随机截断下NA样本半参数回归模型中的相合估计

本文研究固定设计下的半参数回归模型在相应变量Yi因受到某种随机干扰而被右截断且截断分布已知时,利用所获的截断观察定义了参数β和回归函数g(·)的估计,并证明了它们均具有强相合性.     

形状约束条件下Bayes非参数回归

本文给出形状约束条件下非参数回归模型的Bayes估计方法.利用Markov链Monte Carlo方法对模型进行拟合.具体地,用形状约束Bernstein多项式近似非参数函数,把截断正态分布作为Bernstein多项式系数的先验分布来保证函数估计满足指定的形状约束.最后通过模拟比较和实例分析来展现形状约束Bayes估计的小样本性质.     

可数马氏链的截断扩充逼近算法

本文是一篇关于可数马氏链截断扩充逼近算法的综述性文章.截断扩充逼近算法是研究可数无限马氏链的一个有效的方法.它已经成为计算马氏链的平稳分布以及其他参数的关键性工具.本文首先应用截断扩充逼近算法对平稳分布进行研究.我们利用遍历方法以及扰动方法,分别给出在全变差范数意义下以及在V范数意义下的平稳分布的收敛性和误差界.其次,本文应用截断扩充逼近算法研究泊松方程的解.我们给出泊松方程的解的收敛性质,并且考虑中心极限定理中偏差常数的逼近算法.此外,我们将用一些实际的例子来验证这些结果的实用性与准确性.最后,本文对截断扩充逼近算法的一些延伸问题进行了总结与展望.     

截断情况下线性回归模型响应变量均值的经验似然

本文讨论了在带有截断情况的线性回归模型中 ,响应变量均值的估计问题 .将经验似然的方法应用到带有截断情况的回归模型中 ,在估计响应变量的均值时构造了调整的经验似然统计量 ,证明了在一定的条件下 ,该统计量渐近服从 χ2 分布 ,给出了均值的置信区间 ,并与正态下得到的结果进行了比较 ,模拟的结果说明了经验似然的优良性 .     

绝对损失下双边截断型分布族参数的渐近最优经验Bayes估计

本文在绝对损失下构造了双边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes估计,并在合适的条件下证明了该估计的渐近最优性.最后,给出两个有关本文主要结果的例子.     

双边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes诂计

在Linex损失函数下,讨论一类双边截断型分布族参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计问题, 构造了参数的EB估计,在适当的条件下给出了该估计的收敛速度.最后给出例子,说明定理条件的合理性.     

随机截断下半参数回归模型中的相合估计

对固定设计下的半参数回归模型 Y_i=x_iβ+g(t_i)+ε_i,i=1,2,…,n,当Y_i因受某种随机干扰而被右截断时,分别就截断分布已知与未知两种情形,利用所获的截断观察定义了参数β和回归函数g(·)的估计,并证明了它们均具有强相合性与P(≥2)阶平均相合性.     

截断数据下非参数回归函数估计的强相合性

本文给出了截断数据下非参数回归函数ｍ（ｘ）＝Ｅ（Ｙ｜Ｘ＝ｘ）的两种估计。在一定的条件下证明了第一种估计的强相合性且给出了第二种估计的强收敛速度。     

截断切割问题的参数规划模型

对一个截断切割问题,本文给出了一个参数网络规划模型,总结了[3]中的解法,并给出了一个实例.     

NA样本及Linex损失下截断族参数的经验EB估计

在Linex损失及NA样本下 ,对一类双边截断型分布族 ,构造了参数的经验Bayes(EB)估计 ,建立了它的收敛速度 .在一定的条件下证明了该收敛速度可以任意接近于 1 ,并给出满足定理条件的例子 .     

Successive direction extraction for estimating the central subspace in a multiple-index regression

In this paper we propose a dimension reduction method for estimating the directions in a multiple-index regression based on information extraction. This extends the recent work of Yin and Cook [X. Yin, R.D. Cook, Direction estimation in single-index regression, Biometrika 92 (2005) 371-384] who introduced the method and used it to estimate the direction in a single-index regression. While a formal extension seems conceptually straightforward, there is a fundamentally new aspect of our extension: We are able to show that, under the assumption of elliptical predictors, the estimation of multiple-index regressions can be decomposed into successive single-index estimation problems. This significantly reduces the computational complexity, because the nonparametric procedure involves only a one-dimensional search at each stage. In addition, we developed a permutation test to assist in estimating the dimension of a multiple-index regression.     

On efficient estimators of two seemingly unrelated regressions

In this paper, following the results presented in Liu’s work [Liu, A.Y., 2002. Efficient estimation of two seemingly unrelated regression equations. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 82, 445-456], we first represent the Gauss-Markov estimator of the regression parameter as a matrix series, and hence we conclude that the observation vectors should appear in any efficient estimator in pairs. Second, we prove that the simpler form of the two-stage Aitken estimator is unique. Finally we generalize our results to the system of two seemingly unrelated regressions with unequal numbers of observations and briefly summarize our conclusions.     

关于回归模型的参数估计效率

本文讨论回归模型的参数估计效率。本文说明了现有线性回归模型的参数估计效率的下界与真实的参数估计效率在很多情况下相差较大,而且这种下界对于实测数据处理很难得到精确值。本文给出了估算参数估计效率的仿真方法。理论分析表明,该方法给出的参数估计效率的估计较现有的下界估计更合理;仿真和实算结果表明,对于一大类线性和非线性回归模型,该方法给出的回归模型的参数估计效率的估计更接近模型参数估计效率的真值。     

Nonparametric recursive estimation of the derivative of the regression function with application to sea shores water quality

This paper is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the derivative of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. We implement a very efficient and easy to handle statistical procedure based on the derivative of the recursive Nadaraya–Watson estimator. We establish the almost sure convergence as well as the asymptotic normality for our estimates. We also illustrate our nonparametric estimation procedure on simulated data and real life data associated with sea shores water quality and valvometry.

     

Interaction Model and Model Selection for Function-on-Function Regression

Regression models with interaction effects have been widely used in multivariate analysis to improve model flexibility and prediction accuracy. In functional data analysis, however, due to the challenges of estimating three-dimensional coefficient functions, interaction effects have not been considered for function-on-function linear regression. In this article, we propose function-on-function regression models with interaction and quadratic effects. For a model with specified main and interaction effects, we propose an efficient estimation method that enjoys a minimum prediction error property and has good predictive performance in practice. Moreover, converting the estimation of three-dimensional coefficient functions of the interaction effects to the estimation of two- and one-dimensional functions separately, our method is computationally efficient. We also propose adaptive penalties to account for varying magnitudes and roughness levels of coefficient functions. In practice, the forms of the models are usually unspecified. We propose a stepwise procedure for model selection based on a predictive criterion. This method is implemented in our R package FRegSigComp. Supplemental materials are available online.     

Autocovariance Function Estimation via Penalized Regression

The work revisits the autocovariance function estimation, a fundamental problem in statistical inference for time series. We convert the function estimation problem into constrained penalized regression with a generalized penalty that provides us with flexible and accurate estimation, and study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. In case of a nonzero mean time series, we apply a penalized regression technique to a differenced time series, which does not require a separate detrending procedure. In penalized regression, selection of tuning parameters is critical and we propose four different data-driven criteria to determine them. A simulation study shows effectiveness of the tuning parameter selection and that the proposed approach is superior to three existing methods. We also briefly discuss the extension of the proposed approach to interval-valued time series. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.     

The Fast RODEO for Local Polynomial Regression

An open challenge in nonparametric regression is finding fast, computationally efficient approaches to estimating local bandwidths for large datasets, in particular in two or more dimensions. In the work presented here, we introduce a novel local bandwidth estimation procedure for local polynomial regression, which combines the greedy search of the regularization of the derivative expectation operator (RODEO) algorithm with linear binning. The result is a fast, computationally efficient algorithm, which we refer to as the fast RODEO. We motivate the development of our algorithm by using a novel scale-space approach to derive the RODEO. We conclude with a toy example and a real-world example using data from the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite validation study, where we show the fast RODEO’s improvement in accuracy and computational speed over two other standard approaches.     

Data analysis for accelerated life tests via Weibull-gamma frailty regression models

In this article, we study data analysis methods for accelerated life test (ALT) with blocking. Unlike the previous assumption of normal distribution for random block effects, we advocate the use of Weibull regression model with gamma random effects for making statistical inference of ALT data. To estimate the unknown parameters in the proposed model, maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian estimation methods are provided. We illustrate the proposed methods using real data examples and simulation examples. Numerical results suggest that distribution of random effects has minimal impact on the estimation of fixed effects in the Weibull regression models. Furthermore, to demonstrate the advantage of our proposed model, we also provide methods to compare ALT plans and thus identify the optimal ALT plans.     

Histogram selection for possibly censored data

We propose in this article a unified approach to functional estimation problems based on possibly censored data. The general framework that we define allows, for instance, to handle density and hazard rate estimation based on randomly right-censored data, or regression. Given a collection of histograms, our estimation procedure consists in selecting the best histogram among that collection from the data, by minimizing a penalized least-squares type criterion. For a general collection of histograms, we obtain nonasymptotic oracle-type inequalities. Then, we consider the collection of histograms built on partitions into dyadic intervals, a choice inspired by an approximation result due to DeVore and Yu. In that case, our estimator is also adaptive in the minimax sense over a wide range of smoothness classes that contain functions of inhomogeneous smoothness. Besides, its computational complexity is only linear in the size of the sample.     

多机制半参数平滑转换回归模型——兼论我国宏观经济运行周期

本文结合多机制平滑转换回归模型和半参数平滑转换回归模型,提出多机制半参数平滑转换回归模型。对模型转换函数中的未知光滑有界函数采用级数估计,并给出了结合Back-fitting算法和非线性最小二乘法估计模型参数的具体执行步骤,随机模拟结果说明了本文模型和估计算法的可行性和灵活性。应用本文模型和估计算法对我国宏观经济运行周期的实证研究表明,我国经济增长的非线性结构可以分为四个显著不同的增长机制:扩张阶段、衰退阶段、收缩阶段、恢复阶段,并且宏观经济政策的作用有三到四个季度的迟滞效应。