Policies for biodefense revisited: The prioritized vaccination process for smallpox

Handling bioterror events that involve contagious agents is a major concern for authorities and a cause for debate among policymakers about the best response policy. At the core of this debate stands the question which of the two post-event policies to adopt: mass vaccination or trace (also called ring or targeted) vaccination. We present a new dynamic epidemic-intervention model that captures key features of the situation and generalizes some previous assumptions regarding the probability distributions of inter-temporal parameters. It is shown that a mixture of mass and trace vaccination policies—the prioritized vaccination policy—is more effective than either of the two aforementioned policies.     

Risk estimation of infectious diseases determines the effectiveness of the control strategy

Usually, whether to take vaccination or not is a voluntary decision, which is determined by many factors, from societal factors (such as religious belief and human rights) to individual preferences (including psychology and altruism). Facing the outbreaks of infectious diseases, different people often have different estimations on the risk of infectious diseases. So, some persons are willing to vaccinate, but other persons are willing to take risks. In this paper, we establish two different risk assessment systems using the technique of dynamic programming, and then compare the effects of the two different systems on the prevention of diseases on complex networks. One is that the perceived probability of being infected for each individual is the same (uniform case). The other is that the perceived probability of being infected is positively correlated to individual degrees (preferential case). We show that these two risk assessment systems can yield completely different results, such as, the effectiveness of controlling diseases, the time evolution of the number of infections, and so on.     

Global stability of a multi‐group model with distributed delay and vaccination

A delayed multi‐group SVEIR epidemic model with vaccination and a general incidence function has been formulated and studied in this paper. Mathematical analysis shows that the basic reproduction number plays a key role in the dynamics of the model: the disease‐free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when , while the endemic equilibrium exists uniquely and is globally asymptotically stable when . For the proofs, we exploit a graph‐theoretical approach to the method of Lyapunov functionals. Our results show that distributed delay has no impact on the global stability of equilibria, and the results improve and generalize some known results. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

一类具有接种疫苗和再次感染的传染病模型分析

建立和研究了具有接种疫苗和再次感染的SEIRV传染病模型.给出了基本再生数的表达式,得到了模型存在后向分支的条件.     

甲流病毒传播的年龄结构模型的稳定性

研究甲型H1N1流感病毒的传播规律,建立年龄结构具有接种措施的SEIR流行病模型,给出了疾病流行的阈值并证明了地方病平衡点的稳定性问题.最后根据一些实际数据,进行数值模拟进而对模型的合理性加以完善,借助模型预测下一阶段甲流爆发的可能性并提出相关应对措施.     

Immobilisation of a repressor protein for binding of plasmid DNA

The use of plasmid DNA in gene therapy and genetic vaccination has increased the need for scalable and sustainable production processes. One key challenge for bioprocess engineering is the separation of plasmid DNA from structurally related impurities. Affinity purification procedures allow a highly selective capturing of the target molecule. In this paper, we present the isolation of a his-tagged lac repressor, its non-covalent immobilisation to different matrices and binding of DNA, thus enabling us to screen for combinations of ligands and stationary phases by using a building block principle.     

一类具有垂直传染与脉冲免疫的SEIR传染病模型的全局分析

考虑了一个具有垂直传染与积分时滞的SEIR传染病动力学模型.分析了该模型在脉冲免疫接种条件下的动力学行为,获得了传染病灭绝的充分条件,进而运用脉冲时滞泛函微分方程理论,获得了含有时滞的系统持久性的充分条件,并且证明了积分时滞与脉冲免疫能对模型的动力学行为产生显著的影响.     

A non‐autonomous epidemic model with time delay and vaccination

In this paper, a non‐autonomous SIRVS epidemic model with time delay and vaccination is investigated. We assume that the vaccinated have a constant immunity period. Some new threshold conditions are obtained. These threshold conditions govern the extinction and permanence of the disease. When the model degenerates into the periodic or autonomous case, the corresponding basic reproduction number can be derived from these threshold conditions. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.