Markov cubature rules for polynomial processes

We study discretizations of polynomial processes using finite state Markov processes satisfying suitable moment matching conditions. The states of these Markov processes together with their transition probabilities can be interpreted as Markov cubature rules. The polynomial property allows us to study such rules using algebraic techniques. Markov cubature rules aid the tractability of path-dependent tasks such as American option pricing in models where the underlying factors are polynomial processes.     

基于方差缩减的高维美式期权Monte Carlo模拟定价

美式期权给予持有者在到期日之前任何时刻的权利,因涉及最佳执行时刻问题定价较为复杂.Monte Carlo方法其估计误差及收敛速度与问题的维数独立,可较好地处理高维衍生证券问题,且方法灵活易于实现.利用最小二乘蒙特卡洛方法(LSM),结合存储量减小技术与方差缩减技术,将Monte Carlo模拟方法应用于多标的资产的美式期权定价,并比较、分析了不同方差缩减技术的效果及适用范围.     

一种特殊重置期权的定价

在完全市场环境下,对文献所介绍的创新的重置期权,在幂型支付的情形下,当债券价格B（t）为时间t的确定性函数时,以鞅论和随机分析为数学工具得到了其定价公式.     

跳跃过程下的汇率连动期权的定价

假设汇率变化过程服从带跳的几何布朗运动,股票价格遵循带跳的O-U过程,建立汇率连动期权市场模型,利用保险精算方法和Girsanov公式,给出了汇率连动期权的定价公式,获得了欧式看涨和看跌期权定价公式及平价公式．     

Numerical valuation of discrete double barrier options

In the present paper we explore the problem for pricing discrete barrier options utilizing the Black-Scholes model for the random movement of the asset price. We postulate the problem as a path integral calculation by choosing approach that is similar to the quadrature method. Thus, the problem is reduced to the estimation of a multi-dimensional integral whose dimension corresponds to the number of the monitoring dates.We propose a fast and accurate numerical algorithm for its valuation. Our results for pricing discretely monitored one and double barrier options are in agreement with those obtained by other numerical and analytical methods in Finance and literature. A desired level of accuracy is very fast achieved for values of the underlying asset close to the strike price or the barriers.The method has a simple computer implementation and it permits observing the entire life of the option.     

A path-dependent contingent-claims approach to capacity investments

This note presents a contingent-claims approach to strategic capacity planning. We develop models for capacity choice and expansion decisions in a single firm environment where investment is irreversible and demand is uncertain. These models illustrate specifically the relevance of path-dependent options analysis to planning capacity investments when the firm adopts demand tracking or average capacity strategies. It is argued that Asian/average type real options can explain hysteresis phenomena in addition to providing superior control of assets in place.     

Valuing interdependent multi-stage IT investments: A real options approach

In this paper, we use the market asset disclaimer assumption and develop a binomial lattice based real options model to include cash flow interdependencies between multi-stage information technology (IT) investments. Using a simple two-stage IT investment problem with interdependent cash flows, we apply the binomial lattice based real options model to obtain combined valuation of the two-stage IT investment. In addition to investment valuation, our experience with the two-stage IT investment valuation suggests that the binomial lattice based real options model provides a powerful decision aid tool for appropriate timing, delaying and abandoning of the second-stage IT investment.     

Generalised soft binomial American real option pricing model (fuzzy–stochastic approach)

The stochastic discrete binomial models and continuous models are usually applied in option valuation. Valuation of the real American options is solved usually by the numerical procedures. Therefore, binomial model is suitable approach for appraising the options of American type. However, there is not in several situations especially in real option methodology application at to disposal input data of required quality. Two aspects of input data uncertainty should be distinguished; risk (stochastic) and vagueness (fuzzy). Traditionally, input data are in a form of real (crisp) numbers or crisp-stochastic distribution function. Therefore, hybrid models, combination of risk and vagueness could be useful approach in option valuation. Generalised hybrid fuzzy–stochastic binomial American real option model under fuzzy numbers (T-numbers) and Decomposition principle is proposed and described. Input data (up index, down index, growth rate, initial underlying asset price, exercise price and risk-free rate) are in a form of fuzzy numbers and result, possibility-expected option value is also determined vaguely as a fuzzy set. Illustrative example of equity valuation as an American real call option is presented.     

Valuing executive stock options: A quadratic approximation

This paper develops a continuous-time model for valuing executive stock options (ESOs) with features of early exercise, delayed vesting and forfeiture. Applying the quadratic approximation established for valuing American options into ESOs, we obtain an explicit formula for the fair ESO value at its grant date. We show that the approximation formula is consistent with the exact results for two special cases either with no dividend or infinite maturity, and also that the perpetual value for the latter case gives an upper bound of the ESO value. To see the performance of the formula, we numerically examine it with benchmark results generated by a binomial-tree model for some particular cases. Numerical experiments show that there is a complementary relation between the vesting and trading periods with respect to exit rate of ESO holders.     

Embedded options in commercial banking and their impact on asset liability management

Commercial bankers sell—more often give away—options to their clients like the prepayment facility attached to a mortgage or the right to obtain a credit at a prespecified interest rate which is associated in France with specific term deposits. This paper aims to present the financial consequences of these options from a microeconomic point of view and on the scale of the French banking system. We first example our valuation techniques and then analyse the impact on the balance sheet of a typical commercial bank, both in terms of value and sensitivity. Securitization is presented in this context as a way to monitor risk exposure. Finally the global impact of these embedded options in the French banking system is estimated and briefly discussed.