威布尔分布无失效数据的统计分析

本文对Weibull分布场合下的无失效数据(ti,ni),根据“平均剩余寿命”这一概念得到了参数的拟矩估计,进而将其转化至有一个或多个失效数据的情形,利用[1]中的结果给出了失效概率pi的多层Bayes估计,从而利用分布函数曲线拟合方法得到了未知参数的估计．并结合实际问题进行了计算．     

On the admissibility of an estimator of a normal mean vector under a linex loss function

For ap-variate normal mean with known variances, the model proposed by Zellner (1986,J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,81, 446–451) is discussed in a slightly different framework. A generalized Bayes estimate is derived from a three-stage Bayes point of view under the asymmetric loss function, and the admissibility of such estimators is proved.     

对Stein的SLS估计的改进研究

提出一类新的估计——c-(K,S)型估计,证明了在均方误差意义下运用泛岭回归技术可以改进S te in的SLS估计,同时给出了参数的最优值满足的条件.     

Estimating population proportions in the presence of missing data

This paper discusses the estimation of a population proportion in the presence of missing data and using auxiliary information at the estimation stage. A general class of estimators, which make efficient use of the available information, are proposed. Some theoretical properties of the proposed estimators are analyzed, and they allow us to find the optimal value for the proposed class in the sense of minimal variance. The optimal estimator is thus more efficient than the customary estimator. Results derived from a simulation study indicate that the proposed optimal estimator gives desirable results in comparison to alternative estimators.     

GENERAL MINIMAX ESTIMATORS ON THE LOCATION MATRIX OF A MIXTURE OF NORMALS

This paper considers the estimate problem on the mean matrix of mixtureof normals. In order to evaluate estimators of the mean matrix, a fundamental frameof Ф-(general) decision problem is established. Under the frame, a class of Ф-minimax estimators are constructed.     

Pitman准则下指数分布刻度参数幂的分组定数截尾估计

在Pitman准则下,对指数分布刻度参数σ的形为σ     

响应变量随机缺失下的半参变系数模型的均值估计

在响应变量随机缺失时,研究了半参数变系数模型响应变量均值的借补估计.首先利用完整个体估计模型中的参数与非参数部分,然后再用借补方法与加权借补方法估计响应变量的均值.最后求出了估计的渐近偏差与渐近方差,研究了所得到的估计的渐近性质,并进行模拟比较.     

A Family of Estimators of Finite-Population Distribution Function Using Auxiliary Information

This paper considers the problem of estimating the finite-population distribution function and quantiles with the use of auxiliary information at the estimation stage of a survey. We propose the families of estimators of the distribution function of the study variate y using the knowledge of the distribution function of the auxiliary variate x. In addition to ratio, product and difference type estimators, many other estimators are identified as members of the proposed families. For these families the approximate variances are derived, and in addition, the optimum estimator is identified along with its approximate variance. Estimators based on the estimated optimum values of the unknown parameters used to minimize the variance are also given with their properties. Further, the family of estimators of a finite-population distribution function using two-phase sampling is given, and its properties are investigated.      

一类独立随机变量均值中参数的估计

本文给出了独立随机变量均值中参数ａ＝（ａ１，…，ａｐ）′的估计量（ａ１Ｘ１，…，ａｐＸｐ）′在加权平方和损失下为可容许估计的充要条件及在一般损失Ｌｖ下为可容许估计的充分条件（在线性估计类中）。     

On one twoepoch linear model with the nuisance parameters

The optimum linear estimators of the useful mean value parameters within a linear regression model with the stable and variable parameters and with the nuisance parameters are derived including their characteristics of accuracy. Some verification of theoretical results is presented.      

带有缺失数据的广义半参数模型的均值借补估计

本文在响应变量随机缺失时, 给出了广义半参数模型中响应变量的2个均值拟似然借补估计.证明了它们具有渐近正态性, 给出了估计的渐近偏差与渐近方差, 并进行模拟比较.     

多元线性模型中回归系数的线性可容许估计

基于Zellner的平衡损失的思想,本文提出了矩阵形式的平衡损失函数,并在该损失函数下讨论了多元回归系数线性估计的可容许性.给出了六种不同形式的可容许定义,证明了这六种容许性在齐次和非齐次线性估计类中是一致的,且得到了其共同的可容许估计的充要条件.     

Optimizing in the class of Fuller modified limited information maximum likelihood estimators

A general class of Fuller modified maximum likelihood estimators are considered. It is shown that this class possesses finite moments. Asymptotic bias and asymptotic mean squared error are derived using small-σ expansions. A simulation study is carried out to compare different estimators in this class with standard estimators.     

Incorporating big microdata in life table construction: A hypothesis-free estimator

The IT revolution, now more than ever, offers a cheaper and faster way to collect, store, transmit and process data. Detailed microdata of dates of death, migration and birth are already becoming available for general populations. In this paper, we develop within the family of period-based estimators a new, assumption-free estimator for constructing life tables. The estimator proposed exploits all the detailed data available and is free of the theoretical inconsistencies that the estimators currently used by most official statistical agencies have. We compute the proposed estimator for a real database and test the suitability of the hypotheses on which the estimators used so far rely. The hypothesis of uniform distribution of birthdays is proven to be inadequate and the one having the largest impact on the estimated probabilities. Given its influence on public pension systems and life insurances, we advocate for adopting the more efficient approaches proposed in this paper.     

An extended class of minimax generalized Bayes estimators of regression coefficients

We derive minimax generalized Bayes estimators of regression coefficients in the general linear model with spherically symmetric errors under invariant quadratic loss for the case of unknown scale. The class of estimators generalizes the class considered in Maruyama and Strawderman [Y. Maruyama, W.E. Strawderman, A new class of generalized Bayes minimax ridge regression estimators, Ann. Statist., 33 (2005) 1753–1770] to include non-monotone shrinkage functions.     

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??The Bayes estimators of variance components are derived under weighted square loss function for the balanced one-way classification random effects model with the assumption that variance component has the conjugate prior distribution. The superiorities of the Bayes estimators for variance components to traditional ANOVA estimators are studied in terms of the mean square error (MSE) criterion. Finally, a remark for main results is given.     

缺失数据下广义变系数模型的均值借补估计

本文在响应变量随机缺失时,给出广义变系数模型中响应变量的2个均值拟似然借补估计。证明了它们具有渐近正态性,并进行了模拟研究。     

An Optimum Multivariate Stratified Sampling Design with Nonresponse: A Lexicographic Goal Programming Approach

In a multivariate stratified sample survey with L strata and p > 1 characteristics, defined on each unit of the population, let the estimation of all the p-population means be of interest. As discussed by Cochran (1977), since the optimum allocation for one characteristic will not in general be optimum for other characteristics some compromise must be reached in a multiple characteristics stratified surveys. Various authors worked out allocations that are based on a compromise criterion. The resulting allocations are optimal for all characteristics in some sense, for example an allocation that minimizes the trace of the variance-covariance matrix of the estimators of the population means or an allocation that minimizes the weighted average of the variances or an allocation that maximizes the total relative efficiency of the estimators as compared to the corresponding individual optimum allocations. In the present paper the problem of optimum allocation in multivariate stratified random sampling in the presence of nonresponse has been formulated as a multiobjective integer nonlinear programming problem and a solution procedure is developed using goal programming technique. Three numerical examples are worked out to illustrate the computational details. A comparison of the proposed method with some well known methods is also carried out to show the practical utility of the proposed method.     

Reducing component estimation for varying coefficient models with longitudinal data

Varying-coefficient models with longitudinal observations are very useful in epidemiology and some other practical fields.In this paper,a reducing component procedure is proposed for es- timating the unknown functions and their derivatives in very general models,in which the unknown coefficient functions admit different or the same degrees of smoothness and the covariates can be time- dependent.The asymptotic properties of the estimators,such as consistency,rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution,are derived.The asymptotic results show that the asymptotic variance of the reducing component estimators is smaller than that of the existing estimators when the coefficient functions admit different degrees of smoothness.Finite sample properties of our procedures are studied through Monte Carlo simulations.     

Second derivative estimation using harmonic analysis

Simulation sensitivity analysis is an important problem for simulation practitioners analyzing complex systems. The significance of this problem has resulted in the development of various gradient estimators that can be used to address this issue. Although higher derivative estimators have been discussed concurrently, less attention has been given to assess the efficiency and feasibility of computing such estimators. In this paper, two second derivative estimators are presented. The first estimators, called the HFD estimators, combine harmonic gradient estimators with finite differences second derivative estimators. The resulting hybrid estimators requireO(p) fewer simulation runs to implement compared to the straightforward finite differences approach, wherep is the number of input parameters in the simulation model. The second estimators, called the HA estimators, incorporate harmonic analysis directly, requiring one or two simulation runs to implement, depending on whether a control variate simulation run is made. Expressions for the bias and the variance of the HFD and the HA estimators (with and without variance reduction techniques) are derived. Optimal mean squared error convergence rates are also discussed. In particular, the convergence rates for both these estimators are shown to be the same, though the computational performance of the HFD estimators is better than that for the HA estimators on anM/M/1 queue simulation model. Computational results for the HFD estimators on an (s, S) inventory system simulation model are also included.