有效矩估计在中国股票市场的应用研究

对期权定价模型的一类拓展模型-随机波动率(SV)模型,由于模型中存在不可观测的随机波动因素,并且其精确似然函数很难得到,于是提出了一种基于标的资产价格历史数据的有效矩估计(EMM)方法,此方法是把观测数据映射到简化的辅助模型GARCH(1,1)上,并计算辅助模型得分用以建立矩条件,实现SV模型参数的有效估计.利用这一方法对中国股市进行了波动分析,得出了较好的结果.     

随机利率情形下跳-扩散模型的未定权益定价

讨论Vasicek短期利率模型下,风险资产的价格过程服从跳-扩散过程的欧式未定权益定价问题,利用鞅方法得到了欧式看涨期权和看跌期权定价公式及平价关系,最后给出了基于风险资产支付连续红利收益的欧式期权定价公式.     

非线性Black-Scholes模型下Bala期权定价

在非线性Black-Scholes模型下,研究了Bala期权定价问题.首先利用双参数摄动方法,将Bala期权适合的偏微分方程分解成一系列常系数抛物方程.其次通过计算这些常系数抛物型方程的解,给出了Bala期权的近似定价公式.最后利用Green函数分析了近似结论的误差估计.     

非线性Black-Scholes模型下阶梯期权定价

在非线性Black-Scholes模型下,研究了阶梯期权定价问题.首先利用多尺度方法,将阶梯期权适合的偏微分方程分解成一系列常系数抛物方程;其次通过计算这些常系数抛物型方程的解,给出了修正障碍期权的近似定价公式;最后利用Feymann-Kac公式分析了近似结论的误差估计.     

非线性Black-Scholes模型下障碍期权定

研究了原生资产价格遵循非线性Black-Scholes模型时障碍期权的定价问题.首先,根据混合分数布朗运动的Ito公式和金融市场的复制策略,得到了障碍期权适合的抛物初边值问题.其次,利用扰动理论中单参数摄动展开方法,给出了障碍期权的近似定价公式.最后,利用Feyman-Kac公式分析了近似定价公式的误差估计问题,结果表明近似解一致收敛于相应期权价格的精确解.     

指数Lévy跳-扩散模型下欧式期权的COS定价方法

主要研究指数Lévy形式的跳-扩散模型下欧式期权的定价问题.首先,给出了模型在均值修正等价鞅测度下的风险中性特征函数;然后,基于特征函数给出了欧式期权的傅里叶COS定价方法,并对COS方法进行修正,得到了指数Lévy形式跳-扩散模型的期权定价公式;最后,通过数值实验和实证分析检验了COS定价方法有效性,结果表明COS方...     

非线性Black-Scholes模型下几何平均亚式期权定价

在非线性Black-Scholes模型下,本文研究了几何平均亚式期权定价问题.首先利用单参数摄动方法,将亚式期权适合的偏微分方程分解成一系列常系数抛物方程.其次通过计算这些常系数抛物型方程的解,给出了几何平均亚式期权的近似定价公式.最后利用Green函数分析了近似结论的误差估计.     

美式期权定价的有限体积元方法

通常情况下,期权定价研究都假定股票价格的波动率和期望收益率为常数.假定波动率和期望收益率为股票价格的一般函数.利用体积有限元方法研究了美式期权定价模型下的Black-Scholes偏微分方程,获得了美式期权所满足的较高精度的隐式差分格式,最后,给出了该方法的误差估计.     

基于最大熵和最小交叉熵方法的上证50ETF期权定价

基于最大熵方法和最小交叉熵方法,给出了根据期权价格推断标的资产价格分布的模型和已知先验信息下推断标的资产价格分布的模型,利用拉格朗日乘子法给出了模型的简化解,通过粒子群算法求出标的资产价格的密度函数,进而对上证50ETF期权进行定价比较.实证结果表明:基于最大熵方法推断的分布可以作为标的资产价格分布的较好估计;基于最小交叉熵方法推断的分布是在先验信息下标的资产价格分布的较好估计,两种方法适用于我国上证50ETF期权定价.     

金融资产的CVaR风险的区间估计及假设检验

基于CVaR风险计量技术,论述了正态分布下风险资产的CVaR假设检验方法及置信区间求法,最后用中信指数对我国股市风险情况作了区间估计及显著性检验的实证分析。     

Pricing perpetual American options under a stochastic-volatility model with fast mean reversion

In this paper, we present a “correction” to Merton’s (1973) well-known classical case of pricing perpetual American puts by considering the same pricing problem under a general fast mean-reverting SV (stochastic-volatility) model. By using the perturbation method, two analytic formulae are derived for the option price and the optimal exercise price, respectively. Based on the newly obtained formulae, we conduct a quantitative analysis of the impact of the SV term on the price of a perpetual American put option as well as its early exercise strategies. It shows that the presence of a fast mean-reverting SV tends to universally increase the put option price and to defer the optimal time to exercise the option contract, had the underlying been assumed to be falling. It is also noted that such an effect could be quite significant when the option is near the money.     

双跳跃仿射扩散模型的几何平均型水平重置期权定价

在资产收益率及其波动率均满足随机跳跃且具有跳跃相关性的仿射扩散模型下,用广义双指数分布和伽玛分布分别刻画非对称性收益率及其波动率的跳跃波动变化,研究了具有几何平均特征的水平重置期权定价问题.通过Girsanov测度变换和多维Fourier逆变换方法,给出了此类重置期权定价的解析公式.最后,通过数值实例着重分析了联合跳跃参数及杠杆效应对水平重置看涨期权价格的影响,并对风险对冲特征作了分析.结果表明,上跳概率,跳跃频率,杠杆效应,收益率波动的两个跳跃参数和双跳跃相关系数对期权价格有正向影响,上跳和下跳幅度对期权价格有反向影响,而期权的风险对冲参数没有出现明显的跳跃现象.这说明文章建立的期权定价模型比经典Black-Scholes模型具有更好的实际拟合能力.     

Optimal stopping, free boundary, and American option in a jump-diffusion model

This paper considers the American put option valuation in a jump-diffusion model and relates this optimal-stopping problem to a parabolic integro-differential free-boundary problem, with special attention to the behavior of the optimal-stopping boundary. We study the regularity of the American option value and obtain in particular a decomposition of the American put option price as the sum of its counterpart European price and the early exercise premium. Compared with the Black-Scholes (BS) [5] model, this premium has an additional term due to the presence of jumps. We prove the continuity of the free boundary and also give one estimate near maturity, generalizing a recent result of Barleset al. [3] for the BS model. Finally, we study the effect of the market price of jump risk and the intensity of jumps on the American put option price and its critical stock price.     

Efficient option risk measurement with reduced model risk

Options require risk measurement that is also computationally efficient as it is important to derivatives risk management. There are currently few methods that are specifically adapted for efficient option risk measurement. Moreover, current methods rely on series approximations and incur significant model risks, which inhibit their applicability for risk management.In this paper we propose a new approach to computationally efficient option risk measurement, using the idea of a replicating portfolio and coherent risk measurement. We find our approach to option risk measurement provides fast computation by practically eliminating nonlinear computational operations. We reduce model risk by eliminating calibration and implementation risks by using mostly observable data, we remove internal model risk for complex option portfolios by not admitting arbitrage opportunities, we are also able to incorporate liquidity or model misspecification risks. Additionally, our method enables tractable and convex optimisation of portfolios containing multiple options. We conduct numerical experiments to test our new approach and they validate it over a range of option pricing parameters.     

Further Results on Global Convergence and Stability of Globally Projected Dynamical Systems

Several risk management and exotic option pricing models have been proposed in the literature which may price European options correctly. A prerequisite of these models is the interpolation of the market implied volatilities or the European option price function. However, the no-arbitrage principle places shape restrictions on the option price function. In this paper, an interpolation method is developed to preserve the shape of the option price function. The interpolation is optimal in terms of minimizing the distance between the implied risk-neutral density and the prior approximation function in L ²-norm, which is important when only a few observations are available. We reformulate the problem into a system of semismooth equations so that it can be solved efficiently.     

股价遵循分数布朗运动的最大值期权定价模型

分数布朗运动由于具有自相似和长期相关等分形特性,已成为数理金融研究中更为合适的工具.通过假定股票价格服从几何分数布朗运动,构建了Ito分数Black--Scholes市场;接着在分数风险中性测度下,利用随机微分方程和拟鞅定价方法给出了分数Black-Scholes定价模型;进一步放松初始假定,讨论了多个标的情形的最大值期权定价问题.研究结果表明,与标准期权价格相比,分数期权价格要同时取决于到期日和Hurst参数.     

Coupling and option price comparisons in a jump-diffusion model

In this paper, we examine the dependence of option prices in a general jump-diffusion model on the choice of martingale pricing measure. Since the model is incomplete, there are many equivalent martingale measures. Each of these measures corresponds to a choice for the market price of diffusion risk and the market price of jump risk. Our main result is to show that for convex payoffs, the option price is increasing in the jump-risk parameter. We apply this result to deduce general inequalities, comparing the prices of contingent claims under various martingale measures, which have been proposed in the literature as candidate pricing measures.

Our proofs are based on couplings of stochastic processes. If there is only one possible jump size then we are able to utilize a second coupling to extend our results to include stochastic jump intensities.     

模糊集理论在随机波动率期权定价中的应用

目的是对基于随机波动率模型的期权定价问题应用模糊集理论.主要思想是把波动率的概率表示转换为可能性表示,从而把关于股票价格的带随机波动率的随机过程简化为带模糊参数的随机过程.然后建立非线性偏微分方程对欧式期权进行定价.     

Call,put and bidirectional option contracts in agricultural supply chains with sales effort

This paper develops option contracts in a supplier-retailer agricultural supply chain where the market demand depends on sales effort. First, we examine a benchmark case of integrated supply chain with the loss rate. Second, we introduce three coordinating option contracts led by the supplier to reduce the retailer's risk, where the call option contract can reduce the shortage risk, the put option contract can reduce the inventory risk and the bidirectional option contract can reduce the bilateral risk. We find that both the optimal initial order quantity and the optimal option quantity increase with the sales effort and the option price will balance the influence of the loss rate on supply chain coordination. Furthermore, the bidirectional option price is the highest while its option quantity is the least, and the put option initial order quantity is the highest. Third, we also consider an option contract led by the retailer to reduce the supplier's wholesale risk. Among the above four option contracts, we find that the option quantity led by the retailer is the highest. Finally, the numerical examples present the impact of the parameters on the optimal decisions, and provide practical managerial insights to reduce the different risk in the agricultural supply chain.     

分数布朗运动驱动的幂型期权定价模型研究

股价运动分形特征的发现,说明布朗运动作为期权定价模型的初始假定存在缺陷.本文假定标的资产价格服从几何分数布朗运动,利用分数风险中性测度下的拟鞅(quasi-martingale)定价方法重新求解分数Black-Scholes模型,进而对幂型期权进行定价.结果表明,幂型期权结果包含了Black-Scholes公式和平方期权结果,且相比标准期权价格,分数期权价格要同时取决于到期日和Hurst参数H.