Oligopoly newsvendor competition with reference effects

We analyze the equilibrium of a behavioral newsvendor game featuring oligopoly competition, where each newsvendor’s decision is driven by a reference effect regarding her potential profit. We find that the equilibrium order quantities are characterized by behavioral critical fractiles, where each newsvendor only accounts for the actions of competitors with smaller behavioral critical fractiles. Our result generalizes findings from recent literature on duopoly newsvendor competition with reference effects.     

Mixture network autoregressive model with application on students’successes

We propose a mixture network regression model which considers both response variables and the node-specific random vector depend on the time.In order to estimate and compare the impacts of various connections on a response variable simultaneously,we extend it into p different types of connections.An ordinary least square estimators of the effects of different types of connections on a response variable is derived with its asymptotic property.Simulation studies demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method in the estimation of the mixture autoregressive model.In the end,a real data illustration on the students’GPA is discussed.     

影响用户换手机的关键因素及其效应研究——基于中国移动西安分公司的样本数据

影响用户换手机的因素有客观因素和主观因素,本研究基于中国移动西安分公司的用户信息数据,根据用户的实际消费和相关非线性多元回归理论,探索了影响用户换手机的客观因素及其效应。研究发现:较长的总通话次数、较大的平均流量和较小的手机屏幕(在用手机)等因素能促进用户换手机;换手机的主要驱动力不是经济能力的差异而是在用手机的屏幕大小;用户的年龄差异对是否换手机的影响可以忽略;城乡标识对是否换手机的影响显著,用户品牌的影响不显著。另外,手机捆绑销售方式的存在,本研究最后站在制造商和运营商的角度,根据以上影响效果给出了提高手机制造商和运营商竞争力的相关建议。     

An Extension of Generalized Linear Models to Finite Mixture Outcome Distributions

Finite mixture distributions arise in sampling a heterogeneous population. Data drawn from such a population will exhibit extra variability relative to any single subpopulation. Statistical models based on finite mixtures can assist in the analysis of categorical and count outcomes when standard generalized linear models (GLMs) cannot adequately express variability observed in the data. We propose an extension of GLMs where the response follows a finite mixture distribution and the regression of interest is linked to the mixture’s mean. This approach may be preferred over a finite mixture of regressions when the population mean is of interest; here, only one regression must be specified and interpreted in the analysis. A technical challenge is that the mixture’s mean is a composite parameter that does not appear explicitly in the density. The proposed model maintains its link to the regression through a certain random effects structure and is completely likelihood-based. We consider typical GLM cases where means are either real-valued, constrained to be positive, or constrained to be on the unit interval. The resulting model is applied to two example datasets through Bayesian analysis. Supporting the extra variation is seen to improve residual plots and produce widened prediction intervals reflecting the uncertainty. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

两水平无重复因析试验散度效应的估计

本文对两水平无重复因析试验给出了散度效应的一种新的估计,称为AMH估计,改进了文献中散度效应的较好的MH估计的一个缺陷,给出并证明了AMH估计的无偏条件,证明了AMH估计比MH估计有更小的方差下界.最后通过模拟试验比较了AMH和MH估计的偏度,方差和均方误差.     

Experimental and molecular modeling investigation of (E)-N-{2-[(2-hydroxybenzylidene)amino]phenyl}benzenesulfonamide

The Schiff base compound (E)-N-{2-[(2-hydroxybenzylidene)amino]phenyl}benzenesulfonamide has been synthesized and characterized by IR, NMR and Uv-vis spectroscopies, and single-crystal X-ray diffraction technique. In addition, quantum chemical calculations employing density functional theory (DFT) method with the 6–311++G(d,p) basis set were performed to study the molecular, spectroscopic and some electronic structure properties of the title compound, and the results were compared with the experimental findings. There exists a good correlation between experimental and theoretical data. Enol-imine/keto-amine tautomerization mechanism was investigated in the gas phase and in solution phase using the polarizable continuum model (PCM) approximation. The energetic and thermodynamic parameters of the enol-imine?→?keto-amine transfer process show that the single proton exchange is thermodynamically unfavored both in the gas phase and in solution phase. However, the reverse reaction seems to be feasible with a low barrier height and is supported by negative values in enthalpy and free energy changes both in the gas phase and in solution phase. The solvent effect is found to be sizable with increasing polarity of the solvents for the reverse reaction. The predicted nonlinear optical properties of the compound are found to be much greater than those of urea.     

Carbon-13 Kinetic Isotope Effects in the Decarbonylation Of Liquid Formic Acid in Water Solution

Abstract

Carbon-13 kinetic isotope effects (¹³C KIEs) in the decarbonylation of formic acid diluted with water 1:1 (V:V) has been studied in the 130–181°C temperature interval in sealed vacuum all glass reactions vessels. The experimental ¹³C KIEs are higher than the ¹³C KIEs values extrapolated from low 50–100°C temperature interval ¹³C KIEs observed in the decarbonylation of water free liquid formic acid but less than ¹³C KIEs expected theoretically assuming the complete carbon—oxygen (¹³C[sbnd]¹⁶O) bond rupture in the transition state. For instance the (k₁₂/k₁₃) KIE found in this study is 1.0375 at 170.2°C while the “full” ¹³C KIE is expected to be 1.0429 at this temperature. The ¹³C KIE extrapolated to 170.2°C from the low temperature data published earlier is 1.0299. - The Arrhenius activation energy for the decarbonylation of formic acid in 1:1 water solution E = 31.3 kcal/mol is by 6 kcal/mol higher than that which was obtained with 99,9% pure formic acid (E = 25,660 kcal/mol). The entropy of activation ΔS ^≠ increased from -21.4 e.u. (pure formic acid) to -15.3 e.u. in the decarbonylation of formic acid diluted with water 1:1. The increases of the enthalpy of activation, of the entropy of activation and partly of the carbon-13 kinetic isotope effect observed in the decarbonylation of formic acid in water solution have been rationalized by suggesting isotopic equilibria interfering the pure kinetic fractionation of ¹³C and intervention of the water molecules into the process of transfer of protons to the formic acid molecules lowering the absolute rate of their decomposition.     

Fractionation of Oxygen and Hydrogen Isotopes at the Hydrate Gas forming in the Sea Sediments

The paper gives data on isotope composition of interstitial and near-bottom waters sampled in a region of gas-hydrate formation in the Sea of Okhotsk. The studies shows that heavy isotope of oxygen and hydrogen is used in gas-hydrate formation, with the result that isotope composition of its constitution water constitutes δ¹⁸O = +1.99‰, δD = +23‰ relatively to SMOW. Formation of autogenic carbonates leads to isotope exchange with interstitial water wich, in turn, changes its primary isotope composition in the direction of increasing of O-18 content. The near-bottom waters are isotope-light relatively to the SMOW standard and to the mean isotope composition of interstitial water in the studied region of gas-hydrate spreading.     

Professor Dr. Justus Mühlenpfordt zum 60. Geburtstag

An efficient potential for radiation research has been developed at the Central Institute of Isotope and Radiation Research in Leipzig since 1969. 2Iany problems in the field of basic and applied research of radiation chemistry and biology have been studied. Ten gamma plants and two electron accelerators have been designed and established for scientific, industrial and agricultural application.     

Effects of Microstructural Defects on Ion-Irradiated Type-316 Stainless Steel

Microstructure defects play a very important role in the swelling of irradiated stainless steel. This work is a parametric study of the effects of microstructural defects on the swelling of ion-irradiated steel. For simplicity, vacancy loop effects were neglected. Cold working was found to play a complicated role in the swelling behavior. On one hand, it increase the bias to interstitial absorption due to the increase in dislocation density. On the other hand, it decreases the total flux of point defects to voids by the decrease of the point defect concentrations. Grain size has also a strong effect on swelling. It was found that large gain sizes produces higher swelling and vise versa, i.e. the larger the surface of grain boundaries the less the irradiation-produced swelling. Similar effects were found for precipitates.