Revenue impacts of fare input and demand forecast accuracy in airline yield management

Most airline yield management seat allocation models require inputs of the expected demand by fare class, the variance of this demand, and a revenue value associated with the bookings expected in each class. In this paper, we examine the impacts of errors in the demand forecasts and fare estimates on the revenue performance of some commonly used seat allocation heuristic decision rules. Through simulation analysis of scenarios in which the fare or demand inputs used by the models differ from the ‘actual’ values simulated in the flight booking process, we examine the effects of unexpected variability in the actual fare values, misestimation of the mean fare values of the different booking classes, and forecasting errors in the expected demand for each class. Our findings confirm previous studies that found the accuracy of the demand forecasts to be of greatest importance, but we also uncover some instances where misestimation of the mean demands and/or mean fare values used as inputs to the decision models can actually be beneficial. At the same time, we conclude that the variability of actual fare values around the mean fare values used as inputs does not have a significant impact, given the mathematical characteristics of existing EMSR seat allocation methods.     

Mathematical programming for network revenue management revisited

Mathematical programming models for airline seat inventory control provide booking limits and bid-prices for all itineraries and fare classes. E.L. Williamson [Airline network seat inventory control: methodologies and revenue impacts, Ph.D. thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, 1992] finds that simple deterministic approximation methods based on average demand often outperform more advanced probabilistic heuristics. We argue that this phenomenon is due to a booking process that includes nesting of the fare classes, which is ignored in the modeling phase. The differences in the performance between these approximations are studied using a stochastic programming model that includes the deterministic model as a special case. Our study carefully examines the trade-off between computation time and the aggregation level of demand uncertainty with examples of a multi-leg flight and a single-hub network.     

Airline network revenue management by multistage stochastic programming

A multistage stochastic programming approach to airline network revenue management is presented. The objective is to determine seat protection levels for all itineraries, fare classes, points of sale of the airline network and all dcps of the booking horizon such that the expected revenue is maximized. While the passenger demand and cancelation rate processes are the stochastic inputs of the model, the stochastic protection level process represents its output and allows to control the booking process. The stochastic passenger demand and cancelation rate processes are approximated by a finite number of tree structured scenarios. The scenario tree is generated from historical data using a stability-based recursive scenario reduction scheme. Numerical results for a small hub-and-spoke network are reported. This research is supported by the DFG Research Center Matheon “Mathematics for key technologies” in Berlin.     

A Lagrangian relaxation approach for network inventory control of stochastic revenue management with perishable commodities

Airline seat inventory control is the allocation of seats in the same cabin to different fare classes such that the total revenue is maximized. Seat allocation can be modelled as dynamic stochastic programs, which are computationally intractable in network settings. Deterministic and probabilistic mathematical programming models are therefore used to approximate dynamic stochastic programs. The probabilistic model, which is the focus of this paper, has a nonlinear objective function, which makes the solution of large-scale practical instances with off-the-shelf solvers prohibitively time consuming. In this paper, we propose a Lagrangian relaxation (LR) method for solving the probabilistic model by exploring the fact that LR problems are decomposable. We show that the solutions of the LR problems admit a simple analytical expression which can be resolved directly. Both the booking limit policy and the bid-price policy can be implemented using this method. Numerical simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Airline pricing and fare product differentiation: A new theoretical framework

A basic premise in the development of yield management has been that the differentiated fare products offered by airlines are targeted to distinct segments of the total demand for air travel in a market, each of which compete for space on a fixed capacity aircraft. Such representations of differential pricing assume that the airline can segment its demand perfectly and without cost to consumers, and further, ignore the dependence of the demand for a given fare product on the price levels and characteristics of the other available fare products. In this paper, we introduce a new ‘generalised cost’ model of fare product differentiation that incorporates the relationships between available airline fare products as well as the cost incurred by consumers of accepting more restrictions. We extend the model to incorporate the diversion of passengers to lower-priced fare products as a result of their ability to meet the additional restrictions imposed by airlines, and then demonstrate how seat inventory control can be used to induce diverting passengers to ‘sell up’ to higher-priced fare products by applying booking limits. An example of how the model can be used for joint fare product price level optimisation is presented, along with a numerical example that illustrates the extent to which the conventional model of price discrimination over-estimates passenger demand and, in turn, total airline revenues.     

A genetic algorithm approach on tree-like telecommunication network design problem

In the context of telecommunication networks, the network terminals involve certain constraints that are either related with the performance of the corresponding network or with the availability of some classes of devices. In this paper, we discuss a tree-like telecommunication network design problem with the constraint limiting the number of terminals. First, this problem is formulated as a leaf-constrained minimum spanning tree (lc-MST). Then we develop a tree-based genetic representation to encode the candidate solutions of the lc-MST problem. Compared with the existing heuristic algorithm, the numerical results show the high effectiveness of the proposed GA approach on this problem.     

An improved decomposition-based heuristic to design a water distribution network for an irrigation system

In this paper the authors address a pressurized water distribution network design problem for irrigation purposes. Two mixed binary nonlinear programming models are proposed for this NP-hard problem. Furthermore, a heuristic algorithm is presented for the problem, which considers a decomposition sequential scheme, based on linearization of the second model, coupled with constructive and local search procedures designed to achieve improved feasible solutions. To evaluate the robustness of the method we tested it on several instances generated from a real application. The best solutions obtained are finally compared with solutions provided by standard software. These computational experiments enable the authors to conclude that the decomposition sequential heuristic is a good approach to this difficult real problem.     

Hierarchical approach for survivable network design

A central design challenge facing network planners is how to select a cost-effective network configuration that can provide uninterrupted service despite edge failures. In this paper, we study the Survivable Network Design (SND) problem, a core model underlying the design of such resilient networks that incorporates complex cost and connectivity trade-offs. Given an undirected graph with specified edge costs and (integer) connectivity requirements between pairs of nodes, the SND problem seeks the minimum cost set of edges that interconnects each node pair with at least as many edge-disjoint paths as the connectivity requirement of the nodes. We develop a hierarchical approach for solving the problem that integrates ideas from decomposition, tabu search, randomization, and optimization. The approach decomposes the SND problem into two subproblems, Backbone design and Access design, and uses an iterative multi-stage method for solving the SND problem in a hierarchical fashion. Since both subproblems are NP-hard, we develop effective optimization-based tabu search strategies that balance intensification and diversification to identify near-optimal solutions. To initiate this method, we develop two heuristic procedures that can yield good starting points. We test the combined approach on large-scale SND instances, and empirically assess the quality of the solutions vis-à-vis optimal values or lower bounds. On average, our hierarchical solution approach generates solutions within 2.7% of optimality even for very large problems (that cannot be solved using exact methods), and our results demonstrate that the performance of the method is robust for a variety of problems with different size and connectivity characteristics.     

基于旅客选择的高速铁路客运收益管理研究

本文旨在探讨收益管理在高速铁路客运中的应用,给出了存在多级票价时,考虑旅客选择行为的铁路客运收益管理模型,优化结果能够同时给出发车指令和座位出售限制.利用模拟数据对模型进行了数值试验,表明在不同路段长度下,考虑旅客选择行为的总收益较需求独立模型均有所提高,且随着票价等级增多而增长.     

General variable neighborhood search for the uncapacitated single allocation <Emphasis Type="Italic">p</Emphasis>-hub center problem

In this paper we propose a general variable neighborhood search heuristic for solving the uncapacitated single allocation p-hub center problem (USApHCP). For the local search step we develop a nested variable neighborhood descent strategy. The proposed approach is tested on benchmark instances from the literature and found to outperform the state-of-the-art heuristic based on ant colony optimization. We also test our heuristic on large scale instances that were not previously considered as test instances for the USApHCP. Moreover, exact solutions were reached by our GVNS for all instances where optimal solutions are known.     

Optimal seat allocation for two-flight problems with a flexible demand segment

In this paper, we study a two-flight model where there are two flights between two cities in a day (e.g., one departs at 9:00 am and another at 11:00 am) and booking requests in each fare class arrive according to a random process. There are three types of booking requests: the first and second types are respectively for the first and the second flight only; whereas the third type is flexible and willing to take either flight. Upon receiving a booking request, the airline has to decide whether to accept it, and in case a third type is accepted, which flight to accommodate it. This paper uncovers the structure of optimal booking policies through four monotone switching curves. We also present an extension of the basic model to multiple-flight case. Finally, a numerical example is used to illustrate the derivation and the dynamics of the optimal booking policies.     

A tabu search approach for solving a difficult forest harvesting machine location problem

This paper deals with two main problems in forest harvesting. The first is that of selecting the locations for the machinery to haul logs from the points where they are felled to the roadside. The second consists in designing the access road network connecting the existing road network with the points where machinery is installed. Their combination induces a very important and difficult problem to solve in forest harvesting. It can be formulated as a combination of two difficult optimization problems: a plant location problem and a fixed charge network flow problem. In this paper, we propose a solution approach based on tabu search. The proposed heuristic includes several enhancements of the basic tabu search framework. The main difficulty lies in evaluating neighboring solutions, which involves decisions related to location of machinery and to road network arcs. Hence, the neighborhood is more complex than in typical applications of metaheuristics. Minimum spanning tree algorithms and Steiner tree heuristics are used to deal with this problem. Numerical results indicate that the heuristic approach is very attractive and leads to better solutions than those provided by state-of-the-art integer programming codes in limited computation times, with solution times significantly smaller. The numerical results do not vary too much when typical parameters such as the tabu tenure are modified, except for the dimension of neighborhood.     

A Markov model for single-leg air cargo revenue management under a bid-price policy

In this paper, we consider the capacity allocation problem in single-leg air cargo revenue management. We assume that each cargo booking request is endowed with a random weight, volume and profit rate and propose a Markovian model for the booking request/acceptance/rejection process. The decision on whether to accept the booking request or to reserve the capacity for future bookings follows a bid-price control policy. In particular, a cargo will be accepted only when the revenue from accepting it exceeds the opportunity cost, which is calculated based on bid prices. Optimal solutions are derived by maximizing a reward function of a Markov chain. Numerical comparisons between the proposed approach and two existing static single-leg air cargo capacity allocation policies are presented.     

A Comparison of Heuristics for the Discrete Cost Multicommodity Network Optimization Problem

In this paper, approximate solutions algorithms for discrete cost multicommodity network optimization problems are presented and compared. Firstly, extensions of classical greedy heuristics, based on link-rerouting and flow-rerouting heuristics, are presented in details. Secondly, a new approximate solution algorithm, which basically consists of a heuristic implementation of the exact Benders-type cutting plane generation method, is proposed. All these algorithms are extensively compared on randomly generated graphs up to 50 nodes and 90 links. It clearly appears that this new Benders-type approach is very promising since it produces the best heuristic solutions.     

Survivable network design with shared-protection routing

In this paper we study the problem of designing a survivable telecommunication network with shared-protection routing. We develop a heuristic algorithm to solve this problem. Recent results in the area of global re-routing have been used to obtain very tight lower bounds for the problem. Our results indicate that in a majority of problem instances, the average gap between the heuristic solutions and the lower bounds is within 5%. Computational experience is reported on randomly generated problem instances with up to 35 nodes, 80 edges and 595 demand pairs and also on the instances available in SNDlib database.     

邮路规划与邮车调度最优化理论研究

对小规模MTSP问题,建立了可精确求解方案的0-1规划模型,并在满足邮政运输需求的前提下给出了最佳方案.问题一首先以县支局、县局为顶点构建无向赋权图,通过Floyd算法求解各局间的最短距离;然后以Fijk为决策变量,以邮车工作时间、车辆运载能力为主要约束,建立以总空载损失费用最小为目标的0-1非线性规划模型,运用规划软件Lingo求解.问题二考虑到市邮路成本,我们采用分层规划策略,首先以市支局、县局为顶点构建无向赋权图,求解出最短路矩阵,建立以邮路运行成本最小为目标的0-1非线性规划模型IIA求解;然后,建立各县区的最短路矩阵,同样建立规划模型IIB求解各县运输方案.问题三由于县局地理位置不变,对区邮路无影响,故以全市各县支局为中心采用逐步最优方法对所有县区支局重新划分;然后采用模型IIB求解.第四问中考虑县局迁移,我们建立近似的启发式算法完成县局选址,并运用规划模型II求解的到新方案.最后,我们对两种区域划分调整方法还进行了定量的分析.     

A two-phase heuristic approach to the bike repositioning problem

An approach to overcome the bike imbalance problem is to transfer excess bikes to branches with bike shortages. This study develops a constrained mathematical model to deal with a multi-vehicle bike-repositioning problem, and aims to minimize the sum of transportation and unmet demand costs over a planning horizon through bike-transfer strategies under a minimum service requirement. A two-phase heuristic based on linear programming was proposed to solve the problem and produce compromising solutions. In the first phase, the paper developed a linear programming model to quickly develop decisions related to bike inventory, unloading, and loading for all stations for each time slot. In the second phase, this paper proposed an iterative approach through two parameter sensitive mathematical models to sequentially reduce the problem scale to develop decisions related to bike transfers. Computational results show that the proposed approach is superior to a CPLEX optimizer and a hybrid heuristic based on a genetic algorithm. The proposed approach was used to analyze the bicycle system in Taiwan. The impacts of various system parameters on the system were also investigated.     

An arc-exchange decomposition method for multistage dynamic networks with random arc capacities

Multistage dynamic networks with random arc capacities (MDNRAC) have been successfully used for modeling various resource allocation problems in the transportation area. However, solving these problems is generally computationally intensive, and there is still a need to develop more efficient solution approaches. In this paper, we propose a new heuristic approach that solves the MDNRAC problem by decomposing the network at each stage into a series of subproblems with tree structures. Each subproblem can be solved efficiently. The main advantage is that this approach provides an efficient computational device to handle the large-scale problem instances with fairly good solution quality. We show that the objective value obtained from this decomposition approach is an upper bound for that of the MDNRAC problem. Numerical results demonstrate that our proposed approach works very well.     

The Feeder-bus Network-design Problem

The potential for improving the cost-effectiveness of public transport operations by designing better integrated feeder-bus/rail rapid transit systems has been widely recognized. This paper defines the feeder-bus network-design problem (FBNDP) as that of designing a feeder-bus network to access an existing rail system. The FBNDP is considered under two different demand patterns, many-to-one (M-to-1) and many-to-many (M-to-M). We present a mathematical programming model for the M-to-1 FBNDP, and show that it can be generalized to the M-to-M FBNDP. The FBNDP is a large and difficult vehicle-routeing-type problem with an additional decision variable—operating frequency. A heuristic model is presented, which generalizes the ‘savings approach’ to incorporate operating frequency. The computational analysis shows that the proposed heuristic provides reasonable feeder-bus networks and consistent responses to ‘what if’ questions. A comparison indicates that the proposed heuristic provides solutions that are superior to manually designed networks. The advantages of this heuristic are particularly significant under variable demand.     

The crane scheduling problem: models and solution approaches

In this paper, we study the crane scheduling problem for a vessel after the vessel is moored on a terminal and develop both exact and heuristic solution approaches for the problem. For small-sized instances, we develop a time-space network flow formulation with non-crossing constraints for the problem and apply an exact solution approach to obtain an optimal solution. For medium-sized instances, we develop a Lagrangian relaxation approach that allows us to obtain tight lower bounds and near-optimal solutions. For large-sized instances, we develop two heuristics and show that the error bounds of our heuristics are no more than 100%. Finally, we perform computational studies to show the effectiveness of our proposed solution approaches.