需求依赖销售努力库存系统的随机比较

研究需求依赖销售努力库存系统中需求不确定性对系统最优订货量、利润和销售努力的影响.对一般需求模型给出期望利润关于订货量和努力水平为联合凹的充分条件,证明期望利润函数的超模性质.对加乘需求模型证明系统最优利润和最优努力水平都可由一类与需求分布有关的广义TTT变换来表示.通过引入定义在不同支撑分布集合上一阶、二阶和三阶随机占优,得到广义TTT变换之差与二阶和三阶随机占优之间的关系式,建立了比较库存系统最优利润或努力水平的理论基础.在一阶和二阶随机占优意义下对加乘需求模型得到比较系统最优利润和努力水平的充分条件或充分必要条件.进一步,证明存在一类需求分布当系统关键比(或市场价格)足够大时系统最优利润和努力水平随需求可变性的增加而增加.最后给出几个数值例子验证了研究结果.     

EOQ holds under stochastic demand,a technical note

We consider a variant of the economic order quantity (EOQ) model. Mainly, we assume that demand occurs at random, one unit at a time, and is characterized by independent and identically distributed times between two demand epochs. We also assume that the ordering policy is characterized by ordering the same amount whenever the inventory level drops to zero, and a demand occurs. Surprisingly, we show that the optimal order quantity that minimizes the expected inventory cost follows the familiar EOQ formula.     

Integrating inventory control and a price change in the presence of reference price effects: a two-period model

Demand and procurement planning for consumer electronics products must cope with short life cycles, limited replenishment opportunities and a willingness to pay that is influenced by past prices and decreases over time. We therefore propose the use of an integrated pricing and inventory control model with a two-period linear demand model, in which demand also depends on the difference between a price-history-based reference price and the current price. For this model we prove that the optimal joint pricing/inventory policy for the replenishment opportunity after the first period is a base-stock list-price policy. That is, stock is either replenished up to a base-stock level and a list-price is charged, or it is not replenished and a discount is given that increases with the stock-level. Furthermore, we use real-world cell phone data to study the differences between an integrated policy and traditional sequential optimization, where prices are initially optimized based on the expected demand and ordering cost, and the resulting demand distribution is used to determine an optimal inventory policy. Finally, we discuss possible extensions of the model.     

Finding and identifying optimal inventory levels for systems with common components

In this article, we consider the problem of finding the optimal inventory level for components in an assembly system where multiple products share common components in the presence of random demand. Previously, solution procedures that identify the optimal inventory levels for components in a component commonality problem have been considered for two product or one common component systems. We will here extend this to a three products system considering any number of common components. The inventory problem considered is modeled as a two stage stochastic recourse problem where the first stage is to set the inventory levels to maximize expected profit while the second stage is to allocate components to products after observing demand. Our main contribution, and the main focus of this paper, is the outline of a procedure that finds the gradient for the stochastic problem, such that an optimal solution can be identified and a gradient based search method can be used to find the optimal solution.     

Integrating operations and marketing decisions using delayed differentiation of products and guaranteed delivery time under stochastic demand

In this research, we integrate the issues related to operations and marketing strategy of firms characterized by large product variety, short lead times, and demand variability in an assemble-to-order environment. The operations decisions are the inventory level of components and semi-finished goods, and configuration of semi-finished goods. The marketing decisions are the products price and a lead time guarantee which is uniform for all products. We develop an integrated mathematical model that captures trade-offs related to inventory of semi-finished goods, inventory of components, outsourcing costs, and customer demand based on guaranteed lead time and price.The mathematical model is a two-stage, stochastic, integer, and non-linear programming problem. In the first stage, prior to demand realization, the operation and marketing decisions are determined. In the second stage, inventory is allocated to meet the demand. The objective is to maximize the expected profit per-unit time. The computational results on the test problems provide managerial insights for firms faced with the conflicting needs of offering: (i) low prices, (ii) guaranteed and short lead time, and (iii) a large product variety by leveraging operations decisions.     

VMI条件下具有复合二项随机需求的销售商库存策略研究

考虑一个典型的单一产品的二级供应链系统:单供应商对单销售商,假定系统中销售商的需求分布为复合二项分布,未满足的需求机会损失;补货间隔时间为一随机变量.本文采用概率方法对销售商的需求分布、期望缺货、期望库存周期及库存的稳定性分布进行研究的基础上,构建了使单位时间内销售商的期望库存成本费用最小的库存模型,由此模型便可确定VMI模式下供应商对销售商的库存补货参数s和S,并且给出了在补货响应时间为泊松分布的情况下模型的求解算法,还给出了及时补货响应情况下的5个算例.为补货策略的实施提供了一种简单易于控制的思路和方法.     

An inventory model for slow moving items subject to obsolescence

In this paper, we consider a continuous review inventory system of a slow moving item for which the demand rate drops to a lower level at a known future time instance. The inventory system is controlled according to a one-for-one replenishment policy with a fixed lead time. Adapting to lower demand is achieved by changing the control policy in advance and letting the demand take away the excess stocks. We show that the timing of the control policy change primarily determines the tradeoff between backordering penalties and obsolescence costs. We propose an approximate solution for the optimal time to shift to the new control policy minimizing the expected total cost during the transient period. We find that the advance policy change results in significant cost savings and the approximation yields near optimal expected total costs.     

Optimal price and lot size determination for a perishable product under conditions of finite production, partial backordering and lost sale

The paper describes an EOQ model of a perishable product for the case of price dependent demand, partial backordering which depends on the length of the waiting time for the next replenishment, and lost sale. The model is solved analytically to obtain the optimal price and size of the replenishment. In the model, the customers are viewed to be impatient and a fraction of the demand is backlogged. This fraction is a function of the waiting time of the customers. In most of the inventory models developed so far, researchers considered that inventory accumulates at the early stage of the inventory and then shortage occurs. This type of inventory is called IFS (inventory followed by shortage) policy. In the present model we consider that shortage occurs before the starting of inventory. We have proved numerically that instead of taking IFS, if we consider SFI (shortage followed by inventory) policy, we would get better result, i.e., a higher profit. The model is extended to the case of non-perishable product also. The optimal solution of the model is illustrated with the help of a numerical example.     

Managing Dynamic Inventory Systems with Product Returns: A Markov Decision Process

This paper presents a Markov decision process for managing inventory systems with Markovian customer demand and Markovian product returns. Employing functional analysis, we prove the existence of the optimal replenishment policies for the discounted-cost and average-cost problems when demand, returns, and cost functions are of polynomial growth. Our model generalizes literature results by integrating Markovian demand, Markovian returns, and positive replenishment lead times. In particular, the optimality of the reorder point, order-up-to policies is proved when the order cost consists of fixed setup and proportional cost components and the inventory surplus cost is convex. We then make model extensions to include different cost components and to differentiate returned products from new ones. Finally, we derive managerial insights for running integrated closed-loop supply chains. At the aggregate level, returns reduce effective demand while many structural characteristics of inventory models are intact. A simple heuristic for managing systems with returns is to still utilize literature results without returns, but effective demand is lower than customer demand.     

Inventory rationing for the News-Vendor problem with a drop-shipping option

We consider a single-period inventory model for a bricks-and-clicks business. Store inventory can be used to fulfill both store demand and internet demand. Drop-shipping is used as an additional option for internet sale. We analyze two rationing policies for store inventory: a threshold policy and a fixed-portion policy. We formulate the expected profit for both and prove concavity. There exists an optimal order quantity for store inventory and an optimal stock rationing level below which the manager starts to use drop-shipping for internet demand. Numerical examples show that considering the rationing problem for the single-period inventory model, which is ignored in some earlier works, can result in remarkable differences.     

The multi-period newsboy problem

We will try to generalize the so-called newsboy model so that we can deal with unsatisfied demand or unsold quantity. Consider the time interval that consists of multiple ordering cycles. Assume that the probability density function of demand is given for each cycle. Then our problem is to make the ordering plan with which we can maximize the expected profit. In the classical newsboy model ordering quantity is always equal to the (planned) initial inventory level. But if we take account of unsatisfied demand and unsold quantity, the (desired) ordering quantity must be determined by a proper stochastic rule. Then, in stead of determining the ordering quantity of each cycle, we must plan the initial inventory level so that the expected profit may be maximized. If unsold exists in present cycle, the ordering quantity of next cycle becomes smaller than the planned inventory level. And if unsatisfied demand exists in the present cycle, the ordering quantity of next cycle becomes larger than the planned inventory level.     

Evaluating shortfall distributions in periodic inventory systems with stochastic endogenous demands and lead-times

This paper addresses a multi-period production/inventory problem with two suppliers, where demand sizes and supplier lead time are stochastic and correlated. A discrete time, single item inventory system is considered, where inventory levels are reviewed periodically and managed using a base-stock policy. At the end of each period, a replenishment order is placed, which enters a queue at the buffer stage and is consequently forwarded to the first available supplier. We present a mathematical model of this inventory system and determine optimal safety stock levels for it, in closed form, using matrix analytic techniques and the properties of phase type distributions. To account for the effect of order crossovers, which occur whenever replenishment orders do not arrive in the sequence in which they were placed, the inventory shortfall distribution is analyzed. Finally, a set of numerical experiments with a system with two suppliers is presented, where the proposed model is compared to other existing models.     

A partial-postponement decision cost model

A number of factors, including product proliferation and increased customer service-level requirements, have led many companies to consider adopting postponement as a supply chain strategy. Packaging postponement is the process of delaying packaging of a common item into a final product configuration until the customer order is received. For a given product, a portion of demand is known with a high level of certainty and would not benefit from postponement. The remaining portion of demand is known with little certainty and would benefit from delaying the differentiating stage of the operation until demand is known. We develop a single-period, two-product, order-up-to cost model to aid in setting the levels of finished-goods inventory and postponement capacity. Minimum-cost optimal solutions to inventory levels and capacity are obtained by solving the derived analytical expressions using a non-linear programming formulation. We examine the sensitivity of the model to different levels of the model parameters to generate managerial insights beyond those of previous work. We show that changing product value, packaging cost, cost of postponement, holding cost, fill rate, and demand correlation can decrease expected total cost and increase postponement capacity.     

An EOQ model with stock and price sensitive demand

Many business practices show that the presence of a larger quantity of goods displayed may attract more customers than that with a smaller quantity of goods. This phenomenon implies that the demand may have a positive correlative with stock level. Under such a circumstance, a firm should seriously consider its pricing and ordering strategy since the demand for their goods may be affected by their selling prices and inventory level. This paper aims to develop a continuous inventory model for finding the strategy for a firm that sells a seasonal item over a finite planning time. The purpose of this firm is to maximize its expected profit by determining the optimal ordering quantity and price setting/changing strategy. Some sufficient conditions are found for finding the optimal decision rules.     

A multi-product continuous review inventory system in stochastic environment with budget constraint

Common characteristics of inventory systems include uncertain demand and restrictions such as budgetary and storage space constraints. Several authors have examined budget constrained multi-item stochastic inventory systems controlled by continuous review policies without considering marginal review shortage costs. Existing models assume that purchasing costs are paid at the time an order is placed, which is not always the case since in some systems purchasing costs are paid when order arrive. In the latter case the maximum investment in inventory is random since the inventory level when an order arrives is a random variable. Hence payment of purchasing costs on delivery yields a stochastic budget constraint for inventory. In this paper with mixture of back orders and lost sales, we assume that mean and variance of lead time demand are known but their probability distributions are unknown. After that, we apply the minimax distribution free procedure to find the minimum expected value of the random objective function with budget constraint. The random budget constraint is transformed to crisp budget constraint by chance-constraint technique. Finally, the model is illustrated by a numerical example.     

Single-vendor multi-buyer integrated production-inventory model with controllable lead time and service level constraints

This paper presents an integrated production-inventory model where a vendor produces an item in a batch production environment and supplies it to a set of buyers. The buyer level demand is assumed to be independent normally distributed and lead time of every buyer can be reduced at an added crash cost. The buyers review their inventory using continuous review policy, and the unsatisfied demand at the buyers is completely backordered. A model is formulated to minimize the joint total expected cost of the vendor–buyers system to determine the optimal production-inventory policy. Since it is often difficult to estimate the stock-out cost in inventory systems, and so instead of having stock-out cost component in the objective function, a service level constraint (SLC) corresponding to each buyer is included in the model. A Lagrangian multiplier technique based algorithmic approach is proposed, which evaluates a very limited number of combinations of lead time of the buyers to find simultaneously the optimal lead time, order quantity and safety factor of the buyers and the number of shipments between the vendor and the buyers in a production cycle. Finally, a numerical example and effects of the key parameters are included to illustrate the results of the proposed model.     

Fuzzy periodic review system with fuzzy random variable demand

In this paper, a periodic review inventory system has been analyzed in a mixed imprecise and uncertain environment where fuzziness and randomness appear simultaneously. A model has been developed with customer demand assumed to be a fuzzy random variable. The lead-time has been assumed to be a constant. The lead-time demand and the lead-time plus one period’s demand have also been assumed to be fuzzy random variables. A methodology has been developed to determine the optimal inventory level and the optimal period of review such that the total expected annual cost in the fuzzy sense is minimized. A numerical example has been presented to illustrate the model.     

Inventory control with two switch-over levels for a class of M/G/1 queueing systems with variable arrival and service rate

This paper deals with inventory control in a class of M/G/1 queueing systems. At each point of time the system can be switched from one of two possible stages to another. The rate of arrival process and the service rate depend on the stage of the system. The cost structure imposed on the model includes both fixed switch-over costs and a holding cost at a general rate depending on the stage of the system. The rule for controlling the inventory is specified by two switch-over levels.Using an embedding approach, we will derive a formula for the long-run average expected costs per unit time of this policy. By an appropriate choice of the cost parameters, we may obtain various operating characteristics for the system amongst which the stationary distribution of the inventory and the average number of switch-overs per unit time.     

On the Effect of Product Variety in Production–Inventory Systems

In this paper, we examine the effect of product variety on inventory costs in a production–inventory system with finite capacity where products are made to stock and share the same manufacturing facility. The facility incurs a setup time whenever it switches from producing one product type to another. The production facility has a finite production rate and stochastic production times. In order to mitigate the effect of setups, products are produced in batches. In contrast to inventory systems with exogenous lead times, we show that inventory costs increase almost linearly in the number of products. More importantly, we show that the rate of increase is sensitive to system parameters including demand and process variability, demand and capacity levels, and setup times. The effect of these parameters can be counterintuitive. For example, we show that the relative increase in cost due to higher product variety is decreasing in demand and process variability. We also show that it is decreasing in expected production time. On the other hand, we find that the relative cost is increasing in expected setup time, setup time variability and aggregate demand rate. Furthermore, we show that the effect of product variety on optimal base stock levels is not monotonic. We use the model to draw several managerial insights regarding the value of variety-reducing strategies such as product consolidation and delayed differentiation.     

On Approximating Lead Time Demand Distributions Using the Generalised λ-type Distribution

In this paper the use of the generalised λ-type distribution (GLD) is proposed for the analysis of standard inventory problems. Using this distribution to approximate the lead time demand distribution we analyse the generalised newsboy problem and a (Q, r) policy. The standard inventory measures like optimal order size, reorder level, average demand lost, etc. are obtained under the GLD and are compared with those given by Shore's approximation and also under exact distributional assumptions. Through a numerical study the various inventory measures are compared using the GLD and Shore's approximation with the exact distributions. The comparison reveals that the GLD approximation is better suited than Shore's approximation to model the lead time demand.