基于混合效应模型的医保费用测算及监控

近几年医改的一个核心内容就是医保支付方式的改革。2012年12月,人力资源和社会保障部、财政部、卫生部三部门联合出台了《关于开展基本医疗保险付费总额控制的意见》,提出在未来两年里,在所有医疗保险统筹地区实行总额预付工作。实行总额预付制的关键是如何科学合理的测算每家医院的预算总额。本文利用线性混合效应模型分别对某市684家医院的病人数,平均费用进行建模,给出每一家医院来年医保费用的合理参考,并且利用模型中的随机效应项自动识别医保费用和病人数异常的医院,为医保监管机构的监管提供科学依据。     

80.5 MeV/u碳离子诱发铜靶的放射性剩余产物测量

高能重带电粒子能直接穿透靶原子核外电子层,与原子核发生直接碰撞,发生散裂反应,产生一系列具有放射性的剩余产物核.重带电粒子诱发靶材放射性剩余核与辐射防护和人员安全有着密切联系,当前,大部分剩余核产额主要依靠蒙特卡罗粒子输运程序进行模拟计算,其准确程度亟需通过实验测量进行准确评估.本文利用能量为80.5 MeV/u的(12)^C⁶⁺粒子对薄铜靶开展了辐照实验与伽玛射线测量,结合伽玛谱学分析方法,得出了辐照产生的18种放射性剩余产物的初始活度和产生截面值,并与PHITS模拟结果进行对比.结果表明,PHITS模拟程序对放射性剩余核种类的估计具有较高可靠性,在其绝对产额方面,与实验测量仍具有较大偏差.     

三维热传导型半导体器件瞬态模拟问题的Crank—Nicolson差分—流线扩散有限元法及其数值分析

本文研究三维热传导型半导体器件瞬态模拟问题的数值方法。针对数学模型中各方程不同的特点，分别提出不同的有限元格式。特别针对浓度方程组是对流为主扩散问题的特点，使用Crank-Nicolson差分-流线扩散计算格式，提高了数值解的稳定性。得到的L^2误差估计关于空间剖分步长是拟最优的，关于时间步长具有二阶精度。     

随机发展方程适度解的存在唯一性(Ⅱ)

讨论如下Hilbert空间中的半线性随机发展方程的Cauchy问题 dy(t)=[Ay(t) f(t,y(t))]dt G(t,y(t))dw(t) y(O)=V_u的适度解的存在唯一性,在更一般的条件下,得到了该问题的适度解的存在唯一性。     

随机收缩偶,随机收缩与随机算子方程的解

本文引入随机收缩偶,讨论具有随机定义域的随机集值(单值)算子方程公共随机解的存在性,建立随机收缩理论与公共随机不动点理论的联系,统一和推广了这两个方向的主要结果。 关健词:随机算子;方程;公共不动点。     

Second-order random wave solutions for interfacial internal waves in N-layer density-stratified fluid

This paper studies the random internal wave equations describing the density interface displacements and the velocity potentials of N-layer stratified fluid contained between two rigid walls at the top and bottom. The density interface displacements and the velocity potentials were solved to the second-order by an expansion approach used by Longuet-Higgins （1963） and Dean （1979） in the study of random surface waves and by Song （2004） in the study of second- order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid. The obtained results indicate that the first-order solutions are a linear superposition of many wave components with different amplitudes, wave numbers and frequencies, and that the amplitudes of first-order wave components with the same wave numbers and frequencies between the adjacent density interfaces are modulated by each other. They also show that the second-order solutions consist of two parts： the first one is the first-order solutions, and the second one is the solutions of the second-order asymptotic equations, which describe the second-order nonlinear modification and the second-order wave-wave interactions not only among the wave components on same density interfaces but also among the wave components between the adjacent density interfaces. Both the first-order and second-order solutions depend on the density and depth of each layer. It is also deduced that the results of the present work include those derived by Song （2004） for second-order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid as a particular case.