Shooting at the poachers while the rhinos drown: Managing short‐ and long‐term threats to endangered wildlife in conservation reserves

This paper addresses management challenges associated with conserving endangered wildlife facing multiple threats from illegal poaching, habitat encroachment, and climate and land‐use change‐induced flooding. While poaching and encroachment challenges in conservation parks are of immediate nature, climate‐related risks exist in the long term. The park manager faces a utility function that includes as its arguments local community’s incomes, benefits to the larger society from preserving threatened species and the financial costs of monitoring and land‐use change efforts. Using the case of single‐horned rhinos in the Kaziranga National Park, India, an optimal mix of monitoring and land‐use changes is designed in presence of tradeoffs between short‐ and long‐term management efforts. As monitoring only addresses immediate challenges associated with poaching and encroachment, long‐term climatic risks remain ignored. Land‐use management offers risk‐protection as well as risk‐insurance benefits with respect to climate change‐induced flooding of the park. Recommendations for Resource Managers

• It is important to incorporate both short‐ and long‐term risks posed to endangered wildlife while investing in conservation efforts. There may exist a tradeoff between mitigating short‐ and long‐run risks due to financial and physical resource constraints. However, ignoring long‐term risks to wildlife habitats can jeopardize past conservation efforts.
• Land‐use management, both within and outside of conservation reserves, enhances resilience to climatic shocks through reducing flooding risks and must be an essential part of wildlife conservation efforts.
• Conservation efforts ignoring local community welfare considerations can become suboptimal as they lead to reduced cooperation and potential conflicts. When wildlife conservation efforts account for local community welfare implications, optimal management plans could result in lower species abundance in the short term. However, increasing the park size through additional land enrollment can mitigate some of this tradeoff.

     

A fair and time‐consistent sharing of the joint exploitation payoff of a fishery

We consider the problem of efficiently managing a fishery where pollution externalities are present. The open‐access bionomic model is analyzed in an ‐player differential game framework with two‐state variables, that is, the fish stock and the pollution stock. We characterize the noncooperative feedback‐Nash equilibrium and cooperative solution, and define an egalitarian sharing rule to allocate the joint welfare maximizing payoff over an infinite time horizon, and show that this rule is time consistent. Recommendations for Resource Managers

• ● Cooperation in management of a fishery where pollution externalities are present yields a higher payoff over time as compared to the noncooperative behavior.
• ● The dividend of cooperation can be allocated among the fisherpersons according to an egalitarian sharing rule.
• ● This allocation is time‐consistent, that is, no player will be tempted to deviate from cooperation as time goes by, and the initial agreement is sustainable.

     

Innovation as a policy strategy for natural resource protection

Growing global food demands place major strains on water resources, including quality impairments and increased water scarcity. Drawing on the largely separate bodies of literature on externalities and technological innovation, this article develops a dynamic framework to explore the long‐term impacts of alternative policy approaches to the agricultural impacts on water resources. Environmental policies, which focus on correcting environmental externalities, lead to an overall gain because costs to farmers are more than offset by reduced environmental damages. Technology policies, which direct public investments into agricultural eco‐innovations, lead to benefits for farmers as well as the environment. Joint implementation of both types of policies leads to the largest overall gain. In principle, a technology policy alone could have greater environmental benefits than an environmental policy alone. This outcome is most likely in cases where the productivity effect of new technology is large and the cost of research is low. Recommendations for research managers

• As an alternative to traditional environmental policy, investments in research can provide win–win solutions that benefit the environment and agricultural producers.
• Conceivably, eco‐innovations could lead to environmental conditions that are better than those achieved by environmental policy alone.
• Adding research investments to existing environmental policy would lead to further improvements in environmental quality while also benefitting farmers.
• Unlike environmental policies that are perceived to impose costs on agriculture, technology policies impart benefits to farmers and are less likely to face political opposition from industry.
• Technology policies are likely to be the most effective when eco‐innovation leads to technologies that meaningfully reduce environmental impacts and also raise farm productivity.

     

Focus on economy or ecology? A three‐dimensional trade‐off based on ecological carrying capacity in southwest China

Economic growth and human activities challenge the regional harmony of the economy and environment. Based on an evaluation of ecological carrying capacity (ECC), we have constructed a three‐dimensional trade‐off model for socially harmonious development for the Sichuan and Yunnan regions in southwest China. The results demonstrate that there is a continuous increase in socioeconomic coordination (SEC; slope > 0.23) and a change in the ECC in the study area, characterized by subtle fluctuations from 2000 through 2008. This was primarily due to the loss of resource and environment carrying capacity wiping out the profits of SEC. Significant government aid during the postdisaster reconstruction and more attention being paid to the environment in policy resulted in a faster increase in ECC (slope > 0.38) from 2008 to 2016. Based on this trade‐off model, managers could deeply understand the relationship between resources, the economy, and ecology. Summary for Managers

• Ecological environment protection is increasingly crucial in Sichuan and Yunnan regions as they feel the effects of climate change and human activities.
• The three‐dimensional trade‐off model measuring socially coordinated development is a modified multiobjective, decision‐making model.
• Based on this trade‐off model, managers could, understand the relationship between resources, the economy, and ecology.
• It can help manage our environmental assets and plan ecological conservation, to ensure that the environment maintains its capacity to serve the societal development.

     

Farm households’ rice production behavior in China under a separability assumption: A metaheuristic optimization approach

The production behavior of farm households has been a topic of interest for a long time. We explore the optimal production strategies from a household's perspective under the assumption of separability between consumption and production. The data used for this study come from farm households located in five provinces of China. To identify the impacts of various parameters on farmers' production behavior, optimal solutions and the households' actual production behaviors are compared. Results show that most of the households overinvested on farm land, labor force, materials, and machinery. Compared to existing production efficiency estimates, households, regardless of size, and exhibit different degrees of nonseparability. The sensitivity analysis shows a similar result, but finds that large households become more efficient if they have a higher production coefficient. The optimized result obtained in this paper not only provides farmers with decision‐support information on efficient resource allocation, but also helps policymakers to formulate better agricultural policies. Recommendations for Resource Managers A household production model is constructed to assess whether production and consumption behaviors are different among Chinese farmers. A genetic algorithm that belongs to a metaheuristic cluster is applied to search for the optimal solution, given the parameters obtained from using a ridge regression model. The following implications could be recommended based on the findings of the paper:

• The goodness of the convergence of the algorithm helps to find the optimal rice production decision, when facing a large number of input variables.
• The evidence that can support the separability among farm household's production behavior which to some degree supports nonseparability.
• As some of the external parameters, such as nonagricultural income, as well as farm scale, are increased, the optimal solution shows the separability among some households.
• Unless farm size is increased substantially, there is a need to support farmers in production behavior so that they can be efficient and profitable rather than just subsistent.

     

Optimal fishery with coastal catch

In many spatial resource models, it is assumed that an agent is able to harvest the resource over the complete spatial domain. However, agents frequently only have access to a resource at particular locations at which a moving biomass, such as fish or game, may be caught or hunted. Here, we analyze an infinite time‐horizon optimal control problem with boundary harvesting and (systems of) parabolic partial differential equations as state dynamics. We formally derive the associated canonical system, consisting of a forward–backward diffusion system with boundary controls, and numerically compute the canonical steady states and the optimal time‐dependent paths, and their dependence on parameters. We start with some one‐species fishing models, and then extend the analysis to a predator–prey model of the Lotka–Volterra type. The models are rather generic, and our methods are quite general, and thus should be applicable to large classes of structurally similar bioeconomic problems with boundary controls. Recommedations for Resource Managers

• Just like ordinary differential equation‐constrained (optimal) control problems and distributed partial differential equation (PDE) constrained control problems, boundary control problems with PDE state dynamics may be formally treated by the Pontryagin's maximum principle or canonical system formalism (state and adjoint PDEs).
• These problems may have multiple (locally) optimal solutions; a first overview of suitable choices can be obtained by identifying canonical steady states.
• The computation of canonical paths toward some optimal steady state yields temporal information about the optimal harvesting, possibly including waiting time behavior for the stock to recover from a low‐stock initial state, and nonmonotonic (in time) harvesting efforts.
• Multispecies fishery models may lead to asymmetric effects; for instance, it may be optimal to capture a predator species to protect the prey, even for high costs and low market values of the predators.

     

Benchmarking physician practice patterns with DEA: A multi-stage approach for cost containment

Physician practice patterns in a Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) are analyzed using single and multi-stage applications of Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Best practice (BP) patterns are identified, which can serve as benchmark targets for inefficient physicians. Results suggest three health policy — resource utilization control strategies:

1. If managed care organizations could motivate primary care physicians to adopt the practice styles of the best practice primary care physicians, substantial clinical resource savings could be achieved, ranging from 12% to over 30% in the HMO that is the focus of this study;
2. some specialists who practice as primary care physicians (PCPs) provide more efficient care than some general practitioner PCPs, modifying the current perception that reducing specialists is the most effective way to achieve low cost practice patterns; and
3. groups of physicians in the HMO exhibit different resource use patterns, which may present opportunities to manage high cost groups as another path to contain costs.

The results suggest specific new paths which may prove effective at reducing health care costs within managed care organizations, the health care providers most likely to dominate the U.S. health system in the future. A multi-stage DEA technique is used to locate specific types of inefficient physicians. Methods to test the clinical viability of using DEA to realize the potential cost savings and extensions of this research are discussed.     

Maximizing profit of a food retailing chain by targeting and promoting valuable customers using Loyalty Card and Scanner Data

In this paper, we set up a House of Profit Model, an approach of maximizing profit of a food retailing chain by targeting and promoting valuable customers. Our model combines

• •segmentation analysis of households using Loyalty Card and Scanner Data,
• •price and promotion elasticity analysis,
• •simulation of effects of pricing and promotion,
• •price and promotion optimization to maximize profit.

These components are well-known in the literature and each of them has received considerable independent study. However, in this study we combine each of these components into one consistent, application-orientated model. We then demonstrate using panel data that the combination has a synergic effect on the efficiency of estimation and the maximization of profit (e.g., price and promotion elasticity estimation is improved by conducting it within market segments rather than across an entire hetereogeneous population). These estimates are further improved by incorporating “pass through”—a functional relationship between a retailer’s unit prices and unit costs.     

Catch‐to‐stock dependence: The case of small pelagic fishery with bounded harvesting effort

Biologic characteristics of schooling fish species explain why the rates of harvesting in pelagic fisheries are not proportional to the existent stock size and may exhibit no variation between the periods of fish abundance and scarcity. Therefore, the stock‐dependent nonlinearities in catchability must be reflected in the design of flexible fishing policies, which target the sustainable exploitation of this important natural resource. In this study, such nonlinearities are expressed through eventual variability of the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter that measures the sensitivity of an additional catch yield to marginal changes in the fish‐stock level. Using the optimal control modeling framework, we establish that each value of the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter generates a unique steady‐state size of the fish stock and the latter engenders an optimal fishing policy that can be sustained as long as the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter remains unchanged. We also prove the continuous dependence of the steady‐state stock and underlying fishing policy upon the mentioned “catch‐to‐stock” parameter and then focus on the analysis of the equilibrium responses to changes in this parameter induced by external perturbations. Recommendations for Resource Managers

• Marginal catches of pelagic fish stocks do not react in a linear way to changes in existing stock level, and the latter is captured in our model by the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter . Each observable value of engenders a unique steady‐state stock size that defines an optimal fishing policy, which can be sustained as long as remains unchanged.
• The ability of fishery managers to detect variations in the levels of hyperstability expressed by the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter may help them to anticipate new equilibrium responses in stock evolution and to make timely adjustments in the fishing policy.
• Plausible estimations of the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter , as well as detection of its possible alterations, can be carried out within the framework of Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) approach where different data collected inside and outside the fishery are contrasted via the validation of a relatively simple decision‐making model (presented in this paper) coupled with other “operation models” of higher complexity.
• If the “catch‐to‐stock” parameter cannot be reasonably assessed (), the fishery managers may rely upon the lower bound of stationary stock size, which depends on economic and biological factors (such as the present and future economic values of the exploited fish stock, its marginal productivity, and underlying dynamics of biological growth).

     

The impact of environmental regulations on forest product trade in China

Forest product trade plays an important role in the development of the Chinese forest industry. The trading value of forest product has shown a yearly growth rate of 12% during the last five recent years. Stringent environmental regulations in China have a profound impact on raw material supplies and industrial production in the forest sector; however, their impact on the forest product trade is still unclear. This study applies fixed and random effects models as well as a seemingly unrelated regression model to investigate the impact of environmental regulations on the trade of forest product from 2002 to 2015. The results indicate that the stringent environmental regulations promoted the import but restricted the export of forest product in general. Specifically, the stringent environmental regulations stimulated the import but had an ambiguous impact on the export of the paper product. The stringent environmental regulations had also stimulated the import of wood product but inhibited the export. In contrast, wooden furniture had been affected minimally; only export got slightly negatively affected by environmental regulations. Recommendations for resource managers:

• Trade‐offs between economic growth and environmental regulations are needed to smoothly promote the forest product trade in China.
• Paper and wooden furniture product sectors are less likely to be affected by stringent environmental regulations, because high value‐added products could compensate for environmental costs.
• The wood product sector is more likely to be negatively affected by stringent environmental regulations because environmental costs could severely impact the competitiveness of low value‐added products.

     

Feeble Fish in Time-Dependent Waters and Homogenization of the G-equation

We study the following control problem. A fish with bounded aquatic locomotion speed swims in fast waters. Can this fish, under reasonable assumptions, get to a desired destination? It can, even if the flow is time dependent. Moreover, given a prescribed sufficiently large time t , it can be there at exactly the time t . The major difference from our previous work is the time dependence of the flow. We also give an application to homogenization of the G-equation. © 2019 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.     

Optimal threshold density in a stochastic resource management model with pulse intervention

Human activities and agricultural practices are having huge impacts on the development of fishery and land resources through different ways. To model such systems that involve harvesting, an impulsive model of natural resources with a stochastic noise perturbation element is formulated to study the relationship between (a) the maximal expectation of biomass after harvesting or fishing events and (b) the minimal expectation of pest biomass and the number of times pesticide is applied. Using a detailed analytical treatment, time estimation, and numerical demonstrations, we establish that the proposed mechanism is capable of maximizing fish populations at the end of a fishing season and minimizing pest numbers after a crop harvesting season once the intensity of the noise is relatively small. Investigations of the effects of different parameters reveal that theoretical predictions from the new stochastic model accord with those from the deterministic case. Recommendations for Resource Managers

• Various measures can be implemented to manage natural resources, such as adjusting fishing quantity and intensity to maximize fish population.
• In the natural environment, population growth is inevitably affected by the environment noise. So it is important to understand the noise effect to maintain sustainability of resources.
• Investigated methods are useful to converse resources and can be widely applied to control pests.

     

Control strategies for a population dynamics model of Aedes aegypti with seasonal variability and their effects on dengue incidence

Aedes aegypti female mosquitoes are the principal transmitters of dengue and other vector-borne infections. This species is closely associated with human habitation, due to its blood-feeding habits and the presence of breeding sites widely available around households. In this paper, we introduce a mathematical model for the life cycle of Aedes aegypti mosquitoes comprising two stages, aerial and aquatic, that reflects seasonal changes in the mosquito abundance. This model is further amended by three season-dependent control actions. Two coercive actions are introduced during the hot seasons characterized by higher abundance and enhanced growth rates of mosquitoes. They consist in the application of two chemical substances, insecticide and larvicide, acting upon the aerial and aquatic mosquito stages, respectively. During the cool seasons, characterized by the slower growth rates of mosquitoes and abundance of quiescent unhatched eggs, we introduce a preventive vector control measure consisting in mechanical elimination of mosquito breeding sites. Using the framework of optimal control in combination with the cost-benefit approach and epidemiological assessment, we identify the most efficient strategy capable of essentially reducing the population of adult and immature mosquitoes during both seasons and provide a sketch for its modus operandi.     

FISHERIES AND MARINE PROTECTED AREAS: A SPATIAL BIOECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF DISTRIBUTIONAL IMPACTS

Abstract Marine protected areas (MPAs), used increasingly as a tool for conservation of ocean and coastal environments, typically interact with fisheries. Indeed, implementation of an MPA in a coastal region will likely affect fishing communities along that coast but to differing degrees depending on their location relative to the MPA. The resulting creation of “winners” and “losers” has implications for the acceptance and long‐term viability of the MPA. This paper develops a spatially explicit bioeconomic simulation model to assess the distributional implications resulting from creation of a no‐take MPA. The key assumption is that this results in certain fishers being displaced from the MPA to new fishing locations, leading to decreased fishing time and increased costs. Is it possible for those being displaced to end up as “winners” in the fishery? Analysis of the model indicates that such an outcome can occur in certain circumstances, notably if the biological effects of the MPA produce (i) improved ecosystem health inside the MPA, such that fish stock carrying capacity increases; or (ii) to some extent, high fish stock migration rates between neighboring areas. The results indicate that in creating MPAs, careful attention to their design is needed in order to deal with corresponding distributional impacts on fishing communities.     

Optimal control of growth coefficient on a steady-state population model

We study the control problem of maximizing the net benefit in the conservation of a single species with a fixed amount of resources. The existence of an optimal control is established and the uniqueness and characterization of the optimal control are investigated. Numerical simulations illustrate several cases, for both 1D and 2D domains, in which several interesting phenomena are found. Some open problems are discussed.     

A nonlinear bilevel model for analysis of electric utility demand-side planning issues

An application of bilevel programming in the electric utility industry is presented. The model is nonlinear and is used to analyze various economic issues that affect electric utility planning. The electric utility at the upper level of the model seeks to minimize costs or maximize benefits while controlling electric rates and subsidizing energy conservation programs. Customers at the lower level attempt to maximize their net benefit by consuming electricity and investing in conservation. This model considers factors such as free riders and the rebound effect which affect the net benefits of utility resource plans but are ignored by most planning models. The model's solutions shed light on utility issues including whether there can be a practical difference between various objectives, including minimizing cost (least cost planning) and maximizing net social welfare (value based planning).     

Economies of scale,competitiveness, and trade patterns within the European community: Clarendon Press,Oxford, 1983, 193 pages, £20.00

We consider two queues in series with input to each queue, which can be controlled by accepting or rejecting arriving customers. The objective is to maximize the discounted or average expected net benefit over a finite or infinite horizon, where net benefit is composed of (random) rewards for entering customers minus holding costs assessed against the customers at each queue. Provided that it costs more to hold a customer at the first queue than at the second, we show that an optimal policy is monotonic in the following senses: Adding a customer to either queue makes it less likely that we will accept a new customer into either queue; moreover moving a customer from the first queue to the second makes it more (less) likely that we will accept a new customer into the first (second) queue. Our model has policy implications for flow control in communication systems, industrial job shops, and traffic-flow systems. We comment on the relation between the control policies implied by our model and those proposed in the communicationa literature.     

New energy identities and super convergence analysis of the energy conserved splitting FDTD methods for 3D Maxwell's equations

The energy‐conserved splitting finite‐difference time‐domain (EC‐S‐FDTD) method has recently been proposed to solve the Maxwell equations with second order accuracy while numerically keep the L² energy conservation laws of the equations. In this paper, the EC‐S‐FDTD scheme for the 3D Maxwell equations is proved to be energy‐conserved and unconditionally stable in the discrete H¹ norm. The EC‐S‐FDTD scheme is of second‐order accuracy both in time step and spatial steps, which suggests the super‐convergence of this scheme in the discrete H¹ norm. And the divergence of the electric field of the EC‐S‐FDTD scheme in the discrete L² norm is second‐order accurate. Numerical experiments confirm our theoretical analysis. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

An environmental input-output model with multiple criteria

It is often claimed that there is a trade-off between economic goals and the quality of the environment. For this reason, an environmental input-output optimization model with multiple objectives is formulated. The criteria are the minimization of factor costs to produce the Gross National Product and the minimization of net pollution for a given level of final demand. Using the LeChatelier-Samuelson principle, we analyze the changes in the production of the sectors and in the prices of the goods (described by the dual model) due to the change in the preferences of the decision makers. It can be shown that higher weights for the environmental objectives imply — in tendency —non-decreasing production of the sectors andnon-decreasing abatement activities. The changes of prices are ambiguous. The condition for increasing prices is given. To some degree, the opposite results can be achieved, if maximization of the value of final demand (or of private consumption) and minimization of net pollution under the constraints for primary input are taken as objective functions. In this case, increasing weights for environmental goals will leadin tendency tonon-increasing final demand and tonon-increasing net pollution. Under given conditions, higher environmental quality will be achieved bynon-increasing gross production and abatement activities.     

Optimal bed net use for a dengue disease model with mosquito seasonal pattern

Controversial results concerning the effectiveness of bed net in reducing dengue fever transmission make further research necessary in this direction. At this aim, we consider a mathematical model of dengue transmission where the use by individuals of insecticide‐treated bed nets is taken into account, combined or not with insecticide spraying. Furthermore, as climatic factors play a key role in mosquito‐borne diseases, we model the effect of seasonality through a periodic mosquito birth rate. We numerically investigate some specific scenarios according to different rainfall and mean temperature values. We set an optimal control problem to minimize the number of human infections and the cost of efforts placed into bed net adoption and maintenance and insecticide spraying. To assess the most appropriate strategy to eliminate dengue with minimum costs, we perform a comparative cost‐effectiveness analysis, which also shows how the cost‐benefit of intervention efforts is affected by changes in the amplitude of seasonal variation. One general result is that in any case the combination of bed net use and insecticide spraying produces the highest ratio of infections averted, whereas in terms of cost‐benefit only spraying campaigns should be implemented in control programs for regions with no large seasonality.