近红外光谱结合共识模型快速检测果酒的总酚含量

果酒发酵中的多酚是引起果酒口感、颜色变化的重要因素。为保证果酒品质,有必要开发一种快速监测发酵过程中多酚含量变化的技术。收集不同批次成熟期的蓝莓、桑葚为原料,分别碾压成汁,同时按比例混合二者,于小型发酵罐进行发酵。通过离线收集不同发酵时段的发酵液于离心管,高速离心后取上清液置于棕色瓶保存,共计得到48个果酒发酵样本。将上清液置于三个平行样比色皿,以傅里叶快速变换近红外光谱仪(FT-NIR)采集其透射光谱,取平均值作为该样本的光谱信号。然后将棕色瓶内的发酵液以国标法(即以标准液的吸光度值制定标准曲线)测定各样品的总酚含量,以duplex法计算样本光谱之间的距离且按2∶1的比例划分为训练集和预测集。采用间隔偏最小二乘法(iPLS)将训练集样本的透射光谱与总酚含量之间构建定量模型,间隔数从2依次变化到60个。该研究创新之处是使用共识方法融合多个已构建好的iPLS成员模型,按一定的共识规则分配权系数。通过各成员模型交互验证的残差及其残差之间的相关性来优化各成员模型的线性组合,以拉格朗日乘数法求解各成员模型的权系数,使间隔偏最小二乘-共识模型(consensual iPLS,CiPLS)的交互验证均方根误差最小。相比于全局PLS模型、划分不同间隔数量时的iPLS模型,CiPLS均具有较小的预测误差。当划分39个间隔时由三个iPLS成员模型(即14th,16th,18th)组成的共识模型误差最小为124.2,交互验证相关系数为0.944,对预测集样本的预测均方根误差为163.4,预测相关系数为0.931,预测性能均优于PLS和iPLS模型。另外,作为对比选用连续投影算法与无信息变量剔除法来优化光谱模型,其预测性能均不及本文提出的共识模型。分析各iPLS模型预测残差之间的相关性,发现共识模型主要是融合那些具有较高预测性能且模型间较低相关性的成员模型。结果表明,光谱分析结合共识方法可提高回归模型的预测精度、减少建模所需变量数,能够用于果酒总酚含量的离线快速检测。     

回归系数的混合估计与最小二乘估计的一个新的相对效率

本文对具有附加信息的线性回归模型中的混合估计与最小二乘估计给出了一种新的相对效率,研究了新的相对效率与其它几种相对效率的关系,得出了新的相对效率的上、下界.     

基态非简并导电聚合物——坐标空间研究

通过引入简并破缺项,建立了非等势垒Kronig-Penney方势阱模型,在实坐标空间中研究了基态非简并聚合物——顺式聚乙炔的基态及其激发态,并与紧束缚模型所得到的结果进行了比较.给出了体系的电子态、电荷密度等在实坐标空间的分布特征.发现在坐标空间研究可以更加准确地反映体系的电子态密度、电子空间密度分布等特征. 关键词： 聚合物 方势阱 基态 极化子     

含指数项广义平方映射的分岔和吸引子

由平方映射延伸构造出了一类含指数项的广义平方映射,并由一维映射通过一次耦合项得到了二维映射.利用一参数分岔图、二参数动力学行为分布图、映射迭代曲线和吸引子相图等方法对这类广义平方映射进行了分析和仿真.研究结果表明：一维广义平方映射分布在一个单位区域内的,有着与单峰平方映射相类似的非线性动力学现象;而二维广义平方映射则存在Hopf分岔和锁频等现象,有着复杂多变、形状奇异的极限环和混沌吸引子. 关键词： 广义平方映射 分岔 迭代曲线 吸引子     

Products of mixed covering arrays of strength two

A covering array CA(N;t,k, v is an N × k array such that every N × t subarray contains all t‐tuples from v symbols at least once, where t is the strength of the array. Covering arrays are used to generate software test suites to cover all t‐sets of component interactions. The particular case when t = 2 (pairwise coverage) has been extensively studied, both to develop combinatorial constructions and to provide effective algorithmic search techniques. In this paper, a simple “cut‐and‐paste” construction is extended to covering arrays in which different columns (factors) admit different numbers of symbols (values); in the process an improved recursive construction for covering arrays with t = 2 is derived. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Combin Designs 14: 124–138, 2006     

Bayes and empirical Bayes iteration estimators in two seemingly unrelated regression equations

For a system of two seemingly unrelated regression equations given by (?)(y_1 is an m×1 vector and y_2 is an n×1 vector,m≠n),employ- ing the covariance adjusted technique,we propose the parametric Bayes and empirical Bayes iteration estimator sequences for regression coefficients.We prove that both the covariance matrices converge monotonically and the Bayes iteration estimator squence is consistent as well.Based on the mean square error (MSE) criterion,we elaborate the su- periority of empirical Bayes iteration estimator over the Bayes estimator of single equation when the covariance matrix of errors is unknown.The results obtained in this paper further show the power of the covariance adiusted approach.     

Discrete gap breathers in a two-dimensional diatomic face-centered square lattice

In this paper we study the existence and stability of two-dimensional discrete gap breathers in a two-dimensional diatomic face-centered square lattice consisting of alternating light and heavy atoms, with on-site potential and coupling potential. This study is focused on two-dimensional breathers with their frequency in the gap that separates the acoustic and optical bands of the phonon spectrum. We demonstrate the possibility of the existence of two-dimensional gap breathers by using a numerical method. Six types of two-dimensional gap breathers are obtained, i.e., symmetric, mirror-symmetric and asymmetric, whether the center of the breather is on a light or a heavy atom. The difference between one-dimensional discrete gap breathers and two-dimensional discrete gap breathers is also discussed. We use Aubry's theory to analyze the stability of discrete gap breathers in the two-dimensional diatomic face-centered square lattice.     

小波分析在经济预测模型中的应用

经济信号也是一种时间序列 ,它和小波分析中的信号具有相同的特性 .因此 ,可将经济时间序列看成经济信号 ,应用小波进行实际经济分析和预测 .论文针对最小二乘法的不足 ,提出了多分辨回归分析处理经济数据分析的方法 .本文在建立宏观模型时 ,利用小波分析对经济数据进行预处理 ,获得能反映宏观变化趋势的低频信息 ,再用最小二乘法进行拟合和预测 ,通过对传统最小二乘法建立的模型的对比分析 ,结果表明 :本方法优于一般最小二乘法 .     

用偶幂级数处理Abel变换问题

本文提出了用偶幂级数代替对称分布函数,使其线积分成为递推可积,从而简化了Abel逆变换。引进权函数使本方法简单地过渡到非对称问题。对一组假想相移信号进行变换,获得了可靠的密度分布结果,并对影响变换精度的各种因素作了讨论。     

Further results on large sets of disjoint group‐divisible designs with block size three and type 2n41

Large sets of disjoint group‐divisible designs with block size three and type 2ⁿ4¹ were first studied by Schellenberg and Stinson because of their connection with perfect threshold schemes. It is known that such large sets can exist only for n ≡0 (mod 3) and do exist for all odd n ≡ (mod 3) and for even n=24m, where m odd ≥ 1. In this paper, we show that such large sets exist also for n=2^k(3m), where m odd≥ 1 and k≥ 5. To accomplish this, we present two quadrupling constructions and two tripling constructions for a special large set called ^*LS(2ⁿ). © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Combin Designs 11: 24–35, 2003; Published online in Wiley InterScience ( www.interscience.wiley.com ). DOI 10.1002/jcd.10032