A nonautonomous epidemic model with general incidence and isolation

We obtain conditions for eradication and permanence of infection for a nonautonomous SIQR model with time‐dependent parameters that are not assumed to be periodic. The incidence is given by functions of all compartments, and the threshold conditions are given by some numbers that play the role of the basic reproduction number. We obtain simple threshold conditions in the autonomous, asymptotically autonomous and periodic settings and show that our thresholds coincide with the ones already established. Additionally, we obtain threshold conditions for the general nonautonomous model with mass‐action, standard and quarantine‐adjusted incidence. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A nonautonomous epidemic model on time scales

We obtain conditions for permanence and extinction of the infection for a nonautonomous SIQR model defined on an arbitrary time scale. The threshold conditions are given by some numbers that play the role of the basic reproduction number in this setting. As a particular case of our result, we recover several threshold conditions obtained in the literature, on discrete or continuous time, for autonomous, periodic models and general nonautonomous models and we also discuss some new situations, including an aperiodic time scale.     

Threshold dynamics for an HIV model in periodic environments

In this paper, we investigate an HIV model incorporating the effect of an ARV regimen. Since drug concentration varies during dose intervals, which results in periodic variation of the drug efficacy, our model is then a periodic time-dependent system. We get a threshold value between the extinction and the uniform persistence of the disease by applying the persistence theory. Our main results show that the disease goes to extinction if the threshold value is less than unity, whilst the disease persists if the threshold value is larger than unity. We also prove that there exists a positive periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable. The threshold dynamics is in agreement with that for the system with constant coefficients, which extends the classic results for the corresponding autonomous model.     

The threshold of a non‐autonomous SIRS epidemic model with stochastic perturbations

In this paper, we investigate a stochastic non‐autonomous SIRS (susceptible‐infected‐recovered‐susceptible) model. The extinction and the prevalence of the disease are discussed, and so, the threshold is given. Especially, we show there is a positive nontrivial periodic solution. At last, some examples and simulations are provided to illustrate our results. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The Survival Analysis of a Non-autonomous N-dimensional Volterra Mutualistic System in a Polluted Environment

In this paper,we extend the autonomous n-Dimensional Volterra Mutualistic System to a non-autonomous system.The condition of persistence and extinction is obtained for each population,and thethreshold is established for asymptotically autonomous system.     

GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF AN SEIR EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH IMMIGRATION OF DIFFERENT COMPARTMENTS

The SEIR epidemic model studied here includes constant inflows of new susceptibles, exposeds, infectives, and recovereds. This model also incorporates a population size dependent contact rate and a disease-related death. As the infected fraction cannot be eliminated from the population, this kind of model has only the unique endemic equilibrium that is globally asymptotically stable. Under the special case where the new members of immigration are all susceptible, the model considered here shows a threshold phenomenon and a sharp threshold has been obtained. In order to prove the global asymptotical stability of the endemic equilibrium, the authors introduce the change of variable, which can reduce our four-dimensional system to a three-dimensional asymptotical autonomous system with limit equation.     

The effect of incidence functions on the dynamics of a quarantine/isolation model with time delay

The problem of the asymptotic dynamics of a quarantine/isolation model with time delay is considered, subject to two incidence functions, namely standard incidence and the Holling type II (saturated) incidence function. Rigorous qualitative analysis of the model shows that it exhibits essentially the same (equilibrium) dynamics regardless of which of the two incidence functions is used. In particular, for each of the two incidence functions, the model has a globally asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium whenever the associated reproduction threshold quantity is less than unity. Further, it has a unique endemic equilibrium when the threshold quantity exceeds unity. For the case with the Holling type II incidence function, it is shown that the unique endemic equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable for a special case. The permanence of the disease is also established for the model with the Holling type II incidence function. Furthermore, it is shown that adding time delay to and/or replacing the standard incidence function with the Holling type II incidence function in the corresponding autonomous quarantine/isolation model with standard incidence (considered in Safi and Gumel (2010) [10]) does not alter the qualitative dynamics of the autonomous system (with respect to the elimination or persistence of the disease). Finally, numerical simulations of the model with standard incidence show that the disease burden decreases with increasing time delay (incubation period). Furthermore, models with time delay seem to be more suitable for modeling the 2003 SARS outbreaks than those without time delay.     

New results on global asymptotic stability for a class of delayed Nicholson's blowflies model

This paper is concerned with a class of non‐autonomous delayed Nicholson's blowflies model, which is defined on the positive function space. Under proper conditions, we employ a novel proof to establish several criteria on the global asymptotic stability of zero equilibrium point for this model. Moreover, we give an example and its numerical simulation to illustrate our main results. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Local Unit Roots and Global Stationarity of TARMA Models

In this paper the (strict and weak) stationarity of threshold autoregressive moving average models is discussed. After examining the strict stationarity, mainly based on the random coefficient autoregressive representation of the model, we provide sufficient conditions for its weak stationarity that allow to obtain a wider stationarity region with respect to some previous results given in the literature. These conditions are discussed to distinguish between global and local stationarity, whose relation has been considered in detail. The threshold process has been further evaluated to face the problem related to the so called existence of a threshold structure in the data generating process that is strictly related to the stationarity and has significant relevance when the parameters of the model have to be estimated.     

Mathematical Analysis of West Nile Virus Model with Discrete Delays

The paper presents the basic model for the transmission dynamics of West Nile virus (WNV). The model, which consists of seven mutually-exclusive compartments representing the birds and vector dynamics, has a locally-asymptotically stable disease-free equilibrium whenever the associated reproduction number (?₀) is less than unity. As reveal in [3, 20], the analyses of the model show the existence of the phenomenon of backward bifurcation (where the stable disease-free equilibrium of the model co-exists with a stable endemic equilibrium when the reproduction number of the disease is less than unity). It is shown, that the backward bifurcation phenomenon can be removed by substituting the associated standard incidence function with a mass action incidence. Analysis of the reproduction number of the model shows that, the disease will persist, whenever ?₀ > 1, and increase in the length of incubation period can help reduce WNV burden in the community if a certain threshold quantities, denoted by Δ_b and Δ_v are negative. On the other hand, increasing the length of the incubation period increases disease burden if Δ_b > 0 and Δ_v > 0. Furthermore, it is shown that adding time delay to the corresponding autonomous model with standard incidence (considered in [2]) does not alter the qualitative dynamics of the autonomous system (with respect to the elimination or persistence of the disease).     

Hopf bifurcations in dynamical systems

The onset of instability in autonomous dynamical systems (ADS) of ordinary differential equations is investigated. Binary, ternary and quaternary ADS are taken into account. The stability frontier of the spectrum is analyzed. Conditions necessary and sufficient for the occurring of Hopf, Hopf–Steady, Double-Hopf and unsteady aperiodic bifurcations—in closed form—and conditions guaranteeing the absence of unsteady bifurcations via symmetrizability, are obtained. The continuous triopoly Cournot game of mathematical economy is taken into account and it is shown that the ternary ADS governing the Nash equilibrium stability, is symmetrizable. The onset of Hopf bifurcations in rotatory thermal hydrodynamics is studied and the Hopf bifurcation number (threshold that the Taylor number crosses at the onset of Hopf bifurcations) is obtained.

     

Global stability of a periodic Holling‐Tanner predator‐prey model

This paper is concerned with the global dynamics of a Holling‐Tanner predator‐prey model with periodic coefficients. We establish sufficient conditions for the existence of a positive solution and its global asymptotic stability. The stability conditions are first given in average form and afterward as pointwise estimates. In the autonomous case, the previous criteria lead to a known result.     

Impulsive non‐autonomous dynamical systems and impulsive cocycle attractors

In this work, we define the notions of ‘impulsive non‐autonomous dynamical systems’ and ‘impulsive cocycle attractors’. Such notions generalize (we will see that not in the most direct way) the notions of autonomous dynamical systems and impulsive global attractors in the current published literature. We also establish conditions to ensure the existence of an impulsive cocycle attractor for a given impulsive non‐autonomous dynamical system, which are analogous to the continuous case. Moreover, we prove the existence of such attractor for a non‐autonomous 2D Navier–Stokes equation with impulses, using energy estimates. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Exact boundary controllability for non‐autonomous quasilinear wave equations

In this paper, we first show that quite different from the autonomous case, the exact boundary controllability for non‐autonomous wave equations possesses various possibilities. Then we adopt a constructive method to establish the exact boundary controllability for one‐dimensional non‐autonomous quasilinear wave equations with various types of boundary conditions. Finally, we apply the results to multi‐dimensional quasilinear wave equation with rotation invariance. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Generalized solution of non‐autonomous photon transport problem

The purpose of this paper is to show the existence of a generalized solution of a non‐autonomous transport problem. By means of the theory of equicontinuous evolution system on a sequentially complete locally convex topological vector space, we show that the perturbed abstract non‐autonomous Cauchy problem has a unique solution when the perturbation operator and forcing term function satisfy certain conditions. A consequence of the abstract result is that it can be directly applied to obtain a generalized solution of the non‐autonomous photon transport problem. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Optimal and adaptive control for a kind of 3D chaotic and 4D hyper-chaotic systems

This paper is concerned with the chaos control of two autonomous chaotic and hyper-chaotic systems. First, based on the Pontryagin minimum principle (PMP), an optimal control technique is presented. Next, we proposed Lyapunov stability to control of the autonomous chaotic and hyper-chaotic systems with unknown parameters by a feedback control approach. Matlab bvp4c and ode45 have been used for solving the autonomous chaotic systems and the extreme conditions obtained from the PMP. Numerical simulations on the chaotic and hyper-chaotic systems are illustrated to show the effectiveness of the analytical results.     

Dynamical behavior for a class of predator–prey system with general functional response and discontinuous harvesting policy

In this paper, we introduce a class of predator–prey system with general functional response, whose harvesting policy is modeled by a discontinuous function. Based on the differential inclusions theory, topological degree theory in set‐valued analysis and generalized Lyapunov approach, we analyze the existence, uniqueness and global asymptotic stability of positive periodic solution. In particular, a series of useful criteria on existence, uniqueness and global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium point are established for the autonomous system corresponding to the non‐autonomous biological and mathematical model with a discontinuous right‐hand side. Moreover, some new sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the global convergence in measure of harvesting solution and convergence in finite time of any positive solution for the autonomous discontinuous biological system. The obtained results, which improve and generalize previous works on dynamical behavior in the literature, are of interest for understanding and designing biological system with not only continuous or even Lipschitz continuous but also discontinuous harvesting function. Finally, we give three examples with numerical simulations to show the applicability and effectiveness of our main results. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A remark on a stochastic predator–prey system with time delays

An autonomous stochastic predator–prey model with time delays is investigated. Almost sufficient and necessary conditions for stability in the mean and extinction of each population are established. Numerical simulations are introduced to support the results.     

Extinction,periodicity and multistability in a Ricker model of stage-structured populations

We study the dynamics of a second-order difference equation that is derived from a planar Ricker model of two-stage (adult-juvenile) biological populations. We obtain sufficient conditions for global convergence to zero in the non-autonomous case yielding general conditions for extinction in the biological context. We also study the dynamics of an autonomous special case of the equation that generates multistable periodic and non-periodic orbits in the positive quadrant of the plane.