LOCAL INFLUENCE ASSESSMENT IN A MULTIVARIATE t-MODEL WITH RAO＇S SIMPLE STRUCTURE

The local influence analysis is an important problem in statistical inference and some models have been discussed in many literatures^[1- 5]. This paper deals with the problem of assessing local influences in a multivariate t-model with Rao‘s simple structure(RSS). Based on Cook‘s likelihood displacement, the effects of some minor perturbation on the statistical inference is assessed. As an application, a common covariance-weighted perturbation is thoroughly discussed.     

具有均匀结构的多元$t$\,-模型的局部影响分析

本文研究具有均匀结构的多元$t$\,-模型的局部影响分析问题\bd 依据Cook的曲率度量, 我们考虑了微小扰动对统计推断的影响, 由此导出了局部影响分析中最为关心的统计量---最大曲率方向\bd作为一种应用, 本文还祥细讨论了常见的协方差加权扰动形式.     

Local influence analysis of multivariate probit latent variable models

The multivariate probit model is very useful for analyzing correlated multivariate dichotomous data. Recently, this model has been generalized with a confirmatory factor analysis structure for accommodating more general covariance structure, and it is called the MPCFA model. The main purpose of this paper is to consider local influence analysis, which is a well-recognized important step of data analysis beyond the maximum likelihood estimation, of the MPCFA model. As the observed-data likelihood associated with the MPCFA model is intractable, the famous Cook's approach cannot be applied to achieve local influence measures. Hence, the local influence measures are developed via Zhu and Lee's [Local influence for incomplete data model, J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 63 (2001) 111-126.] approach that is closely related to the EM algorithm. The diagnostic measures are derived from the conformal normal curvature of an appropriate function. The building blocks are computed via a sufficiently large random sample of the latent response strengths and latent variables that are generated by the Gibbs sampler. Some useful perturbation schemes are discussed. Results that are obtained from analyses of an artificial example and a real example are presented to illustrate the newly developed methodology.     

基于似然函数的纵向数据线性混合模型影响分析

线性混合模型在纵向数据分析中有广泛应用,应用点删除法研究纵向数据线性混合模型影响分析问题.采用的影响度量是基于似然函数构造的广义Cook距离,推导出两种广义Cook距离并用于实际数据分析和统计模拟分析,实际数据分析和统计模拟分析结果都说明该方法是行之有效的.     

Influence diagnostics for the proportional hazards model

Influence diagnostics based on Cook's curvature diagnostic (1986) are developed for the proportional hazards model. Three perturbation schemes are considered: perturbation of the likelihood, perturbation of the censoring information and perturbation of covariate values.     

Local influence analysis for penalized Gaussian likelihood estimation in partially linear single-index models

Single-index model is a potentially tool for multivariate nonparametric regression, generalizes both the generalized linear models(GLM) and the missing-link function problem in GLM. In this paper, we extend Cook’s local influence analysis to the penalized Gaussian likelihood estimator based on P-spline for the partially linear single-index model. Some influence measures, based on the minor perturbation of the model, are derived for the penalized least squares estimation. An illustrative example is also presented.     

多元$t$分布数据的局部影响分析

对于多元$t$分布数据, 直接应用其概率密度进行影响分析是困难的\bd 本文通过引入服从Gamma分布的权重, 将其表示为特定多元正态分布的混合\bd 在此基础上, 进而将权重视为缺失数据, 引入EM算法; 从而利用基于完全数据似然函数的条件期望进行局部影响分析\bd 本文进一步系统研究了加权扰动模型下的局部影响分析, 得到了相应的诊断统计量; 并通过两个实例说明了这种方法的有效性.     

Assessing Local Influence in Canonical Correlation Analysis

The first order local influence approach is adopted in this paper to assess the local influence of observations to canonical correlation coefficients, canonical vectors and several relevant test statistics in canonical correlation analysis. This approach can detect different aspects of influence due to different perturbation schemes. In this paper, we consider two different kinds, namely, the additive perturbation scheme and the case-weights perturbation scheme. It is found that, under the additive perturbation scheme, the influence analysis of any canonical correlation coefficient can be simplified to just observing two predicted residuals. To do the influence analysis for canonical vectors, a scale invariant norm is proposed. Furthermore, by choosing proper perturbation scales on different variables, we can compare the different influential effects of perturbations on different variables under the additive perturbation scheme. An example is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the first order local influence approach.     

一般形式下的协方差分析模型的局部影响分析

利用局部影响的方法对一般形式下的协方差分析模型进行了讨论.把数据点或数据子集的扰动拓展到更广泛的扰动模式并进行了局部影响评价,导出了一般形式下的协方差分析模型在方差扰动下局部影响的曲率度量.     

Influence Diagnostics in Common Principal Components Analysis

In principal components analysis, the influence function and local influence approaches have been well established as important diagnostic tools. In this article, we first review the generalized local influence approach in the restricted likelihood framework. We then apply the restricted likelihood local influence diagnostic in the common principal components analysis. One special part of this local influence result is an elliptical norm of the empirical influence function, which is comparable to the deletion diagnostic scaled by the same matrix which requires iterative solutions for parameter estimates with every case deleted. Local influence diagnostics are constructed by some basic building blocks that are obtained directly from the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters, and which are based on the original data and thus require less computation. A numerical example illustrates the technique and some joint influence effects are identified by the proposed method.     

具有Rao简单结构的多元T-模型的局部影响分析

本文应用以Kullback-Leibler散度为基础的Bayesian局部影响方法，对具有Rao简单结构的多元T-模型进行了局部影响分析．在确定了先验分布假设下，详细地研究了这个模型的Bayesian Hessian矩阵，作为应用，特别考虑了常见的加权协方差扰动形式．     

半参数广义线性随机效应模型的影响分析

该文系统研究了半参数广义线性随机效应模型的统计诊断与影响分析方法, 证明了数据删除模型和均值漂移模型的等价性定理, 给出了广义Cook距离等诊断统计量及异常点的Score检验统计量并研究了该模型的局部影响分析,分别对加权扰动模型, 响应变量扰动模型得到了影响距阵的计算公式, 最后通过一个实例验证了文中给出诊断方法的有效性.     

Robust Gaussian graphical modeling

A new Gaussian graphical modeling that is robustified against possible outliers is proposed. The likelihood function is weighted according to how the observation is deviated, where the deviation of the observation is measured based on its likelihood. Test statistics associated with the robustified estimators are developed. These include statistics for goodness of fit of a model. An outlying score, similar to but more robust than the Mahalanobis distance, is also proposed. The new scores make it easier to identify outlying observations. A Monte Carlo simulation and an analysis of a real data set show that the proposed method works better than ordinary Gaussian graphical modeling and some other robustified multivariate estimators.     

带随机效应非线性模型的影响分析

Abstract. In this paper,a unified diagnostic method for the nonlinear models with random ef-fects based upon the joint likelihood given by Robinson in 1991 is presented. It is shown that thecase deletion model is equivalent to the mean shift outlier model. From this point of view ,sever-al diagnostic measures, such as Cook distance, score statistics are derived. The local influencemeasure of Cook is also presented. A numerical example illustrates that the method is avail-able     

INFLUENCE ANALYSIS ON EXPONENTIAL NONLINEAR MODELS WITH RANDOM EFFECTS

This paper presents a unified diagnostic method for exponential nonlinearmodels with random effects based upon the joint likelihood given by Robinson in 1991.The authors show that the case deletion model is equivalent to mean shift outlier model.From this point of view, several diagnostic measures, such as Cook distance, score statistics     

Local influence on the goodness-of-fit test statistic in maximum likelihood factor analysis

The influence of observations on the goodness-of-fit test in maximum likelihood factor analysis is investigated by using the local influence method. Under an appropriate perturbation the test statistic forms a surface. One of main diagnostics is the maximum slope of the perturbed surface, the other is the direction vector corresponding to the curvature. These influence measures provide the information about jointly influential observations as well as individually influential observations.     

偏正态数据下众数回归模型的统计诊断

为了更好地拟合偏态数据,充分提取偏态数据的信息,针对偏正态数据建立了众数回归模型,并基于Pena距离统计量对众数回归模型进行统计断研究,得到了众数回归模型的Pena距离表达式以及高杠杆异常点的诊断方法.利用EM算法与梯度下降法给出了众数回归模型参数的极大似然估计,根据数据删除模型计算似然距离、Cook距离和Pena距离统计量,绘制诊断统计图.通过Monte Carlo模拟试验和实例分析比较,说明文章提出的方法行之有效,并在一定条件下Pena距离对异常点或强影响点的诊断优于似然距离和Cook距离.     

Influence Diagnostics in Partially Varying-Coefficient Models

When a real-world data set is fitted to a specific type of models,it is often encountered that oneor a set of observations have undue influence on the model fitting,which may lead to misleading conclusions.Therefore,it is necessary for data analysts to identify these influential observations and assess their impacton various aspects of model fitting.In this paper,one type of modified Cook's distances is defined to gaugethe influence of one or a set observations on the estimate of the constant coefficient part in partially varying-coefficient models,and the Cook's distances are expressed as functions of the corresponding residuals andleverages.Meanwhile,a bootstrap procedure is suggested to derive the reference values for the proposed Cook'sdistances.Some simulations are conducted,and a real-world data set is further analyzed to examine theperformance of the proposed method.The experimental results are satisfactory.     

具有一般协方差结构线性模型的局部影响评价

该文讨论了具有一般协方差结构线性模型的局部影响分析问题. 通过对广义Cook统计量中M/c的适当选取, 文章给出了一种对扰动的参数变换具有不变性质的局部影响度量. 在具协方差扰动模式下, 该文给出了回归系数和方差系数估计、最佳线性预测的局部影响诊断统计量.该结果与数据删除法进行了比较, 并通过实例进行了分析和说明.     

数据矩阵条件指数的局部影响分析

以广义影响函数和广义Cook统计量为工具,考察对数据矩阵同时进行微小扰动在条件指数上产生的局部影响,导出了寻找条件指数最大影响方向的计算公式,并用一个实例说明该方法的应用．