基于混合效应模型的医保费用测算及监控

近几年医改的一个核心内容就是医保支付方式的改革。2012年12月,人力资源和社会保障部、财政部、卫生部三部门联合出台了《关于开展基本医疗保险付费总额控制的意见》,提出在未来两年里,在所有医疗保险统筹地区实行总额预付工作。实行总额预付制的关键是如何科学合理的测算每家医院的预算总额。本文利用线性混合效应模型分别对某市684家医院的病人数,平均费用进行建模,给出每一家医院来年医保费用的合理参考,并且利用模型中的随机效应项自动识别医保费用和病人数异常的医院,为医保监管机构的监管提供科学依据。     

多元微分学中几个重要概念间的因果关系

通过一些反例说明多元函数的极限、连续、偏导数存在、方向导数存在、可微等概念之间的关系。     

一类稀疏效应下捕食┐被捕食者系统极限环的存在性和唯一性

本文研究捕食者种群具有线性密度制约的一类稀疏效应下捕食－被捕食者系统ｘ＝ｘ（ａｘ－ｃｘ３－ｂｙ），ｙ＝ｙ（－α＋βｘ－γｙ）．（＊）得到：（１）当Ａ１＜Ａ１，Ａ２＜Ａ２，Ａ３＞Ａ３时，系统（＊）在第一象限内存在极限环；（２）当Ａ２＜Ａ２，Ａ３＞Ａ３时，系统（＊）在第一象限内存在唯一极限环     

关于一类二次哈密尔顿系统在二次扰动下的极限环个数问题

本文研究了一类具有两个鞍点和一个中心的通用二次哈密尔顿向量场在二次扰动下的三参数开折，证明极限环的最小上界为２。     

随机发展方程适度解的存在唯一性(Ⅱ)

讨论如下Hilbert空间中的半线性随机发展方程的Cauchy问题 dy(t)=[Ay(t) f(t,y(t))]dt G(t,y(t))dw(t) y(O)=V_u的适度解的存在唯一性,在更一般的条件下,得到了该问题的适度解的存在唯一性。     

随机收缩偶,随机收缩与随机算子方程的解

本文引入随机收缩偶,讨论具有随机定义域的随机集值(单值)算子方程公共随机解的存在性,建立随机收缩理论与公共随机不动点理论的联系,统一和推广了这两个方向的主要结果。 关健词:随机算子;方程;公共不动点。     

Second-order random wave solutions for interfacial internal waves in N-layer density-stratified fluid

This paper studies the random internal wave equations describing the density interface displacements and the velocity potentials of N-layer stratified fluid contained between two rigid walls at the top and bottom. The density interface displacements and the velocity potentials were solved to the second-order by an expansion approach used by Longuet-Higgins （1963） and Dean （1979） in the study of random surface waves and by Song （2004） in the study of second- order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid. The obtained results indicate that the first-order solutions are a linear superposition of many wave components with different amplitudes, wave numbers and frequencies, and that the amplitudes of first-order wave components with the same wave numbers and frequencies between the adjacent density interfaces are modulated by each other. They also show that the second-order solutions consist of two parts： the first one is the first-order solutions, and the second one is the solutions of the second-order asymptotic equations, which describe the second-order nonlinear modification and the second-order wave-wave interactions not only among the wave components on same density interfaces but also among the wave components between the adjacent density interfaces. Both the first-order and second-order solutions depend on the density and depth of each layer. It is also deduced that the results of the present work include those derived by Song （2004） for second-order random wave solutions for internal waves in a two-layer fluid as a particular case.     

具有随机生存域的随机场

本文研究具有随机开参数集的随机场构造,获得了具有已知有穷维分布的随机场存在和唯一性条件。