Sampling designs for regression coefficient estimation with correlated errors

The problem of estimating regression coefficients from observations at a finite number of properly designed sampling points is considered when the error process has correlated values and no quadratic mean derivative. Sacks and Ylvisaker (1966,Ann. Math. Statist.,39, 66–89) found an asymptotically optimal design for the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). Here, the goal is to find an asymptotically optimal design for a simpler estimator. This is achieved by properly adjusting the median sampling design and the simpler estimator introduced by Schoenfelder (1978, Institute of Statistics Mimeo Series No. 1201, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill). Examples with stationary (Gauss-Markov) and nonstationary (Wiener) error processes and with linear and nonlinear regression functions are considered both analytically and numerically.Research supported by the Air Force Office of Scientific Research Contract No. 91-0030.     

优良抽样设计下Logistic分布中参数的极大似然估计

当研究目标的实际测量具有不可修复的破坏性或耗资巨大时,有效的抽样设计将是一项重要的研究课题.在统计推断方面,排序集抽样(RSS)被视为一种比简单随机抽样(SRS)更为有效的收集数据的方式.动态极值RSS (MERSS)是一种修正的RSS.文章在SRS和MERSS下研究了Logistic分布中参数的极大似然估计(MLEs).在这两种抽样下证明了该分布中位置参数和刻度参数的MLEs的存在性和唯一性,并计算了所含参数的Fisher信息量和Fisher信息矩阵.比较了这两种抽样下对应估计的渐近效率.数值结果表明MERSS下的MLEs一致优于SRS下的MLEs.     

Empirical likelihood for balanced ranked-set sampled data

Ranked-set sampling (RSS) often provides more efficient inference than simple random sampling (SRS). In this article, we propose a systematic nonparametric technique, RSS-EL, for hypothesis testing and interval estimation with balanced RSS data using empirical likelihood (EL). We detail the approach for interval estimation and hypothesis testing in one-sample and two-sample problems and general estimating equations. In all three cases, RSS is shown to provide more efficient inference than SRS of the same size. Moreover, the RSS-EL method does not require any easily violated assumptions needed by existing rank-based nonparametric methods for RSS data, such as perfect ranking, identical ranking scheme in two groups, and location shift between two population distributions. The merit of the RSS-EL method is also demonstrated through simulation studies. This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 10871037)     

基于有序抽样样本的参数的极大似然估计的性质

有序抽样是一种新的抽样方法 ,与简单随机抽样方法相比它具有很多很好的性质 .本文讨论了在有序抽样样本下的参数的极大似然估计的性质 .     

Estimating Functions for Nonlinear Time Series Models

This paper discusses the problem of estimation for two classes of nonlinear models, namely random coefficient autoregressive (RCA) and autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models. For the RCA model, first assuming that the nuisance parameters are known we construct an estimator for parameters of interest based on Godambe's asymptotically optimal estimating function. Then, using the conditional least squares (CLS) estimator given by Tjøstheim (1986, Stochastic Process. Appl., 21, 251–273) and classical moment estimators for the nuisance parameters, we propose an estimated version of this estimator. These results are extended to the case of vector parameter. Next, we turn to discuss the problem of estimating the ARCH model with unknown parameter vector. We construct an estimator for parameters of interest based on Godambe's optimal estimator allowing that a part of the estimator depends on unknown parameters. Then, substituting the CLS estimators for the unknown parameters, the estimated version is proposed. Comparisons between the CLS and estimated optimal estimator of the RCA model and between the CLS and estimated version of the ARCH model are given via simulation studies.     

Modified Maximum Likelihood Estimators Based on Ranked Set Samples

The maximum livelihood estimator (MLE) using a ranked set sample (RSS) usually has no closed expression because the maximum likelihood equation involves both hazard and inverse hazard functions, and may no longer be efficient when the judgment ranking is imperfect. In this paper, we consider a modified MLE (MMLE) using RSS for general parameters, which has the same expression as the MLE using a simple random sample (SRS), except that the SRS in the MLE is replaced by the RSS. The results show that, for the location parameter, the MMLE is always more efficient than the MLE using SRS, and for the scale parameter, the MMLE is at least as efficient as the MLE using SRS, when the same sample size is used. Under the perfect judgment ranking, numerical examples also show that the MMLE has good efficiency relative to the MLE based on RSS. When the judgment error is present, we conduct simulations to show that the MMLE is more robust than the MLE using RSS.     

Triple stage point estimation for the exponential location parameter

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the minimum lifetime (guarantee time) of the two parameter exponential distribution through a three-stage sampling procedure. Several forms of loss functions are considered. The regret associated with each loss function is determined. The results in this paper generalize the basic results of Hall (1981, Ann. Statist., 9, 1229–1238).     

Wilcoxon signed rank test using ranked-set sample

Ranked-set sampling is useful when measurements are destructive or costly to obtain but ranking of the observations is relatively easy. The Wilcoxon signed rank test statistic based on the ranked-set sample is considered. We compared the asymptotic relative efficiencies of the RSS Wilcoxon signed rank test statistic with respect to the SRS Wilcoxon signed rank test statistic and the RSS sign test statistic. Throughout the ARE’s, the proposed test statistic is superior to the SRS Wilcoxon signed rank test statistic and the RSS sign test statistic.     

Mean Value Estimation Using Two-Phase Samples with Missing Data in Both Phases

The phenomenon of nonresponse in a sample survey reduces the precision of parameter estimates and causes the bias. Several methods have been developed to compensate for these effects. An important technique is the double sampling scheme introduced by Hansen and Hurwitz (J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 41, 517–529, 1946) which relies on subsampling of nonrespondents and repeating efforts to collect data from subsampled units. Several generalizations of this procedure have been proposed, including the application of arbitrary sampling designs considered by Särndal et al. (Model Assisted Survey Sampling, 1992). Under the assumption of complete response in the second phase, the population mean estimator constructed using data from both phases is unbiased. In this paper the properties of the mean value estimator under two-phase sampling are investigated for the case of the above assumption not being met. Expressions for bias and variance are obtained for general two-phase sampling procedure involving arbitrary sampling designs in both phases. Stochastic nonresponse governed by separate response distributions in both phases is assumed. Some special cases are discussed.     

On the inadmissibility of preliminary-test estimators when the loss involves a complexity cost

Summary Estimation-preceded-by-testing is studied in the context of estimating the mean vector of a multivariate normal distribution under squared error loss together with a complexity cost. It is shown that although the preliminary test estimator is admissible for the univariate problem (cf Meeden and Arnold (1979),J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,74, 872–874), for dimensionp≧3, the estimator is inadmissible. A new preliminary test estimator is obtained, which depends on the cost for each component and dominates the usual preliminary test estimator. Research partially supported by the NSF Grant Number DMS-82-18091 and partially by the DSR Research Development Award, University of Florida.