Human dynamics scaling characteristics for aerial inbound logistics operation

In recent years, the study of power-law scaling characteristics of real-life networks has attracted much interest from scholars; it deviates from the Poisson process. In this paper, we take the whole process of aerial inbound operation in a logistics company as the empirical object. The main aim of this work is to study the statistical scaling characteristics of the task-restricted work patterns. We found that the statistical variables have the scaling characteristics of unimodal distribution with a power-law tail in five statistical distributions — that is to say, there obviously exists a peak in each distribution, the shape of the left part closes to a Poisson distribution, and the right part has a heavy-tailed scaling statistics. Furthermore, to our surprise, there is only one distribution where the right parts can be approximated by the power-law form with exponent α=1.50. Others are bigger than 1.50 (three of four are about 2.50, one of four is about 3.00). We then obtain two inferences based on these empirical results: first, the human behaviors probably both close to the Poisson statistics and power-law distributions on certain levels, and the human-computer interaction behaviors may be the most common in the logistics operational areas, even in the whole task-restricted work pattern areas. Second, the hypothesis in Vázquez et al. (2006) [A. Vázquez, J. G. Oliveira, Z. Dezsö, K.-I. Goh, I. Kondor, A.-L. Barabási. Modeling burst and heavy tails in human dynamics, Phys. Rev. E 73 (2006) 036127] is probably not sufficient; it claimed that human dynamics can be classified as two discrete university classes. There may be a new human dynamics mechanism that is different from the classical Barabási models.     

The complexity nature of large-scale software systems

In software engineering, class diagrams are often used to describe the system's class structures in Unified Modelling Language (UML). A class diagram, as a graph, is a collection of static declarative model elements, such as classes, interfaces, and the relationships of their connections with each other. In this paper, class graphs are examined within several Java software systems provided by Sun and IBM, and some new features are found. For a large-scale Java software system, its in-degree distribution tends to an exponential distribution, while its out-degree and degree distributions reveal the power-law behaviour. And then a directed preferential-random model is established to describe the corresponding degree distribution features and evolve large-scale Java software systems.     

Sales distribution of consumer electronics

Using the uniform most powerful unbiased test, we observed the sales distribution of consumer electronics in Japan on a daily basis and report that it follows both a lognormal distribution and a power-law distribution and depends on the state of the market. We show that these switches occur quite often. The underlying sales dynamics found between both periods nicely matched a multiplicative process. However, even though the multiplicative term in the process displays a size-dependent relationship when a steady lognormal distribution holds, it shows a size-independent relationship when the power-law distribution holds. This difference in the underlying dynamics is responsible for the difference in the two observed distributions.     

Mean-field Theory for Some Bus Transport Networks with Random Overlapping Clique Structure

Transport networks, such as railway networks and airport networks, are a kind of random network with complex topology. Recently, more and more scholars paid attention to various kinds of transport networks and try to explore their inherent characteristics. Here we study the exponential properties of a recently introduced Bus Transport Networks （BTNs） evolution model with random overlapping clique structure, which gives a possible explanation for the observed exponential distribution of the connectivities of some BTNs of three major cities in China. Applying mean-field theory, we analyze the BTNs model and prove that this model has the character of exponential distribution of the connectivities, and develop a method to predict the growth dynamics of the individual vertices, and use this to calculate analytically the connectivity distribution and the exponents. By comparing mean-field based theoretic results with the statistical data of real BTNs, we observe that, as a whole, both of their data show similar character of exponential distribution of the connectivities, and their exponents have same order of magnitude, which show the availability of the analytical result of this paper.     

Mixed strategy and coevolution dynamics in social networks

We investigate coevolution dynamics of both individual strategies and social ties as they adapt within the snowdrift game with mixed strategies. We propose a partner selection mechanism based on the concept of trust. Here trust is considered an instrument for an individual both selecting the right partners and being selected amongst other potential partners. Based on her local views of the system, the focal individual dismisses the link from the partner with the lowest trust and rewires to the partner’s partner with the highest trust. It is shown that such a trust-based partner switching mechanism favors the emergence of cooperators. Furthermore, when the number of an individual’s partners is restricted (which is a metaphor of limited capacities and capabilities of an individual in real environments), surprising assortative mixing patterns are formed in the emerging network and change the network’s degree distribution from a power-law distribution to an asymmetrically U-shaped distribution. This plays a leading role in preventing global avalanches triggered by perturbations acting on the state of the highly connected individuals.     

Statistical distribution of Chinese names

This paper studies the statistical characteristics of Chinese surnames, first names and full names based on a credible sample. The distribution of Chinese surnames, unlike that in any other countries, shows an exponential pattern in the top part and a power-law pattern in the tail part. The distributions of Chinese first names and full names have the characteristics of a power law with different exponents. Finally, the interrelation of the first name and the surname is demonstrated by using a computer simulation and an exhibition of the name network. Chinese people take the surname into account when they choose a first name for somebody.     

Transition in the waiting-time distribution of price-change events in a global socioeconomic system

The goal of developing a firmer theoretical understanding of inhomogeneous temporal processes–in particular, the waiting times in some collective dynamical system–is attracting significant interest among physicists. Quantifying the deviations between the waiting-time distribution and the distribution generated by a random process may help unravel the feedback mechanisms that drive the underlying dynamics. We analyze the waiting-time distributions of high-frequency foreign exchange data for the best executable bid–ask prices across all major currencies. We find that the lognormal distribution yields a good overall fit for the waiting-time distribution between currency rate changes if both short and long waiting times are included. If we restrict our study to long waiting times, each currency pair’s distribution is consistent with a power-law tail with exponent near to 3.5. However, for short waiting times, the overall distribution resembles one generated by an archetypal complex systems model in which boundedly rational agents compete for limited resources. Our findings suggest that a gradual transition arises in trading behavior between a fast regime in which traders act in a boundedly rational way and a slower one in which traders’ decisions are driven by generic feedback mechanisms across multiple timescales and hence produce similar power-law tails irrespective of currency type.     

Weblog patterns and human dynamics with decreasing interest

In order to describe the phenomenon that people’s interest in doing something always keep high in the beginning while gradually decreases until reaching the balance, a model which describes the attenuation of interest is proposed to reflect the fact that people’s interest becomes more stable after a long time. We give a rigorous analysis on this model by non-homogeneous Poisson processes. Our analysis indicates that the interval distribution of arrival-time is a mixed distribution with exponential and power-law feature, which is a power law with an exponential cutoff. After that, we collect blogs in ScienceNet.cn and carry on empirical study on the interarrival time distribution. The empirical results agree well with the theoretical analysis, obeying a special power law with the exponential cutoff, that is, a special kind of Gamma distribution. These empirical results verify the model by providing an evidence for a new class of phenomena in human dynamics. It can be concluded that besides power-law distributions, there are other distributions in human dynamics. These findings demonstrate the variety of human behavior dynamics.     

A Langevin approach to the Log–Gauss–Pareto composite statistical structure

The distribution of wealth in human populations displays a Log–Gauss–Pareto composite statistical structure: its density is Log–Gauss in its central body, and follows power-law decay in its tails. This composite statistical structure is further observed in other complex systems, and on a logarithmic scale it displays a Gauss-Exponential structure: its density is Gauss in its central body, and follows exponential decay in its tails. In this paper we establish an equilibrium Langevin explanation for this statistical phenomenon, and show that: (i) the stationary distributions of Langevin dynamics with sigmoidal force functions display a Gauss-Exponential composite statistical structure; (ii) the stationary distributions of geometric Langevin dynamics with sigmoidal force functions display a Log–Gauss–Pareto composite statistical structure. This equilibrium Langevin explanation is universal — as it is invariant with respect to the specific details of the sigmoidal force functions applied, and as it is invariant with respect to the specific statistics of the underlying noise.     

Interpersonal interactions and human dynamics in a large social network

We study a large social network consisting of over 10⁶ individuals, who form an Internet community and organize themselves in groups of different sizes. On the basis of the users’ list of friends and other data registered in the database we investigate the structure and time development of the network. The structure of this friendship network is very similar to the structure of different social networks. However, here a degree distribution exhibiting two scaling regimes, power-law for low connectivity and exponential for large connectivity, was found. The groups size distribution and distribution of number of groups of an individual have power-law form. We found very interesting scaling laws concerning human dynamics. Our research has shown how long people are interested in a single task.     

Epidemic spreading in a finite-precision BA model

The Barabasi-Albert (BA) model with finite-precision preferential attachment is used to build a wide range of network structures. Spreading epidemics and collective dynamics are investigated on such complex networks. Numerical simulations reveal a transition from an exponential scaling to a power-law distribution of link numbers per node along with the increase of the tuning parameter ω. The collective synchronization induced by the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) epidemiological process is shown to depend on the topological structure of the network.     

A continuous model of human dynamics

Ideas and tools from statistical physics have recently been applied to the investigation of human dynamics. The timing of human activities, in particular, has been studied both experimentally and analytically. Empirical data show that, in many different situations, the time interval separating two consecutive tasks executed by an individual follows a heavy-tailed probability distribution rather than Poisson statistics. To account for this data, human behaviour has been viewed as a decision-based queuing system where individuals select and execute tasks belonging to a finite list of items as an increasing function of a task priority parameter. It is then possible to obtain analytically the empirical result P(τ)∼1/τ, where P(τ) is the waiting time probability distribution.Here a continuous model of human dynamics is introduced using instead an infinite queuing list. In contrast with the results obtained by other models in the finite case we find a waiting time distribution explicitly depending on the priority distribution density function ρ. The power-law scaling P(τ)∼1/τ is then recovered when ρ is exponentially distributed.     

An evolving model of online bipartite networks

Understanding the structure and evolution of online bipartite networks is a significant task since they play a crucial role in various e-commerce services nowadays. Recently, various attempts have been tried to propose different models, resulting in either power-law or exponential degree distributions. However, many empirical results show that the user degree distribution actually follows a shifted power-law distribution, the so-called Mandelbrot’s law, which cannot be fully described by previous models. In this paper, we propose an evolving model, considering two different user behaviors: random and preferential attachment. Extensive empirical results on two real bipartite networks, Delicious and CiteULike  , show that the theoretical model can well characterize the structure of real networks for both user and object degree distributions. In addition, we introduce a structural parameter p$p$, to demonstrate that the hybrid user behavior leads to the shifted power-law degree distribution, and the region of power-law tail will increase with the increment of p$p$. The proposed model might shed some lights in understanding the underlying laws governing the structure of real online bipartite networks.     

The BA model with finite-precision preferential attachment

Preferential attachment is an indispensable ingredient of the BA model and its variants. In this paper, we modify the BA model by considering the effect of finite-precision preferential attachment, which exists in many real networks. Finite-precision preferential attachment refers to existing nodes with preferential probability Π varying within a certain interval, which is determined by the value of a given precision, being considered to have an equal chance of capturing a new link. The new model reveals a transition from exponential scaling to a power-law distribution along with the increase of the precision. Epidemic dynamics and immunization on the new network are investigated and it is found that the finite-precision effect should be considered in tasks such as infection rate prediction or immunization policy making.     

Emergence of power-law in a market with mixed models

We investigate the problem of wealth distribution from the viewpoint of asset exchange. Robust nature of Pareto's law across economies, ideologies and nations suggests that this could be an outcome of trading strategies. However, the simple asset exchange models fail to reproduce this feature. A Yardsale (YS) model in which amount put on the bet is a fraction of minimum of the two players leads to condensation of wealth in hands of some agent while theft and fraud (TF) model in which the amount to be exchanged is a fraction of loser's wealth leads to an exponential distribution of wealth. We show that if we allow few agents to follow a different model than others, i.e., there are some agents following TF model while rest follow YS model, it leads to distribution with power-law tails. Similar effect is observed when one carries out transactions for a fraction of one's wealth using TF model and for the rest YS model is used. We also observe a power-law tail in wealth distribution if we allow the agents to follow either of the models with some probability.     

Nonlinear stochastic interacting dynamics and complexity of financial gasket fractal-like lattice percolation

A novel nonlinear stochastic interacting price dynamics is proposed and investigated by the bond percolation on Sierpinski gasket fractal-like lattice, aim to make a new approach to reproduce and study the complexity dynamics of real security markets. Fractal-like lattices correspond to finite graphs with vertices and edges, which are similar to fractals, and Sierpinski gasket is a well-known example of fractals. Fractional ordinal array entropy and fractional ordinal array complexity are introduced to analyze the complexity behaviors of financial signals. To deeper comprehend the fluctuation characteristics of the stochastic price evolution, the complexity analysis of random logarithmic returns and volatility are preformed, including power-law distribution, fractional sample entropy and fractional ordinal array complexity. For further verifying the rationality and validity of the developed stochastic price evolution, the actual security market dataset are also studied with the same statistical methods for comparison. The empirical results show that this stochastic price dynamics can reconstruct complexity behaviors of the actual security markets to some extent.     

On the origin of bursts and heavy tails in animal dynamics

Over recent years there has been an accumulation of evidence that many animal behaviours are characterised by common scale-invariant patterns of switching between two contrasting activities over a period of time. This is evidenced in mammalian wake-sleep patterns, in the intermittent stop-start locomotion of Drosophila fruit flies, and in the Lévy walk movement patterns of a diverse range of animals in which straight-line movements are punctuated by occasional turns. Here it is shown that these dynamics can be modelled by a stochastic variant of Barabási’s model [A.-L. Barabási, The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics, Nature 435 (2005) 207-211] for bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics. The new model captures a tension between two competing and conflicting activities. The durations of one type of activity are distributed according to an inverse-square power-law, mirroring the ubiquity of inverse-square power-law scaling seen in empirical data. The durations of the second type of activity follow exponential distributions with characteristic timescales that depend on species and metabolic rates. This again is a common feature of animal behaviour. Bursty human dynamics, on the other hand, are characterised by power-law distributions with scaling exponents close to −1 and −3/2.     

Translocation of closed polymers through a nanopore under an applied external field

The dynamic behaviours of the translocations of closed circular polymers and closed knotted polymers through a nanopore, under the driving of an applied field, are studied by three-dimensional Langevin dynamics simulations. The power-law scaling of the translocation time τ with the chain length N and the distribution of translocation time are investigated separately. For closed circular polymers, a crossover scaling of translocation time with chain length is found to be τ～ N α , with the exponent α varying from α = 0.71 for relatively short chains to α = 1.29 for longer chains under driving force F = 5. The scaling behaviour for longer chains is in good agreement with experimental results, in which the exponent α = 1.27 for the translocation of double-strand DNA. The distribution of translocation time D(τ) is close to a Gaussian function for duration time τ < τ p and follows a falling exponential function for duration time τ > τ p . For closed knotted polymers, the scaling exponent α is 1.27 for small field force (F = 5) and 1.38 for large field force (F = 10). The distribution of translocation time D(τ) remarkably features two peaks appearing in the case of large driving force. The interesting result of multiple peaks can conduce to the understanding of the influence of the number of strands of polymers in the pore at the same time on translocation dynamic process and scaling property.     

The impact of competition and litter accumulation on germination success in a model of annual plants

A new model of one type of annual plant dynamics is proposed and discussed. The model is based on individual agents Monte Carlo simulations. We take into account, the plant requirements for external resources (sunshine, moisture etc.), competition among plants and the influence of accumulated dead biomass on the plant germination and seed production. We show that the density of plants could have oscillatory character, with periods depending on the rate of biomass reduction. Investigations on the temporal changes in the spatial distribution of plants show some clustering and moreover persistence of patterns during the oscillations. The average number of seeds produced by a plant in a year versus density of plants has a power-law type character. The obtained results are compared with field data and findings in other theoretical models. Agreement with experimental data is found, at least on a qualitative level. We have been also able to add new arguments in the long debate about the existence or not of oscillations in plant dynamics.     

Spray flow-network flow transition of binary Lennard-Jones particle system

We simulate gas-liquid flows caused by rapid depressurization using a molecular dynamics model. The model consists of two types of Lennard-Jones particles, which we call liquid particles and gas particles. These two types of particles are distinguished by their mass and strength of interaction: a liquid particle has heavier mass and stronger interaction than a gas particle. By simulations with various initial number densities of these particles, we found that there is a transition from a spray flow to a network flow with an increase of the number density of the liquid particles. At the transition point, the size of the liquid droplets follows a power-law distribution, while it follows an exponential distribution when the number density of the liquid particles is lower than the critical value. The comparison between the transition of the model and that of models of percolation is discussed. The change of the average droplet size with the initial number density of the gas particles is also presented.