大型结构分析程序系统单元库更新

阐述了大型结构分析程序系统单元库更新的概念及其意义，报告了装入ＡＰ－１程序系统单元库的精化四节点及八节点平面等参元的情况，给出了更新前、后单元通过考题库测试的结果及与其它程序系统结果的比较。数值结果表明通过更新单元来提高程序系统的分析精度与计算效率从而增强其竞争力是可行的。     

Measurement of Returns to Scale and Damages to Scale for DEA-based operational and environmental assessment: How to manage desirable (good) and undesirable (bad) outputs?

Environmental assessment is increasingly important in preventing various types of pollutions. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) has been long used as an operational performance measure, but we have insufficiently explored the use of DEA for environmental assessment. This study explores a new use of DEA for the environmental assessment in which outputs are classified into desirable (good) and undesirable (bad) outputs. Such an output separation is important in the DEA-based environmental assessment. This study extends the use of DEA to the measurement of both Returns to Scale (RTS) for desirable outputs and Damages to Scale (DTS) for undesirable outputs. A Range-Adjusted Measure (RAM) is used as a DEA model for this study because the non-radial model can easily combine the two types of outputs in a unified treatment. All the mathematical features regarding the RAM-based RTS/DTS measurement are first discussed from the operational and environmental performance in a separate treatment. Then, this study combines the two performance measures as a unified measure. The RAM-based RTS/DTS is mathematically explored from the unified measure for operational and environmental performance.     

Incorporating ergonomic risks into assembly line balancing

In manufacturing, control of ergonomic risks at manual workplaces is a necessity commanded by legislation, care for health of workers and economic considerations. Methods for estimating ergonomic risks of workplaces are integrated into production routines at most firms that use the assembly-type of production. Assembly line re-balancing, i.e., re-assignment of tasks to workers, is an effective and, in case that no additional workstations are required, inexpensive method to reduce ergonomic risks. In our article, we show that even though most ergonomic risk estimation methods involve nonlinear functions, they can be integrated into assembly line balancing techniques at low additional computational cost. Our computational experiments indicate that re-balancing often leads to a substantial mitigation of ergonomic risks.     

台风灾害快速评估信息系统设计与开发

以台风综合强度指数和台风风场模型的理论为基础,采用C#＋ArcEngine技术进行二次开发,设计并开发了一套以台风综合强度和影响范围评估为主要功能的台风灾害快速评估系统.提出了一种更全面的台风致灾因子危险性评估方法,以期为台风灾害风险评估提供基础.     

Gumbel分布的简单贝叶斯估计

在实际应用中,两参数Gumbel分布的贝叶斯估计往往需要预先知道Gumbel参数的二维联合先验分布。由于获取先验分布的主观性和统计推断的复杂性,目前有关Gumbel分布贝叶斯估计理论及其性质的讨论还比较少,更不要说获得较为简单的Gumbel分布的贝叶斯估计。本文基于Kaminskiy和Vasiliy提出的简单贝叶斯估计过程,利用可靠度函数估计的区间形式表示先验信息,从而得到两个参数Gumbel分布的简单贝叶斯估计。基于此先验信息,该估计过程构造了Gumbel参数的连续联合先验分布,给出了在给定任意时点的可靠度(或累积密度)及其标准差的后验估计,为可靠性与风险评估中简单快速的使用贝叶斯估计刻画极端事件提供了可能.     

企业协同知识创新的风险识别与评价

协同知识创新是企业降低创新成本,提高创新能力的重要手段.由于企业知识创新具有高度的不确定性和不可预测性,因此,有效地利用企业协同优势,有针对性地降低协同知识创新的风险,是协同知识创新活动得以顺利开展的重要条件.影响协同知识创新的内外因素有很多,利用粗糙集理论对这些因素进行简约,消除冗余因素,得到在协同知识创新中的核心因素;确定约简集因素权重,判断协同知识创新的风险程度,为协同知识创新的决策提供依据.     

An algebraic translation task solved by grade 7–9 students

In this study, the author examined student attempts to translate a verbal problem into an algebraic statement relating two variables, after they had solved an arithmetic question from the same problem. A total of 645 students from New England (U.S.A.) answered the problem on a mathematics assessment administered at the beginning of the school year. Among students who could solve the arithmetic part of the problem, the use of variables in the correct conventional notation appeared from grade 7 and continuously increased through grade 9. These results suggest that there is a relationship between students’ arithmetic understanding and translating verbal problems into algebraic statements relating two variables.     

高速列车轴承可靠性评估关键力学参量研究进展

轴承是高速列车牵引传动和轮轴系统的关键零部件. 受列车运行过程中电机转矩、齿轮啮合以及轮轨随机激励的影响,轴承可能发生疲劳破坏, 严重影响高速列车的行车安全.我国特有的复杂运用条件对轴承部件的疲劳性能提出了更高的要求,而轴承疲劳可靠性的基础理论和关键技术是我国轴承正向设计研发中的薄弱环节.可靠性评估方面的相关研究在解决轴承可靠性研究的瓶颈问题中起到了承上启下的关键作用.高速列车轴承可靠性评估手段与技术旨在获得使用环境中轴承可靠性评估的关键力学参量,并以此推动复杂激励下轴承疲劳可靠性理论研究. 因此,需要哪些关键力学参量并且在复杂的实际使用环境下如何去获取这些力学参量是进行高速列车轴承可靠性评估的关键所在.本文首先概述了高速列车轴承所处的复杂使用环境及运用中的主要失效模式,并据此分析了高速列车轴承可靠性评估所需的关键力学参量,强调了轴承内部滚滑行为和载荷分布在可靠性评估和轴承状态监测中的重要作用,之后从计算模型和测试技术等方面系统阐述了针对这两个关键力学参量的研究进展.最后提出了在高速列车轴承可靠性评估关键力学参量特征及测试技术研究中值得关注的若干问题.      

A cycle for validating a learning progression illustrated with an example from the concept of function

A learning progression, or learning trajectory, describes the evolution of student thinking from early conceptions to the target understanding within a particular domain. As a complex theory of development, it requires conceptual and empirical support. In earlier work, we proposed a cycle for the validation of a learning progression with four steps: 1) Theory Development, 2) Examination of Empirical Recovery, 3) Comparison to Competing Models, and 4) Evaluation of Instructional Efficacy. A group of experts met to discuss the application of learning sciences to the design, use, and validation of classroom assessment. Learning progressions, learning trajectories, and how they can support classroom assessment were the main focuses. Revisions to the cycle were suggested. We describe the adapted cycle and illustrate how the first third of it has been applied towards the validation of a learning progression for the concept of function.     

基于概率语言术语集的服务外包风险评估方法

考虑服务外包风险评估的不确定性,采用概率语言术语集获取FMEA方法所需的专家评价信息,通过给语言集赋予不同的概率以表达偏好的程度。针对传统FMEA方法没有考虑风险间的相互影响关系,风险严重度评估不够准确的问题,采用广义Choquet积分分析风险间的相互影响关系,得到修正后的风险严重度。考虑严重度、发生度和难检度直接相乘准确性低的问题,采用概率语言VIKOR方法对风险的三个因子进行综合评估。最后以公共体育场馆服务外包风险评估为例,验证了所提方法的有效性。