刘长琨：CFO制度国际化

在多变的时局下,适应经济转型过程中,CFO扮演着重要角色,发挥着关键作用。第七届中国CFO高峰论坛和2010中国CFO年度人物评选活动以＂经济转型和CFO价值＂为主题,颇具眼光,切合实际。     

穿越危机赢在主动——第二届“中国CFO年会”侧记

2009年8月,正是中国经济企稳向好的关键时刻,在此背景下,如何解读当前政府发出的经济信号,如何做好投融资管理,是CFO们最关心的问题。由新理财杂志社主办的第二届“中国CFO年会”在8月29日召开,正顺应了CFO的需要。     

2011 CFO看这里

第六届中国证券市场年会2010年11月12日在京召开,经济尤其是证券领域最权威的观点、最犀利的声音在这里碰撞。2011年CFO应如何进行资本布局、如何抓住财务工作重点,在这里应该可以得到指引。     

李建华：银企双调整

如果企业能在平时就与银行等金融机构保持良好的合作与沟通,那么在经济不景气时期必然受益。在区域性的企业与银行之间,这种互利关系表现得更为明显。2011年9月8日,在新理财杂志社主办的第四届中国CFO年会期间,记者与宁夏银行行长李建华的对话,便突出体现了这一点。     

金融改革的方向和重点

金融变革的重点是什么？2012年4月28日的第五届中国CFO年会上,中国人民银行研究局局长张健华为我们拨开了重重迷雾。     

IR理解万岁

各位CFO朋友大家新年好!经过长期高速增长的中国经济,2012年会不会是硬着陆？中国政府的政策能否保持连贯性？这些都是海外投资者关注的,也是海外上市公司CFO时常面临的疑问。作为海外上市公司CFO,我们让海外投资者了解我们、信任我们,就显得重要。     

星耀羊城——第五届中国CFO年会暨2011中国CFO年度人物颁奖典礼集锦

4月28日,“第五届中国CFO年会暨2011中国CFO年度人物颁奖典礼”在广州举行。此次会议由新理财杂志社主办、广州市天河区人民政府及广州高新区天河科技园管委会协办。CFO、官员、学者、金融机构及第三方机构代表共聚一堂,探讨在金融变革环境下企业的应对之策。     

风控：重在落地

如何在确定的商业环境中控制企业风险,已成为CFO绕不开的话题。在第五届中国CFO年会上,普华永道北京主管合伙人吴卫军“客串”主持人,邀清海尔股份CFO宫伟、银河证券副总裁李树华、用友软件股份有限公司高级副总裁兼CFO何景霄,以及景华天创董事总经理丘创,共同为我们分享了CFO与风险控制的话题;     

蒋伟：从首席财务官到首席聚焦官

随着中国经济的飞速发展,中国CFO群体在经历了核算型、管控型后,开始向战略型、价值型全面转变。然而,在华润金融CEO蒋伟看来,这还远远不够,＂财务是CFO最基本的工作。对于一个能够支持甚至引领企业发展的CFO来说,他必须顺应潮流变化,成为首席聚焦官。＂     

有担当,更需有智慧

金秋9月,有两个与CFO有关的会议,颇受财界关注。一是,9月8日,由新理财杂志社主办的第四届中国CFO年会,来自全国各地200多位CFO与政府官员、专家学者、金融机构以及第三方机构一起探讨在通胀环境下的财资管理。另一个是,9月16-18日,国际财联大会第41届世界大会在北京举行。     

Optimal management and inflation protection for defined contribution pension plans

Due to the increasing risk of inflation and diminishing pension benefits, insurance companies have started selling inflation-linked products. Selling such products the insurance company takes over some or all of the inflation risk from their customers. On the other side financial derivatives which are linked to inflation such as inflation linked bonds are traded on financial markets and appear to be of increasing popularity. The insurance company can use these products to hedge its own inflation risk. In this article we study how to optimally manage a pension fund taking positions in a money market account, a stock and an inflation linked bond, while financing investments through a continuous stochastic income stream such as the plan member’s contributions. We use the martingale method in order to compute an analytic expression for the optimal strategy and express it in terms of observable market variables.     

嵌入全球金融因子的中国广义灵活动态金融状况指数构建及应用--基于MI-TVP-SV-SFAVAR模型的实证分析

借鉴Thompson等(2013)[1]嵌入全球金融因子的做法,在周德才等(2015)[2]的基础上,从利率、信贷、货币供给、房价、股价和全球金融6类共30个金融指标中分别提取6个结构公因子,使用新建的MI-TVP-SV-SFAVAR模型,提出并測度了中国广义灵活动态金融状况指数(BFDFCI),进而分析其与通胀的关系,并与不包含全球金融因子的NFDFCI进行比较。结果表明:与NFDFCI相比,BFDFCI是通胀更优的领先性、相关性、因果性和预测指标,并明显优于FCI的已有研究;BFDFCI的权重是灵活时变的,其中全球金融因子的权重在世界金融危机后一直居于首位。     

Long-term real dynamic investment planning

When long-term savers plan for retirement they need to know their investment prospects in terms of real income (Merton, 2014). While inflation has traditionally been considered as a complication in financial analysis and financial practise, we obtain enhanced predictability and model fit if the real returns are targeted in conjunction with earnings-by-price minus inflation as predictor. For this latter case, we propose an investment strategy of updating the simple classical Merton proportion as we go along. This simple strategy is very close to the complicated theoretically optimal solution but has comparably much lower parameter uncertainty.     

随机通胀风险下基于半鞅理论的最优投资策略

本文在半鞅理论框架下,构建包括可交易风险资产、不可交易风险资产和未定权益的金融投资模型。在考虑随机通胀风险和获取部分市场信息的情形下,研究投资经理人终端真实净财富指数效用最大化问题。运用滤波理论、半鞅和倒向随机微分方程(BSDE)理论,求解带有随机通胀风险的最优投资策略和价值过程精确解。数值分析结果发现,可交易风险资产最优投资额随着预期通胀率的增加而减少,投资价值呈先增后减态势。当通胀波动率无限接近可交易风险资产名义价格波动率时,通胀风险可完全对冲,投资人会不断追加在可交易风险资产的投资额,以期实现终端真实净财富期望指数效用最大化。研究结果为金融市场的投资决策提供更加科学的理论参考。     

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??Under inflation influence, this paper investigate a stochastic differential game with reinsurance and investment. Insurance company chose a strategy to minimizing the variance of the final wealth, and the financial markets as a game ``virtual hand' chosen a probability measure represents the economic ``environment' to maximize the variance of the final wealth. Through this double game between the insurance companies and the financial markets, get optimal portfolio strategies. When investing, we consider inflation, the method of dealing with inflation is: Firstly, the inflation is converted to the risky assets, and then constructs the wealth process. Through change the original based on the mean-variance criteria stochastic differential game into unrestricted cases, then application linear-quadratic control theory obtain optimal reinsurance strategy and investment strategy and optimal market strategy as well as the closed form expression of efficient frontier are obtained; finally get reinsurance strategy and optimal investment strategy and optimal market strategy as well as the closed form expression of efficient frontier for the original stochastic differential game.     

Unhedgeable inflation risk within pension schemes

Pension schemes generally aim to protect the purchasing power of their participants, but cannot completely do this when due to market incompleteness inflation risk cannot be fully hedged. Without a market price for inflation risk the value of a pension contract depends on the investor’s risk appetite and inflation risk exposure. We develop a valuation framework to deal with two sources of unhedgeable inflation risk: the absence of instruments to hedge general consumer price inflation risk and differences in group-specific consumption bundles from the economy-wide bundle. We find that the absence of financial instruments to hedge inflation risks may reduce lifetime welfare by up to 6% of certainty-equivalent consumption for commonly assumed degrees of risk aversion. Regulators face a dilemma as young (workers) and old participants (retirees) have different capacities to absorb losses from unhedgeable inflation risks and as a consequence have a different risk appetite.     

Equilibrium and Precommitment Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection Problem with Partially Observed Price Index and Multiple Assets

Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability - In this paper, we aim to investigate the mean-variance portfolio selection in an economy with inflation risk. In the financial market, the...     

Optimal consumption and portfolio under inflation and Markovian switching

In this paper, a financial market with Markovian switching and inflation is described, and the problem of maximizing expected utility of consumption discounted by inflation is given. Then, by a generalized Itô formula for Markov-modulated processes, the verification theorems of optimal policies are derived. Finally, the optimal consumption and portfolio policies for the constant relative risk aversion utility are given explicitly, and an economic analysis is made by numerical examples.     

Enterprise risk management: coping with model risk in a large bank

Enterprise risk management (ERM) has become an important topic in today's more complex, interrelated global business environment, replete with threats from natural, political, economic, and technical sources. Banks especially face financial risks, as the news makes ever more apparent in 2008. This paper demonstrates support to risk management through validation of predictive scorecards for a large bank. The bank developed a model to assess account creditworthiness. The model is validated and compared to credit bureau scores. Alternative methods of risk measurement are compared.     

Adapting Multi-criteria Planning to the Nigerian Economy

Techniques of development planning involve physical and financial aspects. Financial planning refers to the allocation of monetary resources; in Nigeria the previous development plans and budgets, which had been based on the incremental approach, contained various shortcomings, resulting in the deliberate inflation of estimated expenditure, and consequently it has been associated with retarded growth and conflicts between ministries. In addition, the approach does not adequately relate national objectives to their priorities. Conventional mathematical programming models are unable to allocate resources effectively in a conflicting environment. This paper proposes a goal programming model for allocating a country's scarce resources among competing sectors during a planned period. The goal programming model is shown to be adequate for allocating resources under the conflicting conditions of national planning. The model can help to determine all the priorities for the goals.