基于数据驱动的卫星锂离子电池寿命预测方法

锂离子电池由于具有工作电压高、体积小、质量轻、比能量高、寿命长和自放电率小等优点,成为 替代传统镍氢、镍镉电池的第三代航天器用储能电源。寿命预测是锂离子电池健康管理的重要方面,是掌 握电源衰退的重要手段。锂离子电池剩余使用寿命预测问题已成为电子系统健康管理领域的研究热点和具 有挑战性的问题之一。本文基于NASA埃姆斯中心的锂离子电池地面试验采集数据,首先分析了3种类型 的锂离子电池预测方法,之后重点研究了几种有效的数据驱动的锂离子电池寿命预测方法,并对各种预测 方法的效果进行了评价。实验结果表明,本文提出的方法能够有效的用于基于数据驱动的锂离子电池寿命 预测中,具有较强的工程应用价值。     

Deep learning neural networks for the third-order nonlinear Schrödinger equation: bright solitons,breathers, and rogue waves

The dimensionless third-order nonlinear Schrödinger equation (alias the Hirota equation) is investigated via deep leaning neural networks. In this paper, we use the physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) deep learning method to explore the data-driven solutions (e.g. bright soliton, breather, and rogue waves) of the Hirota equation when the two types of the unperturbated and perturbated (a 2% noise) training data are considered. Moreover, we use the PINNs deep learning to study the data-driven discovery of parameters appearing in the Hirota equation with the aid of bright solitons.     

Data-Driven Corrections of Partial Lotka–Volterra Models

In many applications of interacting systems, we are only interested in the dynamic behavior of a subset of all possible active species. For example, this is true in combustion models (many transient chemical species are not of interest in a given reaction) and in epidemiological models (only certain subpopulations are consequential). Thus, it is common to use greatly reduced or partial models in which only the interactions among the species of interest are known. In this work, we explore the use of an embedded, sparse, and data-driven discrepancy operator to augment these partial interaction models. Preliminary results show that the model error caused by severe reductions—e.g., elimination of hundreds of terms—can be captured with sparse operators, built with only a small fraction of that number. The operator is embedded within the differential equations of the model, which allows the action of the operator to be interpretable. Moreover, it is constrained by available physical information and calibrated over many scenarios. These qualities of the discrepancy model—interpretability, physical consistency, and robustness to different scenarios—are intended to support reliable predictions under extrapolative conditions.     

基于数据驱动模型求解热传导反问题

热传导反问题求解在工程领域具有重要的应用价值.本文发展数据驱动模型识别了管道内壁几何形状和皮肤肿瘤生长参数等热传导反问题.在管道内壁几何形状识别问题中,首先采用随机生成模型结合有限元法求解热传导正问题,并采用有效导热系数转化的思想,建立机器学习模型,求解了测点温度与有效导热系数之间的抽象映射关系,进而实现管道内壁几何形状的识别.然后,应用数据驱动模型识别了皮肤肿瘤的生长参数,分别讨论了不同测量误差对计算结果的影响.数值算例表明,本文提出的数据驱动模型能够准确估算肿瘤的生热率和血液灌注率.这些工作显示了数据驱动模型在求解热传导反问题方面具有广阔的应用前景.     

Physically constrained data-driven correction for reduced-order modeling of fluid flows

We have recently proposed a data-driven correction reduced-order model (DDC-ROM) framework for the numerical simulation of fluid flows, which can be formally written as follows.

     

联合订货下基于ø-散度的多产品库存鲁棒优化模型

针对多产品联合库存决策问题,在市场需求不确定条件下,建立了考虑联合订货成本的多产品库存鲁棒优化模型。针对不确定市场需求,采用一系列未知概率的离散情景进行描述,给出了基于最小最大准则的鲁棒对应模型,并证明了(s,S)库存策略的最优性。进一步,在仅知多产品市场需求历史数据基础上,采用基于ø-散度的数据驱动方法构建了满足一定置信度要求的关于未知需求概率分布的不确定集。在此基础上,为获得(s,S)库存策略的相关参数,运用拉格朗日对偶方法将所建模型等价转化为易于求解的数学规划问题。最后,通过数值计算分析了Kullback-Leibler散度和Cressie-Read散度以及不同的置信水平下的多产品库存绩效,并将其与真实分布下应用鲁棒库存策略得到的库存绩效进行对比。结果表明,需求分布信息的缺失虽然会导致一定的库存绩效损失,但损失值很小,表明基于文中方法得到的库存策略能够有效抑制需求不确定性扰动,具有良好的鲁棒性。     

基于弹性力学第一性原理的数据驱动力学建模

提出了一种基于弹性力学第一性原理的数据驱动力学建模方法,其能够从基于弹性力学方程的数值计算结果建立简洁且能准确捕捉变形机制的力学模型。基于有限元计算得到的高精度数据和无监督数据驱动控制方程识别方法Seq-SVF,从梁的载荷和位移数据中自动识别出了Timoshenko梁形式的弯曲控制微分方程,得到了三种不同加载条件下剪切影响系数关于结构尺寸和力学参数的函数表达式。揭示了经典模型适用的加载条件,同时还给出了一种未发现的新模型。通过将基于弹性力学的第一性原理计算与数据驱动范式相结合,克服了传统建模方法的局限性和对人类经验的强依赖性,为建立简洁的力学模型提供了一种新途径。     

A Data-Driven Space-Time-Parameter Reduced-Order Model with Manifold Learning for Coupled Problems: Application to Deformable Capsules Flowing in Microchannels

An innovative data-driven model-order reduction technique is proposed to model dilute micrometric or nanometric suspensions of microcapsules, i.e., microdrops protected in a thin hyperelastic membrane, which are used in Healthcare as innovative drug vehicles. We consider a microcapsule flowing in a similar-size microfluidic channel and vary systematically the governing parameter, namely the capillary number, ratio of the viscous to elastic forces, and the confinement ratio, ratio of the capsule to tube size. The resulting space-time-parameter problem is solved using two global POD reduced bases, determined in the offline stage for the space and parameter variables, respectively. A suitable low-order spatial reduced basis is then computed in the online stage for any new parameter instance. The time evolution of the capsule dynamics is achieved by identifying the nonlinear low-order manifold of the reduced variables; for that, a point cloud of reduced data is computed and a diffuse approximation method is used. Numerical comparisons between the full-order fluid-structure interaction model and the reduced-order one confirm both accuracy and stability of the reduction technique over the whole admissible parameter domain. We believe that such an approach can be applied to a broad range of coupled problems especially involving quasistatic models of structural mechanics.     

Improved Battery Cycle Life Prediction Using a Hybrid Data-Driven Model Incorporating Linear Support Vector Regression and Gaussian

The ability to accurately predict lithium-ion battery life-time already at an early stage of battery usage is critical for ensuring safe operation, accelerating technology development, and enabling battery second-life applications. Many models are unable to effectively predict battery life-time at early cycles due to the complex and nonlinear degrading behavior of lithium-ion batteries. In this study, two hybrid data-driven models, incorporating a traditional linear support vector regression (LSVR) and a Gaussian process regression (GPR), were developed to estimate battery life-time at an early stage, before more severe capacity fading, utilizing a data set of 124 battery cells with lifetimes ranging from 150 to 2300 cycles. Two type of hybrid models, here denoted as A and B, were proposed. For each of the models, we achieved 1.1 % (A) and 1.4 % (B) training error, and similarly, 8.3 % (A) and 8.2 % (B) test error. The two key advantages are that the error percentage is kept below 10 % and that very low error values for the training and test sets were observed when utilizing data from only the first 100 cycles.The proposed method thus appears highly promising for predicting battery life during early cycles.     

Sparse Approximation of Data-Driven Polynomial Chaos Expansions: An Induced Sampling Approach

One of the open problems in the field of forward uncertainty quantification(UQ) is the ability to form accurate assessments of uncertainty having only incomplete information about the distribution of random inputs. Another challenge is to efficiently make use of limited training data for UQ predictions of complex engineering problems, particularly with high dimensional random parameters. We address these challenges by combining data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with a recently developed preconditioned sparse approximation approach for UQ problems. The first task in this two-step process is to employ the procedure developed in [1] to construct an "arbitrary" polynomial chaos expansion basis using a finite number of statistical moments of the random inputs. The second step is a novel procedure to effect sparse approximation via l1 minimization in order to quantify the forward uncertainty. To enhance the performance of the preconditioned l1 minimization problem, we sample from the so-called induced distribution, instead of using Monte Carlo (MC) sampling from the original, unknown probability measure. We demonstrate on test problems that induced sampling is a competitive and often better choice compared with sampling from asymptotically optimal measures(such as the equilibrium measure) when we have incomplete information about the distribution. We demonstrate the capacity of the proposed induced sampling algorithm via sparse representation with limited data on test functions, and on a Kirchoff plating bending problem with random Young's modulus.