利用模糊神经网络进行砂土液化势评判

利用模糊信息分析表达知识和人工神经网络在映射能力方面的优势, 选取应力比、震级、地面运动最大加速度、标贯击数、地下水位作为评价参数指标, 构造砂土液化势识别的模糊神经网络模型。验证和应用结果表明, 模糊神经网络模型可提供更高的映射能力, 是砂土液化势评价预测的有效手段。     

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??In this paper, by applying the moment inequality for asymptotically almost negatively associated (AANA, in short) random sequence and truncated method, the equivalent conditions of complete moment convergence of the maximum partial for weighted sums of AANA random variables are obtained without assumptions of identical distribution, which generalize and improve the corresponding ones of{15},{16} and {17}, respectively.     

Uniform estimate for maximum of randomly weighted sums with applications to insurance risk theory

This paper obtains the uniform estimate for maximum of sums of independent and heavy-tailed random variables with nonnegative random weights,which can be arbi- trarily dependent of each other.Then the applications to ruin probabilities in a discrete time risk model with dependent stochastic returns are considered.     

The asymptotic distributions of sums of record values for distributions with lognormal-type tails

Let X1,X2,... be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables and let X(1),X(2),... be the associatedrecord value sequence. We focus on the asymptotic distributions of sums of records, Tn=∑nk=1X(k), forX1 ∈ LN(γ). In this case, we find that 2 is a strange point for parameter γ. When γ＞ 2, Tn is asymptoticallynormal, while for 2 ＞γ＞ 1, we prove that Tn cannot converge in distribution to any non-degenerate lawthrough common centralizing and normalizing and log Tn is asymptotically normal.     

血清钙、镁和微量元素与冠心病

综述了钙、镁和微量元素在动脉粥样硬化、冠心病(包括冠状动脉痉挛)研究的相关报道,以进一步研究钙、镁和微量元素与冠状动脉痉挛的关系。     

单轴晶体包层啁啾光纤光栅中电光效应和弹光效应的理论研究

提出了以单轴晶体材料为包层,光轴平行于光栅主轴(z轴)的新型啁啾光纤光栅模型,应用耦合模理论和传输矩阵方法在理论上分析了该类光纤光栅中的电光效应和弹光效应,理论研究发现在包层施加沿光栅轴向的电场和应变场可以改变布拉格波长和反射谱。得到了3种不同单轴晶体为包层时布拉格波长λB和反射光谱随外加电场和应变场变化的曲线。研究结果表明当轴向外加电场从1×107V/m变化到8×107V/m时λB减小0.12nm,当外加应变场从0变化到0.04时,λB减小0.45nm。     

Tail asymptotic for discounted aggregate claims with one-sided linear dependence and general investment return

In this study, we investigate the tail probability of the discounted aggregate claim sizes in a dependent risk model. In this model, the claim sizes are observed to follow a one-sided linear process with independent and identically distributed innovations. Investment return is described as a general stochastic process with c`adl`ag paths. In the case of heavy-tailed innovation distributions, we are able to derive some asymptotic estimates for tail probability and to provide some asymptotic upper bounds to improve the applicability of our study.     

城市发展与城镇化——工程地质学的机遇与挑战

在城镇化全球规模的历史趋势和中国城市发展与城镇化历程及其特点分析的基础上,围绕城市岩土工程与地质环境系统,讨论了地质环境与城市规划、城市地下空间利用、城市生态与环境安全等领域工程地质研究发展的思路,强调了地质基础研究与多学科多源知识融合、多种技术集成的创新发展途径。     

电阻并联约瑟夫森结阵列中的混沌行为

采用数值方法,对存在并联电阻的约瑟夫森结串联阵列进行了研究。首次发现当阵列中结的个数为3时,其中存在明显的混沌行为,并给出了存在混沌行为的参数范围。根据A.A.Chernikov和G.Schmidt的理论,只有当约瑟夫森结的个数大于或者等于4时才能观察到混沌行为;这一发现说明了其理论存在一定的局限性。     

A note on asymptotic behavior for negative drift random walk with dependent heavy-tailed steps and its application to risk theory

In this article, the dependent steps of a negative drift random walk are modelled as a two-sided linear process Xn =-μ ∞∑j=-∞ψn-jεj, where {ε, εn; -∞＜ n ＜ ∞}is a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables with zero mean, μ＞0 is a constant and the coefficients {ψi;-∞＜ i ＜∞} satisfy 0 ＜∞∑j=-∞|jψj| ＜∞. Under the conditions that the distribution function of |ε| has dominated variation and ε satisfies certain tail balance conditions, the asymptotic behavior of P{supn≥0(-nμ ∞∑j=-∞εjβnj) ＞ x}is discussed. Then the result is applied to ultimate ruin probability.