共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 109 毫秒
1.
The IPSP algorithm is an efficient algorithm for computing maximum likelihood estimation of Gaussian graphical models. It first divides clique marginals of graphical models into several groups, and then it adjusts clique marginals in each group locally. This paper uses the IIPS algorithm on junction tree to replace local adjustment on each group in the IPSP algorithm and propose a resulting algorithm called IPSP-JT to reduce the complexity of the IPSP algorithm. Moreover, we give a graph with minimum edges used by IIPS to adjust locally, and we prove its existence and uniqueness and construct a local junction tree. Numerical experiments show that the IPSP-JT algorithm runs faster than the IPSP algorithm for large Gaussian graphical models. 相似文献
2.
This paper considers the asymptotics of randomly weighted sums and their maxima, where the increments {X_i,i\geq1\} is a sequence of independent, identically distributed and real-valued random variables and the weights {\theta_i,i\geq1\} form another sequence of non-negative and independent random variables, and the two sequences of random variables follow some dependence structures. When the common distribution F of the increments belongs to dominant variation class, we obtain some weakly asymptotic estimations for the tail probability of randomly weighted sums and their maxima. In particular, when the F
belongs to consistent variation class, some asymptotic formulas is presented. Finally, these results are applied to the asymptotic estimation for the ruin probability. 相似文献
3.
本文给出了上期望空间中独立随机变量部分和的最大不等式、指数
不等式、Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund不等式. 并且应用指数不等式和Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund不等式
研究了随机变量部分和序列完备收敛的性质. 相似文献
4.
??In this paper we describe the excursions from a set explicitly for
recurrent Markov chain with discrete time. A new exit system is presented through using a
law conditioned by specifying the starting point and ending point of excursions. In a simple
case, we verify that our conditioned excursion law is a discrete approximation for that of
a diffusion. 相似文献
recurrent Markov chain with discrete time. A new exit system is presented through using a
law conditioned by specifying the starting point and ending point of excursions. In a simple
case, we verify that our conditioned excursion law is a discrete approximation for that of
a diffusion. 相似文献
5.
??In classical credibility theory, the claim amounts of different
insurance policies in a portfolio are assumed to be independent and the premiums are derived
under squared-error loss function. Wen et al. (2012) studied the credibility models with a
dependence structure among the claim amounts of one insurance policy that is called time
changeable effects and obtained the credibility formula. In this paper, we generalized this
dependence structure called time changeable effects to the claim amounts of different
insurance policies in a portfolio. Credibility premiums are obtained for Buhlmann and
Buhlmann-Straub credibility models with dependence structure under balanced loss function. 相似文献
insurance policies in a portfolio are assumed to be independent and the premiums are derived
under squared-error loss function. Wen et al. (2012) studied the credibility models with a
dependence structure among the claim amounts of one insurance policy that is called time
changeable effects and obtained the credibility formula. In this paper, we generalized this
dependence structure called time changeable effects to the claim amounts of different
insurance policies in a portfolio. Credibility premiums are obtained for Buhlmann and
Buhlmann-Straub credibility models with dependence structure under balanced loss function. 相似文献
6.
??In this paper, we studied the inverse probability weighted least squares estimation of single-index model with response variable missing at random. Firstly, the B-spline technique is used to approximate the unknown single-index function, and then the objective function is established based on the inverse probability weighted least squares method. By the two-stage Newton iterative algorithm, the estimation of index parameters and the B-spline coefficients can be obtained. Finally, through many simulation examples and a real data application, it can be concluded that the method proposed in this paper performs very well for moderate sample 相似文献
7.
Clustered interval-censored failure time data often arises in medical studies when study subjects come from the same cluster. Furthermore, the failure time may be related to the cluster size. A simple and common approach is to simplify interval-censored data due to the lack of proper inference procedures for direct analysis. For this reason, we proposed the within-cluster resampling-based method to consider the case II interval-censored data under the additive hazards
model. With-cluster resampling is simple but computationally intensive. A major advantage of the proposed approach is that the estimator can be easily implemented when the cluster size is informative. Asymptotic properties and some simulation results are provided and indicate that the proposed approach works well. 相似文献
8.
9.
10.
In this paper, we introduce the definitions of geometric strongly ergodic, strongly ergodic and weakly ergodic for continuous-state Markov chains, then we give a primary proof of equivalence of the ergodicities for continuous-state Markov chains. 相似文献
11.
The principle of exponential premium is an important premium principle in non-life actuarial science. This paper proposes an improved exponential premium principle. This premium principle can not only include the principle of exponential premium as a special case, but also the generalizations of Esscher premium principle and net premium principle, which has many excellent properties as a premium principle. We study the maximal likelihood estimates, nonparametric estimates and Bayesian estimation of risk premium, and discuss the statistical properties including asymptotic unbiased, coincidence, and asymptotic normality. In addition, the asymptotic confidence interval for this risk premium is given. Finally, the convergence rate of maximum likelihood estimation and nonparametric
estimation is compared by numerical simulation method. The results show that the nonparametric estimation has a small mean square error when the sample
size is small. 相似文献
12.
??The principle of exponential premium is an important premium principle in non-life actuarial science. This paper proposes an improved exponential premium principle. This premium principle can not only include the principle of exponential premium as a special case, but also the generalizations of Esscher premium principle and net premium principle, which has many excellent properties as a premium principle. We study the maximal likelihood estimates, nonparametric estimates and Bayesian estimation of risk premium, and discuss the statistical properties including asymptotic unbiased, coincidence, and asymptotic normality. In addition, the asymptotic confidence interval for this risk premium is given. Finally, the convergence rate of maximum likelihood estimation and nonparametric
estimation is compared by numerical simulation method. The results show that the nonparametric estimation has a small mean square error when the sample
size is small. 相似文献
13.
14.
15.
In the classical credibility theory, the credibility premium is derived on the basis of pure premium. However, the insurance
practice demands that the premium must be charged under some adaptable premium principle and serves the purpose for insurance
business. In this paper, the balanced credibility models have been built under exponential principle, and the credibility
estimator of individual exponential premium is derived. This result is also extended to the versions of multitude contracts,
and the estimation of the structure parameters is investigated. Finally, the simulations have been introduced to show the
consistency of the credibility estimator and its differences from the classical one. 相似文献
16.
最大熵——均值方差保费原则 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本为利用熵在金融市场的两个功能;度量风险资产的投资风险和推测资产的概率分布,抓住了不确定性的本质,用熵值来度量由概率分布向信息转化的不确定性,建立了新的保费原则;最大熵—均值方差保费原则,使保费的制定更趋于合理. 相似文献
17.
18.
19.
将影响银行资产价值的风险因素分解为系统风险因素和银行特定风险因素,进而在系统风险因素点估计和区间估计的不同预期下测算银行存款保险费率水平,得到的费率能够反映银行资产风险随经济形势波动的变化情况。通过模拟测算了我国16家上市银行2008~2016年间特定经济形势情境下的存款保险费率水平,并在极端压力下与传统Merton费率进行了比较。得到的基本结论包括:不同年度不同银行费率对系统风险因素的敏感程度不同;经济形势尾部极端分布对费率的影响具有非对称性特点,风险极高区间对费率的贡献远大于风险极低区间;与传统的Merton费率相比,系统风险特定预期下测算的费率更契合经济形势的变化,这在存款保险制度运行初期,有利于增强基金的抗压能力。 相似文献
20.
Li Xun & Dehui Wang 《数学研究通讯:英文版》2012,28(4):367-375
In this paper, we propose a new risk measure which is based on the Orlicz premium principle to characterize catastrophe risk premium. The intention is to
develop a formulation strategy for Catastrophe Fund. The logarithm equivalent form
of reinsurance premium is regarded as the retention of reinsurer, and the differential
earnings between the reinsurance premium and the reinsurer's retention is accumulated as a part of Catastrophe Fund. We demonstrate that the aforementioned risk
measure has some good properties, which are further confirmed by numerical simulations in R environment. 相似文献