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An Inequality for Tail Probabilities of Martingales with Bounded Differences
Authors:Bentkus  V
Institution:(1) Vilnius Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, Akademijos 4, LT-2600 Vilnius, Lithuania
Abstract:Let M n =X1+...+Xn be a martingale with bounded differences Xm=Mm-Mm-1 such that Popf{|Xm|le sgr m}=1 with some nonnegative sgrm. Write sgr2= sgr 1 2 + ... +sgr n 2 . We prove the inequalities Popf{M ngex}lec(1-PHgr(x/sgr)), Popf{M n ges x}les 1- c(1-PHgr (-x/sgr)) with a constant 
$$c \leqslant 1(1 - \Phi (\sqrt 3 )) \leqslant 25$$
. The result yields sharp inequalities in some models related to the measure concentration phenomena.
Keywords:probabilities of large deviations  martingale  bounds for tail probabilities  inequalities  bounded differences and random variables  measure concentration phenomena  product spaces  Lipschitz functions  Hoeffding'sinequalities  Azuma'sinequality
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