On a generalization of the Gerber-Shiu function to path-dependent penalties

The Expected Discounted Penalty Function (EDPF) was introduced in a series of now classical papers ( [Gerber and Shiu, 1997], [Gerber and Shiu, 1998a] and [Gerber and Shiu, 1998b]). Motivated by applications in option pricing and risk management, and inspired by recent developments in fluctuation theory for Lévy processes, we study an extended definition of the expected discounted penalty function that takes into account a new ruin-related random variable. In addition to the surplus before ruin and deficit at ruin, we extend the EDPF to include the surplus at the last minimum before ruin. We provide an expression for the generalized EDPF in terms of convolutions in a setting involving a subordinator and a spectrally negative Lévy process. Some expressions for the classical EDPF are recovered as special cases of the generalized EDPF.     

Erlang(2)过程的风险分析与美式看跌期权

在经典的风险理论中涉及到的索赔风险是服从复合Poission过程的, 与之不同, 我们考虑Erlang(2)风险过程\bd Erlang(2)分布往往见诸于控制理论中, 这里它作为索赔发生间隔时间的分布被引入了\bd 本文中, 我们介绍一个与破产时刻、破产前时刻的盈余以及破产时刻赤字有关的辅助函数$\phi(\cdot)$, 函数中涉及的这三个变量对风险模型的研究都是最基本也是最重要的\bdWillmot and Lin (1999)曾在古典连续时间风险模型之中研讨过这一函数\bd受Gerber and Shi(1997)及Willmot and Lin (2000)在古典模型下的研究过程的启发, 本文的一个重要结果就是找到破产前时刻的盈余以及破产时刻赤字的联合分布密度函数\bd 更得益于Gerber and Landry (1998)及Gerber and Shiu (1999)的思想, 我们应用以上的结果去寻求基础资产服从一定风险资产价格过程的美式看跌期权最优交易策略.     

A Generalized Renewal Equation for Perturbed Compound Poisson Processes with Two-Sided Jumps

Abstract

In this article, we study the discounted penalty at ruin in a perturbed compound Poisson model with two-sided jumps. We show that it satisfies a renewal equation under suitable conditions and consider an application of this renewal equation to study some perpetual American options. In particular, our renewal equation gives a generalization of the renewal equation in Gerber and Landry [2 Gerber , H.U. , and Landry , B. 1998 . On the discounted penalty at ruin in a jump-diffusion and the perpetual put option . Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 22 : 263 – 276 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]] where only downward jumps are allowed.     

A generalized penalty function with the maximum surplus prior to ruin in a MAP risk model

In this paper, a risk model where claims arrive according to a Markovian arrival process (MAP) is considered. A generalization of the well-known Gerber-Shiu function is proposed by incorporating the maximum surplus level before ruin into the penalty function. For this wider class of penalty functions, we show that the generalized Gerber-Shiu function can be expressed in terms of the original Gerber-Shiu function (see e.g. [Gerber, Hans U., Shiu, Elias, S.W., 1998. On the time value of ruin. North American Actuarial Journal 2(1), 48-72]) and the Laplace transform of a first passage time which are both readily available. The generalized Gerber-Shiu function is also shown to be closely related to the original Gerber-Shiu function in the same MAP risk model subject to a dividend barrier strategy. The simplest case of a MAP risk model, namely the classical compound Poisson risk model, will be studied in more detail. In particular, the discounted joint density of the surplus prior to ruin, the deficit at ruin and the maximum surplus before ruin is obtained through analytic Laplace transform inversion of a specific generalized Gerber-Shiu function. Numerical illustrations are then examined.     

On a class of stochastic models with two-sided jumps

In this paper a stochastic process involving two-sided jumps and a continuous downward drift is studied. In the context of ruin theory, the model can be interpreted as the surplus process of a business enterprise which is subject to constant expense rate over time along with random gains and losses. On the other hand, such a stochastic process can also be viewed as a queueing system with instantaneous work removals (or negative customers). The key quantity of our interest pertaining to the above model is (a variant of) the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function (Gerber and Shiu in N. Am. Actuar. J. 2(1):48–72, 1998) from ruin theory context. With the distributions of the jump sizes and their inter-arrival times left arbitrary, the general structure of the Gerber–Shiu function is studied via an underlying ladder height structure and the use of defective renewal equations. The components involved in the defective renewal equations are explicitly identified when the upward jumps follow a combination of exponentials. Applications of the Gerber–Shiu function are illustrated in finding (i) the Laplace transforms of the time of ruin, the time of recovery and the duration of first negative surplus in the ruin context; (ii) the joint Laplace transform of the busy period and the subsequent idle period in the queueing context; and (iii) the expected total discounted reward for a continuous payment stream payable during idle periods in a queue.     

Optimal reinsurance for Gerber–Shiu functions in the Cramér–Lundberg model

Complementing existing results on minimal ruin probabilities, we minimize expected discounted penalty functions (or Gerber–Shiu functions) in a Cramér–Lundberg model by choosing optimal reinsurance. Reinsurance strategies are modeled as time dependent control functions, which lead to a setting from the theory of optimal stochastic control and ultimately to the problem’s Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation. We show existence and uniqueness of the solution found by this method and provide numerical examples involving light and heavy tailed claims and also give a remark on the asymptotics.     

On a multi-threshold compound Poisson process perturbed by diffusion

We consider a multi-layer compound Poisson surplus process perturbed by diffusion and examine the behaviour of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function. We derive the general solution to a certain second order integro-differential equation. This permits us to provide explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu function depending on the current surplus level. The advantage of our proposed approach is that if the diffusion term converges to zero, the above-mentioned explicit expressions converge to those under the classical compound Poisson model, provided that the same initial conditions apply. This is subsequently illustrated by an extended example related to the probability of ultimate ruin.     

Pricing credit default swaps with a random recovery rate by a double inverse Fourier transform

We evaluate the par spread for a single-name credit default swap with a random recovery rate. It is carried out under the framework of a structural default model in which the asset-value process is of infinite activity but finite variation. The recovery rate is assumed to depend on the undershoot of the asset value below the default threshold when default occurs. The key part is to evaluate a generalized expected discounted penalty function, which is a special case of the so-called Gerber–Shiu function in actuarial ruin theory. We first obtain its double Laplace transform in time and in spatial variable, and then implement a numerical Fourier inversion integration. Numerical experiments show that our algorithm gives accurate results within reasonable time and different shapes of spread curve can be obtained.     

On the compound Poisson risk model with dependence based on a generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula

In this paper we consider an extension to the classical compound Poisson risk model in which we introduce a dependence structure between the claim amounts and the interclaim time. This structure is embedded via a generalized Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula. In this framework, we derive the Laplace transform of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function. An explicit expression for the Laplace transform of the time of ruin is given for exponential claim sizes.     

On the renewal risk model under a threshold strategy

In this paper, we consider the renewal risk process under a threshold dividend payment strategy. For this model, the expected discounted dividend payments and the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function are investigated. Integral equations, integro-differential equations and some closed form expressions for them are derived. When the claims are exponentially distributed, it is verified that the expected penalty of the deficit at ruin is proportional to the ruin probability.     

Extended Gerber–Shiu functions in a risk model with interest

We consider a compound Poisson risk model with interest. The Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function is modified with an additional penalty for reaching a level above the initial capital. We show that the problem can be split into two independent problems; an original Gerber–Shiu function and a first passage problem. We also consider the case of negative interest. Finally, we apply the results to a model considered by Embrechts and Schmidli (1994).     

Dividend payments with a threshold strategy in the compound Poisson risk model perturbed by diffusion

In the absence of dividends, the surplus of an insurance company is modelled by a compound Poisson process perturbed by diffusion. Dividends are paid at a constant rate whenever the modified surplus is above the threshold, otherwise no dividends are paid. Two integro-differential equations for the expected discounted dividend payments prior to ruin are derived and closed-form solutions are given. Accordingly, the Gerber–Shiu expected discounted penalty function and some ruin related functionals, the probability of ultimate ruin, the time of ruin and the surplus before ruin and the deficit at ruin, are considered and their analytic expressions are given by general solution formulas. Finally the moment-generating function of the total discounted dividends until ruin is discussed.     

复合Poisson-geometric风险模型下第n次索赔时的破产概率研究

在复合Poisson-geometric风险模型下,通过构造一个特殊的Gerber-Shiu函数,推导出此风险模型下Gerber-Shiu函数满足的更新方程,破产时刻和直到破产时的索赔次数的联合密度函数,得到了第n次索赔时的破产概率的数学表达式．     

Absolute ruin in the compound Poisson model with credit and debit interests and liquid reserves

In this paper, we study the absolute ruin probability in the compound Poisson model with credit and debit interests and liquid reserves. At first, we derive a system of integro‐differential equations with certain boundary conditions for the Gerber–Shiu function. Then, applying these results, we obtain asymptotical formula of the absolute ruin probability for subexponentially claims. Furthermore, when the claims are exponentially distributed, we obtain the explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu function and the exact solution for the absolute ruin probability. Finally, we discuss the absolute ruin probability by using the Gerber–Shiu function when debit interest is varying. In the case of exponential individual claim, we give the explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu function. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On differentiability of ruin functions under Markov-modulated models

This paper analyzes the continuity and differentiability of several classes of ruin functions under Markov-modulated insurance risk models with a barrier and threshold dividend strategy, respectively. Many ruin related functions in the literature, such as the expectation and the Laplace transform of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function at ruin, of the total discounted dividends until ruin, and of the time-integrated discounted penalty and/or reward function of the risk process, etc, are special cases of the functions considered in this paper. Continuity and differentiability of these functions in the corresponding dual models are also studied.     

On the threshold dividend strategy for a generalized jump-diffusion risk model

In this paper, we generalize the Cramér-Lundberg risk model perturbed by diffusion to incorporate jumps due to surplus fluctuation and to relax the positive loading condition. Assuming that the surplus process has exponential upward and arbitrary downward jumps, we analyze the expected discounted penalty (EDP) function of Gerber and Shiu (1998) under the threshold dividend strategy. An integral equation for the EDP function is derived using the Wiener-Hopf factorization. As a result, an explicit analytical expression is obtained for the EDP function by solving the integral equation. Finally, phase-type downward jumps are considered and a matrix representation of the EDP function is presented.     

具有分红、流动储备金和利率的风险模型的绝对破产

建立了阈值分红策略下具有流动储备金、投资利率和贷款利率的复合泊松风险模型.利用全概率公式和泰勒展式,推导出了该模型的Gerber-Shiu函数和绝对破产时刻的累积分红现值期望满足的积分-微分方程及边界条件,借助Volterra方程,给出了Gerber-Shiu函数的解析表达式.     

The Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty functions for a risk model with two classes of claims

In this paper, we consider the ruin problems for a risk model involving two independent classes of insurance risks. We assume that the claim number processes are independent Poisson and generalized Erlang(n) processes, respectively. When the generalized Lundberg equation has distinct roots with positive real parts, both of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty functions with zero initial surplus and the Laplace transforms of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty functions are obtained. Finally, some explicit expressions for the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty functions with positive initial surplus are given when the claim size distributions belong to the rational family.     

Optimal dividends with incomplete information in the dual model

In [Gerber, H.U., Shiu, E.S.W., Smith, N., 2008. Methods for estimating the optimal dividend barrier and the probability of ruin. Insurance: Math. Econ. 42 (1), 243-254], methods were analyzed for estimating the optimal dividend barrier (in the sense of de Finetti). In particular, De Vylder approximations and diffusion approximations are discussed. These methods are useful when only the first few moments of the claim amount distribution are known.The purpose of this paper is to examine these and other methods (such as the gamma approximations and the gamproc approximations) in the dual model, see [Avanzi, B., Gerber, H.U., Shiu, E.S., 2007. Optimal dividends in the dual model. Insurance: Math. Econ. 41 (1), 111-123]. The dual model is obtained if the roles of premiums and claims are exchanged. In other words, the company has random gains, which constitute a compound Poisson process, and expenses occur continuously at a constant rate. The approximations can easily be implemented, and their accuracy is surprisingly good. Several numerical illustrations enhance the paper.