多维指数分布模型

运用 Marshall-Olkin推导二维指数分布的思路 ,提出七个相互独立冲击源的冲击模型 ,构造了三维指数分布 .鉴于该方法分析过程繁琐 ,难于推广到高维情形 .文中另辟溪径 ,利用作者已建立的多维失效率与分布密度函数间的关系 ,并结合致命冲击的含义 ,得到三维乃至一般的 n维指数分布 .     

Random fuzzy EOQ model with imperfect quality items

This paper investigates an economic order quantity (EOQ) problem with imperfect quality items, where the percentage of imperfect quality items in each lot is characterized as a random fuzzy variable while the setup cost per lot, the holding cost of each unit item per day, and the inspection cost of each unit item are characterized as fuzzy variables, respectively. In order to maximize the expected long-run average profit, a random fuzzy EOQ model is constructed. Since it is almost impossible to find an analytic method to solve the proposed model, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm based on the random fuzzy simulation is designed. Finally, the effectiveness of the designed algorithm is illustrated by a numerical example.     

A distance-based statistical analysis of fuzzy number-valued data

Real-life data associated with experimental outcomes are not always real-valued. In particular, opinions, perceptions, ratings, etc., are often assumed to be vague in nature, especially when they come from human valuations. Fuzzy numbers have extensively been considered to provide us with a convenient tool to express these vague data. In analyzing fuzzy data from a statistical perspective one finds two key obstacles, namely, the nonlinearity associated with the usual arithmetic with fuzzy data and the lack of suitable models and limit results for the distribution of fuzzy-valued statistics. These obstacles can be frequently bypassed by using an appropriate metric between fuzzy data, the notion of random fuzzy set and a bootstrapped central limit theorem for general space-valued random elements. This paper aims to review these ideas and a methodology for the statistical analysis of fuzzy number data which has been developed along the last years.     

A new class of bivariate distributions and its mixture

A new class of bivariate distributions is presented in this paper. The procedure used in this paper is based on a latent random variable with exponential distribution. The model introduced here is of Marshall-Olkin type. A mixture of the proposed bivariate distributions is also discussed. The results obtained here generalize those of the bivariate exponential distribution present in the literature.     

On random variational inclusions with random fuzzy mappings and random relaxed cocoercive mappings

In this paper, we introduce and study the random variational inclusions with random fuzzy and random relaxed cocoercive mappings. We define an iterative algorithm for finding the approximate solutions of this class of variational inclusions and establish the convergence of iterative sequences generated by proposed algorithm. Our results improve and generalize many known corresponding results.     

An extended stochastic failure model for a system subject to random shocks

In this article, a stochastic failure model for a system subject to a random shock process is studied. It is assumed that a fatal shock results in an immediate system failure, whereas a non-fatal shock may increase the susceptibility of the system to failure. The lifetime distribution of the system and its failure rate function are derived, and the effect of environmental factors on the failure process of the system is also investigated. Lifetimes of systems operated under different environmental conditions are stochastically compared.     

Stock market forecasting by using a hybrid model of exponential fuzzy time series

The initial aim of this study is to propose a hybrid method based on exponential fuzzy time series and learning automata based optimization for stock market forecasting. For doing so, a two-phase approach is introduced. In the first phase, the optimal lengths of intervals are obtained by applying a conventional fuzzy time series together with learning automata swarm intelligence algorithm to tune the length of intervals properly. Subsequently, the obtained optimal lengths are applied to generate a new fuzzy time series, proposed in this study, named exponential fuzzy time series. In this final phase, due to the nature of exponential fuzzy time series, another round of optimization is required to estimate certain method parameters. Finally, this model is used for future forecasts. In order to validate the proposed hybrid method, forty-six case studies from five stock index databases are employed and the findings are compared with well-known fuzzy time series models and classic methods for time series. The proposed model has outperformed its counterparts in terms of accuracy.     

随机模糊集与随机集

本文研究了三个方面的工作：一是定义了一种模糊集上的可测结构，从而定义了随机模糊集，这些定义都与论域Ｘ上的拓扑结构无关。将通常意义下的集合看成特殊模糊集得到的通常集合上的超可测结构与文（３）中的定义一致；二是给出了随机模糊集、随机集的一些等价条件；三是研究了随机模糊集、随机集的分布与其有限维落影族的关系。     

Delay-dependent robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping fuzzy Hopfield neural networks with mixed random time-varying delays

This paper investigates delay-dependent robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping fuzzy neural networks with mixed random time-varying delay. In this paper, the Takagi–Sugeno (T–S) fuzzy model representation is extended to the robust exponential state estimation of Markovian jumping Hopfield neural networks with mixed random time-varying delays. Moreover probabilistic delay satisfies a certain probability-distribution. By introducing a stochastic variable with a Bernoulli distribution, the neural networks with random time delays is transformed into one with deterministic delays and stochastic parameters. The main purpose is to estimate the neuron states, through available output measurements such that for all admissible time delays, the dynamics of the estimation error is globally exponentially stable in the mean square. Based on the Lyapunov–Krasovskii functional and stochastic analysis approach, several delay-dependent robust state estimators for such T–S fuzzy Markovian jumping Hopfield neural networks can be achieved by solving a linear matrix inequality (LMI), which can be easily facilitated by using some standard numerical packages. The unknown gain matrix is determined by solving a delay-dependent LMI. Finally some numerical examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Two storage inventory model with fuzzy deterioration over a random planning horizon

An inventory model for a deteriorating item with stock dependent demand is developed under two storage facilities over a random planning horizon, which is assumed to follow exponential distribution with known parameter. For crisp deterioration rate, the expected profit is derived and maximized via genetic algorithm (GA). On the other hand, when deterioration rate is imprecise then optimistic/pessimistic equivalent of fuzzy objective function is obtained using possibility/necessity measure of fuzzy event. Fuzzy simulation process is proposed to maximize the optimistic/pessimistic return and finally fuzzy simulation-based GA is developed to solve the model. The models are illustrated with some numerical data. Sensitivity analyses on expected profit function with respect to distribution parameter λ and confidence levels α₁ and α₂ are also presented.     

二元Block～Basu型指数分布的特征及其应用

导出了二元Block~Basu型指数分布的一个特征,利用该特征,获得了二元Block~Basu型指数分布参数的最大似然估计及矩估计,给出了强度服从二元Block~Basu型分布时并联结构系统可靠度的估计,并给出了二元Block~Basu型指数分布的一个随机模拟.     

A fuzzy random forest

When individual classifiers are combined appropriately, a statistically significant increase in classification accuracy is usually obtained. Multiple classifier systems are the result of combining several individual classifiers. Following Breiman’s methodology, in this paper a multiple classifier system based on a “forest” of fuzzy decision trees, i.e., a fuzzy random forest, is proposed. This approach combines the robustness of multiple classifier systems, the power of the randomness to increase the diversity of the trees, and the flexibility of fuzzy logic and fuzzy sets for imperfect data management. Various combination methods to obtain the final decision of the multiple classifier system are proposed and compared. Some of them are weighted combination methods which make a weighting of the decisions of the different elements of the multiple classifier system (leaves or trees). A comparative study with several datasets is made to show the efficiency of the proposed multiple classifier system and the various combination methods. The proposed multiple classifier system exhibits a good accuracy classification, comparable to that of the best classifiers when tested with conventional data sets. However, unlike other classifiers, the proposed classifier provides a similar accuracy when tested with imperfect datasets (with missing and fuzzy values) and with datasets with noise.     

Poisson process with fuzzy rates

In a stochastic homogeneous Poisson process, interarrival times are independent and identically distributed (iid) exponential random variables whose parameter is called the rate of the process. By using fuzzy variables to describe the parameter, a Poisson process whose rates are fuzzy variables is established. Based on the random fuzzy theory, relationship between the renewal number and fuzzy rates is discussed. As an application, a random fuzzy compound Poisson process is investigated.     

基于包含度的模糊随机粗糙集模型

针对随机性与模糊性同时存在的情形,提出了建立在模糊随机近似空间上的基于包含度的模糊随机粗糙集模型.首先给出了模糊随机近似空间的概念,然后利用包含度提出了模糊随机近似空间上的一种基于模糊随机集的粗糙近似算子.最后讨论了这种近似算子的一些性质.     

Representation of Downton’s bivariate exponential random vector and its applications

Downton’s bivariate exponential distribution is one of the most important bivariate distributions in reliability theory. In this paper a simple representation for Downton’s bivariate exponential random vector is given. As an application of this representation, we consider a reliability model where an item is subject to shocks and obtain an explicit expression for the long-run cost rate.     

On random fuzzy differential equations

We consider a Cauchy problem in a random fuzzy setting. Under the condition of Lipschitzean right-hand side the existence and uniqueness of the solution is proven, also the continuous dependence on the right-hand side and initial condition is shown. Some kind of boundedness of the solution is established.     

Possibilistic linear regression analysis for fuzzy data

Fuzzy data given by expert knowledge can be regarded as a possibility distribution by which possibilistic linear systems are defined. Recently, it has become important to deal with fuzzy data in connection with expert knowledge. Three formulations of possibilistic linear regression analysis are proposed here to deal with fuzzy data. Since our formulations can be reduced to linear programming problems, the merit of our formulations is to be able to obtain easily fuzzy parameters in possibilistic linear models and to add other constraint conditions which might be obtained from expert knowledge of fuzzy parameters. This approach can be regarded as a fuzzy interval analysis in a fuzzy environment.     

Project scheduling problem with mixed uncertainty of randomness and fuzziness

Project scheduling problem is to determine the schedule of allocating resources so as to balance the total cost and the completion time. This paper considers project scheduling problem with mixed uncertainty of randomness and fuzziness, where activity duration times are assumed to be random fuzzy variables. Three types of random fuzzy models as expected cost minimization model, (α, β)-cost minimization model and chance maximization model are built to meet different management requirements. Random fuzzy simulations for some uncertain functions are given and embedded into genetic algorithm to design a hybrid intelligent algorithm. Finally, some numerical experiments are given for the sake of illustration of the effectiveness of the algorithm.     

Reliable control for nonlinear systems with stochastic actuators fault and random delays through a T-S fuzzy model approach

This paper considers the reliable control design for T-S fuzzy systems with probabilistic actuators faults and random time-varying delays. The faults of each actuator occurs randomly and its failure rates are governed by a set of unrelated random variables satisfying certain probabilistic distribution. In terms of the probabilistic failures of each actuator and time-varying random delays, new fault model is proposed. Based on the new fuzzy model, reliable controller is designed and sufficient conditions for the exponentially mean square stability (EMSS) of T-S fuzzy systems are derived by using Lyapunov functional method and linear matrix inequality (LMI) technique. It should be noted that the obtained criteria depend on not only the size of the delay, but also the probability distribution of it. Finally, a numerical example is given to show the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

Random fuzzy differential equations under generalized Lipschitz condition

We present the studies on two kinds of solutions to random fuzzy differential equations (RFDEs). The different types of solutions to RFDEs are generated by the usage of two different concepts of fuzzy derivative in the formulation of a differential problem. Under generalized Lipschitz condition, the existence and uniqueness of both kinds of solutions to RFDEs are obtained. We show that solutions (of the same kind) are close to each other in the case when the data of the equation did not differ much. By an example, we present an application of each type of solutions in a population growth model which is subjected to two kinds of uncertainties: fuzziness and randomness.