Oligopoly with Hyperbolic Demand: A Differential Game Approach

Convex demand functions, although commonly used in consumer theory and in accordance with a large amount of empirical evidence, are known to be problematic in the analysis of firms’ behavior; therefore, they are rarely used in oligopoly theory, due to the possible lack of concavity of the firms’ profit functions and the indeterminacy arising in the limit as marginal costs tend to zero. We investigate a dynamic oligopoly model with hyperbolic demand and sticky price, characterizing the open-loop optimal control and the related steady-state equilibrium, to show that the indeterminacy associated with the limit of the static model is indeed confined to the steady state of the dynamic model, while the latter allows for a well-behaved solution at any time during the game. Although the feedback solution cannot be analytically attained since the model is not built in linear-quadratic form, we show that analogous considerations also apply to the Bellman equation of the individual firm.     

Advertising in a Differential Oligopoly Game

We illustrate a differential oligopoly game where firms compete à la Cournot in homogeneous goods in the market phase and invest in advertising activities aimed at increasing the consumers reservation price. Such investments produce external effects, characterizing the advertising activity as a public good. We derive the open-loop and closed-loop Nash equilibria, and show that the properties of the equilibria depend on the curvature of the market demand function. The comparative assessment of these equilibria shows that the firms advertising efforts are larger in the open-loop equilibrium than in the closed-loop equilibrium. We also show that a cartel involving all the firms, setting both output levels and advertising efforts, may produce a steady state where the social welfare level is higher than the social welfare levels associated with both open-loop and closed-loop noncooperative settings.     

An Oligopolistic Investment Model of the Finnish Electricity Market

The investment problem faced by producers in deregulated electricity markets contains high uncertainties about the future. It can also be seen as a game, as only a small number of large players act in the market. A dynamic stochastic oligopoly model to describe the production and investment in such a situation is developed and applied to the Finnish electricity market. The demand growth rate is modeled as a stochastic variable. The strategies of the firms consist of investments and production levels for base and peak load periods. The firms have nuclear, hydro and thermal capacities, but are only allowed to invest in new thermal capacity. Using a so-called sample-path adapted open-loop information structure, the model contributes to the understanding of the dynamics of production, investment and market power in a medium time horizon. The solution method uses recent developments in variational inequality and mixed complementarity problem formulations.     

A note on oligopoly exploitation of common-pool renewable resources

This note derives the linear Feedback Nash equilibrium of a differential oligopoly game of exploitation of a common-pool renewable resource, and compares and contrasts it with social optimum. The case of regulated entry by means of a license fee is also considered. Two main results are derived. First, the steady-state oligopoly price can be increasing in the (exogenously given) number of firms. Second, an optimal license fee exists that induces the (endogenously given) number of firms to behave efficiently.     

Cournot competition with hyperbolic learning and myopic firms: A note

In this note, we provide a Cournot oligopoly model of learning-by-doing that incorporates both learning spillovers and organizational forgetting, relaxing the commonly made assumption of linear learning by considering a hyperbolic learning curve that depends on both own and rivals’ experience. The analysis is conducted under the assumption of myopic firms. We show that conditions exist under which more competition, captured by an increase in the number of firms, worsens both productive and allocative efficiency at the steady-state equilibrium.     

New product advertising in dynamic oligopolies

The success of the introduction of a new product in a market is very sensitive to the marketing decision variables adopted by the firm. In the present paper we are concerned with the question of new product advertising in a heterogeneous oligopoly market consisting of N firms. A dynamic game is formulated to model strategic as well as sales interactions in such a market. Optimal advertising strategies are identified as open-loop Nash solutions.The comments of two anonymous referees are appreciated. The first author wishes to acknowledge support from NSERC (Grant No. OGP0037342).     

R&;D Incentives and Market Structure: Dynamic Analysis

We investigate dynamic R&D for process innovation in an oligopoly where firms invest in cost-reducing activities. We focus on the relationship between R&D intensity and market structure, proving that the industry R&D investment increases monotonically with the number of firms. This Arrowian result contradicts the established wisdom acquired from static games on the same topic.The authors thank Jeroen Hinloopen and George Leitmann for useful comments and discussions     

Nonlinear Cournot oligopoly games with isoelastic demand function: The effects of different behavior rules

The analysis of asymptotical convergence for the oligopoly game has always been important to characterize the firms’ long-term behavior. In the nonlinear oligopoly competition possibly involving chaotic fluctuations, non-convergent trajectories are particularly undesirable since the resulting behavior will become unpredictable. In this paper, consistent with a traditional assumption that the firms update their outputs simultaneously, we at first construct an adjustment process and discuss the convergence to the equilibrium for a nonlinear Cournot duopoly game with the isoelastic demand function. We indicate that the tendency to instability does rise with the number of firms and the adjustment speeds. In particular, we alter this assumption from simultaneous decisions to sequential decisions so that the latter firms are able to observe the former ones at every time periods. We finally arrive at a conclusion that the unique equilibrium is convergent as long as the adjustment speeds are less than a fixed threshold, no matter what the number of the firms. Our findings show that the firms with sequential decisions can achieve the equilibrium more easily.     

Oligopoly games under asymmetric costs and an application to energy production

Oligopolies in which firms have different costs of production have been relatively under-studied. In contrast to models with symmetric costs, some firms may be inactive in equilibrium. (With symmetric costs, the results trivialize to all firms active or all firms inactive.) We concentrate on the linear demand structure with constant marginal but asymmetric costs. In static one-period models, we compare the number of active firms, i.e. the number of firms producing a positive quantity in equilibrium, across four different models of oligopoly: Cournot and Bertrand with homogeneous or differentiated goods. When firms have different costs, we show that, for fixed good type, Cournot always results in more active firms than Bertrand. Moreover, with a fixed market type, differentiated goods result in more active firms than homogeneous goods. In dynamic models, asymmetric costs induce different entry times into the market. We illustrate with a model of energy production in which multiple producers from costly but inexhaustible alternative sources such as solar or wind compete in a Cournot market against an oil producer with exhaustible supply.     

A differential oligopoly game with differentiated goods and sticky prices

We investigate a dynamic oligopoly game where goods are differentiated and prices are sticky. We study the open-loop and the closed-loop memoryless Nash equilibrium, and show that the latter equilibrium entails a larger level of steady state production as compared to the former; both equilibria entail a larger level of production in steady state than the static game. We also study the effects of price stickiness and product differentiation upon the steady state equilibrium allocation and profits. The per-firm equilibrium output is increasing in both product differentiation and price stickiness, while profits are increasing in both product differentiation and the speed of price adjustment. The steady state social welfare monotonically increases in the speed of price adjustment, and the overproduction entailed by dynamic competition has beneficial effect from a social standpoint.     

An oligopoly model of dynamic advertising competition

An oligopoly model is presented that allows the determination of feedback Nash equilibrium advertising strategies for an oligopoly. Analyses of symmetric and asymmetric oligopolies with the model show that unit contribution and advertising effectiveness have positive effects on a competitor’s own advertising and steady-state sales, while discount rate and decay rate have negative effects. An asymmetric analysis further shows that unit contribution and advertising effectiveness affect positively, and discount rate and decay rate negatively, a competitor’s rivals’ advertising, but have effects in opposite directions regarding rivals’ steady-state sales. The symmetric and asymmetric analyses also show that steady-state sales per competitor decline with the number of competitors in the oligopoly, while total oligopoly steady-state sales increase. The model is applied empirically to the triopolistic competition involving Anheuser-Busch, SABMiller, and Molson Coors in the beer industry.     

Dynamic oligopoly pricing with reference-price effects

We analyze the strategic implications of consumers’ reference-price effects, either symmetric (for loss-neutral consumers) or asymmetric (for loss-averse consumers), in a differentiated oligopoly model where firms compete either in prices (à la Bertrand) or in quantities (à la Cournot) over an infinite time horizon. The dynamic game is specified in continuous time. The solution concept is Markov Perfect Equilibrium. We show how price dynamics in the presence of reference-price effects crucially depends on the nature of market competition. One of the main results of our analysis is that, with loss-averse consumers, there exists an interval of initial reference prices such that firms adopt the same constant-pricing strategy in both the Bertrand and the Cournot games, implying that the distinction between price and quantity competition has no impact on market conduct and performance.     

Optimal pricing in a duopoly: A noncooperative differential games solution

This paper deals with a differential games model of an oligopoly ofn profit-maximizing firms competing for the same stock of customers. For the sale dynamics, it is assumed that the customers of each firm are driven away gradually by increasing product prices. Since the state variable is absent from the Hamiltonian maximizing conditions as well as from the adjoint equations, open-loop Nash solutions can be obtained. By using phase diagram analysis, for two players the behavior of the optimal pricing strategies can be characterized qualitatively. The main importance of the paper lies in the solution technique, rather than in the economic significance of the proposed model. Under the proposed assumptions, the two-point boundary-value problem resulting from the maximum principle is reduced to a terminal-value problem. It turns out that, for special salvage values of the market shares and if the planning horizon is not too short, nonmonotonic Nash-optimal price trajectories occur.Thanks are due to S. Jørgensen, A. Mehlmann, and R. Willing for helpful suggestions.     

Equilibrium path in oligopolistic market of nonrenewable resource

In this paper we study the oligopoly model of nonrenewable resource in which the unit production cost is variable and depends on the resource reserve level. We consider both the open-loop strategy and the closed-loop strategy of this dynamical differential game. For the case of linear cost function we have observed that the open-loop equilibrium and the self-feedback equilibrium satisfy the same equilibrium conditions, which can be described as a dynamical system. The analysis shows that the equilibrium path of the model is the stable orbit of this system, and this result leads to further studies of the properties of the total extraction and reserve and the individual ones of each producer. For the total extraction rate and reserve, some of the properties are similar to those of most oligopoly models with fixed unit production cost. For the individual behaviors, we have found out the solution expressions of the individual extraction rate and resource reserve and got the main result that the producer with larger initial stock has a larger but declining market share and the share of each producer converges toward the average one when time approaches to infinite.     

Equilibrium two-part cost structures

We consider an oligopolistic product market in which two competing firms instead of paying a competitive input price choose a two-part tariff. Costs for the input are divided up into upfront fixed costs independent of the output level and reductions in marginal costs. We explore under which competitive settings will such a two-part cost structure correspond to equilibrium behavior in a two stage game. We find that firms in a static model do have an incentive to choose a two-part cost structure when competition in the product market is not too strong and oligopoly rents can be shifted form the rival to the own firm. In a dynamic market when firms use Markov strategies competition is so intense that there are no rents to be shifted and firms do not benefit from two-part cost structures.     

The Leitmann-Schmitendorf advertising game with n players and time discounting

The extension of the Leitmann-Schmitendorf advertising game to n players and positive time discounting is investigated. We show that the strong time consistency of the open-loop Nash equilibrium is preserved. As to optimal controls, while the boundary solution is unaffected by the number of firms as well as discounting, the inner solution depends on industry structure. The fully symmetric version of the game allows us to identify the parameter regions wherein both solutions are sustainable.     

Weak and Strong Time Consistency in a Differential Oligopoly Game with Capital Accumulation

We illustrate a differential oligopoly game with capital accumulation where the accumulation dynamics of productive capacity is modelled à la Ramsey. The model is solved under the open-loop information structure, to show that it admits an open-loop Nash equilibrium which is indeed a degenerate feedback one and therefore strongly time consistent, even if, by construction, the problem under consideration is not a linear state game. We thank George Leitmann, Massimo Marinacci, Daniele Ritelli, Arsen Palestini and two anonymous referees for very useful comments and suggestions.     

On the feedback solutions of differential oligopoly games with hyperbolic demand curve and capacity accumulation

To safeguard analytical tractability and the concavity of objective functions, the vast majority of models belonging to oligopoly theory relies on the restrictive assumption of linear demand functions. Here we lay out the analytical solution of a differential Cournot game with hyperbolic inverse demand, where firms accumulate capacity over time à la Ramsey. The subgame perfect equilibrium is characterized via the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations solved in closed form both on infinite and on finite horizon setups. To illustrate the applicability of our model and its implications, we analyze the feasibility of horizontal mergers in both static and dynamic settings, and find appropriate conditions for their profitability under both circumstances. Static profitability of a merger implies dynamic profitability of the same merger. It appears that such a demand structure makes mergers more likely to occur than they would on the basis of the standard linear inverse demand.     

Complex dynamics and multistability with increasing rationality in market games

In this work we study oligopoly models in which firms adopt decision mechanisms based on best response techniques with different rationality degrees. Firms are also assumed to face resource or financial constraints in adjusting their production levels, so that, from time to time, they can only increase or decrease their strategy by a bounded quantity. We consider different families of oligopolies of generic sizes, characterized by heterogeneous compositions with respect to the rationality degrees of firms. We analytically study the local stability of the equilibrium depending on the oligopoly size and composition and through numerical simulations we investigate the possible dynamics arising when trajectories do not converge toward the equilibrium. We show that in this case complex dynamics can arise, and this is due to both the loss of stability of the equilibrium and to the emergence of multiple attractors, with the stable steady state coexisting with a different, periodic or chaotic, attractor. In particular, we show that multistability phenomena occur when the overall degree of rationality of the oligopoly is increased. Finally, we investigate the effect of non-convergent dynamics on the realized profits.     

Static and dynamic best-response potential functions for the non-linear Cournot game

We show that the Cournot oligopoly game with non-linear market demand can be reformulated as a best-response potential game where the best-response potential function is linear-quadratic in the special case where marginal cost is normalized to zero. We also propose a new approach to show that the open-loop differential game with Ramsey dynamics admits a best-response Hamiltonian potential corresponding to the sum of the best-response potential function of the static game plus the scalar product of transition functions multiplied by the fictitious costate variables. Unlike the original differential game, its best-response representation yields the map of the instantaneous best reply functions.