Pricing and hedging Asian basket spread options

Asian options, basket options and spread options have been extensively studied in the literature. However, few papers deal with the problem of pricing general Asian basket spread options. This paper aims to fill this gap. In order to obtain prices and Greeks in a short computation time, we develop approximation formulae based on comonotonicity theory and moment matching methods. We compare their relative performances and explain how to choose the best approximation technique as a function of the Asian basket spread characteristics. We also give explicitly the Greeks for our proposed methods. In the last section we extend our results to options denominated in foreign currency.     

Pricing catastrophe options with counterparty credit risk in a reduced form model

In this paper, we study the price of catastrophe options with counterparty credit risk in a reduced form model. We assume that the loss process is generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process, the share price process is modeled through a jump-diffusion process which is correlated to the loss process, the interest rate process and the default intensity process are modeled through the Vasicek model. We derive the closed form formulae for pricing catastrophe options in a reduced form model. Furthermore, we make some numerical analysis on the explicit formulae.     

Pricing catastrophe swaps: A contingent claims approach

In this paper, we comprehensively analyze the catastrophe (cat) swap, a financial instrument which has attracted little scholarly attention to date. We begin with a discussion of the typical contract design, the current state of the market, as well as major areas of application. Subsequently, a two-stage contingent claims pricing approach is proposed, which distinguishes between the main risk drivers ex-ante as well as during the loss reestimation phase and additionally incorporates counterparty default risk. Catastrophe occurrence is modeled as a doubly stochastic Poisson process (Cox process) with mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck intensity. In addition, we fit various parametric distributions to normalized historical loss data for hurricanes and earthquakes in the US and find the heavy-tailed Burr distribution to be the most adequate representation for loss severities. Applying our pricing model to market quotes for hurricane and earthquake contracts, we derive implied Poisson intensities which are subsequently condensed into a common factor for each peril by means of exploratory factor analysis. Further examining the resulting factor scores, we show that a first order autoregressive process provides a good fit. Hence, its continuous-time limit, the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process should be well suited to represent the dynamics of the Poisson intensity in a cat swap pricing model.     

Asset management and surplus distribution strategies in life insurance: An examination with respect to risk pricing and risk measurement

In this paper, we investigate the impact of different asset management and surplus distribution strategies in life insurance on risk-neutral pricing and shortfall risk. In general, these feedback mechanisms affect the contract’s payoff and hence directly influence pricing and risk measurement. To isolate the effect of such strategies on shortfall risk, we calibrate contract parameters so that the compared contracts have the same market value and same default-value-to-liability ratio. This way, the fair valuation method is extended since, in addition to the contract’s market value, the default put option value is fixed. We then compare shortfall probability and expected shortfall and show the substantial impact of different management mechanisms acting on the asset and liability side.     

A game theoretic approach to option valuation under Markovian regime-switching models

In this paper, we consider a game theoretic approach to option valuation under Markovian regime-switching models, namely, a Markovian regime-switching geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and a Markovian regime-switching jump-diffusion model. In particular, we consider a stochastic differential game with two players, namely, the representative agent and the market. The representative agent has a power utility function and the market is a “fictitious” player of the game. We also explore and strengthen the connection between an equivalent martingale measure for option valuation selected by an equilibrium state of the stochastic differential game and that arising from a regime switching version of the Esscher transform. When the stock price process is governed by a Markovian regime-switching GBM, the pricing measures chosen by the two approaches coincide. When the stock price process is governed by a Markovian regime-switching jump-diffusion model, we identify the condition under which the pricing measures selected by the two approaches are identical.     

An integral representation approach for valuing American-style installment options with continuous payment plan

In this paper, we present an integral equation approach for the valuation of American-style installment derivatives when the payment plan is assumed to be a continuous function of the asset price and time. The contribution of this study is threefold. First, we show that in the Black-Scholes model the option pricing problem can be formulated as a free boundary problem under very general conditions on payoff structure and payment schedule. Second, by applying a Fourier transform-based solution technique, we derive a system of coupled recursive integral equations for the pair of free boundaries along with an analytic representation of the option price. Third, based on these results, we propose a unified framework which generalizes the existing methods and is capable of dealing with a wide range of monotonic payoff functions and continuous payment plans. Finally, by using the illustrative example of American vanilla installment call options, an explicit pricing formula is obtained for time-varying payment schedules.     

Parallel generation of permutations and combinations

In this paper we will present a parallel algorithm to generate the permutations of at mostk out ofn objects. The architecture consists of a linear processor array and a selector. When one single processor array is available, a parallel algorithm to generate permutations is presented which achieves the best possible speedup for any givenk. Also, this algorithm can easily be modified to generate combinations. When multiple processor arrays are available, a parallel scheme is proposed to speed up the generation by fully utilizing these processor arrays. The degree of parallelism is related to the number of available processor arrays.     

Portfolio adjusting optimization under credibility measures

This paper discusses portfolio adjusting problems for an existing portfolio. The returns of risky assets are regarded as fuzzy variables and a class of credibilistic mean-variance adjusting models with transaction costs are proposed on the basis of credibility theory. Under the assumption that the returns of risky assets are triangular fuzzy variables, the optimization models are converted into crisp forms. Furthermore, we employ the sequential quadratic programming method to work out the optimal strategy. Numerical examples illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed models and the influence of the transaction costs in portfolio selection.     

Indifference pricing of pure endowments and life annuities under stochastic hazard and interest rates

We study indifference pricing of mortality contingent claims in a fully stochastic model. We assume both stochastic interest rates and stochastic hazard rates governing the population mortality. In this setting we compute the indifference price charged by an insurer that uses exponential utility and sells k contingent claims to k independent but homogeneous individuals. Throughout we focus on the examples of pure endowments and temporary life annuities. We begin with a continuous-time model where we derive the linear pdes satisfied by the indifference prices and carry out extensive comparative statics. In particular, we show that the price-per-risk grows as more contracts are sold. We then also provide a more flexible discrete-time analog that permits general hazard rate dynamics. In the latter case we construct a simulation-based algorithm for pricing general mortality-contingent claims and illustrate with a numerical example.     

A direct Schur–Fourier decomposition for the efficient solution of high‐order Poisson equations on loosely coupled parallel computers

In this paper a parallel direct Schur–Fourier decomposition (DSFD) algorithm for the direct solution of arbitrary order discrete Poisson equations on parallel computers is proposed. It is based on a combination of a Direct Schur method and a Fourier decomposition and allows to solve each Poisson equation almost to machine accuracy using only one communication episode. Thus, it is well suited for loosely coupled parallel computers, that have a high network latency compared with the CPU performance. Several three‐dimensional direct numerical simulations (DNS) of wall‐bounded turbulent incompressible flows have been carried out using the DSFD algorithm. Numerical examples illustrating the robustness and scalability of the method on a PC cluster with a conventional 100 Mbits/s network are also presented. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Pricing maturity guarantee with dynamic withdrawal benefit

Motivated by the importance of withdrawal benefits for enhancing sales of variable annuities, we propose a new equity-linked product which provides a dynamic withdrawal benefit (DWB) during the contract period and a minimum guarantee at contract maturity. The term DWB is coined to reflect the duality between it and dynamic fund protection. Under the Black-Scholes framework and using results pertaining to reflected Brownian motion, we obtain explicit pricing formulas for the DWB payment stream and the maturity guarantee. These pricing formulas are also derived by means of Esscher transforms, which is another seminal contribution by Gerber to finance. In particular, we show that there are closed-form formulas for pricing European put and call options on a traded asset whose price can be modeled as the exponential of a reflected Brownian motion.     

Pricing and hedging in the presence of extraneous risks

Given an underlying complete financial market, we study contingent claims whose payoffs may depend on the occurrence of nonmarket events. We first investigate the almost-sure hedging of such claims. In particular, we obtain new representations of the hedging prices and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a claim to be marketed. The analysis of various examples then leads us to investigate alternative pricing rules. We choose to embed the pricing problem into the agent’s portfolio decision and study reservation prices. We establish the existence and consistency of this pricing rule in a semimartingale model. We characterize the nonlinear dependence of the reservation price with respect to both the agent’s initial capital and the size of her position. The fair price arises as a limiting case.     

Methods for the rapid solution of the pricing PIDEs in exponential and Merton models

The pricing equations for options on assets that follow jump-diffusion processes contain integrals in addition to the usual differential terms. These integrals usually make such equations expensive to solve numerically. Although Fast Fourier Transform methods can be used to to evaluate the integrals at all mesh points simultaneously, they are costly since the computational region must be extended in order to avoid problems with wrap around. Other numerical difficulties arise when the density function for the jump size is not smooth, as in the Kou double exponential model. We present new solution methods which are based on the fact that even when the problems contain time-dependent parameters the integrals often satisfy easily solved ordinary or parabolic partial differential equations. In particular, we show that by using the operator splitting method proposed by Andersen and Andreasen it is possible to reduce the solution of the pricing equation in the Kou and similar models to a sequence of ordinary differential equations at each time step. We discuss the methods and present results of numerical experiments.     

On efficient implementations of Kogbetliantz's algorithm for computing the singular value decomposition

Summary In this paper we compare several implementations of Kogbetliantz's algorithm for computing the SVD on sequential as well as on parallel machines. Comparisons are based on timings and on operation counts. The numerical accuracy of the different methods is also analyzed.     

Density analysis of non-Markovian BSDEs and applications to biology and finance

In this paper, we provide conditions which ensure that stochastic Lipschitz BSDEs admit Malliavin differentiable solutions. We investigate the problem of existence of densities for the first components of solutions to general path-dependent stochastic Lipschitz BSDEs and obtain results for the second components in particular cases. We apply these results to both the study of a gene expression model in biology and to the classical pricing problems in mathematical finance.     

Compact finite difference method for American option pricing

A compact finite difference method is designed to obtain quick and accurate solutions to partial differential equation problems. The problem of pricing an American option can be cast as a partial differential equation. Using the compact finite difference method this problem can be recast as an ordinary differential equation initial value problem. The complicating factor for American options is the existence of an optimal exercise boundary which is jointly determined with the value of the option. In this article we develop three ways of combining compact finite difference methods for American option price on a single asset with methods for dealing with this optimal exercise boundary. Compact finite difference method one uses the implicit condition that solutions of the transformed partial differential equation be nonnegative to detect the optimal exercise value. This method is very fast and accurate even when the spatial step size h   is large (h?0.1)$(h?0.1)$. Compact difference method two must solve an algebraic nonlinear equation obtained by Pantazopoulos (1998) at every time step. This method can obtain second order accuracy for space x and requires a moderate amount of time comparable with that required by the Crank Nicolson projected successive over relaxation method. Compact finite difference method three refines the free boundary value by a method developed by Barone-Adesi and Lugano [The saga of the American put, 2003], and this method can obtain high accuracy for space x. The last two of these three methods are convergent, moreover all the three methods work for both short term and long term options. Through comparison with existing popular methods by numerical experiments, our work shows that compact finite difference methods provide an exciting new tool for American option pricing.     

Hopf bifurcations in a Ricardo-Malthus model

Brander and Taylor presented a simple and basic framework for discussing the problem on human population and renewable natural resources in the year 1998, and D’Alessandro recently extended this work mainly by introducing a nonlinear term into the model, if seeing from the mathematical point of view. A limit cycle in this new model was reported by the author via numerically simulated drawing. In this paper, we show that this limit cycle actually is a bifurcating limit cycle of a one-parameter Hopf bifurcation.     

Securitization, structuring and pricing of longevity risk

Pricing and risk management for longevity risk have increasingly become major challenges for life insurers and pension funds around the world. Risk transfer to financial markets, with their major capacity for efficient risk pooling, is an area of significant development for a successful longevity product market. The structuring and pricing of longevity risk using modern securitization methods, common in financial markets, have yet to be successfully implemented for longevity risk management. There are many issues that remain unresolved for ensuring the successful development of a longevity risk market. This paper considers the securitization of longevity risk focusing on the structuring and pricing of a longevity bond using techniques developed for the financial markets, particularly for mortgages and credit risk. A model based on Australian mortality data and calibrated to insurance risk linked market data is used to assess the structure and market consistent pricing of a longevity bond. Age dependence in the securitized risks is shown to be a critical factor in structuring and pricing longevity linked securitizations.     

Indifference prices of structured catastrophe (CAT) bonds

We present a method for pricing structured CAT bonds based on utility indifference pricing. The CAT bond considered here is issued in two distinct notes called tranches, specifically senior and junior tranches each with its own payment schedule. Our contributions to the literature of CAT bond pricing are two-fold. First, we apply indifference pricing to structured CAT bonds. We find a price for the senior tranche as a relative indifference price, that is, relative to the price of the junior tranche. Alternatively, one could take the approach that the senior tranche is priced first and the price of the junior tranche is relative to that. Second, instead of simply supposing that the “not-issue-a-CAT-bond” strategy of the reinsurer is to do nothing, we suppose that the reinsurer reduces its risk by reinsuring proportionally less claims. We assume that the reinsurance claims follow a (Poisson) jump-diffusion process.     

Can piracy lead to higher prices in the music and motion picture industries?

Piracy of copyrighted goods has received increased attention in the literature. Much of this research has focused on pricing policies, protection against piracy, and governmental policies in the software industries. In this paper, we focus on pricing policies of producers in the music and motion picture industries. Exact analytical results are difficult to obtain; therefore, we develop an approximating function of the cumulative demand. This enables us to obtain closed-form expressions for the optimal price. Our results show that the existence of piracy in these industries and the lack of positive network externalities may cause monopolists to charge higher prices to optimize profits. These prices increase with increases in the speed of piracy and longer product lifecycles. We demonstrate the accuracy of our demand approximation function using a numerical experiment. We show how a two-price strategy and dual distribution channels may help in reducing the negative effects of piracy. We perform some numerical sensitivity analysis and provide managerial insights.