中国棉花期货市场价格发现功能研究

期货市场和现货市场之间的价格发现功能一直是监管部门和投资者十分关心的问题。本文借助信息共享模型、脉冲响应函数和方差分解等方法，对中国棉花期货市场和现货市场的价格关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明：棉花期货价格和现货价格之间存在显著的双向引导关系和长期均衡关系；期货市场和现货市场都扮演价格发现角色，且期货市场在价格发现中处于主导地位。     

The Challenges of Machine Learning and Their Economic Implications

The deployment of machine learning models is expected to bring several benefits. Nevertheless, as a result of the complexity of the ecosystem in which models are generally trained and deployed, this technology also raises concerns regarding its (1) interpretability, (2) fairness, (3) safety, and (4) privacy. These issues can have substantial economic implications because they may hinder the development and mass adoption of machine learning. In light of this, the purpose of this paper was to determine, from a positive economics point of view, whether the free use of machine learning models maximizes aggregate social welfare or, alternatively, regulations are required. In cases in which restrictions should be enacted, policies are proposed. The adaptation of current tort and anti-discrimination laws is found to guarantee an optimal level of interpretability and fairness. Additionally, existing market solutions appear to incentivize machine learning operators to equip models with a degree of security and privacy that maximizes aggregate social welfare. These findings are expected to be valuable to inform the design of efficient public policies.     

Quantum Hacking on an Integrated Continuous-Variable Quantum Key Distribution System via Power Analysis

In quantum key distribution (QKD), there are some security loopholes opened by the gaps between the theoretical model and the practical system, and they may be exploited by eavesdroppers (Eve) to obtain secret key information without being detected. This is an effective quantum hacking strategy that seriously threatens the security of practical QKD systems. In this paper, we propose a new quantum hacking attack on an integrated silicon photonic continuous-variable quantum key distribution (CVQKD) system, which is known as a power analysis attack. This attack can be implemented by analyzing the power originating from the integrated electrical control circuit in state preparation with the help of machine learning, where the state preparation is assumed to be perfect in initial security proofs. Specifically, we describe a possible power model and show a complete attack based on a support vector regression (SVR) algorithm. The simulation results show that the secret key information decreases with the increase of the accuracy of the attack, especially in a situation with less excess noise. In particular, Eve does not have to intrude into the transmitter chip (Alice), and may perform a similar attack in practical chip-based discrete-variable quantum key distribution (DVQKD) systems. To resist this attack, the electrical control circuit should be improved to randomize the corresponding power. In addition, the power can be reduced by utilizing the dynamic voltage and frequency scaling (DVFS) technology.     

例谈物理核心素养视角下培养学生策略性学习的实践研究

文章结合自身教学实践,针对在物理核心素养背景下,从"借助项目设计,培养学习习惯,促进学生‘策略性学习’反应程序化""借助过程优化,积累学习方法,促进学生‘策略性学习’研究深度化""借助物理与生活互动,提高学生对学习理解,促进学生‘策略性学习’运用实践化"3个途径来提升学生思维水平,发展学生思维品质,进而提高学生物理核心素养.     

THE PREPARATION OF CLOUD TEACHING MATERIALS OF ENGINEERING MECHANICS AND NEW ENGINEERING CONCEPT1)

新工科的人才培养目标使混合式教学模式成为高校教学改革的重要趋势。云教材是与混合式教学模式相契合的教学资源。工程力学云教材的建设贯彻以成果为导向的教育理念,明确学习目标,集成富媒体数字出版、云服务和移动学习三大领域的前沿技术,为工程力学混合式教学提供配套的教学资源。实践应用表明,工程力学云教材提高了学生的学习兴趣和自主学习能力,助力新工科的建设。     

关于《矩阵计算》课程教学的几点体会

探讨<矩阵计算>课程的研究和教学内容,从实践的角度出发,介绍该课程在本科教学中的几点体会.针对教学中出现的问题阐明我们的观点并提出解决办法,实践表明这些办法是行之有效的.     

Procedurally Rational Volunteers

The mixed-strategy equilibrium applied to the volunteer's dilemma (Diekmann, 1985 Diekmann , A. ( 1985 ). Volunteer's dilemma . Journal of Conflict Resolution , 29 , 605 – 610 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) predicts that the probability that at least 1 bystander volunteers decreases, if the number of bystander increases. I argue that this prediction lacks empirical support and demonstrate that an alternative solution concept from the literature on bounded rationality, the procedurally rational equilibrium (Osborne &; Rubinstein, 1998 Osborne , M. J. &; Rubinstein , A. ( 1998 ). Games with procedurally rational players . American Economic Review , 88 , 834 – 847 .[Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), yields alternative predictions. I supply some empirical evidence that the alternative solution concept fares better in explaining observed behavior in the volunteer's dilemma.     

A new multiobjective allocator of capacitor banks and distributed generations using a new investigated differential evolution

This article has investigated a new multiobjective allocation of optimal sizing and sitting of distributed generation (DG) units and capacitor banks in simultaneous mode to improve reliability and reduce energy losses. The proposed method consists of four objectives, that is, cost of energy not supplied, system average interruption duration index, costs of energy loss and investment. A novel structure differential evolution has been suggested to solve this nonlinear complex problem and its results are compared with related values of genetic algorithm and simple differential evolutionary algorithm. In addition to the novel objective function, the other contribution of this article is proposing a new model for load and energy cost. Three types of DGs, that is, wind turbine, solar cell, and diesel generator have been used in placement process. To verify the comprehensiveness of the proposed function, three scenarios have been introduced: scenario i: first, placement of DGs, then capacitor banks, scenario ii: first, placement of capacitor banks, and then DGs, and scenario iii: simultaneous placement of DGs and capacitor banks. Simulations have been carried out on one part of practical distribution network in Metropolitan Tabriz in North West of Iran. The results of simulations have been discussed and analyzed using the five novel indices. The obtained simulation results using proposed function shows that the simultaneous placement of DGs and capacitor banks results in more reduction of the energy losses and increase improvements of reliability indices as well as voltage profile. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 19: 40–54, 2014     

A class of transformed Markov processes

This paper considers some properties of a class of transformed Markov processes. The analogy with Whittle's relaxed Markov process is pointed out. Some applications of the transformed Markov processes to queueing networks are described     

Teil II: Ergebnisse bei der Bestrahlung einzelner Nahrungsmittelgruppen (Zusammenfassender Bericht)

Nachdem im ersten Teil dieser Arbeit [170] einige Grundprobleme der Nahrungsmittelbestrahlung behandelt wurden, sollen nun die bei der Bestrahlung wichtiger Nahrungsmittelgruppen erzielten Ergebnisse dargelet und eine Einschätzung der Entwicklungstendenzen versucht werden.