Efficiency analysis of a multisectoral economic system

The present paper is concerned with efficiency analysis applied to a single economy represented by the Leontief input–output-model extended by the constraints for primary factors. First, the efficiency frontier is generated using a multi-objective optimization model instead of having to use data from different decision making units. The solutions of the multi-objective optimization problems define efficient virtual decision making units and the efficiency of the given economy is defined as the difference between the potential of an economy and its actual performance and can be obtained as a solution of a DEA model. It can be shown that the solution of the above defined DEA model yields the same efficiency score and the same shadow prices as the models by ten Raa (Linear analysis of competitive economics, LSE handbooks in economics. Harvester Wheatsheaf, New York, 1995; The economics of input–output analysis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005) despite the different variables used in both models. Using duality theory of linear programming the equivalence of the approaches permits a clear economic interpretation. In the second part of the paper this approach is extended to the Leontief augmented model including emissions of pollutants and abatement activities. In this way the eco-efficiency of an economy can be analyzed.

Recessions are easily recognizable from a decrease in GDP. What really should interest us, however, is the difference between the potential of an economy and its actual performance (J. Stiglitz, 2002).

     

考虑决策单元竞争合作动态变化的DEA博弈交叉效率方法

利用DEA方法进行相对效率评估时,决策单元通常需要考虑多重目标,且随着目标的变化,决策单元间竞争合作状态也会发生动态变化。传统竞合模型虽然考虑了决策单元间竞争与合作同时存在的现象,但忽视了竞争合作关系动态变化的过程。本文以竞争合作对策为切入点,将多目标规划中的优先因子引入传统DEA博弈交叉效率模型中,提出了带有优先等级的多目标DEA博弈交叉效率模型,即动态竞合博弈交叉效率模型。该模型充分体现了不同目标下决策单元间竞争合作关系的动态变化,其焦点由传统竞合模型对多重最优权重现象的改善,转向对最优效率得分的直接寻找。利用DEA动态竞合博弈交叉效率模型,本文对环境污染约束下2014年长三角地区制造业投入产出绩效进行了客观的评估。分析结果表明:DEA动态竞合博弈交叉效率模型收敛速度优于传统DEA博弈交叉效率模型,其交叉效率得分收敛于唯一的纳什均衡点;不同目标重要性的差异程度,对最终排名结果不产生明显影响,不需要确切指出。     

Measuring the performances of decision-making units using interval efficiencies

Efficiency is a relative measure because it can be measured within different ranges. The traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA) measures the efficiencies of decision-making units (DMUs) within the range of less than or equal to one. The corresponding efficiencies are referred to as the best relative efficiencies, which measure the best performances of DMUs and determine an efficiency frontier. If the efficiencies are measured within the range of greater than or equal to one, then the worst relative efficiencies can be used to measure the worst performances of DMUs and determine an inefficiency frontier. In this paper, the efficiencies of DMUs are measured within the range of an interval, whose upper bound is set to one and the lower bound is determined through introducing a virtual anti-ideal DMU, whose performance is definitely inferior to any DMUs. The efficiencies turn out to be all intervals and are thus referred to as interval efficiencies, which combine the best and the worst relative efficiencies in a reasonable manner to give an overall measurement and assessment of the performances of DMUs. The new DEA model with the upper and lower bounds on efficiencies is referred to as bounded DEA model, which can incorporate decision maker (DM) or assessor's preference information on input and output weights. A Hurwicz criterion approach is introduced and utilized to compare and rank the interval efficiencies of DMUs and a numerical example is examined using the proposed bounded DEA model to show its potential application and validity.     

基于DEA的污染物排放配额分配方法研究

文章首先提出一种典型的通过分配污染物排放配额改善环境状况的环境管理问题,在分析问题特性的基础上,提出一种基于DEA的污染物排放配额的分配方法,该方法将污染物排放配额作为一种决策变量,在求解系统整体效率的同时得到各决策单元的配额分配量。然后采用淮河流域造纸厂的实例说明了该方法的合理性和可行性。由于本文提出的方法考虑环境管理实际情况,在分配配额时能有效提高整个系统的环境效率,能为环境管理政策的制定提供有效的参考信息,具有很大的应用价值.     

存在不精确数据情况下的环境效率分析

针对环境效率评价问题中存在不精确数据的一类典型问题进行了深入的分析,在回顾现有的不精确数据处理方法以及环境效率评价方法的基础上,基于加性DEA模型,提出一种新的环境效率评价方法.该方法不仅能够求解各个投入/产出数据的最佳精确值,而且能够进一步分析各个决策单元的无效性.通过算例分析对模型及方法的优越性进行了说明,提出的方法克服了现有不精确数据处理方法的局限性,能够有效地处理环境效率分析问题中的不精确数据,得到更为准确的环境管理信息,为环境管理提供更为有效的决策依据.     

A mixture experiments multi-objective hyper-heuristic

This paper proposes a hyper-heuristic that combines genetic algorithm with mixture experiments to solve multi-objective optimisation problems. At every iteration, the proposed algorithm combines the selection criterion (rank indicator) of a number of well-established evolutionary algorithms including NSGA-II, SPEA2 and two versions of IBEA. Each indicator is called according to an associated probability calculated and updated during the search by means of mixture experiments. Mixture experiments are a particular type of experimental design suitable for the calibration of parameters that represent probabilities. Their main output is an explanatory model of algorithm performance as a function of its parameters. By finding the maximum (probability distribution) of the surface represented by this model, we also find a good algorithm parameterisation. The design of mixture experiments approach allowed the authors to identify and exploit synergies between the different rank indicators at the different stages of the search. This is demonstrated by our experimental results in which the proposed algorithm compared favourably against other well-established algorithms.     

Scale directional distance function and its application to the measurement of eco-efficiency in the manufacturing sector

Directional distance function (DDF) is a recognized technique for measuring efficiency while incorporating undesirable outputs. This approach allows for desirable outputs to be expanded while undesirable outputs are contracted simultaneously. A drawback of the DDF approach is that the direction vector to the production boundary is fixed arbitrarily, which may not provide the best efficiency measure. Therefore, this study extends the previous framework of efficiency analysis to introduce a new slacks-based measure of efficiency called the scale directional distance function (SDDF) approach. This new approach determines the optimal direction to the frontier for each unit of analysis and provides dissimilar expansion and contraction factors to achieve a more reasonable eco-efficiency score. This new approach is employed to measure the eco-efficiency of the Malaysian manufacturing sector. In addition, the paper demonstrates the use of the new approach to establish target values for the reduction/expansion of outputs in order for the inefficient DMUs to achieve full eco-efficiency. The results indicate that Melaka, Pulau Pinang, Negeri Sembilan, Sabah, Sarawak and Labuan have attained full eco-efficiency while Terengganu is the least eco-efficient. The overall eco-efficiency of the manufacturing sector in Malaysia is 80.5 % with wide variations across the states.     

Resource allocation based on cost efficiency

In this paper, we consider a resource allocation (RA) problem and develop an approach based on cost (overall) efficiency. The aim is to allocate some inputs among decision making units (DMUs) in such way that their cost efficiencies improve or stay unchanged after RA. We formulate a multi-objective linear programming problem using two different strategies. First, we propose an RA model which keeps the cost efficiencies of units unchanged. This is done assuming fixed technical and allocative efficiencies. The approach is based on the assumption that the decision maker (DM) may not have big changes in the structure of DMUs within a short term. The second strategy does not impose any restrictions on technical and allocative efficiencies. It guarantees that none of the cost efficiencies of DMUs get worse after RA, and the improvement for units is possible if it is feasible and beneficial. Two numerical examples and an empirical illustration are also provided.     

Advanced X-efficiencies for CCR- and BCC-models – towards Peer-based DEA controlling

Classical CCR and BCC DEA-models follow a general concept: they allow each DMU to evaluate its (in-) efficiency in the most favorable way, and then propose input reduction and/or output raise so as to follow its best practice units. A first step beyond this ‘self-appraisal’ is the consideration of X-efficiencies thus evaluating DMUs with optimal weights of a peer. Doing this for all possible peers yields a cross-efficiency matrix, either for CCR or for BCC models. This matrix might help to find a fair peer for the remaining DMUs. In a second step recent contributions analyze for CCR-models how such X-evaluated DMUs might improve their efficiency with respect to a peer’s weight system. In these models even free variation of inputs/outputs is possible rather than reduction and/or raise. Such models will be portrayed here and generalized for variable returns to scale. The remaining discomfort which a DMU might feel with the choice for peer among business rivals, leads to the concept of a ‘virtual peer’ VP. This paper proposes such a peer as a consensual option for all DMUs. Now for either return to scale – CCR and BCC – for an input or output oriented focus and by free variation of inputs and outputs they can meet the requirements of VP. The DMUs pay a heavy price, however: the peer controls their respective weights and even their activities; he is a dictator.     

An interactive benchmark model ranking performers — Application to financial holding companies

This study aims to resolve the problems associated with ranking fairly for both efficient and inefficient decision making units (DMUs) by proposing an ‘interactive benchmark’ model. The main concept is derived as a result of taking one certain DMU as a fixed benchmark and estimating the efficiency scores of the remaining DMUs based on that benchmark pair by pair. The process is repeated until all of the DMUs have served as the fixed benchmark. The DMUs can then be evaluated on a fair basis by computing the average efficiency scores using the above rolling procedure. The model is applied to fourteen financial holding companies (FHCs) in Taiwan using a production transfer model that is adopted by Seiford and Zhu [L.M. Seiford, J. Zhu, Profitability and marketability of the top 55 US commercial banks, Management Science 45 (9) (1999) 1270–1288]. The empirical results can serve as valuable reference to both policy-makers and investors.     

Variations on the theme of slacks-based measure of efficiency in DEA

In DEA, there are typically two schemes for measuring efficiency of DMUs; radial and non-radial. Radial models assume proportional change of inputs/outputs and usually remaining slacks are not directly accounted for inefficiency. On the other hand, non-radial models deal with slacks of each input/output individually and independently, and integrate them into an efficiency measure, called slacks-based measure (SBM). In this paper, we point out shortcomings of the SBM and propose four variants of the SBM model. The original SBM model evaluates efficiency of DMUs referring to the furthest frontier point within a range. This results in the hardest score for the objective DMU and the projection may go to a remote point on the efficient frontier which may be inappropriate as the reference. In an effort to overcome this shortcoming, we first investigate frontier (facet) structure of the production possibility set. Then we propose Variation I that evaluates each DMU by the nearest point on the same frontier as the SBM found. However, there exist other potential facets for evaluating DMUs. Therefore we propose Variation II that evaluates each DMU from all facets. We then employ clustering methods to classify DMUs into several groups, and apply Variation II within each cluster. This Variation III gives more reasonable efficiency scores with less effort. Lastly we propose a random search method (Variation IV) for reducing the burden of enumeration of facets. The results are approximate but practical in usage.     

A bargaining game model for measuring performance of two-stage network structures

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a method for measuring the efficiency of peer decision making units (DMUs), where the internal structures of DMUs are treated as a black-box. Recently DEA has been extended to examine the efficiency of DMUs that have two-stage network structures or processes, where all the outputs from the first stage are intermediate measures that make up the inputs to the second stage. The resulting two-stage DEA model not only provides an overall efficiency score for the entire process, but also yields an efficiency score for each of the individual stages. The current paper develops a Nash bargaining game model to measure the performance of DMUs that have a two-stage structure. Under Nash bargaining theory, the two stages are viewed as players and the DEA efficiency model is a cooperative game model. It is shown that when only one intermediate measure exists between the two stages, our newly developed Nash bargaining game approach yields the same results as applying the standard DEA approach to each stage separately. Two real world data sets are used to demonstrate our bargaining game model.     

The cross-entropy method in multi-objective optimisation: An assessment

Solving multi-objective problems requires the evaluation of two or more conflicting objective functions, which often demands a high amount of computational power. This demand increases rapidly when estimating values for objective functions of dynamic, stochastic problems, since a number of observations are needed for each evaluation set, of which there could be many. Computer simulation applications of real-world optimisations often suffer due to this phenomenon. Evolutionary algorithms are often applied to multi-objective problems. In this article, the cross-entropy method is proposed as an alternative, since it has been proven to converge quickly in the case of single-objective optimisation problems. We adapted the basic cross-entropy method for multi-objective optimisation and applied the proposed algorithm to known test problems. This was followed by an application to a dynamic, stochastic problem where a computer simulation model provides the objective function set. The results show that acceptable results can be obtained while doing relatively few evaluations.     

Input/output selection in DEA under expert information,with application to financial markets

Data envelopment analysis (DEA), as generally used, assumes precise knowledge regarding which variables are inputs and outputs; however, in many applications, there exists only partial knowledge. This paper presents a new methodology for selecting input/output variables endogenously to the DEA model in the presence of partial (or expert’s) knowledge by employing a reward variable observed exogenous to the operation of the DMUs. The reward is an allocation of a limited resource by an external agency, e.g. capital allocation by a market, based on the perceived internal managerial efficiencies. We present an iterative two-stage optimization model which addresses the benefit of possibly violating the expert information to determine an optimal internal performance evaluation of the DMUs for maximizing its correlation with the reward metric. Theoretical properties of the model are analyzed and statistical significance tests are developed for the marginal value of expert violation. The methodology is applied in Fundamental Analysis of publicly-traded firms, using quarterly financial data, to determine an optimized DEA-based fundamental strength indicator. More than 800 firms covering all major sectors of the US stock market are used in the empirical evaluation of the model. The firms so-screened by the model are used within out-of-sample mean-variance long-portfolio allocation to demonstrate the superiority of the methodology as an investment decision tool.     

Cárnico-ICSPEA2—A metaheuristic co-evolutionary navigator for a complex co-evolutionary farming system

This paper introduces Cárnico-ICSPEA2, a metaheuristic co-evolutionary navigator designed by its end-user as an aid for the analysis and multi-objective optimisation of a beef cattle enterprise running on temperate pastures and fodder crops in Chalco, Mexico State, in the central plateau of Mexico. By combining simulation routines and a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm with a deterministic and stochastic framework, the software imitates the evolutionary behaviour of the system of interest, helping the farm manager to ‘navigate’ through his system’s dynamic phase space. The ultimate goal was to enhance the manager’s decision-making process and co-evolutionary skills, through an increased understanding of his system and the discovery of new, improved heuristics. This paper describes the numerical simulation and optimisation resulting from the application of Cárnico-ICSPEA2 to solve a specific multi-objective optimisation problem, along with implications for the management of the system of interest.     

考虑非期望因素的决策单元排序:两阶段综合效率法

对所有平行级别上的同等类型的决策单元(DMUs)在绩效表现上的排序一直是管理决策领域研究的重要课题之一。基于数据包络分析的超效率理论和SBM模型,探讨考虑非期望因素的DMUs排序问题。首先构建新的考虑非期望因素的超效率SBM模型,此模型不仅能对有效DMUs排序,而且能够转化成线性规划问题求解,具有有界性、单调性等良好性质。然后将新模型与Tone的SBM模型结合提出了考虑非期望因素的SBM综合排序法,同时给出了相对应的多项式时间算法。该方法以SBM模型作为第一阶段完成非有效DMUs排序,以新模型作为第二阶段完成有效DMUs排序,两阶段综合即完成所有DMUs排序。研究结果表明,综合排序法能够完成对考虑非期望因素的DMUs的排序,为绩效评价的管理实践提供了重要的理论依据。选取中国2010年的30个省份为实证研究对象,应用所提出的综合效率排序法对其环境效率进行排序。分析结果与中国的现实情况的相吻合,表明该排序方法是合理的,能够完成对这些地区的环境效率进行排序,可以为决策者评价环境的绩效表现提供有效的决策支持。     

指标可取负值的基于输入与输出的DEA模型

有关基于输入与输出的DEA模型,本文与现有文献的不同之处,一是模型中的评价指标可取负值,二是被评的决策单元可以不是所给的n个决策单元之一,三是模型并非由多目标规划模型推得.此外,给出了有关此模型的三个定理.因此,可知有关此模型的最优解存在的充分条件;在求解此模型后就能在判断决策单元的DEA有效性的同时计算出其相对效率,并能计算出其在DEA相对有效面上的"投影".     

Fixed cost and resource allocation based on DEA cross-efficiency

In many managerial applications, situations frequently occur when a fixed cost is used in constructing the common platform of an organization, and needs to be shared by all related entities, or decision making units (DMUs). It is of vital importance to allocate such a cost across DMUs where there is competition for resources. Data envelopment analysis (DEA) has been successfully used in cost and resource allocation problems. Whether it is a cost or resource allocation issue, one needs to consider both the competitive and cooperative situation existing among DMUs in addition to maintaining or improving efficiency. The current paper uses the cross-efficiency concept in DEA to approach cost and resource allocation problems. Because DEA cross-efficiency uses the concept of peer appraisal, it is a very reasonable and appropriate mechanism for allocating a shared resource/cost. It is shown that our proposed iterative approach is always feasible, and ensures that all DMUs become efficient after the fixed cost is allocated as an additional input measure. The cross-efficiency DEA-based iterative method is further extended into a resource-allocation setting to achieve maximization in the aggregated output change by distributing available resources. Such allocations for fixed costs and resources are more acceptable to the players involved, because the allocation results are jointly determined by all DMUs rather than a specific one. The proposed approaches are demonstrated using an existing data set that has been applied in similar studies.     

Ranking efficient decision making units in data envelopment analysis based on reference frontier share

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a powerful technique for performance evaluation of decision making units (DMUs). Ranking efficient DMUs based on a rational analysis is an issue that yet needs further research. The impact of each efficient DMU in evaluation of inefficient DMUs can be considered as additional information to discriminating among efficient DMUs. The concept of reference frontier share is introduced in which the share of each efficient DMU in construction of the reference frontier for evaluating inefficient DMUs is considered. For this purpose a model for measuring the reference frontier share of each efficient DMU associated with each inefficient one is proposed and then a total measure is provided based on which the ranking is made. The new approach has the capability for ranking extreme and non-extreme efficient DMUs. Further, it has no problem in dealing with negative data. These facts are verified by theorems, discussions and numerical examples.     

房地产风险投资的多目标决策分析和应用

房地产风险投资决策是复杂的多目标决策问题 ,本文介绍采用模糊迭代方法对决策各参数指标数值进行处理 ,求出各指标值权重相应优属度数值 ,完成风险投资方案的排序择优 ,并结合应用介绍该模型的评价方法 .