Estimation of a common parameter for pooled samples from the uniform distributions

Summary The problem to estimate a common parameter for the pooled sample from the uniform distributions is discussed in the presence of nuisance parameters. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and others are compared and it is shown that the MLE based on the pooled sample is not (asymptotically) efficient.     

分数布朗运动随机微分方程的MLE和Bayes估计的大偏差不等式

本文研究了分数布朗运动随机微分方程未知参数的极大似然估计和Bayes估计的偏差不等式.在一定的正则条件下.利用似然方法给出了这两个估计量的大偏差不等式.     

单参数指数分布产品截尾样本场合简单步进应力加速寿命试验损伤失效率模型下的统计分析

本文给出单参数指数分布产品截尾样本场合简单步进应力加速寿命试验损伤失效率模型下参数的极大似然估计和拟矩估计。     

Second order asymptotic comparison of estimators of a common parameter in the double exponential case

Summary The problem to estimate a common parameter for the pooled sample from the double exponential distributions is discussed in the presence of nuisance parameters. The maximum likelihood estimator, a weighted median, a weighted mean and others are asymptotically compared up to the second order, i.e. the ordern ^−1/2 with the asymptotic expansions of their distributions. University of Electro-communications     

On exponential rates of likelihood ratio estimators for location parameters

In this paper the exponential rates, bounds, and local exponential rates for likelihood ratio estimators are studied. Under certain regularity conditions, a family of likelihood ratio estimators is shown to be admissible in exponential rate. It is also shown that the maximum likelihood estimator is the limit of this family of estimators.     

Ⅱ型区间删失数据下广义部分线性模型的筛极大似然估计(英文)

This article concerded with a semiparametric generalized partial linear model （GPLM） with the type Ⅱ censored data. A sieve maximum likelihood estimator （MLE） is proposed to estimate the parameter component, allowing exploration of the nonlinear relationship between a certain covariate and the response function. Asymptotic properties of the proposed sieve MLEs are discussed. Under some mild conditions, the estimators are shown to be strongly consistent. Moreover, the estimators of the unknown parameters are asymptotically normal and efficient, and the estimator of the nonparametric function has an optimal convergence rate.     

A third order optimum property of the ML estimator in a linear functional relationship model and simultaneous equation system in econometrics

Summary The maximum likelihood (ML) estimator and its modification in the linear functional relationship model with incidental parameters are shown to be third-order asymptotically efficient among a class of almost median-unbiased and almost mean-unbiased estimators, respectively, in the large sample sense. This means that the limited information maximum likelihood (LIML) estimator in the simultaneous equation system is third-order asymptotically efficient when the number of excluded exogenous variables in a particular structural equation is growing along with the sample size. It implies that the LIML estimator has an optimum property when the system of structural equations is large. The research was partly supported by National Science Foundation Grant SES 79-13976 at the Institute for Mathematical Studies in the Social Sciences, Stanford University and Grant-in-Aid 60301081 of the Ministry of Education, Science and Culture at the Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo. This paper was originally written as a part of the author's Ph.D. dissertation submitted to Stanford University in August, 1981. Some details of the paper were deleted at the suggestion of the associate editor of this journal.     

Generalized variance estimators in the multivariate gamma models

It is already known that the uniformly minimum variance unbiased (UMVU) estimator of the generalized variance always exists for any natural exponential family. However, in practice, this estimator is often difficult to obtain. This paper provides explicit forms of the UMVU estimators for the bivariate and symmetric multivariate gamma models, which are diagonal quadratic exponential families. For the non-independent multivariate gamma models, it is shown that the UMVU and the maximum likelihood estimators are not proportional.      

Limit theorems for maximum likelihood estimators in the Curie-Weiss-Potts model

The Curie-Weiss-Potts model, a model in statistical mechanics, is parametrized by the inverse temperature β and the external magnetic field h. This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter β when h = 0 and the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter h when β is known and the true value of h is 0. The limits of these maximum likelihood estimators reflect the phase transition in the model; i.e., different limits depending on whether β < β_c, β = β_c or β > β_c, where β_c ε (0, ∞) is the critical inverse temperature of the model.     

Sharp Error Estimate for Maximum Likelihood Estimator of Nonstationary Diffusion Processes

We consider the maximum likelihood estimator of the unknown parameter in a class of nonstationary diffusion processes. We give further a precise estimate for the error of the estimator.     

带协变量的负二项回归模型中离散参数估计的研究

针对带协变量的负二项回归模型中离散参数估计问题,推广了极大似然估计和Bootstrap极大似然估计方法,并在绝对偏差的意义下,通过模拟研究和实际数据分析研究了估计的优良性.研究结果表明协变量和样本量均对离散参数估计有影响.     

The precise asymptotic behavior of parameter estimators in Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

In the present paper, we study the asymptotic behavior for estimator of the drift parameter in an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The Lr-convergence rate and the precise asymptotics in the law of iterated logarithm and in the law of logarithm for the estimator are obtained. Moreover, we also get the complete moment convergence of this estimator. The main method of this paper is the deviation inequality for the quadratic functional.     

Likelihood Based Confidence Intervals for the Tail Index

For the estimation of the tail index of a heavy tailed distribution, one of the well-known estimators is the Hill estimator (Hill, 1975). One obvious way to construct a confidence interval for the tail index is via the normal approximation of the Hill estimator. In this paper we apply both the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method to obtaining confidence intervals for the tail index. Our limited simulation study indicates that the normal approximation method is worse than the other two methods in terms of coverage probability, and the empirical likelihood method and the parametric likelihood method are comparable.     

Local asymptotic normality and asymptotical minimax efficiency of the MLE under random censorship

Here we study the problems of local asymptotic normality of the parametric family of distributions and asymptotic minimax efficient estimators when the observations are subject to right censoring. Local asymptotic normality will be established under some mild regularity conditions. A lower bound for local asymptotic minimax risk is given with respect to a bowl-shaped loss function, and furthermore a necessary and sufficient condition is given in order to achieve this lower bound. Finally, we show that this lower bound can be attained by the maximum likelihood estimator in the censored case and hence it is local asymptotic minimax efficient.     

简单半序约束下估计位置参数的一个非参方法

This paper deals with estimating parameters under simple order when samples come from location models. Based on the idea of Hodges and Lehmann estimator (H-L estimator), a new approach to estimate parameters is proposed, which is difference with the classical L1 isotonic regression and L2 isotonic regression. An algorithm to compute estimators is given. Simulations by the Monte-Carlo method is applied to compare the likelihood functions with respect to L1 estimators and weighted isotonic H-L estimators.     

Kullback-Leibler Information Consistent Estimation for Censored Data

This paper is intended as an investigation of parametric estimation for the randomly right censored data. In parametric estimation, the Kullback-Leibler information is used as a measure of the divergence of a true distribution generating a data relative to a distribution in an assumed parametric model M. When the data is uncensored, maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a consistent estimator of minimizing the Kullback-Leibler information, even if the assumed model M does not contain the true distribution. We call this property minimum Kullback-Leibler information consistency (MKLI-consistency). However, the MLE obtained by maximizing the likelihood function based on the censored data is not MKLI-consistent. As an alternative to the MLE, Oakes (1986, Biometrics, 42, 177–182) proposed an estimator termed approximate maximum likelihood estimator (AMLE) due to its computational advantage and potential for robustness. We show MKLI-consistency and asymptotic normality of the AMLE under the misspecification of the parametric model. In a simulation study, we investigate mean square errors of these two estimators and an estimator which is obtained by treating a jackknife corrected Kaplan-Meier integral as the log-likelihood. On the basis of the simulation results and the asymptotic results, we discuss comparison among these estimators. We also derive information criteria for the MLE and the AMLE under censorship, and which can be used not only for selecting models but also for selecting estimation procedures.     

Model-Based Recursive Partitioning

Recursive partitioning is embedded into the general and well-established class of parametric models that can be fitted using M-type estimators (including maximum likelihood). An algorithm for model-based recursive partitioning is suggested for which the basic steps are: (1) fit a parametric model to a dataset; (2) test for parameter instability over a set of partitioning variables; (3) if there is some overall parameter instability, split the model with respect to the variable associated with the highest instability; (4) repeat the procedure in each of the daughter nodes. The algorithm yields a partitioned (or segmented) parametric model that can be effectively visualized and that subject-matter scientists are used to analyzing and interpreting.     

Gompertz分布TFR模型多步步进应力加速寿命试验的统计分析

本文给出了Gompertz分布产品的多步步加试验损伤失效率模型下参数的极大似然估计和拟矩估计, 最后通过模拟例子说明本文方法是可行的. 另外, 本文还给出了参数的区间估计.     

Joint modeling of cointegration and conditional heteroscedasticity with applications

A cointegrated vector AR-GARCH time series model is introduced. Least squares estimator, full rank maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and reduced rank MLE of the model are presented. Monte Carlo experiments are conducted to illustrate the finite sample properties of the estimators. Its applicability is then demonstrated with the modeling of international stock indices and exchange rates. The model leads to reasonable financial interpretations.     

Some closed form robust moment‐based estimators for the MEM(1,1)

In this paper, we extend the closed form moment estimator (ordinary MCFE) for the autoregressive conditional duration model given by Lu et al (2016) and propose some closed form robust moment‐based estimators for the multiplicative error model to deal with the additive and innovational outliers. The robustification of the closed form estimator is done by replacing the sample mean and sample autocorrelation with some robust estimators. These estimators are more robust than the quasi‐maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) often used to estimate this model, and they are easy to implement and do not require the use of any numerical optimization procedure and the choice of initial value. The performance of our proposal in estimating the parameters and forecasting conditional mean μ_t of the MEM(1,1) process is compared with the proposals existing in the literature via Monte Carlo experiments, and the results of these experiments show that our proposal outperforms the ordinary MCFE, QMLE, and least absolute deviation estimator in the presence of outliers in general. Finally, we fit the price durations of IBM stock with the robust closed form estimators and the benchmarks and analyze their performances in estimating model parameters and forecasting the irregularly spaced intraday Value at Risk.