Some interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic Choquet operators and their application to multi-attribute group decision making

In this study a generated admissible order between interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic numbers using two continuous functions is introduced. Then, two interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic operators called the interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic Choquet averaging (IVIULCA) operator and the interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic Choquet geometric mean (IVIULCGM) operator are defined, which consider the interactive characteristics among elements in a set. In order to overall reflect the correlations between them, we further define the generalized Shapley interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic Choquet averaging (GS-IVIULCA) operator and the generalized Shapley interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic Choquet geometric mean (GS-IVIULCGM) operator. Moreover, if the information about the weights of experts and attributes is incompletely known, the models for the optimal fuzzy measures on expert set and attribute set are established, respectively. Finally, a method to multi-attribute group decision making under interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic environment is developed, and an example is provided to show the specific application of the developed procedure.     

Covariance operator estimation of a functional autoregressive process with random coefficients

We deal with the covariance and cross covariance operators estimation of a Hilbert space valued autoregressive process with random coefficients. We establish bounds for empirical estimators in mean square error and almost sure convergence in Hilbert–Schmidt norm. Consistent estimators of the eigenvalues are also derived.     

Optimal reinsurance and investment strategies for insurer under interest rate and inflation risks

In this paper, we investigate an optimal reinsurance and investment problem for an insurer whose surplus process is approximated by a drifted Brownian motion. Proportional reinsurance is to hedge the risk of insurance. Interest rate risk and inflation risk are considered. We suppose that the instantaneous nominal interest rate follows an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process, and the inflation index is given by a generalized Fisher equation. To make the market complete, zero-coupon bonds and Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are included in the market. The financial market consists of cash, zero-coupon bond, TIPS and stock. We employ the stochastic dynamic programming to derive the closed-forms of the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies as well as the optimal utility function under the constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) utility maximization. Sensitivity analysis is given to show the economic behavior of the optimal strategies and optimal utility.     

On the multidimensional extension of countermonotonicity and its applications

In a 2-dimensional space, Fréchet–Hoeffding upper and lower bounds define comonotonicity and countermonotonicity, respectively. Similarly, in the multidimensional case, comonotonicity can be defined using the Fréchet–Hoeffding upper bound. However, since the multidimensional Fréchet–Hoeffding lower bound is not a distribution function, there is no obvious extension of countermonotonicity in multidimensions. This paper investigates in depth a new multidimensional extension of countermonotonicity. We first provide an equivalent condition for countermonotonicity in 2-dimension, and extend the definition of countermonotonicity into multidimensions. In order to justify such extensions, we show that newly defined countermonotonic copulas constitute a minimal class of copulas. Two applications will be provided. First, we will study the relationships between multidimensional countermonotonicity and such well-known multivariate concordance measures as Kendall’s tau or Spearman’s rho. Second, we will give a financial interpretation of multidimensional countermonotonicity via the existing herd behavior index.     

A multiple window scan statistic for time series models

In this article we extend the results derived for scan statistics in Wang and Glaz (2014) for independent normal observations. We investigate the performance of two approximations for the distribution of fixed window scan statistics for time series models. An R algorithm for computing multivariate normal probabilities established in Genz and Bretz (2009) can be used along with proposed approximations to implement fixed window scan statistics for ARMA models. The accuracy of these approximations is investigated via simulation. Moreover, a multiple window scan statistic is defined for detecting a local change in the mean of a Gaussian white noise component in ARMA models, when the appropriate length of the scanning window is unknown. Based on the numerical results, for power comparisons of the scan statistics, we can conclude that when the window size of a local change is unknown, the multiple window scan statistic outperforms the fixed window scan statistics.     

基于供应链关系管理的中国第三方物流整合实证研究

本文利用130家物流用户企业的问卷调查数据,研究了物流用户企业与物流服务供应商之间的依赖关系对第三方物流整合及其企业绩效的影响。结果表明,第三方物流整合能够提高企业的财务绩效和运营绩效,而依赖关系对第三方物流整合有正向影响。此外,本文通过对比研究,分析了在不同所有制下,依赖关系对第三方物流整合作用的差异性.研究表明在中资企业中,第三方物流重要性对第三方物流整合有显著的正向影响;而外资企业中,替代不可获得性对第三方物流整合促进作用显著。     

基于模糊TOPSIS法的职业选择定量分析

由于职业选择受多种因素的影响,且许多因素又具有模糊不确定性,单纯地从定性的角度无法准确清晰地进行选择判断.为解决这一问题,本文运用模糊TOPSIS法对职业选择问题进行定量分析.首先,从个人兴趣爱好、单位的工资收入水平、地理位置、单位性质、发展前景、继续深造的条件和机会、发展机会等,建立职业选择的评价指标体系;然后,采用模糊集理论与专家综合评判相结合的方法求出模糊评价指标的概率并给出所有评价指标的权数;接着,以模糊数学和传统TOPSIS(逼近理想解的排序法)法为基础,建立职业选择评价方法;最后,以某大学生职业选择为例,验证该评价方法的有效性.结果表明,运用模糊TOPSIS法对职业选择定量分析是可行的.     

Twelve limit cycles around a singular point in a planar cubic-degree polynomial system

In this paper, we prove the existence of 12 small-amplitude limit cycles around a singular point in a planar cubic-degree polynomial system. Based on two previously developed cubic systems in the literature, which have been proved to exhibit 11 small-amplitude limit cycles, we applied a different method to show 11 limit cycles. Moreover, we show that one of the systems can actually have 12 small-amplitude limit cycles around a singular point. This is the best result so far obtained in cubic planar vector fields around a singular point.     

基于POT方法的商业银行操作风险极端值估计

对于商业银行而言,操作风险已经成为与市场风险和信用风险同样重要的风险。本文利用极值理论超越样本的估计能力,采用极值理论中对数据要求量较少,可以进行单步预测的超阈值(POT)方法对我国商业银行操作损失极端值分布进行估计,以均值超额函数图和拟合直线的交点确定阈值,估计出给定置信水平之下操作风险损失的分位数,从而使得国内商业银行操作风险监管资本的计算成为可能。     

Determination of chlorophenols in red wine using ionic liquid countercurrent chromatography as a new pretreatment method followed by high‐performance liquid chromatography

A countercurrent chromatography method for the enrichment and cleanup of chlorophenols from food samples was successfully established by using an ionic‐liquid‐modified two‐phase solvent system composed of dichloromethane containing 2% 1‐butyl‐3‐methylimidazolium bis(trifluoromethanesulfonyl)imide and water. The column was firstly filled with the organic stationary phase, and then a large volume of sample was pumped into the column after it was equilibrated with pure water at the rotation speed. Finally, the trace amounts of chlorophenols extracted and enriched in the stationary phase were eluted out by an alkaline mobile phase and determined by high‐performance liquid chromatography. Under optimized conditions, the enrichment and cleanup of the chlorophenols can be fulfilled online with enrichment factors (34–65) and high recoveries (84.69–95.23%). The method has been applied to the determination of chlorophenols in real red wine samples with the limits of detection in the range of 1.89–4.21 μg/L. The present method is highly suitable for the pretreatment of large volume of aqueous sample for the determination of trace amounts of contaminants in food and environmental samples.