Stationary Distribution Function Estimation for Ergodic Diffusion Process

The problem of nonparametric stationary distribution function estimation by the observations of an ergodic diffusion process is considered. The local asymptotic minimax lower bound on the risk of all the estimators is found and it is proved that the empirical distribution function is asymptotically efficient in the sense of this bound.     

On a Problem of Statistical Inference in Null Recurrent Diffusions

We consider a particular example of statistical inference in null recurrent one-dimensional diffusions. In a first parametric model, we prove local asymptotic mixed normality (LAMN) and efficiency of the sequence of maximum likelihood estimates (MLE): its speed of convergence is n ^/2 with ranging over (0, 1). In a second semiparametric model (where in addition an unknown nuisance function with known compact support is included in the drift), we prove a local asymptotic minimax bound and specify asymptotically efficient estimates for the unknown parameter.     

Local Asymptotic Normality in Extreme Value Index Estimation

This paper deals with the estimation of the extreme value index in local extreme value models. We establish local asymptotic normality (LAN) under certain extreme value alternatives. It turns out that the central sequence occurring in the LAN expansion of the likelihood process is up to a rescaling procedure the Hill estimator. The central sequence plays a crucial role for the construction of asymptotic optimal statistical procedures. In particular, the Hill estimator is asymptotically minimax.     

Stationary distribution function estimation for ergodic diffusion process

The problem of nonparametric stationary distribution function estimation by the observation of an ergodic diffusion process is considered. The local asymptotic minimax lower bound on the risk of all the estimators is found, and it is proved that the empirical distribution function is asymptotically efficient in the sense of this bound.     

LAMN in a class of parametric models for null recurrent diffusions

We study statistical models for one-dimensional diffusions which are null recurrent. A first parameter in the drift is the principal one, and determines regular varying rates of convergence for the score and the information process. A finite number of other parameters, of secondary importance, introduces additional flexibility for the modelization of the drift, and does not perturb the null recurrent behaviour. Under time-continuous observation we obtain local asymptotic mixed normality, state a local asymptotic minimax bound, and specify asymptotically optimal estimators.     

On estimation and adaptive estimation for locally asymptotically normal families

Summary Locally asymptotically minimax (LAM) estimates are constructed for locally asymptotically normal (LAN) families under very mild additional assumptions. Adaptive estimation is also considered and a sufficient condition is given for an estimate to be locally asymptotically minimax adaptive. Incidently, it is shown that a well known lower bound due to Hájek (1972) for the local asymptotic minimax risk is not sharp.Research partially supported by NSF grants no. MCS 78-02846 and MCS 77-03493-01     

Multivariate Locally Weighted Polynomial Fitting and Partial Derivative Estimation

Nonparametric regression estimator based on locally weighted least squares fitting has been studied by Fan and Ruppert and Wand. The latter paper also studies, in the univariate case, nonparametric derivative estimators given by a locally weighted polynomial fitting. Compared with traditional kernel estimators, these estimators are often of simpler form and possess some better properties. In this paper, we develop current work on locally weighted regression and generalize locally weighted polynomial fitting to the estimation of partial derivatives in a multivariate regression context. Specifically, for both the regression and partial derivative estimators we prove joint asymptotic normality and derive explicit asymptotic expansions for their conditional bias and conditional convariance matrix (given observations of predictor variables) in each of the two important cases of local linear fit and local quadratic fit.     

Weighted local polynomial estimations of a non-parametric function with censoring indicators missing at random and their applications

In this paper, we consider the weighted local polynomial calibration estimation and imputation estimation of a non-parametric function when the data are right censored and the censoring indicators are missing at random, and establish the asymptotic normality of these estimators. As their applications, we derive the weighted local linear calibration estimators and imputation estimations of the conditional distribution function, the conditional density function and the conditional quantile function, and investigate the asymptotic normality of these estimators. Finally, the simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the estimators.     

Generalized asymptotic functions in nonconvex multiobjective optimization problems

In this paper, we use generalized asymptotic functions and second-order asymptotic cones to develop a general existence result for the nonemptiness of the proper efficient solution set and a sufficient condition for the domination property in nonconvex multiobjective optimization problems. A new necessary condition for a point to be efficient or weakly efficient solution is given without any convexity assumption. We also provide a finer outer estimate for the asymptotic cone of the weakly efficient solution set in the quasiconvex case. Finally, we apply our results to the linear fractional multiobjective optimization problem.     

The FEXP estimator for potentially non-stationary linear time series

We consider semiparametric fractional exponential (FEXP) estimators of the memory parameter d for a potentially non-stationary linear long-memory time series with additive polynomial trend. We use differencing to annihilate the polynomial trend, followed by tapering to handle the potential non-invertibility of the differenced series. We propose a method of pooling the tapered periodogram which leads to more efficient estimators of d than existing pooled, tapered estimators. We establish asymptotic normality of the tapered FEXP estimator in the Gaussian case with or without pooling. We establish asymptotic normality of the estimator in the linear case if pooling is used. Finally, we consider minimax rate-optimality and feasible nearly rate-optimal estimators in the Gaussian case.     

矩阵Г分布的一致渐近正态性

相对于两个密度函数之间的Kullback-Leibler距离,本文获得了矩阵Γ分布一致渐近正态分布的条件,由于矩阵Γ分布包含了Wishart分布,因此我们也指出了 Wishart分布一致渐近正态分布的条件．     

门限自回归模型的非参数估计

对一维一阶一个门限的ＴＡＲ模型，通过模型所构成的Ｍａｒｋｏｖ链的遍历性，得到了其核密度估计的渐近无偏性，均方相容性和渐近正态性     

Local Polynomial Regression: Optimal Kernels and Asymptotic Minimax Efficiency

We consider local polynomial fitting for estimating a regression function and its derivatives nonparametrically. This method possesses many nice features, among which automatic adaptation to the boundary and adaptation to various designs. A first contribution of this paper is the derivation of an optimal kernel for local polynomial regression, revealing that there is a universal optimal weighting scheme. Fan (1993, Ann. Statist., 21, 196-216) showed that the univariate local linear regression estimator is the best linear smoother, meaning that it attains the asymptotic linear minimax risk. Moreover, this smoother has high minimax risk. We show that this property also holds for the multivariate local linear regression estimator. In the univariate case we investigate minimax efficiency of local polynomial regression estimators, and find that the asymptotic minimax efficiency for commonly-used orders of fit is 100% among the class of all linear smoothers. Further, we quantify the loss in efficiency when going beyond this class.     

On nonlinear TAR processes and threshold estimation

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a ??space switching?? in the situation when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non-Gaussian, probability density. Assuming that the unknown threshold parameter is sampled from a continuous positive prior density, we find the asymptotic distribution of the Bayes estimator. As is usual in the singular estimation problems, the sequence of Bayes estimators is asymptotically efficient, attaining the minimax risk lower bound.     

ASYMPTOTIC APPROXIMATION METHOD AND ITS CONVERGENCE ON SEMI-INFINITE PROGRAMMING

The aim of this article is to discuss an asymptotic approximation model and its convergence for the minimax semi-infinite programming problem. An asymptotic surrogate constraints method for the minimax semi-infinite programming problem is presented by making use of two general discrete approximation methods. Simultaneously, the consistence and the epi-convergence of the asymptotic approximation problem are discussed.     

强混合样本下回归加权估计的一致渐近正态性

在强混合样本下,讨论固定设计回归模型的加权函数估计的一致渐近正态性,给出一致渐近正态性的收敛速度,这个速度接近n-1／6．     

Efficient Density Estimation for Ergodic Diffusion Processes

The problem of asymptotically efficient estimation of the density of invariant measure of a diffusion process is considered. The efficient estimator is defined with the help of the minimax lower bound on the risk of all estimators. We show that the local–time and kernel–type estimators are asymptotically efficient for the loss functions with polynomial majorants. The asymptotic behavior of a wide class of unbiased estimators with the same limit variances is also discussed. This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Asymptotic normality in random graphs with given vertex degrees

We consider random graphs with a given degree sequence and show, under weak technical conditions, asymptotic normality of the number of components isomorphic to a given tree, first for the random multigraph given by the configuration model and then, by a conditioning argument, for the simple uniform random graph with the given degree sequence. Such conditioning is standard for convergence in probability, but much less straightforward for convergence in distribution as here. The proof uses the method of moments, and is based on a new estimate of mixed cumulants in a case of weakly dependent variables. The result on small components is applied to give a new proof of a recent result by Barbour and Röllin on asymptotic normality of the size of the giant component in the random multigraph; moreover, we extend this to the random simple graph.     

关于线性秩统计量的渐近正态性及其收敛速度

本文讨论线性秩统计量的渐近正态性的条件及其收敛速度．推广了Hajek关于线性秩统计量收敛于正态分布的条件的重要定理，并得出了一个较易验证的充分条件．对于一般形式的计分函数，在一定条件下得出了相应线性秩统计量收敛于正态分布的速度．     

Efficient estimation of varying coefficient seemly unrelated regression model

In this paper, we propose a class of varying coefficient seemingly unrelated regression models, in which the errors are correlated across the equations. By applying the series approximation and taking the contemporaneous correlations into account, we propose an efficient generalized least squares series estimation for the unknown coefficient functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the resulting estimators are established. In comparison with the ordinary/east squares ones, the proposed estimators are more efficient with smaller asymptotical variances. Some simulgtlon＇studies and a real application are presented to demonstrate the finite sample performance of the proposed methods. In addition, based on a B-spline approximation, we deduce the asymptotic bias and variance of the proposed estimators.