非指数分布数族参数的经验Bayes估计的收敛速度

在“平方损失”下,研究了非指数分布族参数θ的经验Bayes估计,首先利用概率密度函数的核估计,构造了位置参数的经验Bayes（EB）估计量,在适当的条件下获得了它的收敛速度．     

指数族刻度参数EB估计的渐近最优性

依据经验Bayes(EB)估计的思想方法,研究在LINEX损失函数下指数族刻度参数的EB估计问题.在这种损失函数下,求得参数的Bayes估计,利用密度函数的核估计方法,构造了总体X的密度函数估计,从而得到参数的EB估计,证明了这种EB估计是渐近最优的,并获得了它的收敛速度,最后将这种方法推广到多参数情形,并举例、模拟说明了它的应用.     

Sur les estimateurs de Bayes minimax: une méthode constructive

Bayes estimation of the mean of a multivariate normal distribution is considered under quadratic loss. We show that, when a variance mixture of normal distributions is used as a prior, superharmonicity of the square root of the marginal density provides a viable method for constructing Bayes minimax estimators. Examples illustrate the theory. In particular, we show that a scaled multivariate Student-t prior yields a proper Bayes minimax estimate.     

单向分类随机效应模型中方差分量的渐近最优经验Bayes估计

本文在加权平方损失下导出了单向分类随机效应模型中方差分量的Bayes估计, 利用多元密度及其偏导数的核估计方法构造了方差分量的经验Bayes(EB)估计,证明了 EB估计的渐近最优性.文末还给出了一个例子说明了符合定理条件的先验分布是存在 的.     

Empirical Bayes inference for the Weibull model

In this study, the theory of statistical kernel density estimation has been applied for deriving non-parametric kernel prior to the empirical Bayes which frees the Bayesian inference from subjectivity that has worried some statisticians. For comparing the empirical Bayes based on the kernel prior with the fully Bayes based on the informative prior, the mean square error and the mean percentage error for the Weibull model parameters are studied based on these approaches under both symmetric and asymmetric loss functions, via Monte Carlo simulations. The results are quite favorable to the empirical Bayes that provides better estimates and outperforms the fully Bayes for different sample sizes and several values of the true parameters. Finally, a numerical example is given to demonstrate the efficiency of the empirical Bayes.     

伽玛分布族参数的经验Bayes双边检验的收敛速度:NA样本情形

本文研究了NA样本情形下,伽玛分布族形状参数的经验Bayes(EB)双边检验问题.利用概率密度函数的核估计,构造了参数的经验Bayes检验函数,并在适当的条件下,证明了所提出的经验Bayes检验函数的渐近取优(a.o.)性,获得了其收敛速度.     

基于近邻方法下分布参数的贝叶斯分析

本文基于近邻方法下,构造了连续型单参数指数族参数的经验Bayes(EB)检验函数,在适当的条件下证明了所提出的经验Bayes检验函数的大样本性质.     

负相伴样本情形下线性指数分布参数的经验Bayes估计

本文在同分布负相伴样本情形下利用密度函数的核估计构造了线性指数分布参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计,并在适当的条件下获得了它的收敛速度.最后,给出了一个有关本文主要结果的例子.     

基于无失效数据的可靠度的估计

对二项分布无失效数据，在可靠度的先验密度为且时，给出了可靠度的多层Bayes估计．     

舍入数据下Lomax分布形状参数的经验Bayes检验问题

本文研究了舍入数据下Lomax分布形状参数的经验Bayes (EB)单侧检验问题.利用密度函数的递归核估计构造了参数的EB检验函数,并在适当的条件下证明了所提出的EB检验函数的渐近最优性,获得了它的收敛速度.最后,给出一个有关本文主要结果的例子.     

The inverted complex Wishart distribution and its application to spectral estimation

The inverted complex Wishart distribution and its use for the construction of spectral estimates are studied. The density, some marginals of the distribution, and the first- and second-order moments are given. For a vector-valued time series, estimation of the spectral density at a collection of frequencies and estimation of the increments of the spectral distribution function in each of a set of frequency bands are considered. A formal procedure applies Bayes theorem, where the complex Wishart is used to represent the distribution of an average of adjacent periodogram values. A conjugate prior distribution for each parameter is an inverted complex Wishart distribution. Use of the procedure for estimation of a 2 × 2 spectral density matrix is discussed.     

一个虚拟事实模型中因果效应的Bayes估计

给出了一个虚拟事实模型中因果效应的Bayes估计和经验Bayes估计,提供了三种可替换性假设的先验分布的选择方法,并用实验说明,在不知道取哪个可替换性假设的情况下,经验Bayes估计要优于其他的估计.     

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In this paper, we investigate a competing risks model based on exponentiated Weibull distribution under Type-I progressively hybrid censoring scheme. To estimate the unknown parameters and reliability function, the maximum likelihood estimators and asymptotic confidence intervals are derived. Since Bayesian posterior density functions cannot be given in closed forms, we adopt Markov chain Monte Carlo method to calculate approximate Bayes estimators and highest posterior density credible intervals. To illustrate the estimation methods, a simulation study is carried out with numerical results. It is concluded that the maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian estimation can be used for statistical inference in competing risks model under Type-I progressively hybrid censoring scheme.     

逐步增加首失效截尾样本下参数估计的优良性

在对称平方损失函数下, 利用逐步增加首失效截尾样本, 研究两参数Pareto分布族参数的一致最小方差无偏估计(UMVUE), Bayes估计和参数型经验Bayes(PEB)估计. 按照均方误差(MSE)准则, 比较UMVUE与PEB估计的优良性. 根据风险函数导出Bayes估计与PEB估计的渐近性, 并获得它们的收敛速度. 在相同的置信水平下, 研究参数分别在经典统计和Bayes统计中的区间估计, 并利用数值模拟说明Bayes区间估计的精度高于经典统计区间估计.     

On Bayes Sequential Estimation of the Location Parameter with Nonsmooth Density

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the location parameter for a density with irregular behavior at some points (discontinuity, infinite values of the derivative, and so on). Thus, for our problem we have no finite Fisher information. In this situation, sequential estimation is usually more preferable compared to estimation based on samples of fixed size. In this paper, we establish the asymptotic efficiency of the Bayes sequential estimation plans and find their limit distribution. Bibliography: 14 titles.     

随机效应模型中方差分量渐近最优的经验Bayes估计

本文在加权二次损失下导出了双向分类随机效应模型中方差分量的Bayes估计,并利用多元密度函数及其混合偏导数核估计的方法构造了方差分量的经验Bayes(EB)估计.在适当的条件下证明了EB估计的渐近最优性,给出了模型的特例和推广.最后,举出一个满足定理条件的例子.     

The detection and estimation of the change point in a disccrete-time stochastic system

A piecewise-constant process containing a single jump is observed under noise in the context of discrete time. The conditional density and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator of the jump time as well as the Bayes detector of the jump itself are determined using the powerful measure transformation approach. The Bayes detector provides a convenient sequential detection rule for practical on-line implementation. An asymptotic result for the distribution of the MAP estimator's estimation error and the corresponding convergence rate are derived. This result provides a reference measure of optimal performance for jump-time estimators in discrete-time stochastic systems that does not depend on the jump time's prior distribution     

Learning mixtures of polynomials of multidimensional probability densities from data using B-spline interpolation

Non-parametric density estimation is an important technique in probabilistic modeling and reasoning with uncertainty. We present a method for learning mixtures of polynomials (MoPs) approximations of one-dimensional and multidimensional probability densities from data. The method is based on basis spline interpolation, where a density is approximated as a linear combination of basis splines. We compute maximum likelihood estimators of the mixing coefficients of the linear combination. The Bayesian information criterion is used as the score function to select the order of the polynomials and the number of pieces of the MoP. The method is evaluated in two ways. First, we test the approximation fitting. We sample artificial datasets from known one-dimensional and multidimensional densities and learn MoP approximations from the datasets. The quality of the approximations is analyzed according to different criteria, and the new proposal is compared with MoPs learned with Lagrange interpolation and mixtures of truncated basis functions. Second, the proposed method is used as a non-parametric density estimation technique in Bayesian classifiers. Two of the most widely studied Bayesian classifiers, i.e., the naive Bayes and tree-augmented naive Bayes classifiers, are implemented and compared. Results on real datasets show that the non-parametric Bayesian classifiers using MoPs are comparable to the kernel density-based Bayesian classifiers. We provide a free R package implementing the proposed methods.     

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??The Bayes estimators of variance components are derived under weighted square loss function for the balanced one-way classification random effects model with the assumption that variance component has the conjugate prior distribution. The superiorities of the Bayes estimators for variance components to traditional ANOVA estimators are studied in terms of the mean square error (MSE) criterion. Finally, a remark for main results is given.     

威布尔分布族刻度参数的经验Bayes检验函数的收敛速度

本文研究了在"加权线性损失"下,威布尔分布族刻度参数经验Bayes (EB)检验问题.利用概率密度函数的递归核估计,构造了刻度参数的经验Bayes检验函数,并获得了它的收敛速度,在适当的条件下,收敛速度的阶可任意接近O(n^-1),推广了文献的结果.最后给出一个有关本文主要结果的例子.