害虫综合防治建模驱动“半连续动力系统理论”兴起

以害虫综合防治数学建型为启迪,对生物数学研究的一些相关问题开展了一系列的研究.从实际问题出发,我们分别建立了"常微分方程模型"以及对应的"周期脉冲控制模型";随着害虫综合防治常态化管理和环境污染常态化防治的兴起,我们建立了"状态脉冲反馈控制系统"模型,简称"半连续动力系统"模型,提出了"半连续动力系统"相关的概念,创建了其基本理论,并且作了系统性的研究,例如:半连续动力系统的周期解以及周期解的稳定性、同宿轨和同宿分支、异宿轨和异宿分支以及"双边控制系统"等概念及其判定定理的研究;进一步将"半连续动力系统"相应的理论和方法应用于生物数学其他方面的一些相关问题的研究.本文以数学模型为载体,归纳总结了近十多年来对生物数学的研究历程,指出了当前研究中尚待解决的问题.     

Dynamics analysis of a pest management prey–predator model by means of interval state monitoring and control

In this work, a new pest management strategy by means of interval state monitoring is introduced into a prey–predator model, i.e. when the pest density exceeds the slightly harmful level but is below the damage level, the biological control is adopted in case of the predator density below a maintainable level, once the pest density exceeds the damage level, the chemical control is adopted. In order to determine the frequency of the chemical control and yield of releases of the predator, analysis on the existence of order-1 or order-2 periodic orbit is carried out by the construction of Poincaré map. The results could make the pest control strategy to be a periodic one without real-time monitoring the species. In addition, the stability and attractiveness of the periodic orbit are obtained by geometry approach, which ensures a certain robustness of control, i.e., even though the species densities are detected inaccurately or with a deviation, the system will be eventually stable at the periodic orbit under the control action. Furthermore, to obtain the optimum chemical control strength and yield releases of the predator, an optimization problem is constructed. The analytical results presented in the work are validated by numerical simulations for a specific model.     

Impulsive control strategy of a pest management SI model with nonlinear incidence rate

In this work, we consider a pest management SI model with impulsive release of infective pests and spraying pesticides. We prove that all solutions of the investigated system are uniformly ultimately bounded and the pest-extinction periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable when some condition is satisfied. We also obtain the permanent condition of the system. It is concluded that the approach of combining impulsive release of infective pests with impulsive spraying pesticides provides reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management.     

Effects of population dispersal and impulsive control tactics on pest management

In this paper, we firstly consider a Lotka–Volterra predator–prey model with impulsive constant releasing for natural enemies and a proportion of killing or catching pests at fixed moments, and we have proved that there exists a pest-eradication periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable. Further, we extend the model for the population to move in a two-patch environment. The effects of population dispersal and impulsive control tactics are investigated, i.e. we chiefly address the question of whether population dispersal is beneficial or detrimental for pest persistence. To do this, some special cases are theoretically investigated and numerical investigations are done for general case. The results indicate that for some ranges of dispersal rates, population dispersal is beneficial to pest control, but for other ranges, it is harmful. These clarify that we can get some new effective pest control strategies by controlling the dispersal rates of pests and natural enemies.     

具有脉冲效应和综合害虫控制的捕食系统

本文通过生物控制和化学控制提出了具有周期脉冲效应与害虫控制的捕食系统. 系统保护天敌避免灭绝,在一些条件下可以使害虫灭绝.就是说当脉冲周期小于某一临界值时,存在全局稳定害虫灭绝周期解.脉冲周期增大大于临界值时,平凡害虫灭绝周期解失去稳定性并产生正周期解,利用分支理论来研究正周期解的存在性.进而,利用李雅普诺夫函数和比较定理确定了持续生存的条件.     

Mathematical modeling and control of population systems: Applications in biological pest control

The aim of this paper is to apply methods from optimal control theory, and from the theory of dynamic systems to the mathematical modeling of biological pest control. The linear feedback control problem for nonlinear systems has been formulated in order to obtain the optimal pest control strategy only through the introduction of natural enemies. Asymptotic stability of the closed-loop nonlinear Kolmogorov system is guaranteed by means of a Lyapunov function which can clearly be seen to be the solution of the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, thus guaranteeing both stability and optimality. Numerical simulations for three possible scenarios of biological pest control based on the Lotka–Volterra models are provided to show the effectiveness of this method.     

Dynamics on a pest management SI model with control strategies of different frequencies

Based on spraying pesticide and introducing infected pest and natural enemy for pest control, an SI ecological epidemic model with different frequencies of pesticide applications and infected pests and natural enemy releases is proposed and studied. With spraying either more or less frequently than the releases, the threshold condition of existence and global attractiveness of susceptible pest extinction periodic solution is obtained. We investigate the effects of the pest control tactics on the threshold conditions. We also show that the system has rich dynamics including period-doubling bifurcations and chaos as the release period increases, which implies that the presence of impulsive intervention makes the dynamic behavior more complex. Finally, to see how the pesticide applications can be reduced, we develop a model involving periodic releases of natural enemies with chemical control applied only when the densities of the pest reaches the given Economic Threshold. It indicates that the hybrid method is the most effective method to control pest and the frequency of pesticide applications largely depends on the initial densities and the control tactics.     

The onset of positive periodic solutions for a biochemical pest management model

In this paper, the bifurcation of nontrivial periodic solutions for an impulsively perturbed system of ordinary differential equations which models an integrated pest management strategy is studied by means of a fixed point approach. A biological control, consisting in the periodic release of infective pests, and a chemical control, consisting in pesticide spraying, are employed to maintain susceptible pests below an acceptable level. It is assumed that the biological and chemical control act with the same periodicity, but not in the same time. It is then shown that if the constant amount of infective pests released each time reaches a certain threshold value, then the trivial susceptible pest-eradication periodic solution loses its stability, which is transferred to a newly emerging nontrivial periodic solution.     

A delayed epidemic model with stage-structure and pulses for pest management strategy

From a biological pest management standpoint, epidemic diseases models have become important tools in control of pest populations. This paper deals with an impulsive delay epidemic disease model with stage-structure and a general form of the incidence rate concerning pest control strategy, in which the pest population is subdivided into three subgroups: pest eggs, susceptible pests, infectious pests that do not attack crops. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain the exact periodic susceptible pest-eradication solution of the system and observe that the susceptible pest-eradication periodic solution is globally attractive, provided that the amount of infective pests released periodically is larger than some critical value. When the amount of infective pests released is less than another critical value, the system is shown to be permanent, which implies that the trivial susceptible pest-eradication solution loses its attractivity. Our results indicate that besides the release amount of infective pests, the incidence rate, time delay and impulsive period can have great effects on the dynamics of our system.     

无公害害虫治理策略的数学研究

首先应用状态脉冲反馈控制的理论,建立了无公害害虫治理中的数学模型,并且对所建的模型进行定性分析,利用微分方程几何理论中后续函数法得到系统的阶一周期解存在的充分条件,证明该周期解是轨道渐近稳定的,同时利用数值模拟的手段讨论了系统在害虫治理中的应用意义.     

Dynamic analysis of a pest management SEI model with saturation incidence concerning impulsive control strategy

According to biological strategy for pest control, we investigate the dynamic behavior of a pest management SEI model with saturation incidence concerning impulsive control strategy-periodic releasing infected pests at fixed times. We prove that all solutions of the system are uniformly ultimately bounded and there exists a globally asymptotically stable pest-eradication periodic solution when the impulsive period is less than some critical value. When the impulsive period is larger than some critical value, the stability of the pest-eradication periodic solution is lost; the system is uniformly permanent. Thus, we can use the stability of the positive periodic solution and its period to control insect pests at acceptably low levels. Numerical results show that the system we consider can take on various kinds of periodic fluctuations and several types of attractor coexistence and is dominated by period-doubling cascade, symmetry-breaking pitchfork bifurcation, quasi-periodic oscillate, chaos, and non-unique dynamics.     

COMBINING METHODS OF PEST CONTROL: COMPLEMENTARITY OF METHODS AND A GUIDING PRINCIPLE

Four sets of models are examined which represent various pairwise combinations of several methods of pest control. These methods involve the release of sterile male pests, the inundative release of parasitoids, insecticide application, pheromone trapping and food-baited trapping with either insecticides or sterilants. It was observed that two pest control methods will combine synergistically, and thus be complimentary, if their optimal action is at different pest densities and varies differently with pest density. The synergism thus generated by differing dependence on density, can however, be obscured if the two control methods interfere with each other in some other way, as occurs for example with the use of both insecticides and inundative release of parasitoids.     

Nonlinear incidence rate of a pest management SI model with impulsive control strategy

In this work, we consider a pest management SI model with concerns about releasing of infective pests and spraying pesticides at different fixed moments. We prove that all solutions the investigated system are uniformly ultimately bounded, and there exists globally asymptotic stable pest‐extinction boundary periodic solution when certain condition is satisfied. Furthermore, the permanent condition of the system is also obtained. It is concluded that the approach, which combines releasing infective pests with spraying pesticides in different fixed moments, provides reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The dynamics of pest control pollution model with age structure and time delay

In this paper, by using pollution model and impulsive delay differential equation, we investigate the dynamics of a pest control model with age structure for pest by introducing a constant periodic pesticide input and releasing natural enemies at different fixed moment. We assume only the pests are affected by pesticide. We show that there exists a global attractive pest-extinction periodic solution when the periodic natural enemies release amount μ₁ and pesticide input amount μ₂ are larger than some critical value. Further, the condition for the permanence of the system is also given. By numerical analyses, we also show that constant maturation time delay, pulse pesticide input and pulse releasing of the natural enemies can bring obvious effects on the dynamics of system. We believe that the results will provide reliable tactic basis for the practical pest management.     

具有饱和反应率和阶段时滞结构的害虫生物防治模型

考虑了一个害虫和天敌都有阶段结构及具有饱和反应率的阶段时滞脉冲捕食者-食饵模型,利用人工周期定量地投放有病的害虫和天敌去治理害虫.借助脉冲时滞微分方程的相关理论和方法获得易感害虫根除周期解全局吸引的充分条件以及天敌与易感害虫可以共存且易感害虫的密度可以控制在经济危害水平之下的充分条件.我们的结论为现实的害虫管理提供了可靠的策略依据.     

Dynamic analysis of pest control model with population dispersal in two patches and impulsive effect

In this paper, we investigate the pest control model with population dispersal in two patches and impulsive effect. By exploiting the Floquet theory of impulsive differential equation and small amplitude perturbation skills, we can obtain that the susceptible pest eradication periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable if the impulsive periodic τ is less than the critical value τ₀ . Further, we also prove that the system is permanent when the impulsive periodic τ is larger than the critical value τ₀. Hence, in order to drive the susceptible pest to extinction, we can take impulsive control strategy such that τ < τ₀ according to the effect of the viruses on the environment and the cost of the releasing pest infected in a laboratory. Finally, numerical simulations validate the obtained theoretical results for the pest control model with population dispersal in two patches and impulsive effect.     

Complex Dynamics of an Impulsive Control System in which Predator Species Share a Common Prey

In an ecosystem, multiple predator species often share a common prey and the interactions between the predators are neutral. In view of this fact, we propose a three-species prey-predator system with the functional responses and impulsive controls to model the process of pest management. It is proved that the system has a locally stable pest-eradication periodic solution under the assumption that the impulsive period is less than some critical value. In particular, two single control strategies (biological control alone or chemical control alone) are proposed. Finally, we compare three pest control strategies and find that if we choose narrow-spectrum pesticides that are targeted to a specific pest’s life cycle to kill the pest, then the combined strategy is preferable. Numerical results show that our system has complex dynamics including period-doubling bifurcation, quasi-periodic oscillation, chaos, intermittency and crises. This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (10171106).     

The dynamics of an epidemic model for pest control with impulsive effect

In pest control, there are only a few papers on mathematical models of the dynamics of microbial diseases. In this paper a model concerning biologically-based impulsive control strategy for pest control is formulated and analyzed. The paper shows that there exists a globally stable susceptible pest eradication periodic solution when the impulsive period is less than some critical value. Further, the conditions for the permanence of the system are given. In addition, there exists a unique positive periodic solution via bifurcation theory, which implies both the susceptible pest and the infective pest populations oscillate with a positive amplitude. In this case, the susceptible pest population is infected to the maximum extent while the infective pest population has little effect on the crops. When the unique positive periodic solution loses its stability, numerical simulation shows there is a characteristic sequence of bifurcations, leading to a chaotic dynamic, which implies that this model has more complex dynamics, including period-doubling bifurcation, chaos and strange attractors.     

Geometrical analysis of a pest management model in food-limited environments with nonlinear impulsive state feedback control

In this paper, a nonlinear impulsive state feedback control system is proposed to model an integrated pest management in food-limited environments. In the system, impulsive feedback control measures are implemented to control pests on the basis of the quantitative state of pests. Mathematically, an intuitive geometric analysis is used to indicate the existence of periodic solutions. The stability of periodic solutions is investigated by using Analogue of Poincar\''{e} Criterion. At last, numerical simulations are given to verify the theoretical analysis.     

MATHEMATICAL STUDY OF A PEST CONTROL MODEL INCORPORATING STERILE INSECT TECHNIQUE

The menace of insect pests is a topic of major concern throughout the world. Chemical pesticides are conventionally used to control these insect pests. However, the adverse effects of these synthetic pesticides, such as high toxicity from residues in food, contamination of water and the environment resulting in human health hazard and resistance of the pest to the pesticides have necessitated development of some nonconventional approaches of biological pest control. In this research, we have focused on a mathematical model of biological pest control using the sterile insect release technique. Unlike most of the existing modeling studies in this field that mainly deal with the pest population only, we have incorporated the crop population as a distinct dynamical equation together with the fertile and sterile insect pests. Local stability analysis is performed around the crop and fertile insect free axial equilibrium, the fertile‐insect‐free boundary equilibrium, the crop‐free boundary equilibrium and the equilibrium point of coexistence. From the study we have derived a number of thresholds for the SIRR (the main parameter for our study) that cause existence and or extinction of the crop population as well as the fertile insect pests. A global study of the model system using comparison arguments revealed existence of a global attractor for the system. Numerical simulations are done to support and augment analytical results.