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1.
带有重尾扰动项的非线性自回归模型   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
讨论在非线性自回归模型中平稳解边际尾概率与扰动项尾概率之间的关系. 证明了在保证模型平稳遍历的条件下, 一维平稳解的边际分布具有重尾概率性质, 并且与扰动项重尾概率指标相同.  相似文献   

2.
考虑了一类具有饱和发生率的随机SIRS流行病模型.通过定义停时及利用李雅普诺夫函数,得到了随机SIRS流行病模型的解是全局存在唯一的,接着分析了解沿无病平衡点及地方病平衡点的渐近行为.在适当的参数条件下,证明了随机SIRS流行病模型具有遍历的平稳分布及解渐近服从三维正态分布这一主要结论.最后,数值模拟验证了所得到的主要结果.  相似文献   

3.
赵英英  胡华 《应用数学》2018,31(3):704-713
本文考虑了一类具有标准发生率和信息干预的随机SIRS传染病模型.定义了一个停时,通过构造适当的Lyapunov函数证明了停时为无穷大,从而证明了该模型唯一正解的全局存在性.通过构造紧集和适当的Lyapunov函数,证明模型解的平稳分布的存在性及其遍历性.此外还证明了疾病的灭绝性.  相似文献   

4.
研究了一类同时具有logistic出生和Markov切换的随机SIRS传染病模型.首先通过构造合适的V函数,利用It?公式分析了随机传染病模型全局正解的存在唯一性,继而讨论出了该模型的解存在一个遍历平稳分布的结果,以及疾病灭绝的充分条件,最后给出了数值例子来说明本文得出的结论.  相似文献   

5.
本文考虑具有时滞的随机SIV流行病模型平稳分布.首先证明模型全局正解几乎处处有限,然后借助李雅普偌夫函数给出平稳分布存在的充分条件.  相似文献   

6.
该文探讨了一类具有校正隔离率的随机传染病模型,得到了该模型存在唯一的全局解.研究表明,当白噪声强度取较大值时,随机模型的解在无病平衡点附近是绝灭的,感染者的密度将指数衰减到零.当白噪声的强度较小时,随机模型的正解在地方病平衡点附近服从唯一的平稳分布.进而,若地方病平衡点是稳定的,在适当的条件下,该解渐近服从一个三维正态分布,且得到了均值与方差的表达式.最后,数值模拟图显示了该解的性质并对模型做出了合理的解释.  相似文献   

7.
讨论一个具有相继的两种类型休假策略的M/M/1休假排队模型.模型可以用QBD过程及矩阵解析方法分析.首先,得到了该QBD过程的联合平稳分布,在此基础上,进一步给出了所讨论排队模型平稳队长和平稳逗留时间的随机分解结果.  相似文献   

8.
讨论休假时间服从T-SPH分布的M/M/1单重休假模型,其中T-SPH表示可数状态吸收生灭过程吸收时间的分布.该排队模型可以用可数位相拟生灭过程(QBD过程)和算子几何解的方法进行建模分析.首先得到了QBD过程算子几何解的具体形式;其次在所得结果的基础上,进一步给出了排队模型平稳队长的随机分解结果,并说明附加队长服从离散时间无限位相分布.  相似文献   

9.
本文研究具有随机多群体SIRI传染病模型的动力学行为.首先建立一类具有随机白噪声的多群体SIRI传染病模型,并给出模型正解的全局存在唯一性;然后,借助基本再生数和不可约矩阵性质,通过构造一系列新的Lyapunov函数,我们获得随机模型的解分别在时间均值意义下围绕无病平衡点和地方病平衡点做随机振动的渐近行为,并给出随机振动的幅度估计;进一步地,我们得到了系统的平稳分布和遍历性,所得结果推广和改进已有工作.  相似文献   

10.
张宏波 《运筹学学报》2013,17(3):93-100
研究具有Bernoulli控制策略的M/M/1多重休假排队模型: 当系统为空时, 服务台依一定的概率或进入闲期, 或进入普通休假状态, 或进入工作休假状态. 对该模型, 应用拟生灭(QBD)过程和矩阵几何解的方法, 得到了过程平稳队长的具体形式, 在此基础上, 还得到了平稳队长和平稳逗留时间的随机分解结果以及附加队长分布和附加延迟的LST的具体形式. 结果表明, 经典的M/M/1排队, M/M/1多重休假排队, M/M/1多重工作休假排队都是该模型的特殊情形.  相似文献   

11.
We study a linear recursion with random Markov-dependent coefficients. In a “regular variation in, regular variation out” setup we show that its stationary solution has a multivariate regularly varying distribution. This extends results previously established for i.i.d. coefficients.  相似文献   

12.
In this paper, two stochastic predator–prey models with general functional response and higher-order perturbation are proposed and investigated. For the nonautonomous periodic case of the system, by using Khasminskii’s theory of periodic solution, we show that the system admits a nontrivial positive T-periodic solution. For the system disturbed by both white and telegraph noises, sufficient conditions for positive recurrence and the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution to the solutions are established. The existence of stationary distribution implies stochastic weak stability to some extent.  相似文献   

13.
This paper deals with a multi-class priority queueing system with customer transfers that occur only from lower priority queues to higher priority queues. Conditions for the queueing system to be stable/unstable are obtained. An auxiliary queueing system is introduced, for which an explicit product-form solution is found for the stationary distribution of queue lengths. Sample path relationships between the queue lengths in the original queueing system and the auxiliary queueing system are obtained, which lead to bounds on the stationary distribution of the queue lengths in the original queueing system. Using matrix-analytic methods, it is shown that the tail asymptotics of the stationary distribution is exact geometric, if the queue with the highest priority is overloaded.   相似文献   

14.
A continuous revies (s, S) inventory system with renewal demand in which one item is put into operation as an exhibiting piece is analyzed. The lifetime of any operating unit has Erlangian distribution, and on failure is replaced by another one from the stock and the failed item is disposed of. Replenishment of stock is instantaneous. The transient and stationary values of inventory level distribution and the mean reorder rate are obtained using the techniques of semi-regenerative processes. Decision rules for optimums andS that minimize the long-run expected cost rate are derived. The solution for a dual model with the distribution of lifetimes and inter-demand times interchanged is also given.  相似文献   

15.
We evaluate the delay performance of an open multi-class stochastic processing network of multi-server resources with preemptive-resume priority service. We show that the stationary distribution of aggregate queue lengths has product form. For each service class we derive explicit expressions for the following stationary performance measures: The mean and, under feedforward routing, the Laplace transform of the delay distribution at each resource. We show that these measures are the same as if the resources were operating in isolation.  相似文献   

16.
In this paper we study a Geo/Geo/1 queue with T-IPH vacations, where T-IPH denotes the discrete-time phase type distribution defined on a birth and death process with countably many states. Both the multiple and single vacation strategies are considered. For each case, based on the system of stationary equations and using complex analysis method, we firstly give the probability generating functions (PGFs) of stationary distributions for queue length and sojourn time. Moreover, by analysis the PGFs, recursive and asymptotic formulas for additional queue length and additional delay are also given. Finally, we further give some numerical examples to show the effectiveness of the method.  相似文献   

17.
离散时间排队MAP/PH/3   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文研究具有马尔可夫到达过程的离散时间排队MAP/PH/3,系统中有三个服务台,每个服务台对顾客的服务时间均服从位相型分布。运用矩阵几何解的理论,我们给出了系统平稳的充要条件和系统的稳态队长分布。同时我们也给出了到达顾客所见队长分布和平均等待时间。  相似文献   

18.
Takine  Tetsuya 《Queueing Systems》2002,42(2):131-151
This paper considers a stationary single-server queue with multiple arrival streams governed by a Markov chain, where customers are served on an LCFS preemptive-resume basis. Service times of customers from each arrival stream are generally distributed and service time distributions for different arrival streams may be different. Under these assumptions, it is shown that the stationary joint distribution of queue strings representing from which arrival stream each customer in the system arrived and remaining service times of respective customers in the system has a matrix product-form solution, where matrices constituting the solution are given in terms of the infinitesimal generator of a certain Markov chain. Compared with the previous works, the result in this paper is more general in the sense that general service time distributions are allowed, and it has the advantage of computational efficiency. Note also that the result is a natural extension of the classical result for the LCFS-PR M/G/1 queue. Further, utilizing the matrix product-form solution, we derive a new expression of the vector Laplace–Stieltjes transform of the stationary distribution of unfinished work in the work-conserving single-server queue with multiple arrival streams governed by a Markov chain, which is given by the sum of matrix-geometric series.  相似文献   

19.
In this paper, we are concerned with the partial regularity of the stationary solution to semilinear elliptic equations. For almost all supercritical exponents, we improve the upper bounds of the Hausdorff dimension of the singular set, which are derived by Pacard, to the optimal ones.  相似文献   

20.
This paper is concerned with a stochastic HBV infection model with logistic growth. First, by constructing suitable stochastic Lyapunov functions, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution of the solution to the HBV infection model. Then we obtain sufficient conditions for extinction of the disease. The stationary distribution shows that the disease can become persistent in vivo.  相似文献   

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