基于相依风险模型破产概率的渐近估计及其实证分析

本文研究了重尾相依风险模型,其中索赔额是一列上广义负相依随机变量,索赔时间间隔是—列广义负相依随机变量,并且两个序列是相互独立的,得到了保险公司最终破产概率的渐近结果。并且利用中国人民财产保险股份有限公司2008年的重大赔付数据,对该公司的最终破产概率进行了实证分析。     

Exponential inequalities under the sub-linear expectations with applications to laws of the iterated logarithm

Kolmogorov’s exponential inequalities are basic tools for studying the strong limit theorems such as the classical laws of the iterated logarithm for both independent and dependent random variables. This paper establishes the Kolmogorov type exponential inequalities of the partial sums of independent random variables as well as negatively dependent random variables under the sub-linear expectations. As applications of the exponential inequalities, the laws of the iterated logarithm in the sense of non-additive capacities are proved for independent or negatively dependent identically distributed random variables with finite second order moments. For deriving a lower bound of an exponential inequality, a central limit theorem is also proved under the sub-linear expectation for random variables with only finite variances.     

依随机序正相依风险下的最优再保险简

In the classic bivariate compound Poisson models, the numbers of claims are assumed to be correlated through a common Poisson distribution, while the claim sizes are independent. In this paper, we assume that both the numbers of claims and claim sizes are positively dependent through the stochastic ordering. Through comparing, we find that the condition of positive dependence through the stochastic ordering is weaker than correlating through a common Poisson distribution. In fact, the assumption of positive dependence through the stochastic ordering is weaker than independence, comonotonicity, conditionally stochastically increasing et al.. With the positively dependent risks through the stochastic ordering, we get the optimal reinsurance strategy. In addition, with the mixed two-dimensional and stochastic-dimensional dependent risks, we give the explicit expressions of retention vector under the criterion of minimizing the variance of the total retained loss and maximizing the quadratic utility, which partially solves the problem, proposed by Cai and Wei (2012a), of getting such expressions with multi-dimensional dependent risks.     

一种构造连生状态生命表的简单易行方法:方法和理论(英文)

在多生命模型中,几乎所有精算学教科书都假设被保险人的剩余寿命之间相互独立.本文中我们研究两生命模型.我们认为剩余寿命是正相依的,并用正象限相依描述相依性,给出了一种简单方法构造联合生命表.     

Limit theorems in the context of multivariate long-range dependence

This article considers multivariate linear processes whose components are either short- or long-range dependent. The functional central limit theorems for the sample mean and the sample autocovariances for these processes are investigated, paying special attention to the mixed cases of short- and long-range dependent series. The resulting limit processes can involve multivariate Brownian motion marginals, operator fractional Brownian motions and matrix-valued versions of the so-called Rosenblatt process.     

A Note on the Stability of the Integral-Differential Equation of the Hyperbolic Type in a Hilbert Space

In this paper, the initial-value problem for integral-differential equation of the hyperbolic type in a Hilbert space H is considered. The unique solvability of this problem is established. The stability estimates for the solution of this problem are obtained. The difference scheme approximately solving this problem is presented. The stability estimates for the solution of this difference scheme are obtained. In applications, the stability estimates for the solutions of the nonlocal boundary problem for one-dimensional integral-differential equation of the hyperbolic type with two dependent limits and of the local boundary problem for multidimensional integral-differential equation of the hyperbolic type with two dependent limits are obtained. The difference schemes for solving these two problems are presented. The stability estimates for the solutions of these difference schemes are obtained.     

可拓学中关联函数的构造及零界的确定

可拓学的核心是通过可拓变换使矛盾问题转化,而其定量化工具之一是关联函数,针对某些工程计算盲目套用关联函数问题和零界概念的误解,指出了错误所在并予以纠正.     

常息力更新场合有限时间破产概率对负相依索赔额的不敏感性

设索赔来到过程为具有常数利息力度的更新风险模型.在索赔额分布为负相依的次指数分布假定下,建立了有限时间破产概率的一个渐近等价公式.所得结果显示,在独立同分布索赔额情形,有限时间破产概率的有关渐近等价公式,在负相依场合依然成立.这表明有限时间破产概率对于索赔额的负相依结构是不敏感的.     

Insurability of catastrophic risks: the stochastic optimization model

Catastrophes produce losses highly correlated in space and time, which break the law of large numbers. We derive the insurability of dependent catastrophic risks by calculating conditions that would aid insurers in deliberate selection of their portfolios. This paper outlines the general structure of a basic stochastic optimization model. Connections between the probability of ruin and nonsmooth risk functions, as well as adaptive Monte Carlo optimization procedures and path dependent laws of large numbers, are discussed     

On solutions of third and fourth-order time dependent Riccati equations and the generalized Chazy system

We introduce a new transformation (nonlocal) to find the general solutions of some equations belonging to the third and fourth-order time dependent Riccati class of equations. These are in turn related to the Chazy polynomial class and the time dependent F-XVI Bureau symbol PI equations respectively.     

Shock wave solution of the variable coefficient nonlinear partial differential equations

In this paper, we consider a variable coefficient Calogero–Degasperis equation, a variable coefficient potential Kadomstev–Petviashvili equation and the generalized (3+1)‐dimensional variable coefficient Kadomtsev–Petviashvili equation with time‐dependent coefficients. Shock wave solutions for the considered models are obtained by using ansatz method in the form of tanhp function. The physical parameters in the soliton solutions are obtained as functions of the dependent coefficients. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Influence of the Homogenization on the Transient Behaviour of Size Distributed Polycrystals

The deformation in polycrystals is often heterogenous, e.g. due to grain size dependent hardening. In a semi-analytical representative volume element (RVE), a log-normal distributed grain size is assumed together with a grain size dependent local plastic behavior. The numerical results are well approximated by a simple analytical expression. The effect of the homogenization comparison stiffness on the transient behaviour is explained using a simplified localization equation. (© 2013 Wiley-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Generating functions for the powers of Fibonacci sequences

Whether or not there is an interaction between two factors in their effects on a dependent variable is often a central question. This paper proposes a general mechanism by which an interaction may arise: (a) the two factors are the same thing — or, at least, have a dimension in common — in the sense that it is meaningful to add (or subtract) them; (b) the sum of them (or the difference between them) is what determines the dependent variable; and (c) the relation between the sum (or difference) and the dependent variable is nonlinear. For example, if several factors contribute to arousal in an additive manner, and the relationship of performance score to arousal is inverted-U, the factors will appear to interact in their joint effect on performance. Psychological, medical, and other scientists are likely to be unfamiliar with the (nonlinear) equations used to express this type of theory. Consequently, the task of promoting and interpreting such ideas will fall to the mathematician and statistician.     

Sensitivity analysis of the largest dependent eigenvalue functions of eigensystems

This paper presents and discusses the first order sensitivity of the largest eigenvalue functions of eigensystems. The analysis is based on investigating the entries of the matrices associated with the finite element formulations. These entries are continuously differentiable functions, but the dependent eigenvalue functions may be continuous nondifferentiable. The main emphasis of this contribution is the derivation and the investigation of this analysis under the assumption that the generalized dependent eigenvalue functions are continuous nondifferentiable.     

Unique solvability for the density‐dependent non‐Newtonian compressible fluids with vacuum

The paper is devoted to the existence and uniqueness of local solutions for the density‐dependent non‐Newtonian compressible fluids with vacuum in one‐dimensional bounded intervals. The important points in this paper are that the initial density may vanish in an open subset and the viscosity coefficient is nonlinearly dependent of density and shear rate.     

Limit Processes with Independent Increments for the Ewens Sampling Formula

The Ewens sampling formula in population genetics can be viewed as a probability measure on the group of permutations of a finite set of integers. Functional limit theory for processes defined through partial sums of dependent variables with respect to the Ewens sampling formula is developed. Techniques from probabilistic number theory are used to establish necessary and sufficient conditions for weak convergence of the associated dependent process to a process with independent increments. Not many results on the necessity part are known in the literature.     

Density Theorems for the Domains-with-Totality Semantics of Dependent Types

We study a semantics of dependent types and universe operators based on parametrized domains with totality. The main results are generalizations of the Kleene–Kreisel density theorem for the continuous functionals. This continues work of E. Palmgren and V. Stoltenberg-Hansen on the domain interpretation of dependent types, and of D. Normann on universes of wellfounded types with density.     

Distribution dependent SDEs with singular coefficients

Under integrability conditions on distribution dependent coefficients, existence and uniqueness are proved for distribution dependent SDEs with non-degenerate noise. When the coefficients are Dini continuous in the space variable, gradient estimates and Harnack type inequalities are derived. These generalize the corresponding results derived for classical SDEs, and are new in the distribution dependent setting.     

The effect of variable properties on the unsteady Couette flow with heat transfer considering the Hall effect

The influence of temperature dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity on the transient Couette flow with heat transfer is studied. An external uniform magnetic field is applied perpendicular to the parallel plates and the Hall effect is taken into consideration. The fluid is acted upon by a constant pressure gradient. The two plates are kept at two constant but different temperatures and the viscous and Joule dissipations are considered in the energy equation. A numerical solution for the governing non-linear equations of motion and the energy equation is obtained. The effect of the Hall term and the temperature dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity on both the velocity and temperature distributions is examined.     

Overlapping Schwarz waveform relaxation method for the solution of the reaction-diffusion equation

We are interested in solving time dependent problems using domain decomposition methods. In the classical approach, one discretizes first the time dimension and then one solves a sequence of steady problems by a domain decomposition method. In this article, we treat directly the time dependent problem and we study a Schwarz waveform relaxation algorithm for the convection diffusion equation. We study the convergence of the overlapping Schwarz waveform relaxation method for solving the reaction-diffusion equation over multi-overlapped subdomains. Also we will show that the method converges linearly and superlinearly over long and short time intervals, and the convergence depends on the size of overlap. Numerical results are presented from solutions of a specific model problems to demonstrate the convergence, linear and superlinear, and the role of the overlap size.