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We consider supplier development decisions for prime manufacturers with extensive supply bases producing complex, highly engineered products. We propose a novel modelling approach to support supply chain managers decide the optimal level of investment to improve quality performance under uncertainty. We develop a Poisson–Gamma model within a Bayesian framework, representing both the epistemic and aleatory uncertainties in non-conformance rates. Estimates are obtained to value a supplier quality improvement activity and assess if it is worth gaining more information to reduce epistemic uncertainty. The theoretical properties of our model provide new insights about the relationship between the degree of epistemic uncertainty, the effectiveness of development programmes, and the levels of investment. We find that the optimal level of investment does not have a monotonic relationship with the rate of effectiveness. If investment is deferred until epistemic uncertainty is removed then the expected optimal investment monotonically decreases as prior variance increases but only if the prior mean is above a critical threshold. We develop methods to facilitate practical application of the model to industrial decisions by a) enabling use of the model with typical data available to major companies and b) developing computationally efficient approximations that can be implemented easily. Application to a real industry context illustrates the use of the model to support practical planning decisions to learn more about supplier quality and to invest in improving supplier capability.  相似文献   
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Published datasets of proteinaceous animal tissues suggest that co‐variation between amino acid hydrogen (δ2H) and oxygen (δ18O) isotope ratios is a common feature in systems where isotopic variation is driven by geographic or temporal variation in the δ2H and δ18O values of environmental water. This has led to the development of models relating tissue δ2H and δ18O values to those of water, with potential application in a number of fields. However, the strength and ubiquity of the influence of environmental water on protein isotope ratios across taxonomic groups, and thus the relevance of predictive models, is an open question. Here we report strong co‐variation of δ2H and δ18O values across a suite of terrestrial and aquatic animal meats purchased in American food markets, including beef, poultry (chicken and turkey), chicken eggs, pork, lamb, freshwater fish, and marine fish. Significant isotope co‐variation was not found for small collections of marine bivalves and crustaceans. These results imply that isotopic signals from environmental water were propagated similarly through most of the diverse natural and human‐managed foodwebs represented by our samples. Freshwater fish had the largest variation in δ2H and δ18O values, with ranges of 121 ‰ and 19.2 ‰, respectively, reflecting the large isotopic variation in environmental freshwaters. In contrast marine animals had the smallest variation for both δ2H (7 ‰ range, crustaceans) and δ18O (3.0 ‰ range, bivalves) values. Known‐origin beef samples demonstrated direct relationships between the variance of environmental water isotope ratios and that of collected meats. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
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Pure and complete fractions of neodymium, samarium, europium, gadolinium and dysprosium were isolated by means of high performance ion chromatography, using a cation exchange column and gradient elution with alpha-hydroxyisobutyric acid solutions (α-HIBA). Intermediate precision and robustness of the isolation method was investigated, identifying eluent pH as the most important parameter. Investigation of the elution behaviour of the most important fission and activation products and actinides indicated that preventing the accumulation of cesium on the cation exchange column required further isocratic elution with a higher concentrated α-HIBA solution after elution of the lanthanides. A sample matrix free of carbon was achieved by means of acid digestion, followed by UV photo-oxidation, resulting in samples suitable for mass spectrometric analysis.

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Capillary gas chromatographic separations were performed with an electronic pressure control system developed to provide precise closed-loop control of inlet pressure through the use of a solid state micro-machined pressure sensor and electronically controlled proportional valve. The closed-loop control of the electronic system provided better precision than the open-loop control achieved by manual pressure regulation. Closed-loop control can perform pressure programming, which can be combined with temperature programming to optimize separations. The pressure sensor monitors the integrity of the flow system and singals the controller to reduce flow in the presence of a sudden loss of system pressure.  相似文献   
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