基于B-K二叉树利率模型的巨灾债券定价研究

针对一种巨灾保险风险证券化产品-巨灾债券的定价问题,首次考虑了我国短期利率的期限结构,并在此基础上提出了Black-Karasinski利率二叉树建立方法(B-K模型),以此确定了中国短期无风险利率,最后通过Louberge巨灾债券理论定价方法试着对我国假想台风损失巨灾债券进行了具体定价,为我国进行巨灾保险风险证券化定价方面提供了一种新的尝试.     

基于指数Lévy过程的随机债券利率欧式外币期权定价

本文考虑国内外债券利率均为随机条件下的欧式外币期权定价.外币价格,国内外利率均用指数Lévy过程描述.并将本文的模型与经典的Black-Scholes模型进行了比较.     

基于指数Lévy过程的随机债券利率欧式外币期权定价

本文考虑国内外债券利率均为随机条件下的欧式外币期权定价.外币价格,国内外利率均用指数Lévy过程描述.并将本文的模型与经典的Black-Scholes模型进行了比较.     

结构转换条件下债券期权定价研究

从利率动态变化、结构转换和期权定价三个方面进行分析,对结构转换下的债券和债券期权进行定价,考虑了结构转换对利率衍生物定价的影响,利用Ito引理获得债券定价的偏微分方程,并得到债券期权定价的特征函数与递归等式.结构转换下债券期权定价的灵敏度分析表明期权价值与初始状态概率、结构的持续性和结构波动率有关.     

可转换债券:参数估计与定价实证

金融产品的定价,是金融工程研究的核心问题之一,同样可转换债券的定价也引起国内外学者们的关注.本文试图借鉴国内外研究成果,在分析股价及利率特性的基础上,运用推导出基于股价和利率的双因素定价模型;从中国实情出发,运用广义自回归条件异方差模型(简称GARCH)得出长期波动率,通过将可转债条款转化为边界终值条件并利用数值方法对可转债定价.     

次分数Vasicek随机利率模型下的欧式期权定价

本文对经典的B-S模型的假设条件进行放松,在假定利率为随机波动情况下对欧式期权定价进行讨论.作为利率的载体,本文首先对零息票债券进行定价,得出利率风险的市场价格的含义.其次,利用投资组合的?对冲原理构造无风险资产,求得欧式期权在次分数布朗运动驱动的随机利率模型下所满足的偏微分方程.最后,经过变量替换转化为经典的热传导方程,获得了欧式期权定价公式.     

债券定价及利率风险的市场价格的重构方法

假设利率变化的模型是由随机微分方程给出,则可以用推导Black-Scholes方程的方法来推出债券价格满足的偏微分方程,得到一个抛物型的偏微分方程.但是,在债券定价的方程中隐含有一个参数λ称为利率风险的市场价格.所谓债券定价的反问题,就是由不同到期时间的债券的现在价格来得到利率风险的市场价格.对随机利率模型下债券定价的正问题先给予介绍和差分数值求解方法,并介绍了反问题,且对反问题给出了数值方法.     

跳-扩散结构下内含巴黎期权特征的可转债定价研究

考虑了跳-扩散结构下的可转换债券定价问题.首先分析了回售、赎回等条款,发现可转换债券具有巴黎期权特征.然后,根据期权定价理论,运用近似对冲跳跃风险的方法,建立了可转换债券的定价模型,得到了可转换债券价格所满足的偏微分方程.基于半离散化方法,给出了偏微分方程求解的数值方法,并且对数值方法的稳定性和误差进行了分析.最后,以重工转债和南山转债为例,对可转债市场进行了实证研究.     

随机利率下可分离交易可转换债券的鞅定价

从定量的角度分析了可分离式可转换债券的价值构成,并在服从Vasicek利率模型的随机利率下,利用Martingle Pricing方法推导出其定价公式.     

随机利率下的可分离债券的定价

假设股票价格服从对数正态分布,利率是随机的,且股票价格的波动率,无风险利率均为时间的确定性连续函数,通过选取不同的计价单位及概率测度的变换,利用鞅的方法研究了随机利率下的可分离债券的定价,并得到了可分离债券的定价公式.     

一种刻划浮动汇率的模型:增量一分数高斯噪声(I-FGN)过程

为了描述汇率变动之间的远程相关行为,本文提出了刻划浮动汇率的一种新模型并给出了具体的建模方法,实验结果说明该模型是有意义的．     

Optimal control of a finite dam with a sample path constraint

In this paper, we discuss the 2-stage output procedure of a finite dam under the condition that water must be released by a fixed time. From this standpoint, the reservoir model we consider is subject to a sample path constraint and has a more general cost function than the earlier contributions. We analytically derive explicit formulas for the long-run average and the expected total discounted costs for an infinite time span and numerically calculate the optimal control policy. Finally, the optimal policy is compared with one by Zuckerman [1] and the effect of the fixed release time is discussed further.     

Dynamic load balancing in parallel queueing systems: Stability and optimal control

We consider a system of parallel queues with dedicated arrival streams. At each decision epoch a decision-maker can move customers from one queue to another. The cost for moving customers consists of a fixed cost and a linear, variable cost dependent on the number of customers moved. There are also linear holding costs that may depend on the queue in which customers are stored. Under very mild assumptions, we develop stability (and instability) conditions for this system via a fluid model. Under the assumption of stability, we consider minimizing the long-run average cost. In the case of two-servers the optimal control policy is shown to prefer to store customers in the lowest cost queue. When the inter-arrival and service times are assumed to be exponential, we use a Markov decision process formulation to show that for a fixed number of customers in the system, there exists a level S such that whenever customers are moved from the high cost queue to the low cost queue, the number of customers moved brings the number of customers in the low cost queue to S. These results lead to the development of a heuristic for the model with more than two servers.     

Optimal replacement policy for a multistate repairable system

In this paper, a deteriorating simple repairable system with k + 1 states, including k failure states and one working state, is studied. The system after repair is not ‘as good as new’ and the deterioration of the system is stochastic. Under these assumptions, we study a replacement policy, called policy N, based on the failure number of the system. The objective is to maximize the long-run expected profit per unit time. The explicit expression of the long-run expected profit per unit time is derived and the corresponding optimal solution may be determined analytically or numerically. Furthermore, we prove that the model for the multistate system in this paper forms a general monotone process model which includes the geometric process repair model as a special case. A numerical example is given to illustrate the theoretical results.     

On the convexity of the two-threshold policy for an M/G/1 queue with vacations

In this note, we consider a single server queueing system with server vacations of two types and a two-threshold policy. Under a cost and revenue structure the long-run average cost function is proven to be convex in the lower threshold for a fixed difference between the two thresholds.     

Inventory control with two switch-over levels for a class of M/G/1 queueing systems with variable arrival and service rate

This paper deals with inventory control in a class of M/G/1 queueing systems. At each point of time the system can be switched from one of two possible stages to another. The rate of arrival process and the service rate depend on the stage of the system. The cost structure imposed on the model includes both fixed switch-over costs and a holding cost at a general rate depending on the stage of the system. The rule for controlling the inventory is specified by two switch-over levels.Using an embedding approach, we will derive a formula for the long-run average expected costs per unit time of this policy. By an appropriate choice of the cost parameters, we may obtain various operating characteristics for the system amongst which the stationary distribution of the inventory and the average number of switch-overs per unit time.     

Performance Analysis of a Fluid Production/Inventory Model with State-dependence

We study the long-run average performance of a fluid production/ inventory model which alternates between ON periods and OFF periods. During ON periods of random lengths items are added continuously, at some state-dependent rate, to the inventory. During OFF periods the content decreases (again at some state-dependent rate) back to some basic level. We derive the pertinent reward functionals in closed form. For this analysis the steady-state distributions of the stock level process and its jump counterpart are required. In several examples we use the obtained explicit formulas to maximize the long-run average net revenue numerically.      

(s, S) Inventory systems with lost sales and Markov renewal demands

In the study of stochastic inventory systems it is generally assumed that the demand epochs are renewable in nature. The present paper deals with a single-item (s, S) inventory model with a finite number of different types of demands, in which the demand epochs form a Markov renewal process. The lead times are exponentially distributed and the demands that occur during stockout periods are not backordered. For this model the transient and limiting inventory level distributions are computed. Also the theory of point processes is used to obtain the mean reorder and shortage rates and their limiting values. For the special case of renewal demands, the problem of minimizing the long-run expected cost rate is analysed.     

Optimal geometric process replacement model

In this paper, we study the geometric process replacement model as follows: the successive survival times of the system form a nonincreasing geometric process while the consecutive repair times of the system constitute a non-decreasing geometric process, and the system is replaced at the time of theNth failure after its installation or last replacement. Based on the long-run average cost per unit time, we determine the optimal replacement policyN* show the uniquess of the policyN* and discuss its monotonicity.