数作为大学的重要内容,进入中学数学教材后,给传统的内容注入了生机与活力,为中学数学命题的研究提供了新视角,新方法.由于导数是研究函数性质的一个很好的工具,它的用途十分广泛,它在解决函数、不等式、解析几何等问题有独到的功能.因此,近几年的高考正逐年加大对导数问题的考查力度,本文通过对07年全国各地高考题的整理和分析寻找命题规律,希望能对今后的教学提供一点复习思路.……  相似文献   

11.
We consider submanifolds of non-isotropic planes of the Grassman manifold of the pseudo-Euclidean space. We prove a theorem about the unboundedness of the sectional curvature of the submanifolds of the two-dimensional non-isotropic planes of the four-dimensional pseudo-Euclidean space with the help of immersion in the six-dimensional pseudo-Euclidean space of index 3. We also introduce a concept of the indicatrix of normal curvature and study the properties of this indicatrix and the Grassman image of the non-isotropic surface of the pseudo-Euclidean space. We find a connection between the curvature of the Grassman image and the intrinsic geometry of the plane. We suggest the classification of the points of the Grassman image.  相似文献   

12.
Using the Monte Carlo method, we address the influence of the Wiener and Poisson random noises on the behavior of oscillatory solutions to systems of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). For the linear and Van der Pol oscillators, we study the accuracy of estimates of the functionals of numerical solutions to SDEs obtained by the generalized explicit Euler method. For a linear oscillator, we obtain the exact analytical expressions for the mathematical expectation and the variance of the SDE solution. These expressions allow us to investigate the dependence of the accuracy of estimates of the solution moments on the values of SDE parameters, the size of meshsize, and the ensemble of simulated trajectories of the solution. For the Van der Pol oscillator, we study the dependence of the frequency and the damping rate of the oscillations of the mathematical expectation of SDE solution on the values of parameters of the Poisson component. The results of the numerical experiments are presented.  相似文献   

13.
We prove some estimates on the spectrum of the Laplacian of the total space of a Riemannian submersion in terms of the spectrum of the Laplacian of the base and the geometry of the fibers. When the fibers of the submersions are compact and minimal, we prove that the spectrum of the Laplacian of the total space is discrete if and only if the spectrum of the Laplacian of the base is discrete. When the fibers are not minimal, we prove a discreteness criterion for the total space in terms of the relative growth of the mean curvature of the fibers and the mean curvature of the geodesic spheres in the base. We discuss in particular the case of warped products.  相似文献   

14.
15.
On the basis of the classical theory of thin anisotropic laminated plates the article analyzes the free vibrations of rectangular cantilever plates made of fibrous composites. The application of Kantorovich's method for the binomial representation of the shape of the elastic surface of a plate yielded for two unknown functions a system of two connected differential equations and the corresponding boundary conditions at the place of constraint and at the free edge. The exact solution for the frequencies and forms of the free vibrations was found with the use of Laplace transformation with respect to the space variable. The magnitudes of several first dimensionless frequencies of the bending and torsional vibrations of the plate were calculated for a wide range of change of two dimensionless complexes, with the dimensions of the plate and the anisotropy of the elastic properties of the material taken into account. The article shows that with torsional vibrations the warping constraint at the fixed end explains the apparent dependence of the shear modulus of the composite on the length of the specimen that had been discovered earlier on in experiments with a torsional pendulum. It examines the interaction and transformation of the second bending mode and of the first torsional mode of the vibrations. It analyzes the asymptotics of the dimensionless frequencies when the length of the plate is increased, and it shows that taking into account the bending-torsion interaction in strongly anisotropic materials type unidirectional carbon reinforced plastic can reduce substantially the frequencies of the bending vibrations but has no effect (within the framework of the binomial model) on the frequencies of the torsional vibrations.Institute of Engineering Science Russian Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg, Russia. St. Petersburg State University, Russia. Translated from Mekhanika Kompozitnykh Materialov, Vol. 32, No. 6, pp. 759–769, November–December, 1996.  相似文献   

16.
The dynamic contact problem of the motion of a flat punch on the boundary of an elastic half-plane is considered. During motion, the punch deforms the elastic half-plane, penetrating it in such a manner that its base remains parallel to the boundary of the half-plane at each instant of time. In movable coordinates connected to the moving punch, the contact problem reduces to solving a two-dimensional integral equation, whose two-dimensional kernel depends on the difference between the arguments for each of the variables. An approximate solution of the integral equation of the problem is constructed in the form of a Neumann series, whose zeroth term is represented in the form of the superposition of the solutions of two-dimensional integral equations on the coordinate semiaxis minus the solution of the integral equation on the entire axis. This approach provides a way to construct the solution of the two-dimensional integral equation of the problem in four velocity ranges of motion of the punch, which cover the entire spectrum of its velocities, as well as to perform a detailed analysis of the special features of the contact stresses and vertical displacements of the free surface on the boundary of the contract area. An approximate method for solving the integral equation, which is based on a special approximation of the integrand of the kernel of the integral equation in the complex plane, is proposed for obtaining effective solutions of the problem that do not contain singular quadratures.  相似文献   

17.
18.
We analyze the propagation of electromagnetic waves in the magnetic meridian planes of neutron stars with a strong magnetic field in the framework of the parameterized post-Maxwellian electrodynamics of the vacuum. The origin of these electromagnetic waves is the curvature emission of X-rays and gamma rays from high-energy electrons in the vicinity of the magnetic poles of neutron stars. We show that in the case of a slowly varying intensity of X-ray and gamma-ray emission, the delay of the slow normal mode of electromagnetic waves relative to the fast mode results in a shift of the time dependence of the intensity of the detected radiation with one polarization relative to that of the radiation with the orthogonal polarization. In the case of single X-ray or gamma-ray pulses, the delay effect results in the polarization of the detected pulse varying during the pulse length, the leading edge of all pulses being polarized normally to the magnetic equator plane of the neutron star. We note that the modern level of the experimental technique, in principle, allows observing the manifestations of the delay effect for signals of different polarizations.  相似文献   

19.
20.
The main terms of the asymptotic form of the solution of the contact problem of the compression without friction of an elastic body and a punch initially in point contact are constructed by the method of matched asymptotic expansions using an improved matching procedure. The condition of unilateral contact is formulated taking account of tangential displacements on the contact surface. An asymptotic solution of the problem for the boundary layer is constructed by the complex potential method. An asymptotic model is constructed, extending the Hertz theory to the case where the surfaces of the punch and elastic body in the vicinity of the contact area are approximated by paraboloids of revolution. The problem of determining the convergence of the contacting bodies from the magnitude of the compressive force is reduced to the problem of calculating the so-called coefficient of local compliance, which is an integral characteristic of the geometry of the elastic body and its fixing conditions.  相似文献   

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