| 投入产出与计量经济联合模型研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 孟彦菊,向蓉美.投入产出与计量经济联合模型研究[J].数理统计与管理,2011,30(3):531-539. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 孟彦菊 向蓉美 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 云南财经大学统计与数学学院,云南昆明,650221 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 国家社会科学基金项目(07BT005); 云南财经大学统计学博士点建设预研项目(YCT1012) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 经典投入产出(Input-output,IO)模型是一个线性性和确定性系统。尽管IO模型对现实经济世界的描述只是一种近似,但它所特有的细致的部门分类,能深刻揭示某一时点国民经济各部门之间的数量依存关系。计量经济(Econometric,EC)模型具有动态性优点,它能通过概率论来处理现实世界的不确定性。本文试图结合这两种模型的优点,尝试着建立EC+IO联合模型,并运用中国数据进行实证分析,结果证明联合模型能够更真实地模拟宏观经济发展,进行更准确的预测。
|
| 关 键 词： | 投入产出 计量经济 联合模型 |
Analysis of Integrated Econometric and Input-Output Model |
| |
| MENG Yan-ju,XIANG Rong-mei.Analysis of Integrated Econometric and Input-Output Model[J].Application of Statistics and Management,2011,30(3):531-539. |
| |
| Authors: | MENG Yan-ju XIANG Rong-mei |
| |
| Institution: | MENG Yan-ju XIANG Rong-mei (Statistics & Mathematics College,Yunnan University of Finance & Economics,Yunnan Kunming 650221,China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The classical input-output(IO)model is a popular linear and deterministic system.Although it can only approximately describe the real-world economy,IO model can reveal the dependency among different economic sectors at a particular point of time through static or cross-sectional model.On the other hand,the econometric(EC)model is a dynamic system and can deal with the uncertainty in the real economy by means of probability theory.This paper tries to integrate econometric(EC)model and input-output(IO)model t... |
| |
| Keywords: | input-output econometric integrated model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
