Optimal harvesting policy of a stochastic predator–prey model with time delay

This paper concerns the optimal harvesting of a stochastic delay predator–prey model. Sufficient and necessary conditions for the existence of an optimal control are established. The optimal harvesting effort and the maximum value of the cost function are obtained as well. Some numerical tests are given to illustrate the main results.     

THE FOREST ROTATION PROBLEM WITH STOCHASTIC HARVEST AND AMENITY VALUE

ABSTRACT. We present a general approach to study optimal rotation policy with amenity valuationunder stochastic forest stand value. We state a set of weak conditions under which a unique optimal harvesting threshold exists and derive the value of the optimal policy. We characterize the impact of forest stand value volatility on both the total and the marginal expected cumulative present value of the revenues accrued from amenities. We also illustrate our results numerically and find that depending on the precise characteristics of amenity valuation higher forest stand value volatility may accelerate the rotation policy by decreasing the optimal harvesting threshold.     

Global asymptotic stability of a two species competitive system with stage structure and harvesting

Introduction' There have recently appeared in the literature several mathematical models of stagestructured population growth, i. e., models which take into account the faCt that individuals in a population may belong to one of two classes, the immatures and the matureslllZI.Cannibalism has been observed in a great variety of species, including a number of fish species.Cannibalism models of various types have also been investigatedI3"l. In these models, the ageto maturity is represented by a…     

Optimal Harvesting and Stability for a Predator-prey System with Stage Structure

The dynamics of a predator-prey system, where prey population has two stages, an immature stage and a mature stage with harvesting, the growth of predator population is of Lotka-Volterra nature, are modelled by a system of retarded functional differential equations. We obtain conditions for global asymptotic stability of three nonnegative equilibria and a threshold of harvesting for the mature prey population. The effect of delay on the population at positive equilibrium and the optimal harvesting of the mature prey population are also considered.     

Harvesting of a phytoplankton–zooplankton model

Considering that some phytoplankton and zooplankton are harvested for food, a phytoplankton–zooplankton model with harvesting is proposed and investigated. First, stability conditions of equilibria and existence conditions of a Hopf-bifurcation are established. Our results indicate that over exploitation would result in the extinction of the population and an appropriate harvesting strategy should ensure the sustainability of the population which is in line with reality. Furthermore, the existence of bionomic equilibria and the optimal harvesting policy are discussed. The present value of revenues is maximized by using Pontryagin’s maximum principle subject to the state equations and the control constraints. We discussed the case of optimal equilibrium solution. It is found that the shadow prices remain constant over time in optimal equilibrium when they satisfy the transversality condition. It is established that the zero discounting leads to the maximization of economic revenue and that an infinite discount rate leads to complete dissipation of economic rent. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to illustrate our results.     

Mid-term bio-economic optimization of multi-species fisheries

In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of a multi-species fisheries system in the presence of harvesting. We solve the problem of finding the optimal harvesting strategy for a mid-term horizon with a fixed final stock of each species, while maximizing the expected present value of total revenues. The problem is formulated as an optimal control problem. For its solution, we combine techniques derived from Pontryagin’s Maximum Principle, cyclic coordinate descent and the shooting method. The algorithm we develop can solve problems both with inter-species competition and with predator–prey behaviors. Several numerical examples are presented to illustrate the different possibilities of the method and a study of the dependence of the behavior on some parameters is performed.     

The structure of optimal solutions for harvesting a renewable resource

We consider the problem of optimal harvesting of a renewable resource whose dynamics are governed by logistic growth and whose payoff is proportional to the harvest. We consider both the case of a finite and an infinite time horizon and analyse the structure of the optimal solutions and their dependence on the parameters of the model. We show that the optimal policy can only have one of three structures: (1) maximal harvesting effort until the resource is depleted, (2) zero harvesting during an initial time interval followed by a subsequent switch to maximal harvesting effort, or (3) a singular solution, which corresponds to an intermediate level of harvesting, accompanied by the most rapid approach path. All three scenarios emerge, with minor variations, with finite and infinite time horizons, depending on the particular combination of parameters of the system. We characterize the conditions under which the singular solution is optimal and present suggestions for designing an optimal and sustainable harvesting strategy. Recommendations for Resource Managers :

• We have rigorously explored a standard optimal harvesting model and its steady states.
• We show that three different types of solutions may emerge: (i) maximal harvesting eventually leading to a complete depletion of the stock; (ii) maximal harvesting with a potential period of idleness leading to a positive stock; (iii) an initial phase of either no or full harvesting followed by a period of intermediate harvesting intensity leading to a positive stock (singular solution).
• With some modifications, similar results hold for a finite planning horizon.
• Which of these three scenarios emerges in the finite horizon case depends not only on the parameter values but also on the length of the planning horizon.

     

Homoclinic bifurcation for a general state-dependent Kolmogorov type predator–prey model with harvesting

In this paper, a general Kolmogorov type predator–prey model is considered. Together with a constant-yield predator harvesting, the state dependent feedback control strategies which take into account the impulsive harvesting on predators as well as the impulsive stocking on the prey are incorporated in the process of population interactions. We firstly study the existence of an order-1 homoclinic cycle for the system. It is shown that an order-1 positive periodic solution bifurcates from the order-1 homoclinic cycle through a homoclinic bifurcation as the impulsive predator harvesting rate crosses some critical value. The uniqueness and stability of the order-1 positive periodic solution are derived by applying the geometry theory of differential equations and the method of successor function. Finally, some numerical examples are provided to illustrate the main results. These results indicate that careful management of resources and harvesting policies is required in the applied conservation and renewable resource contexts.     

Non-selective harvesting in prey–predator models with delay

In this paper we are interested in studying the combined effects of harvesting and time delay on the dynamics of the generalized Gause type predator–prey models. It is shown that in these models the time delay may cause a stable equilibrium to become unstable and even a switching of stabilities, on the other hand harvesting effort has a stabilizing effect on the equilibrium if it is under the critical harvesting effort level. Simulations are carried out to explain some of the mathematical conclusions.     

A new predator-prey model with a profitless delay of digestion and impulsive perturbation on the prey

In this paper, we formulate a robust prey-dependent consumption predator-prey model with a delay of digestion and impulsive perturbation on the prey. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain a ‘predator-eradication’ periodic solution and show that the ‘predator-eradication’ periodic solution is globally attractive when harvesting for the prey is over certain value. Using a new qualitative analysis method for impulsive and delay differential equations, we prove the system is uniformly persistent when harvesting for the prey is under certain value. Further, we show the delay of digestion is a “profitless” time delay. Moreover, we show our theoretical results by numerical simulation. In this paper, the main feature is that we introduce a delay of digestion and impulsive effects into the predator-prey model and exhibit a new mathematical method which is applied to investigate the system which is governed by both impulsive and delay differential equations.     

Optimal harvesting policy for general stochastic Logistic population model

We consider some optimal harvesting policies for a general stochastic Logistic population model. For two management objectives, that are maximum sustainable yield and the maximum retained profits, the optimal harvesting policies are obtained. Meanwhile, the optimal harvest effort, the maximum of expectation of sustainable yield (or retained profits) and the corresponding variance are given.     

Chaos in delay-induced Leslie–Gower prey–predator–parasite model and its control through prey harvesting

In this paper we analyze a delay-induced predator–prey–parasite model with prey harvesting, where the predator–prey interaction is represented by Leslie–Gower type model with type II functional response. Infection is assumed to spread horizontally from one infected prey to another susceptible prey following mass action law. Spreading of disease is not instantaneous but mediated by a time lag to take into account the time required for incubation process. Both the susceptible and infected preys are subjected to linear harvesting. The analysis is accomplished in two phases. First we analyze the delay-induced predator–prey–parasite system in absence of harvesting and proved the local & global dynamics of different (six) equilibrium points. It is proved that the delay has no influence on the stability of different equilibrium points except the interior one. Delay may cause instability in an otherwise stable interior equilibrium point of the system and larger delay may even produce chaos if the infection rate is also high. In the second phase, we explored the dynamics of the delay-induced harvested system. It is shown that harvesting of prey population can suppress the abrupt fluctuations in the population densities and can stabilize the system when it exceeds some threshold value.     

On a problem of optimal harvesting from a stochastic system with a jump component

In this paper, we study a problem of optimal harvesting from a stochastic system modeled by a geometric Lévy process. A verification theorem of the variational inequality type is also given and proved. The paper has been motivated by I. Elsanosi et al. [Stochastics Stochastics Rep. (2000)], where the authors considered an optimal harvesting problem with price dynamics following a stochastic differential delay equation.     

Bifurcation and control of a bioeconomic model of a prey–predator system with a time delay

In this paper, we analyze the dynamical behaviour of a bioeconomic model system using differential algebraic equations. The system describes a prey–predator fishery with prey dispersal in a two-patch environment, one of which is a free fishing zone and other is a protected zone. It is observed that a singularity-induced bifurcation phenomenon appears when a variation of the economic interest of harvesting is taken into account. We have incorporated a state feedback controller to stabilize the model system in the case of positive economic interest. A discrete-type gestational delay of predators is incorporated, and its effect on the dynamical behaviour of the model is analyzed. The occurrence of Hopf bifurcation of the proposed model with positive economic profit is shown in the neighbourhood of the coexisting equilibrium point through considering the delay as a bifurcation parameter. Finally, some numerical simulations are given to verify the analytical results, and the system is analyzed through graphical illustrations.     

Dynamic programming in stochastic control of systems with delay

We consider optimal control problems for systems described by stochastic differential equations with delay (SDDE). We prove a version of Bellman's principle of optimality (the dynamic programming principle) for a general class of such problems. That the class in general means that both the dynamics and the cost depends on the past in a general way. As an application, we study systems where the value function depends on the past only through some weighted average. For such systems we obtain a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial differential equation that the value function must solve if it is smooth enough. The weak uniqueness of the SDDEs we consider is our main tool in proving the result. Notions of strong and weak uniqueness for SDDEs are introduced, and we prove that strong uniqueness implies weak uniqueness, just as for ordinary stochastic differential equations.     

Analysis of a delayed predator-prey model with ratio-dependent functional response and quadratic harvesting

In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of a ratio dependent predator-prey model with quadratic harvesting. We examine the existence of the positive equilibria, the related dynamical behaviors of the model, as well as the boundedness and permanence property of the system. We also study the global stability of the interior equilibrium without time delay. Finally some bifurcation analysis is carried out for the system with delay and the results are illustrated numerically.     

Optimal exploitation for hybrid systems of renewable resources under partial observation

This work focuses on optimal controls for hybrid systems of renewable resources in random environments. We propose a new formulation to treat the optimal exploitation with harvesting and renewing. The random environments are modeled by a Markov chain, which is hidden and can be observed only in a Gaussian white noise. We use the Wonham filter to estimate the state of the Markov chain from the observable process. Then we formulate a harvesting–renewing model under partial observation. The Markov chain approximation method is used to find a numerical approximation of the value function and optimal policies. Our work takes into account natural aspects of the resource exploitation in practice: interacting resources, switching environment, renewing and partial observation. Numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the results and explore new phenomena arising from new features in the proposed model.     

Optimal Control and Stabilization for Some Fisher-Like Models

This article concerns optimal control and stabilization for some Fisher-like models with control acting in a subdomain ω. We investigate the optimal position of ω for some optimal harvesting problems. First, we refer to a logistic model with diffusion. We remember the necessary optimality conditions, and then obtain an iterative method to improve the position of ω for the optimal harvesting effort (for a simplified model without logistic term). Next, we consider the null stabilization for a controlled Fisher model and obtain a descent method to improve the position of ω in order to get a faster stabilization to zero. Numerical tests illustrating the effect of the last method are given. We also studied the null stabilization for a prey-predator system and have reduced it to the study of the null stabilizability for a related Fisher model.     

Optimal harvesting for periodic age-dependent population dynamics with logistic term

We prove an asymptotic behavior result for an age-dependent population dynamics with logistic term and periodic vital rates. We investigate next an optimal harvesting problem related to a periodic age-structured model with logistic term. Existence of an optimal control and necessary optimality conditions are established. A conceptual algorithm to approximate the optimal pair is derived and some numerical experiments are presented.     

Modelling and analysis of a prey–predator system with stage-structure and harvesting

In this paper, we have considered a prey–predator-type fishery model with Beddington–DeAngelis functional response and selective harvesting of predator species. We have established that when the time delay is zero, the interior equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable provided it is locally asymptotically stable. It is also shown that the time delay can cause a stable equilibrium to become unstable and even a switching of stabilities. Lastly, some numerical simulations are carried out.