上海基础房价相关指标及走势的分析与研究

基础房价的相关指标及其走势一直是大众关心的热门话题．本文通过对上海基础房价相关指标的分析，建立了市场房价走势的两个数学模型．模型一：在相关性分析的基础上利用主成分分析消除指标间的共线性，再用回归拟合房价模型并进行预测；模型二：在相关性分析的基础上利用核估计方法预测出房价．继呵对2005年下半年的房价走势进行了预测，得出的结果与实际情况相吻合．     

现代优化计算方法在蛋白质结构预测中的应用

现代优化计算方法在蛋白质结构预测中占有重要地位.简要地介绍了模拟退火算法,遗传算法,人工神经网络和图论算法在蛋白质结构预测中的应用.对国内外近年来应用这些算法,特别是在蛋白质构象搜索问题中,解决蛋白质结构预测的研究作了回顾,并分析、比较了这几种算法的效果和特点.     

Non-Parametric Regression Methods

The nature of the financial time series is complex, continuous interchange of stochastic and deterministic regimes. Therefore, it is difficult to forecast with parametric techniques. Instead of parametric models, we propose three techniques and compare with each other. Neural networks and support vector regression (SVR) are two universally approximators. They are data-driven non parametric models. ARCH/GARCH models are also investigated. Our assumption is that the future value of Istanbul Stock Exchange 100 index daily return depends on the financial indicators although there is no known parametric model to explain this relationship. This relationship comes from the technical analysis. Comparison shows that the multi layer perceptron networks overperform the SVR and time series model (GARCH).     

基于改进的语音参数提取的线性预测

根据语音发生基本原理和线性预测编码原理，针对自相关法需要加窗从而降低了解的精度，而协方差法不能保证保证解所重构出系统的稳定性的特点，提出了一种改进的Cholesky分解的方法求解协方差方程组以产生声道模型参数的方法，实践证明，这种方法既保证了系统的稳定性，又提高了解的精度。     

证券价格按几何布朗运动变化的微观解释

金融市场研究中经常不加解释地假设证券价格按几何布朗运动变化 .本文通过假定投资者要求来自证券的期望收益率与证券价格无关 ,在理想市场的前提条件下 ,对证券价格运动将遵循有漂移率的几何布朗运动给予严格的证明 .     

Theoretical analysis of the onset of liquid entrainment for slots of finite width

The onset of liquid entrainment during discharge from large reservoirs containing a stratified mixture of two immiscible fluids through a side slot of a finite width is considered theoretically. A previously reported analysis in which the slot was approximated as a two-dimensional line sink has been extended to account for the finite width of the slot. The model resulting from the present analysis is expressed in terms of two simple algebraic equations suitable for hand calculations. According to the present results, the ratio of the critical height to the slot width is dependent only on the Froude number. Numerical results show that the present model approaches the correct physical limits at low Froude numbers and it converges to the predictions of the previously reported simple model at high Froude numbers.     

Solitary wave solutions of nonlinear financial markets :data-modeling-concept-practicing

This paper seeks to solve the difficult nonlinear problem in financial markets on the complex system theory and the nonlinear dynamics principle, with the data-model-concept-practice issue-oriented reconstruction of the phase space by the high frequency trade data. In theory, we have achieved the differentiable manifold geometry configuration, discovered the Yang-Mills functional in financial markets, obtained a meaningful conserved quantity through corresponding space-time non-Abel localization gauge symmetry transformation, and derived the financial solitons, which shows that there is a strict symmetry between manifold fiber bundle and guage field in financial markets. In practical applications of financial markets, we have repeatedly carried out experimental tests in a fluctuant evolvement, directly simulating and validating the existence of solitons by researching the price fluctuations (society phenomena) using the same methods and criterion as in natural science and in actual trade to test the stock Guangzhou Proprietary and the futures Fuel Oil in China. The results demonstrate that the financial solitons discovered indicates that there is a kind of new substance and form of energy existing in financial trade markets, which likely indicates a new science paradigm in the economy and society domains beyond physics.      

Interpolation on spherical geodesic grids: A comparative study

Most operational models in atmospheric physics, meteorology and climatology nowadays adopt spherical geodesic grids and require “ad hoc” developed interpolation procedures. The author does a comparison between chosen representatives of linear, distance-based and cubic interpolation schemes outlining their advantages and drawbacks in this specific application field. Numerical experiments on a standard test problem, while confirming a good performance of linear and distance-based schemes in a single interpolation step, also show their minor accuracy with respect to the cubic scheme in the more realistic simulation of advection of a meteorological field.     

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本文研究了独立随机变量之和的绝对矩的几个性质, 其中包括$\ep|X+Y|-\ep|X-Y|$的表达式, 这里$X$和$Y$是相互独立的随机变量.     

“选择资费”的多重价格歧视特性

本文在分析电信业选择资费实例和价格结构的基础上 ,研究了选择资费中的三级和二级价格歧视 ,并提出了多重价格歧视的概念 .研究结果表明 ,电信公司在选择资费中综合运用了三级、二级价格歧视 ,且通过提供多个二部资费计费方案 ,达到双重二级价格歧视和优化二部资费的目的 .选择资费是电信公司应对市场竞争的一种定价策略 ,认识其经济特性有利于我国电信公司和电信管制部门进行科学决策