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Ito过程在免费邮箱硬盘容量动态分配模型中的应用
引用本文:郑亮,王建华,江红婷.Ito过程在免费邮箱硬盘容量动态分配模型中的应用[J].数理统计与管理,2008,27(3):398-403.
作者姓名:郑亮  王建华  江红婷
作者单位:武汉理工大学理学院,武汉,430070
摘    要:分析了目前电子邮箱市场的情况,运用微分方程建立了邮箱用户增长模型,预测某邮箱未来几年内的用户数量及企业需要提供的硬盘容量。从减少成本的角度分析,运用Ito随机过程,对风险进行评估,建立硬盘容量动态分配模型,指导企业如何安排合适的硬盘容量,既能满足市场需要,又达到规避风险和降低成本的目的,提高市场竞争力。

关 键 词:硬盘容量分配  潜在用户平均满意度  随机微分方程  Ito随机过程  风险度
文章编号:1002-1566(2008)03-0398-06
修稿时间:2007年6月1日

Application of Ito Stochastic Process in Dynamic Hard Disk Supply Model of Free Mailbox
ZHENG Liang,WANG Jian-hua,JIANG Hong-ting.Application of Ito Stochastic Process in Dynamic Hard Disk Supply Model of Free Mailbox[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2008,27(3):398-403.
Authors:ZHENG Liang  WANG Jian-hua  JIANG Hong-ting
Abstract:The general context of e-mail market is analyzed.Differential equation is applied to construct the model of the increasing of e-mail users,which is used to predict the number of users of some mailbox in several years and the capacity of hard disk that should be provided.With the consideration of reducing cost,Ito stochastic process is applied,and the risk is evaluated,the model of dynamic hard disk supply is constructed to guide E-mail Company to arrange the appropriate capacity of the hard disk to meet the users'need and meanwhile reduce cost and risk to strengthen its competitiveness in the market.
Keywords:hard disk capacity supply  the average content degree of potential user  stochastic differential equation  Ito stochastic process  risk degree
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