Multidimensional Limit Theorems Allowing Large Deviations for Densities of Regular Variation

The sums of i.i.d. random vectors are considered. It is assumed that the underlying distribution is absolutely continuous and its density possesses the property which can be referred to as regular variation. The asymptotic expressions for the probability of large deviations are established in the case of a normal limiting law. Furthermore, the role of the maximal summand is emphasized.     

二元分布函数的密度收敛

设 { ( Xi,Yi) ,i≥ 1 }是独立同分布二维随机向量列 ,其共同分布函数为 F.设 F属于 G的吸引场 ,本文假定边缘分布满足 Von-Mises条件 ,主要考虑二维极大值向量 Mn 密度收敛局部一致成立的问题 .本文将 Resnick[3 ]的结果推广到了二维情形     

Nonparametric Density Estimation for a Long-Range Dependent Linear Process

We estimate the marginal density function of a long-range dependent linear process by the kernel estimator. We assume the innovations are i.i.d. Then it is known that the term of the sample mean is dominant in the MISE of the kernel density estimator when the dependence is beyond some level which depends on the bandwidth and that the MISE has asymptotically the same form as for i.i.d. observations when the dependence is below the level. We call the latter the case where the dependence is not very strong and focus on it in this paper. We show that the asymptotic distribution of the kernel density estimator is the same as for i.i.d. observations and the effect of long-range dependence does not appear. In addition we describe some results for weakly dependent linear processes.     

Rates of uniform convergence of extreme order statistics

Summary Bounds for the convergence uniformly over all Borel sets of the largest order statistic as well as of the joint distribution of extremes are established which reveal in which way these rates are determined by the distance of the underlying density from the density of the corresponding generalized Pareto distribution. The results are highlighted by several examples among which there is a bound for the rate at which the joint distribution of thek largest order statistics from a normal distribution converges uniformly to its limit.     

On the Convergence Rates of Extreme Generalized Order Statistics

A classical result of extreme value theory yields that in case of a linear normalization three possible types of limit distributions are possible. As proved recently a similar classification of the limit distributions holds for extreme generalized order statistics which provide a general concept of ordered random variables. In this paper, we derive results for the convergence rates of the nth and (n-r+1)st generalized order statistic, respectively. It turns out that the rate is highly influenced by the choice of the normalizing sequence. Moreover, we show that a uniform bound of order 1/n holds for underlying generalized Pareto distributions, whereas for the standard normal distribution the convergence might be very slow. Similar results for ordinary order statistics are included.     

The extreme value of the generalized distances of the individual points in the multivariate normal sample

1. Summary The extreme value of the generalized distances, from the origin, ofN individual points which may be correlated each other, in thep-variate normal sample is defined and discussed. It contains, as special cases, (i) the extreme deviate from the population mean or the sample mean, (ii) the extreme deviate from the control variate and (iii) the range defined by (2.10) or (2.11) below. The exact sampling distributional theory of this statistic is extremely difficult to find, even its moments. However, the method of obtaining the approximate upper 100α percentage points for the ordinary significance levelα is given. The lower percentage points can be obtained in the similar way if necessary. In connection with the evaluation of the approximate percentage points, the two-dimensional chi-square distribution is discussed and the asymptotic formulas for the joint distribution function of the two generalized distances are given in the special forms for the present aim. The extreme deviate from the sample mean will be explained in some detail and the tables of the approximate upper 5, 2.5 and 1% points are given. For the cases (ii) and (iii) mentioned above the details are omitted and will be discussed in the case of need.     

Consistency of kernel density estimators for causal processes

Using the blocking techniques and m-dependent methods,the asymptotic behavior of kernel density estimators for a class of stationary processes,which includes some nonlinear time series models,is investigated.First,the pointwise and uniformly weak convergence rates of the deviation of kernel density estimator with respect to its mean(and the true density function)are derived.Secondly,the corresponding strong convergence rates are investigated.It is showed,under mild conditions on the kernel functions and bandwidths,that the optimal rates for the i.i.d.density models are also optimal for these processes.     

Generalized fiducial confidence intervals for extremes

The generalized Pareto distribution is relevant to many situations when modeling extremes of random variables. In particular, peaks over threshold data approximately follow the generalized Pareto distribution. We use a fiducial framework to perform inference on the parameters and the extreme quantiles of the generalized Pareto. This inference technique is demonstrated both when the threshold is a known and unknown parameter. Assuming the threshold is a known parameter resulted in fiducial intervals with good empirical properties and asymptotically correct coverage. Likewise, our simulation results suggest that the fiducial intervals and point estimates compare favorably to the competing methods seen in the literature. The proposed intervals for the extreme quantiles when the threshold is unknown also have good empirical properties regardless of the underlying distribution of the data. Comparisons to a similar Bayesian method suggest that the fiducial intervals have better coverage and are similar in length with fewer assumptions. In addition to simulation results, the proposed method is applied to a data set from the NASDAQ 100. The data set is analyzed using the fiducial approach and its competitors for both cases when the threshold is known and unknown. R code for our procedure can be downloaded at .     

Comparing extreme models when the sign of the extreme value index is known

In the literature on analyzing extremes, both generalized Pareto distributions and Pareto distributions are employed to infer the tail of a distribution with a known positive extreme value index. Similar studies exist for a known negative extreme value index. Intuitively, one should not employ the generalized Pareto distribution in the case of knowing the sign of the extreme value index. In this work, we show that fitting a generalized Pareto distribution is equivalent to the model in Hall (1982) in the case of a negative extreme value index, in both improving the rate of convergence and including the bias term of the asymptotic results of that reference. When the extreme value index is known to be positive, we show that fitting a generalized Pareto distribution may be preferred in some cases determined by a so-called second-order parameter and the extreme value index itself.     

半参数回归非线性小波误差密度估计

In this paper,a semiparametric regression model in which errors are i.i.d random variables from an unknown density f(·) is considered.Based on Hall et al.(1995),a nonlinear wavelet estimation of f(·) without restrictions of continuity everywhere on f(·) is given,and the convergence rate of the estimators in L2 is obtained.