具有不同效用函数的最优投资组合分析

The question of optimal portfolio is that finds the trading strategy satisfying the maximal expected utility function subject to some constraints. There is the optimal trading strategy under the risk neutral probability measure (martingale measure) if and only if there is no-arbitrage opportunity in the market. This paper argues the optimal wealth and the optimal value of expected utility with different utility function.     

不完全市场中投资策略的实证研究

Klaus[1]采用随机动力系统理论分析了不完全市场中市场份额的长期演变行为,找到了可以获得最大收益的投资策略的显式表达式,并证明了这个投资策略是渐进稳定的.本文的工作是以股票作为基础资产,利用中国证券市场上的原始股票数据,检验Klaus的理论成果在不完善的中国股票市场上的运行情况,并对得到的结果进行分析.     

Pattern Classification by Linear Goal Programming and its Extensions

Pattern classification is one of the main themes in pattern recognition, and has been tackled by several methods such as the statistic one, artificial neural networks, mathematical programming and so on. Among them, the multi-surface method proposed by Mangasarian is very attractive, because it can provide an exact discrimination function even for highly nonlinear problems without any assumption on the data distribution. However, the method often causes many slits on the discrimination curve. In other words, the piecewise linear discrimination curve is sometimes too complex resulting in a poor generalization ability. In this paper, several trials in order to overcome the difficulties of the multi-surface method are suggested. One of them is the utilization of goal programming in which the auxiliary linear programming problem is formulated as a goal programming in order to get as simple discrimination curves as possible. Another one is to apply fuzzy programming by which we can get fuzzy discrimination curves with gray zones. In addition, it will be shown that using the suggested methods, the additional learning can be easily made. These features of the methods make the discrimination more realistic. The effectiveness of the methods is shown on the basis of some applications.     

Univariate and multivariate measures of risk aversion and risk premiums

This paper develops univariate and multivariate measures of risk aversion for correlated risks. We derive Rubinstein's measures of risk aversion from the risk premiums with correlated random initial wealth and risk. It is shown that these measures are not only consistent with those for uncorrelated or independent risks, but also have the corresponding local properties of the Arrow-Pratt measures of risk aversion. Thus Rubinstein's measures of risk aversion are the appropriate extension of the Arrow-Pratt measures of risk aversion in the univariate case. We also derive a risk aversion matrix from the risk premiums with correlated initial wealth and risk vectors. This matrix measure is the multivariate version of Rubinstein's measures and is also the generalization of Duncan's results for non-random initial wealth. The univariate and multivariate measures of risk aversion developed in this paper are applied to portfolio theory in Li and Ziemba [15].This research was partially supported by the National Research Council of Canada.     

Optimal portfolios with asymptotic criteria

This paper is concerned with a portfolio optimization model for a long planning horizon. We first argue that in this case the asymptotic growth rate and the asymptotic variance are better measures of performance than the usual mean and variance of return. We next propose an efficient algorithm for calculating the asymptotic frontier, i.e., the efficient frontier relative to the new criteria. Finally, we illustrate our methods and compare the difference between our model and the classical mean-variance-model by using historical data based on the 1064 stocks of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.     

不允许卖空的组合证券投资决策方法研究

根据组合证券投资决策模型，研究了不允许卖空的组合证券投资的有效边界及其性质，给出了不允许卖空情况下组合证券投资决策方法。     

随机微分方程理论在经济建模中的应用研究

考虑投资者参与证券投资及消费．由于证券、价格的变动趋势受诸多因素的影响，显示出价格很不稳定．用随机微分方程来刻划证券价格的变动趋势是合理的．Ｋａｒａｔｚａｓ等人在［１］中研究了最优消费与投资的一般特性，而且在模型参数为常系数假设下给出了反馈形式的最优消费与投资公式．但模型系数都为常值的假设在实际应用中显然有很大的局限性．为此，本文就β（ｔ）为有限分段函数情形推广了Ｋａｒａｔｚａｓ等人的结果．所得结论比Ｋａｒａｔｚａｓ［１］所得结论更具有应用价值．     

半绝对离差证券组合投资模型

提出“半绝对离差”这一新的风险度量工具，并与证券收益率的半方差、绝对离差进行比较，给出了基于半绝对离差的证券组合投资模型，该模型采用半绝对离差作为风险的度量工具，综合了半方差的向下风险和绝对离差的一阶矩在的优点，利用“上证30指数”中的30种成分股票作为样本对该模型进行实证研究，结果表明，在与Markowit模型和绝对离差模型的定性、定量比较中，半绝对离差模型能求解出更优的投资组合，是一种更有效的组合投资模型。     

Saddle points for maximin investment problems with observable but non-predictable parameters: solution via heat equation{dagger}

^** Email: nikolai.dokuchaev{at}ul.ie We study optimal investment problem for a market model wherethe evolution of risky assets prices is described by Itô'sequations. The risk-free rate, the appreciation rates and thevolatility of the stocks are all random; they depend on a randomparameter that is not adapted to the driving Brownian motion.The distribution of this parameter is unknown. The optimal investmentproblem is stated in a ‘maximin’ setting to ensurethat a strategy is found such that the minimum of expected utilityover all possible distributions of parameters is maximal. Weshow that a saddle point exists and can be found via a solutionof the standard 1D heat equation with a Cauchy condition definedvia one dimensional minimization. This solution even coversmodels with unknown solution for a given distribution of themarket parameters.     

Optimal Consumption Portfolio and No-Arbitrage with Nonproportional Transaction Costs

In this paper we consider a finite-state financial market with non-proportional transaction cost and bid-ask spreads. The transaction cost consists of two parts: a fixed cost and a proportional cost to the size of transaction. We show that the existence of an optimal consumption policy implies that the market has no strong arbitrage; the opposite, however, is not true, i.e., no strong arbitrage does not imply the existence of an optimal consumption policy. This is in sharp contrast with the case of proportional transaction cost and other cases reported in the literature, where no strong arbitrage is equivalent to the existence of an optimal consumption policy. We also study the relationship between weak arbitrage and strong arbitrage. Different from the market with proportional transaction cost, we find that these two forms of arbitrage are equivalent unless the fixed cost is zero. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of an optimal consumption policy is also obtained. Supported by CAS, NSFC, RGC of Hong Kong and NSF under Grant No. DMI-0196084 and DMI-0200306.