Bounds for the reliability functions of coherent systems with heterogeneous components

The computation of the reliability function of a (complex) coherent system is a difficult task. Hence, sometimes, we should simply work with some bounds (approximations). The computation of these bounds has been widely studied in the case of coherent systems with independent and identically distributed (IID) components. However, few results have been obtained in the case of heterogeneous (non ID) components. In this paper, we derive explicit bounds for systems with heterogeneous (independent or dependent) components. Also some stochastic comparisons are obtained. Some illustrative examples are included where we compare the different bounds proposed in the paper.     

Reliability and expectation bounds for coherent systems with exchangeable components

Sharp upper and lower bounds are obtained for the reliability functions and the expectations of lifetimes of coherent systems based on dependent exchangeable absolutely continuous components with a given marginal distribution function, by use of the concept of Samaniego's signature. We first show that the distribution of any coherent system based on exchangeable components with absolutely continuous joint distribution is a convex combination of distributions of order statistics (equivalent to the k-out-of-n systems) with the weights identical with the values of the Samaniego signature of the system. This extends the Samaniego representation valid for the case of independent and identically distributed components. Combining the representation with optimal bounds on linear combinations of distribution functions of order statistics from dependent identically distributed samples, we derive the corresponding reliability and expectation bounds, dependent on the signature of the system and marginal distribution of dependent components. We also present the sequences of exchangeable absolutely continuous joint distributions of components which attain the bounds in limit. As an application, we obtain the reliability bounds for all the coherent systems with three and four exchangeable components, expressed in terms of the parent marginal reliability function and specify the respective expectation bounds for exchangeable exponential components, comparing them with the lifetime expectations of systems with independent and identically distributed exponential components.     

Joint reliability importance of k-out-of-n systems

Joint Reliability Importance (JRI) is investigated to provide information on the type and the degree of interactions between two components by identifying the sign and the size of it. In specific, JRI is analyzed for k-out-of-n systems with (i) independently identically distributed (IID) components, (ii) non-identical and independent components and (iii) pair-wise dependent components. The closed form solution of JRI is derived for IID components. By using the solution, the variations of JRI are investigated with respect to the level of redundancy (n/k). In non-identical and independent case, the point of sign change of JRI is obtained. It is also shown that the sign of JRI can be determined by the relationships between the Schur-convexity (concavity) and the JRI. For dependent case, only the pair-wise dependence is considered. As a result, the error caused by assuming statistical independence between pair-wise dependent components is shown to be measured by their covariance and JRI.     

Allocations of cold standbys to series and parallel systems with dependent components

In the context of industrial engineering, cold‐standby redundancies allocation strategy is usually adopted to improve the reliability of coherent systems. This paper investigates optimal allocation strategies of cold standbys for series and parallel systems comprised of dependent components with left/right tail weakly stochastic arrangement increasing lifetimes. For the case of heterogeneous and independent matched cold standbys, it is proved that better redundancies should be put in the nodes having weaker [better] components for series [parallel] systems. For the case of homogeneous and independent cold standbys, it is shown that more redundancies should be put in standby with weaker [better] components to enhance the reliability of series [parallel] systems. The results developed here generalize and extend those corresponding ones in the literature to the case of series and parallel systems with dependent components. Numerical examples are also presented to provide guidance for the practical use of our theoretical findings.     

Some results on information properties of coherent systems

This paper considers information properties of coherent systems when component lifetimes are independent and identically distributed. Some results on the entropy of coherent systems in terms of ordering properties of component distributions are proposed. Moreover, various sufficient conditions are given under which the entropy order among systems as well as the corresponding dual systems hold. Specifically, it is proved that under some conditions, the entropy order among component lifetimes is preserved under coherent system formations. The findings are based on system signatures as a useful measure from comparison purposes. Furthermore, some results on the system's entropy are derived when lifetimes of components are dependent and identically distributed. Several illustrative examples are also given.     

Analysis of reliability systems via Gini-type index

Different strategies of reliability theory for the analysis of coherent systems have been studied by various researchers. Here, the Gini-type index is utilized as an applicable tool for the study and comparison of the ageing properties of complex systems. A new stochastic order in terms of Gini-type index is introduced to compare the speed of ageing of components and systems. The parallel-series and series-parallel systems with shared components are studied by their corresponding Gini-type indexes. Also, the generalization of Gini-type index for the multidimensional case is discussed, and is used to compare components lifetimes properties in the presence of other dependent components. It is shown that the ageing properties of a component lifetime can differ when the other components are working or have already failed. Numerous illustrative examples are given for better intuition of Gini-type and generalized Gini-type indexes throughout the paper.     

Comparisons in the mean residual life order of coherent systems with identically distributed components

The comparisons of the performance of coherent systems (under different stochastic criteria) is an important task in the reliability theory. Several results have been obtained in the literature for the stochastic, hazard rate and likelihood ratio orders. In this paper, we obtain comparison results for the mean residual life order of coherent systems with identically distributed (ID) component lifetimes. These results can be applied not only to the usual case of systems with independent and identically distributed components but also to the case of systems with exchangeable components and to the more general case of just ID components. The results obtained are based on the representation of the system distribution as a distorted distribution of the common components' distribution. Some specific comparison results are given to illustrate the theoretical results. The comparison results for distorted distributions given here can also be applied to other statistical concepts such as order statistics, generalized order statistics or record values. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Exact Bounds for the Expectations of Order Statistics from Non-Negative Populations

Some new exact bounds for the expected values of order statistics, under the assumption that the parent population is non-negative, are obtained in terms of the population mean. Similar bounds for the differences of any two order statistics are also given. It is shown that the existing bounds for the general case can be improved considerably under the above assumption.     

Joint Reliability Function of Coherent Systems with Shared Heterogeneous Components

In this paper, we consider two coherent systems having shared components. We assume that in the two systems there are three different types of components; components of type one that just belong to the first system, components of type two that lie only in the second system and components of type three that are shared by the two systems. We use the concept of joint survival signature to assess the joint reliability function of the two systems. Using this concept, some representations for the joint reliability function of the system lifetimes are obtained under two different scenarios of component failures. In the first scenario, we assume that the components of the systems fail according to different counting processes such as non-homogeneous Poisson processes. In the second scenario, it is assumed that the component lifetimes of each type are exchangeable while the three types of component lifetimes can be independent or dependent. To illustrate the theoretical results, two systems with shared components are studied numerically and graphically.

     

A note on multiple life premiums for dependent lifetimes

We study the properties of multiple life annuity and insurance premiums for general symmetric and survival statuses in the case when the joint distribution of future lifetimes has a dependence structure belonging to some nonparametric neighbourhood of independence. The size of the neighbourhood is controlled by a single parameter, which enables us to model really weak as well as stronger dependencies. We provide bounds on the difference of multiple life premiums for vectors of dependent and independent future lifetimes with the same univariate marginal distributions. Each such upper bound can be treated as a premium loading related to the strength of lifetimes’ dependence.     

On signature-based expressions of system reliability

The concept of signature was introduced by Samaniego for systems whose components have i.i.d. lifetimes. This concept proved to be useful in the analysis of theoretical behaviors of systems. In particular, it provides an interesting signature-based representation of the system reliability in terms of reliabilities of k-out-of-n systems. In the non-i.i.d. case, we show that, at any time, this representation still holds true for every coherent system if and only if the component states are exchangeable. We also discuss conditions for obtaining an alternative representation of the system reliability in which the signature is replaced by its non-i.i.d. extension. Finally, we discuss conditions for the system reliability to have both representations.     

New results on comparisons of parallel systems with heterogeneous gamma components

This paper discusses ordering properties of lifetimes of parallel systems with two independent heterogeneous gamma components in terms of dispersive and star orders. It is proved, among others, that the p-larger order between the two scale vectors implies the dispersive order and the star order between lifetimes of two parallel systems. Another sufficient condition is also provided for the star order between the lifetimes of two parallel systems. The results established here extend some of the known results in the literature.     

Interval techniques for enclosures of regions of reachability and controllability and for guaranteed state and parameter estimation of dynamical systems

Interval techniques are a powerful means for calculation of enclosures of the regions of reachability and controllability of dynamical systems with uncertainties during analysis and design of controllers. In this contribution, both discrete-time and continuous-time dynamical systems are considered. Using suitable algorithms, guaranteed state enclosures can be determined for systems with uncertain parameters, uncertain initial conditions, nonlinearities, and time-varying characteristics. Although both uncertain system parameters and bounded control variables are assumed to be represented by interval boxes in the following, they have to be distinguished in reachability and controllability analysis. Typically, robustness specifications for controllers of dynamical systems are given in terms of bounds on the system's time response which must not be violated for any possible operating condition. Hence, reachability as well as controllability of states have to be proven for all possible parameter values but for at least one admissible control sequence. Robust control strategies for nonlinear systems usually rely on knowledge of all current states. However, the complete state vector is not always directly accessible for measurement. In this case, observers are applicable to reconstruct non-measurable state variables. Furthermore, they can reduce the uncertainties of the measured quantities by model-based recursive computation of estimates and fusion of information gathered by different measurement devices. If guaranteed bounds of all uncertain parameters of a dynamical system (including the sensor characteristics) and conservative bounds of all disturbances can be specified, the presented interval observer provides guaranteed enclosures of all reachable states. (© 2008 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

Modeling and analysis of system reliability using phase‐type distribution closure properties

Phase‐type distribution closure properties are utilized to devise algorithms for generating reliability functions of systems with basic structures. These structures include series, parallel, K‐out‐of‐N, and standby structures with perfect/imperfect switch. The algorithms form a method for system reliability modeling and analysis based on the relationship between the system lifetime and component lifetimes for general structures. The proposed method is suitable for functional system reliability analysis, which can produce reliability functions of systems with independent components instead of only system reliability values. Once the system reliability function is obtained, other reliability measures such as the system's hazard function and mean time to failure can be obtained efficiently using only matrix algebra. Dimensional and numerical comparisons with computerized symbolic processing are also presented to show the superiority of the proposed method.     

Stability analysis for a class of functional differential equations and applications

The problem of Lyapunov stability for functional differential equations in Hilbert spaces is studied. The system to be considered is non-autonomous and the delay is time-varying. Known results on this problem are based on the Gronwall inequality yielding relative conservative bounds on nonlinear perturbations. In this paper, using more general Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, neither model variable transformation nor bounding restriction on nonlinear perturbations is required to obtain improved conditions for the global exponential stability of the system. The conditions given in terms of the solution of standard Riccati differential equations allow to compute simultaneously the two bounds that characterize the stability rate of the solution. The proposed method can be easily applied to some control problems of nonlinear non-autonomous control time-delay systems.     

Bounds for geometric sums used for evaluation of reliability of regenerative models

The lifetime of a large repairable system can be decomposed into two parts. The first one is the cumulative time spent in the perfect state (all components are operating), and the second one is the restoration time when some components have failed. For highly reliable systems, the first time is close to the system lifetime, and it turns out that this approximation is accurate in many practical cases. Nevertheless, it is important to evaluate the error of such an approximation. Some bounds exist if each component has a constant failure rate. In this paper, using estimates of geometric sums, we get bounds for the general case. Proceedings of the Seminar on Stability Problems for Stochastic Models, Hajdúszoboszló, Hungary, 1997, Part III.     

Moment inequalities for the discrete-time bulk service queue

For the discrete-time bulk service queueing model, the mean and variance of the steady-state queue length can be expressed in terms of moments of the arrival distribution and series of the zeros of a characteristic equation. In this paper we investigate the behaviour of these series. In particular, we derive bounds on the series, from which bounds on the mean and variance of the queue length follow. We pay considerable attention to the case in which the arrivals follow a Poisson distribution. For this case, additional properties of the series are proved leading to even sharper bounds. The Poisson case serves as a pilot study for a broader range of distributions.     

On the joint signature of several coherent systems with some shared components

The concept of joint signature (JS), introduced by Navarro, Samaniego, and Balakrishnan (2010), is a useful tool for investigating the joint reliability of two coherent systems with shared components. In this article, by considering several coherent systems which share some components, with independent and identically distributed lifetimes, we obtain a pseudo-mixture representation for the joint distribution of the systems lifetimes based on a general notion of joint signature which is referred to as generalized joint signature (GJS). It is shown how the GJS is separated from the effect of the components’ lifetime distribution and this relationship helps us to represent the GJS as a two-dimensional matrix instead of a high-dimensional one. Based on the GJS, some ordering results are obtained for comparing two clusters of coherent systems with some shared components. Several examples are provided to illustrate the results established here.     

Lifetime distribution and estimation problems of consecutive-k-out-of-n:F systems

Explicit formula is given for the lifetime distribution of a consecutive-k-out-of-n:F system. It is given as a linear combination of distributions of order statistics of the lifetimes of n components. We assume that the lifetimes are independent and identically distributed. The results should make it possible to treat the parametric estimation problems based on the observations of the lifetimes of the system. In fact, we take up, as some examples, the cases where the lifetimes of the components follow the exponential, the Weibull, and the Pareto distributions, and obtain feasible estimators by moment method. In particular, it is shown that the moment estimator is quite good for the exponential case in the sense that the asymptotic efficiency is close to one.This research was partially supported by the ISM Cooperative Research Program (94-ISM-CRP-5).     

Asymptotically tight steady-state queue length bounds implied by drift conditions

The Foster–Lyapunov theorem and its variants serve as the primary tools for studying the stability of queueing systems. In addition, it is well known that setting the drift of the Lyapunov function equal to zero in steady state provides bounds on the expected queue lengths. However, such bounds are often very loose due to the fact that they fail to capture resource pooling effects. The main contribution of this paper is to show that the approach of “setting the drift of a Lyapunov function equal to zero” can be used to obtain bounds on the steady-state queue lengths which are tight in the heavy-traffic limit. The key is to establish an appropriate notion of state-space collapse in terms of steady-state moments of weighted queue length differences and use this state-space collapse result when setting the Lyapunov drift equal to zero. As an application of the methodology, we prove the steady-state equivalent of the heavy-traffic optimality result of Stolyar for wireless networks operating under the MaxWeight scheduling policy.