平滑的PL和分布位点过程之间离的渐近分布

在随机右删失情况下,我们证明了基于平滑ＰＬ估计和平滑ＰＬ分位点估计的Ｂａｈａｄｕｒ－Ｋｉｅｆｅｒ型过程的弱极限定理。     

删失数据平滑非参数分位估计

文中在随机右删失意义下，对于未知分布函数的分位点，基于ＰＬ估计给出了一种平滑的非参数核分位估计，推导出了该估计的逐点和一致强弱Ｂａｈａｄｕｒ类型表示定理，并由此结果获得了平滑分位计的渐近正态性及重对数律等深刻结果。     

删失数据的光滑乘积限估计的渐近性质

在删失数据的模型下，对于光滑未知的分布函数Ｆ０，文中提出了光滑化的方法去估计Ｆ０，得到了光滑ＰＬ估计Ｆｎ，并建立了Ｆｎ在Ｄ（－∞，Ｔ），Ｔ＜ＴＦ上的弱收敛和强相合的结果．同时也获得了光滑ＰＬ过程的强逼近和重对数律．     

带有辅助信息的ROC曲线两种估计的比较

在医学研究中,常常使用受试者操作特性曲线(ROC)曲线来研究两样本的比较问题。Lloyd构造了ROC曲线的核平滑估计,并给出了其渐近偏差以及渐近标准差。此外,当还可以获悉某一处理组上的辅助信息时,Zhou,Zhou & Ma利用经验似然的方法构造了ROC曲线的核平滑经验似然估计。本文利用"亏量"这个概念比较了带有辅助信息的情况下,对核平滑经验似然估计与完全经验似然估计进行了比较。并给出了核平滑经验似然估计优于完全经验似然估计的结论,并且随着样本容量的增大,该亏量也是无限增大的。     

多机制半参数平滑转换回归模型——兼论我国宏观经济运行周期

本文结合多机制平滑转换回归模型和半参数平滑转换回归模型,提出多机制半参数平滑转换回归模型。对模型转换函数中的未知光滑有界函数采用级数估计,并给出了结合Back-fitting算法和非线性最小二乘法估计模型参数的具体执行步骤,随机模拟结果说明了本文模型和估计算法的可行性和灵活性。应用本文模型和估计算法对我国宏观经济运行周期的实证研究表明,我国经济增长的非线性结构可以分为四个显著不同的增长机制:扩张阶段、衰退阶段、收缩阶段、恢复阶段,并且宏观经济政策的作用有三到四个季度的迟滞效应。     

基于强混合数据的半参数平滑转换回归模型

本文基于严平稳强混合数据和带确定性趋势的强混合数据序列,推广了文献[20]中提出的半参数平滑转换回归模型。对含于平滑转换函数中的未知光滑有界函数应用级数估计方法,并基于非线性最小二乘估计和级数估计理论证明了模型参数估计量的相合性和渐近正态性等大样本性质,简要讨论了其协方差矩阵的估计以及假设检验问题。最后,应用该模型重新研究了我国年度通货膨胀率的平滑转换结构。     

右删失左截断情形下分布函数的分位数估计

文中考虑了右删失左截断数据情形下分布函数的分位数估计，讨论了该估计的渐近性质并获得了它的强弱Ｂａｈａｄｕｒ类型的表示定理。利用此Ｂａｈａｄｕｒ表示定理很容易获得该分位数估计的渐近正态性及置信区间等结果。     

删失数据平滑非参数分位估计的Bahadur表示

本文讨论了在随机右删失情况下一种平滑非参数分位估计ｘｎ（ｐ）（ｘｎ（ｐ）是的解）．在一定的条件下获得了ｘｎ（ｐ）的Ｂａｈａｄｕｒ表示，作为推论获得了ｘｎ（ｐ）的渐近正态分布和重对数律．     

二元竞争风险场合二元PL估计的弱收敛性及其Bootstrap结果

本文考虑了在二元竞争风险场合下二元PL估计的问题.文中给出了关于二元PL估计的独立同分布表达式,即将估计的差表为均值为零的独立同分布过程的和,且其余项的阶为O((u^-1logn)^3/4)a.s.,并证明该过程弱收敛到一个二元Gauss过程.关于Bootstrap情况也得到了类似的结果.     

基于贝叶斯平滑转移模型的汇率非线性协整关系研究

针对平滑转移模型参数估计不确定性导致的协整检验方法相对复杂问题,提出基于平滑转移模型的贝叶斯非线性协整分析。通过模型的统计结构分析,选择参数先验分布,结合参数的后验条件分布特征设计Metropolis-Hasting-Gibbs混合抽样方案,据此估计平滑转移模型的参数,并对回归残差进行贝叶斯单位根检验,解决参数估计过程中遇到的参数估计不确定性及协整检验复杂的问题;利用人民币对美元汇率与中美两国的利率数据进行实证分析。研究结果表明:MH-Gibbs抽样方案能够有效估计平滑转移模型的参数,中美汇率波动和利差之间存在平滑转移协整关系。     

Kernel estimators of the ROC Curve with censored data

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are often used to study the two sample problem in medical studies. However, most data in medical studies are censored. Usually a natural estimator is based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator. In this paper we propose a smoothed estimator based on kernel techniques for the ROC curve with censored data. The large sample properties of the smoothed estimator are established. Moreover, deficiency is considered in order to compare the proposed smoothed estimator of the ROC curve with the empirical one based on Kaplan-Meier estimator. It is shown that the smoothed estimator outperforms the direct empirical estimator based on the Kaplan-Meier estimator under the criterion of deficiency. A simulation study is also conducted and a real data is analyzed.     

随机删失下概率密度核估计的光滑Bootstrap逼近

本文研究随机删失概率密度估计的光ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ逼近。给出了光滑ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ逼近成立的充分条件，并证明了概率密度的光滑ｂｏｏｔｓｔｒａｐ估计方差几乎处处收敛到概率密度核估计的渐近方差。     

A NOTE ON OSCILLATION MODULUS OF PL-PROCESS AND ITS APPLICATIONS UNDER RANDOM CENSORSHIP

The strong limit results of oscillation modulus of PL-process are established in this paper when the density function is not continuous function for censored data. The rates of convergence of oscillation modulus of PL-process are sharp under week condition. These results can be used to derive laws of the iterated logarithm of random bandwidth kernel estimator and nearest neighborhood estimator of density under continuous conditions of density function being not assumed.     

Edgeworth expansion for the survival function estimator in the Koziol-Green model

In the Koziol-Green or proportional hazards random censorship model, the asymptotic accuracy of the estimated one-term Edgeworth expansion and the smoothed bootstrap approximation for the Studentized Abdushukurov-Cheng-Lin estimator is investigated. It is shown that both the Edgeworth expansion estimate and the bootstrap approximation are asymptotically closer to the exact distribution of the Studentized Abdushukurov-Cheng-Lin estimator than the normal approximation.     

On the modal resolution of kernel density estimators

The ability of a kernel density estimator to resolve modes of the underlying density is investigated. For various bimodal densities and three different kernels, the smallest sample size required for the expectation of an optimally smoothed kernel estimator to be bimodal is determined. The optimality criterion employed is equivalent to asymptotic mean integrated squared error for sufficiently smooth densities.     

竞争风险场合PL型估计的弱一致收敛性

本文构造了竞争风险场合分布函数的乘积极限（PL）型估计，运用经验过程的逼近理论及Taylor展开方法，给出了PL型估计在全直线上的弱一致收敛速度及其充分必要条件。     

A smoothed bootstrap estimator for a studentized sample quantile

If the underlying distribution functionF is smooth it is known that the convergence rate of the standard bootstrap quantile estimator can be improved fromn ^–1/4 ton ^–1/2+, for arbitrary >0, by using a smoothed bootstrap. We show that a further significant improvement of this rate is achieved by studentizing by means of a kernel density estimate. As a consequence, it turns out that the smoothed bootstrap percentile-t method produces confidence intervals with critical points being second-order correct and having smaller length than competitors based on hybrid or on backwards critical points. Moreover, the percentile-t method for constructing one-sided or two-sided confidence intervals leads to coverage accuracies of ordern ^–1+, for arbitrary >0, in the case of analytic distribution functions.     

Minimum Disparity Estimation in Linear Regression Models: Distribution and Efficiency

This paper deals with the minimum disparity estimation in linear regression models. The estimators are defined as statistical quantities which minimize the blended weight Hellinger distance between a weighted kernel density estimator of errors and a smoothed model density of errors. It is shown that the estimators of the regression parameters are asymptotic normally distributed and efficient at the model if the weights of the density estimators are appropriately chosen.     

Differentiable Functionals and Smoothed Bootstrap

The differentiability properties of statistical functionals have several interesting applications. We are concerned with two of them. First, we prove a result on asymptotic validity for the so-called smoothed bootstrap (where the artificial samples are drawn from a density estimator instead of being resampled from the original data). Our result can be considered as a smoothed analog of that obtained by Parr (1985, Stat. Probab. Lett., 3, 97-100) for the standard, unsmoothed bootstrap. Second, we establish a result on asymptotic normality for estimators of type generated by a density functional being a density estimator. As an application, a quick and easy proof of the asymptotic normality of , (the plug-in estimator of the integrated squared density ) is given.