Opportunity-based age replacement with a one-cycle criterion

In this paper age replacement (AR) and opportunity-based age replacement (OAR) for a unit are considered, based on a one-cycle criterion, both for a known and unknown lifetime distribution. In the literature, AR and OAR strategies are mostly based on a renewal criterion, but in particular when the lifetime distribution is not known and data of the process are used to update the lifetime distribution, the renewal criterion is less appropriate and the one-cycle criterion becomes an attractive alternative. Conditions are determined for the existence of an optimal replacement age T^* in an AR model and optimal threshold age T_opp^* in an OAR model, using a one-cycle criterion and a known lifetime distribution. In the optimal threshold age T_opp^*, the corresponding minimal expected costs per unit time are equal to the expected costs per unit time in an AR model. It is also shown that for a lifetime distribution with increasing hazard rate, the optimal threshold age is smaller than the optimal replacement age. For unknown lifetime distribution, AR and OAR strategies are considered within a nonparametric predictive inferential (NPI) framework. The relationship between the NPI-based expected costs per unit time in an OAR model and those in an AR model is investigated. A small simulation study is presented to illustrate this NPI approach.     

A deteriorating cold standby repairable system with priority in use

In this paper, a cold standby repairable system consisting of two dissimilar components and one repairman is studied. In this system, it is assumed that the working time distributions and the repair time distributions of the two components are both exponential and component 1 is given priority in use. After repair, component 2 is “as good as new” while component 1 follows a geometric process repair. Under these assumptions, using the geometric process and a supplementary variable technique, some important reliability indices such as the system availability, reliability, mean time to first failure (MTTFF), rate of occurrence of failure (ROCOF) and the idle probability of the repairman are derived. A numerical example for the system reliability R(t) is given. And it is considered that a repair-replacement policy based on the working age T of component 1 under which the system is replaced when the working age of component 1 reaches T. Our problem is to determine an optimal policy T^∗ such that the long-run average cost per unit time of the system is minimized. The explicit expression for the long-run average cost per unit time of the system is evaluated, and the corresponding optimal replacement policy T^∗ can be found analytically or numerically. Another numerical example for replacement model is also given.     

An imperfect maintenance model with block replacements

We consider a model in which when a device fails it is either repaired to its condition prior to failure or replaced. Moreover, the device is replaced at times kT, k = 1, 2, … The decision to repair or replace the device at failure depends on the age of the device at failure. We find the optimal block time, T₀, that minimizes the long-run average cost of maintenance per unit time. Our results are shown to extend many of the well known results for block replacement policies.     

The Optimum Repair Limit Replacement Policies

This paper considers a single unit system which is first repaired if it fails. If the repair is not completed up to the fixed repair limit time then the unit under repair is replaced by a new one. The cost functions are introduced for the repair and the replacement of the failed unit. The optimum repair limit replacement time minimizing the expected cost per unit of time for an infinite time span is obtained analytically under suitable conditions. Two special cases where the repair cost functions are proportional to time and are exponential are discussed in detail with numerical examples.     

Quantifying the risk in age and block replacement policies

Preventive maintenance policies have been studied in the literature without considering the risk due to the cost variability. In this paper, we consider the two most popular preventive replacement policies, namely, age and block replacement policies under long-run average cost and expected unit time cost criteria. To quantify the risk in the preventive maintenance policies, we use the long-run variance of the accumulated cost over a time interval. We numerically derive the Risk-sensitive preventive replacement policies and study the impact of the Risk-sensitive optimality criterion on the managerial decisions. We also examine the performance of the expected unit time cost criterion as an alternative to the traditional long-run average cost criterion.     

On a Replacement Problem of a Cumulative Damage Model

Items are assumed to fail only by degradation. An appropriate stochastic model of such items is a cumulative process in which an item can fail only when the total amount of damage exceeds a prespecified failure level. This paper introduces a replacement policy in which an item is replaced at a certain level of damage before failure or at failure, whichever occurs first. The optimum replacement level of damage which will minimize the total expected cost per unit of time for an infinite time span is obtained. A numerical example is also presented. The total expected cost for a finite time span is also discussed.     

Cost optimal replacement of monotone,repairable systems

In this paper we study the optimal replacement problem of a monotone system comprising n components, where the components are “minimally” repaired at failures. The optimality function studied is the long run expected cost per unit of time. Different categories of replacement policies are investigated.     

Replacement Policies for Components that Deteriorate

For many industrial processes the cost of a component failing in service is sufficient to warrant replacement before failure, but intensive operation of the processes restricts replacement opportunities. A model is proposed where at each opportunity replacement is optional. Dynamic programming methods are used to show that for components that deteriorate as they are used, the best policy is to replace the component if its age exceeds a control limit otherwise to defer replacement.Numerical results are given when the time to failure of the component has a gamma distribution and replacement opportunities occur at random, or are entirely regular. A "rule of thumb" is given for calculating the control limit, and it is shown to be nearly optimal.     

An optimal repair–replacement policy for a cold standby system with use priority

In this paper, the maintenance problem for a cold standby system consisting of two dissimilar components and one repairman is studied. Assume that both component 1 and component 2 after repair follow geometric process repair and component 1 is given priority in use when both components are workable. Under these assumptions, using geometric process repair model, we consider a replacement policy N under which the system is replaced when the number of failures of component 1 reaches N. Our purpose is to determine an optimal replacement policy N1 such that the average cost rate (i.e. the long-run average cost per unit time) of the system is minimized. The explicit expression for the average cost rate of the system is derived and the corresponding optimal replacement policy N1 can be determined analytically or numerically. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate some theoretical results and the model applicability.     

Maintenance policies under imperfect information

This paper presents a continuous time maintenance problem where deterioration is Markovian and the state of the system is not directly observable except by means of an inspection. The costs incurred are inspection costs, state occupancy costs and replacement costs. We examine the problem of minimizing the expected average cost per unit time.     

一个可修系统的最优更换模型

本文考虑了单部件、一个修理工组成的可修系统，在故障系统不能“修复如新”的前提下，我们利用几何过程，以系统年龄Ｔ为策略，选择最优的Ｔ使得系统经长期运行单位时间的期望效益达到最大．本文还在一定的条件下证明了最优更换策略Ｔ的唯一存在，且求出了系统经长期运行单位时间的最大期望效益的明显表达式．     

Optimal age-replacement model with age-dependent type of failure and random lead time based on a cumulative repair-cost limit policy

In this paper, we consider an age-replacement model with minimal repair based on a cumulative repair cost limit and random lead time for replacement delivery. A cumulative repair cost limit policy uses information about a system’s entire repair cost history to decide whether the system is repaired or replaced; a random lead time models delay in delivery of a replacement once it is ordered. A general cost model is developed for the average cost per unit time based on the stochastic behavior of the assumed system, reflecting the costs of both storing a spare and of system downtime. The optimal age for preventive replacement minimizing that cost rate is derived, its existence and uniqueness is shown, and structural properties are presented. Various special cases are included, and a numerical example is given for illustration. Because the framework and analysis are general, the proposed model extends several existing results.     

自动化车床最优刀具检测模型研究

针对自动化车床工序最优检测和刀具更换问题进行了探讨.将定期检测和将刀具更换作用于同一工序流程,在只考虑刀具故障条件下,通过概率论和更新过程理论建立了以单位时间内期望费用为目标函数的数学模型,以检测间隔和刀具更换间隔为策略,确定最优的策略使得目标函数达到最小,并求出了经长期运行单位时间内期望费用的明显表达式.最后还对结果进行了讨论.     

Using aggregate fill rate for dynamic scheduling of multi-class systems

For dynamic scheduling of multi-class systems where backorder cost is incurred per unit backordered regardless of the time needed to satisfy backordered demand, the following models are considered: the cost model to minimize the sum of expected average inventory holding and backorder costs and the service model to minimize expected average inventory holding cost under an aggregate fill rate constraint. Use of aggregate fill rate constraint in the service model instead of an individual fill rate constraint for each class is justified by deriving equivalence relations between the considered cost and service models. Based on the numerical investigation that the optimal policy for the cost model is a base-stock policy with switching curves and fixed base-stock levels, an alternative service model is considered over the class of base-stock controlled dynamic scheduling policies to minimize the total inventory (base-stock) investment under an aggregate fill rate constraint. The policy that solves this alternative model is proposed as an approximation of the optimal policy of the original cost and the equivalent service models. Very accurate heuristics are devised to approximate the proposed policy for given base-stock levels. Comparison with base-stock controlled First Come First Served (FCFS) and Longest Queue (LQ) policies and an extension of LQ policy (Δ policy) shows that the proposed policy performs much better to solve the service models under consideration, especially when the traffic intensity is high.     

A Maintenance Model with Opportunities and Interrupt Replacement Options

A component has time to failure X with density f(·). Opportunities arise as a Poisson process of rate λ. At an opportunity the component may at choice, be replaced at cost c₂. At failure the components can either be minimally repaired at cost c₁ or replaced at cost c₄. Finally the component may be replaced at any time at an ‘interrupt’ cost of c₃. We derive expressions for the long-run expected cost rate, and give examples of numerical optimisation with respect to control limits on age at an opportunity, and at an interrupt replacement.     

单部件可修系统的一个几何过程维修模型

本文研究了单部件、一个修理工组成的可修系统的最优更换问题,假定系统不能修复如新,以系统年龄T为策略,利用几何过程求出了最优的策略T^*,使得系统经长期运行单位时间内期望效益达到最大,并求出了系统经长期运行单位时间内期望效益的显式表达式。在一定条件下证明了T^*的唯一存在性。最后还证明了策略T^*比文献[6]中的策略T^*优。     

An optimal ordering policy for a spare unit with lead time

We consider a generalised ordering policy in which a spare unit for replacement can be delivered only by order after a constant lead time. Introducing the costs for ordering, shortage and holding, we derive the expected cost per unit time in the steady-state. We discuss the optimal ordering policy which minimises the expected cost, and show in a main theorem that the optimal policy is reduced to either one of two typical ordering policies depending on some conditions. We further discuss a similar ordering policy with varying lead times.     

考虑非周期检测的视情维修与备件订购联合策略优化

针对单部件系统/关键部件提出视情维修与备件订购联合策略,其中系统退化服从两阶段延迟时间过程且采用非周期检测策略,退化初期以检测间隔T₁检查系统状态,而在第一次识别缺陷状态时,缩短检测周期为T₂、订购备件且进行不完美维修;若系统在随后的退化中被识别处于缺陷状态,执行不完美维修直至超过阈值次数N_max并采取预防性更换,但若在检测周期内发生故障则进行更换。根据系统状态和备件状态分析各种可能更新事件及相应的联合决策,利用更新报酬理论构建最小化单位时间内期望成本的目标函数,优化T₁,T₂, N_max。与对比模型策略相比,算例结果表明所提出的联合策略能有效降低单位时间内的期望成本。     

Interrupt and Opportunistic Replacement Strategies for Systems of Deteriorating Components

In some factories production epochs occur that allow system components to be replaced at reduced cost. Over a long production run the unit cost of replacing these stochastically deteriorating components can be controlled by decisions which govern when production is to be interrupted for component replacement and when components are to be replaced at the reduced cost replacement opportunities. This paper develops and analyses models for optimizing "interrupt and opportunistic" replacement strategies in simple systems. Numerical results are given that illustrate the advantages of combining interrupt replacement with opportunistic replacement.     

Optimal replacement policy for obsolete components with general failure rates

Identical components are considered, which become obsolete once new‐type ones are available, more reliable and less energy consuming. We envision different possible replacement strategies for the old‐type components by the new‐type ones: either purely preventive, where all old‐type components are replaced as soon as the new‐type ones are available; either purely corrective, where the old‐type ones are replaced by new‐type ones only at failure; or a mixture of both strategies, where the old‐type ones are first replaced at failure by new‐type ones and next simultaneously preventively replaced after a fixed number of failed old‐type components. To evaluate the respective value of each possible strategy, a cost function is considered, which represents the mean total cost on some finite time interval [0, t]. This function takes into account replacement costs, with economical dependence between simultaneous replacements, and also some energy consumption (and/or production) cost, with a constant rate per unit time. A full analytical expression is provided for the cost function induced by each possible replacement strategy. The optimal strategy is derived in long‐time run. Numerical experiments conclude the paper. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.