考虑油膜动态过程的海上溢油应急物资调度优化

针对溢油应急响应中海上油膜所具有的动态特性,综合考虑需求点的时变物资需求、运输网络的不确定性以及物资调度决策与外部决策环境之间的相互作用关系之后,构建了效率目标与成本目标相结合的多目标海上溢油应急物资调度优化模型。根据模型的特点,提出了一种基于鲸鱼算法的求解方法。该算法利用非线性收敛因子克服了算法后期易陷入局部最优的不足,同时还引入小生境共享机制以确保解的多样性。最后,通过仿真案例对模型与算法的有效性与可行性进行了验证。结果表明,该方法可以为决策者提供高质量的决策支持。     

Coexistence and harvesting control policy in a food chain model with mutual defense of prey

A model is proposed to understand the dynamics in a food chain (one predator‐two prey). Unlike many approaches, we consider mutualism (for defense against predators) between the two groups of prey. We investigate the conditions for coexistence and exclusion. Unlike Elettreby's (2009) results, we show that prey can coexist in the absence of predators (as expected since there is no competition between prey). We also show the existence of Hopf bifurcation and limit cycle in the model, and numerically present bifurcation diagrams in terms of mutualism and harvesting. When the harvest is practiced for profit making, we provide the threshold effort value that determines the profitability of the harvest. We show that there is zero profit when the constant effort is applied. Below (resp. above) , there will always be gain (resp. loss). In the case of gain, we provide the optimal effort and optimal steady states that produce maximum profit and ensure coexistence. Recommendations for resource managers As a result of our investigation, we bring the following to the attention of management:

• 1. In the absence of predators, different groups of prey can coexist if they mutually help each other (no competition among them).
• 2. There is a maximal effort to invest in order to gain profit from the harvest. Above , the investment will result in a loss.
• 3. In the case of profit from harvest, policy makers should recommend the optimal effort to be applied and the optimal stock to harvest. This will guarantee maximum profit while ensuring sustainability of all species.

     

Multifunctional land‐use value mapping and space type classification: A case study of Puge County,China

Land exhibits diverse functions under the combined influence of natural and human forces. A production–living–ecology functional classification system was constructed by integrating land, ecosystem, and landscape functions. The land functional value was calculated by systematically integrating ecosystem service value assessments. The primary and secondary functions, as well as combinations of different land‐use types, were determined using vertical and horizontal comparison methods. The production–living–ecology ranges were then delineated in Puge County, which is a typical mountain county in China. The production–living–ecology functions identified were well connected with the current land‐use types. The “production–living–ecology” space in Puge County showed obvious multifunctionality and agglomeration. The function identification system proposed in this paper integrated multiple methods, overcame the difficulty of direct quantitative identification of land functions. The methods used to map and quantify land function will enhance our ability to understand and model land system changes and adequately inform policies and planning. Summary for Managers

• The function valuation method constructed in this paper could be used to reflect the multifunctionality and importance of land use and provide guidance and a quantitative basis for regional development planning.
• The spatial classification results provided in this paper could offer a valuable reference for the land management department to scientifically formulate land use planning.
• Under the goal of creating a group‐type urban development pattern and constructing an ecological protection pattern in Puge County, the hotspot analysis results of this paper can provide decision‐making tools and alternative spatial plans.

     

Polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs) in marine sediment of Thermaikos Gulf,Greece

Polybrominated diphenyl ether (PBDE) concentrations were determined in marine sediment samples collected from 7 different locations around Thermaikos Gulf in north Greece. PBDEs were detected in all sampling sites and their average total concentration (ΣPBDEs) ranged from 0.26 to 4.92?ng?g^?1?d.w. Concentrations were an order of magnitude higher in locations outlining the inner part of the Gulf, which were also closer to industrial areas, sewage treatment plant discharges, the city's harbour and landfill area. These findings suggest pollution in the aquatic ecosystem from industrial and urban activities in the area. Congener profiles exhibit predominance of BDE-209, while concentrations of other PBDE congeners were usually lower, when compared to similar studies from other countries globally, indicating that Thermaikos Gulf is among the low-polluted areas. Statistical analysis showed significant differences among the higher polluted sampling stations. Statistically significant differences also existed between sampling stations with high and low PBDE concentrations. Correlations between congeners suggested local contamination sources; however, specific point sources of pollution were not established.     

STOCHASTIC OPTIMIZATION FOR MULTISPECIES FISHERIES IN THE BARENTS SEA

We present a multispecies stochastic model that suggests optimal fishing policy for two species in a three‐species predator–prey ecosystem in the Barents Sea. We employ stochastic dynamic programming to solve a three‐dimensional model, in which the catch is optimized by using a multispecies feedback strategy. Applying the model to the cod, capelin, and herring ecosystem in the Barents Sea shows that the optimal catch for the stochastic interaction model is more conservative than that implied by the deterministic model. We also find that stochasticity has a stronger effect on the optimal exploitation policy for prey (capelin) than for predator (cod).     

Substitution pattern elucidation of hydroxypropyl Pinus pinaster (Ait.) bark polyflavonoid derivatives by ESI(−)‐MS/MS

The structure of condensed tannins (CTs) from Pinus pinaster bark extract and their hydroxypropylated derivatives with four degrees of substitution (DS 1, 2, 3 and 4) has been characterized for the first time using negative‐ion mode electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry (ESI(?)‐MS/MS). The results showed that P. pinaster bark CTs possess structural homogeneity in terms of monomeric units (C₁₅, catechin). The oligomer sizes were detected to be dimers to heptamers. The derivatives showed typical phenyl‐propyl ether mass fragmentation by substituent elimination (58 amu) and inherent C₁₅ flavonoid fissions. The relative abundance of the product ions revealed a preferential triple, tetra‐/penta‐ and octa‐ hydroxypropylation substitution pattern in the monomer, dimer and trimer derivatives, respectively. A defined order of –OH reactivity towards propylene oxide was established by means of multistage experiments (A‐ring ≥ B‐ring > C‐ring). A high structural heterogeneity of the modified oligomers was detected. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ECOSYSTEM MODELING WITH ALTERNATIVE PREFERENCE SPECIFICATIONS

This paper reconciles two sets of literature with regard to the interactive ecological and economic impacts of invasive grass species and cattle stocking. We model cattle as optimal foragers, satiation foragers, and proportional foragers in order to understand the impact that each assumption imposes on predicted economic and ecological outcomes. Through this model sensitivity (as opposed to parameter sensitivity) analysis, we are able to identify three main drivers of plant invasions: exogenous forces such as climate change or nitrogen deposition, poor land management decisions, and a misalignment of incentives between cattle and ranchers even when ranchers behave optimally.     

陕甘宁革命老区生态系统服务价值时空分异及影响因素研究

陕甘宁革命老区是黄土高原和黄河中上游的重点生态治理区,作为重要的生态屏障区,其生态治理意义重大。以陕甘宁革命老区为研究区域,基于改进的生态系统服务价值（ecosystem service value,ESV）当量因子法,利用地理探测器及地理加权回归（geographically weighted regression,GWR）模型,分析1995—2018年各县ESV时空变化特征、影响因素及各主导因素作用强度的空间分异特征。结果表明：（1）1995—2018年,陕甘宁革命老区ESV呈先下降后上升的特征,整体呈上升趋势,草地与林地对该区域ESV的贡献较大;（2）ESV空间等级转化呈现较显著的两极变化趋势,其中低级、高级ESV区域面积显著扩张,较高级ESV区域面积明显缩减;（3）地被覆盖度、人口密度、垦殖系数是ESV空间分异的主导因素,平均空间解释力超过0.378 0,自然、社会、经济因素间的交互协同增强了其对陕甘宁革命老区ESV的影响程度;（4）各主导因素对ESV的影响程度表现出空间异质性,其中地被覆盖度及垦殖系数的影响程度由东向西递减,人均GDP和人口密度的影响程度则由西向东递减。     

城市生态系统,城市生态经济系统与城市建设

城市生态系统和自然生态系统一样，也是由环境系统和生物系统组成。城市生态系统注意的是生态效益，而城市经济系统则重视经济效益，从而出现了二者相结合的城市生态经济系统的概念。城市的规划和管理要重视生态经济原则。在城市建设中，要使生态环境建设和经济建设同步进行。我国城市化的具体道路和途径是严格控制大城市，合理发展中等城市，积极建设和发展小城市。     

Analytical methods to determine Po and Pb in marine samples

This paper describes the methods of sampling, preconcentration, chemical separation and final count of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb present in different marine matrices to determine their background levels in a marine ecosystem. Complex, time consuming and selective radioanalytical methods have been used to prepare final clear sources for alpha spectrometry and beta count; in fact, gamma spectrometry, a method direct and non destructive, cannot be taken into account because the ²¹⁰Pb activity is very low which does not allow to carry out sufficiently accurate measurements and ²¹⁰Po is not a gamma emitter but it emits only alpha particle at 5.40 MeV. The results of ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb activity concentrations obtained in different marine samples collected in the first two campaigns are still very few to discuss about the ²¹⁰Po and ²¹⁰Pb behavior in marine environment.